CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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15664: Keynesian Production Networks and the Covid-19 Crisis: A Simple Benchmark

David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi

15663: Sources of Bias in Inflation Rates and Implications for Inflation Dynamics

Sarah Lein and Rahel Braun

15662: Chaos and Unpredictability in Dynamic Social Problems

Marco Battaglini

15661: Disentangling the drivers of labour force participation by sex - a cross country study

Stephanie Kelly, Abigail Watt, Jeremy Lawson and Nancy Hardie

15660: Family Spillover Effects of Marginal Diagnoses: The Case of ADHD

Petra Persson, Xinyao Qiu and Maya Rossin-Slater

15659: Personnel Management and School Productivity: Evidence from India

Renata Lemos, Karthik Muralidharan and Daniela Scur

15658: Information Complementarities and the Dynamics of Transparency Shock Spillovers

Shantanu Banerjee, Sudipto Dasgupta, Rui Shi and Jiali Yan

15657: The Rate of Return on Real Estate: Long-Run Micro-Level Evidence

David Chambers, Christophe Spaenjers and Eva Steiner

15656: A Case for Pay-as-Bid Auctions

Marek Pycia and Kyle Woodward

15655: Zoomshock: The geography and local labour market consequences of working from home

Gianni De Fraja, Jesse Matheson and James Rockey

15654: Institutional Investors and Granularity in Equity Markets

Eric Ghysels, Hanwei Liu and Steve Raymond

15653: Currency Anomalies

Söhnke Bartram, Leslie Djuranovik and Anthony Garratt

15652: The Globalization of Refugee Flows

Xavier Devictor, Quy-Toan Do and Andrei Levchenko

15651: Quality of sub-national government and regional development in Africa

Yohan Iddawela, Neil Lee and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

15650: Africa’s Manufacturing Puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian Firms

Xinshen Diao, Mia Ellis, Margaret McMillan and Dani Rodrik

15649: Divided we Fall: International Health and Trade Coordination during a Pandemic

Viral Acharya, Zhengyang Jiang, Robert Richmond and Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

15648: Trade Protection Along Supply Chains

Chad Bown, Paola Conconi, Aksel Erbahar and Lorenzo Trimarchi

15647: Why Does Capital Flow from Equal to Unequal Countries?

Sergio de Ferra, Kurt Mitman and Federica Romei

15646: The Inexorable Recoveries of Unemployment

Robert Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

15645: Self-Signaling in Moral Voting

Lydia Mechtenberg, Grischa Perino, Nicolas Treich, Jean-Robert Tyran and Stephanie Wang

15644: Information Aggregation and Asymmetric Returns

Elias Albagli, Christian Hellwig and Aleh Tsyvinski

15643: Globalization and Global Crises: Rest of the World vs. Israel

Assaf Razin

15642: Oops!... I Did It Again: Understanding Mechanisms of Persistence in Prosocial Behavior

Adrian Bruhin, Lorenz Goette, Simon Haenni and Lingqing Jiang

15641: A political economy of loose means-testing in targeted social programs

Helmuth Cremer, Justina Klimaviciute and Pierre Pestieau

15640: Jesus speaks Korean: Christianity and Literacy in Colonial Korea

Sascha Becker and Cheongyeon Won

15639: Macroeconomic Conditions When Young Shape Job Preferences for Life

Maria Cotofan, Lea Cassar, Robert Dur and Stephan Meier

15638: The Family Origin of the Math Gender Gap is a White Affluent Phenomenon

Gaia Dossi, David Figlio, Paola Giuliano and Paola Sapienza

15637: Paying to Match: Decentralized Markets with Information Frictions

Marina Agranov, Ahrash Dianat, Larry Samuelson and Leeat Yariv

15636: What Explains Differences in Finance Research Productivity During the Pandemic?

Brad Barber, Wei Jiang, Adair Morse, Manju Puri, Heather E. Tookes and Ingrid Werner

15635: North and South: A Regional Model of the UK

A. Patrick Minford, Yue Gai and David Meenagh

15634: Humanistic Digital Governance

Dennis Snower and Paul Twomey

15633: Borders within Europe

Marta Santamaria, Jaume Ventura and UÄŸur YeÅŸilbayraktar

15632: Mental Health Effects of Same-Sex Marriage Legalization

Shuai Chen and Jan C. van Ours

15631: Liquidity Traps in a World Economy

Robert Kollmann

15630: Blurred boundaries: a flexible approach for segmentation applied to the car market

Laura Grigolon

15629: More Laws, More Growth? Evidence from U.S. States

Elliott Ash, Massimo Morelli and Matia Vannoni

15628: Trauma at School: The Impacts of Shootings on Students’ Human Capital and Economic Outcomes

Marika Cabral, Bokyung Kim, Maya Rossin-Slater, Molly Schnell and Hannes Schwandt

15627: Test Design under Falsification

Eduardo Perez and Vasiliki Skreta

15626: Estimating Production Functions in Differentiated-Product Industries with Quantity Information and External Instruments

Nicolás de Roux, Marcela Eslava, Santiago Franco and Eric Verhoogen

15625: The Complementarity between Signal Informativeness and Monitoring

Pierre Chaigneau and Nicolas Sahuguet

15624: The People versus the Markets: A Parsimonious Model of Inflation Expectations

Ricardo Reis

15623: Fiscal Stimulus in Liquidity Traps: Conventional or Unconventional Policies?

Matthieu Lemoine and Lindé, Jesper

15622: Informed Enforcement: Lessons from Pollution Monitoring in China

Sebastian Axbard and Zichen Deng

15621: Self-image Bias and Lost Talent

Marciano Siniscalchi and Pietro Veronesi

15620: British-French technology transfer from the Revolution to Louis Philippe (1791-1844): evidence from patent data

Alessandro Nuvolari, Gaspare Tortorici and Michelangelo Vasta

15619: Parallel Digital Currencies and Sticky Prices

Harald Uhlig and Taojun Xie

15618: Answering the Queen: Machine Learning and Financial Crises

Jeremy Fouliard, Michael Howell, Helene Rey and Vania Stavrakeva

15617: Global Portfolio Rebalancing and Exchange Rates

Nelson Camanho, Harald Hau and Helene Rey

15616: The Napoleonic Wars: A Watershed in Spanish History

Leandro Prados de la Escosura and Carlos Santiago-Caballero

15615: Low price-to-book ratios and bank dividend payout policies

Leonardo Gambacorta, Tommaso Oliviero and Hyun Song Shin

15614: Household Savings and Monetary Policy under Individual and Aggregate Stochastic Volatility

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Lilia Maliar, Serguei Maliar and Christopher Naubert

15613: Heroes and Villains: The Effects of Combat Heroism on Autocratic Values and Nazi Collaboration in France

Julia Cagé, Anna Dagorret, Pauline Grosjean and Saumitra Jha

15612: Banks, Political Capital, and Growth

Thomas Lambert, Wolf Wagner and Eden Quxian Zhang

15611: Banks and Negative Interest Rates

Florian Heider, Farzad Saidi and Glenn Schepens

15610: The Expected Return on Risky Assets: International Long-run Evidence

Dmitry Kuvshinov and Kaspar Zimmermann

15609: Relationship stickiness, international trade, and economic uncertainty

Julien Martin, Méjean, Isabelle and Mathieu Parenti

15608: Wage Risk and Government and Spousal Insurance

Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella and Gonzalo Paz-Pardo

15607: Political Parties as Drivers of U.S. Polarization: 1927-2018

Nathan Canen, Chad Kendall and Francesco Trebbi

15606: When the Great Equalizer Shuts Down: Schools, Peers, and Parents in Pandemic Times

Francesco Agostinelli, Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti and Fabrizio Zilibotti

15605: The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates

Francesco Bianchi, Giada Bianchi and Dongho Song

15604: Specialization, Market Access and Real Income

Dominick Bartelme, Ting Lan and Andrei Levchenko

15603: Informal Central Bank Communication

Vissing-Jørgensen, Annette

15602: Organizational Structure and Investment Strategy

Lóránth, Gyöngyi, Alan Morrison and Jing Zeng

15601: Wars, Taxation and Representation: Evidence from Five Centuries of German History

Sascha Becker, Andreas Ferrara, Eric Melander and Luigi Pascali

15600: Productivity and the Welfare of Nations

Susanto Basu, Luigi Pascali, Fabio Schiantarelli and Servén, Luis

15599: Monetary Policy and Inequality

Asger Lau Andersen, Niels Johannesen, Jørgensen, Mia and Jose-Luis Peydro

15598: International Trade and Earnings Inequality: A New Factor Content Approach

Rodrigo Adao, Paul Carrillo, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson and Dina Pomeranz

15597: How the United States marched the semiconductor industry into its trade war with China

Chad Bown

15596: Consumer protection for financial inclusion in low and middle income countries: Bridging regulator and academic perspectives

Seth Garz, Xavier Gine, Dean Karlan, Rafe Mazer, Caitlin Sanford and Jonathan Zinman

15595: Integrated epi-econ assessment

Timo Boppart, Karl Harmenberg, John Hassler, Per Krusell and Jonna Olsson

15594: Quality of life in a dynamic spatial model

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Fabrian Bald, Duncan Roth and Tobias Seidel

15593: Social Distancing During a Pandemic - The Role of Friends

Michael Bailey, Drew Johnston, Martin Koenen, Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel and Ströbel, Johannes

15592: Mobility under the COVID-19 Pandemic: Asymmetric Effects across Gender and Age

Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Damiano Sandri and Antonio Spilimbergo

15591: Globalization and Empire: Market integration and international trade between Canada, the United States and Britain, 1750-1870

Maja Pedersen, Vincent Geloso and Paul Sharp

15590: Being on the Frontline? Immigrant Workers in Europe and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Francesco Fasani and Jacopo Mazza

15589: Gender Differences in College Applications: Aspiration and Risk Management

Judith Delaney and Paul Devereux

15588: The health externalities of downsizing

Alexander Ahammer, Grübl, Dominik and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

15587: Immigration, Political Ideologies and the Polarization of American Politics

Axel Dreher, Sarah Langlotz, Johannes Matzat and Christopher Parsons

15586: Does robotization affect job quality? Evidence from European regional labour markets

Antón, José-Ignacio, Enrique Fernandez-Macias and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

15585: Uncovering the mechanism(s): Financial constraints and wages

Almut Balleer, Hamzeh Arabzadeh Jamali and Britta Gehrke

15584: Private Input Suppliers as Information Agents for Technology Adoption in Agriculture

Manzoor Dar, Alain de Janvry, Kyle Emerick, Elisabeth Sadoulet and Eleanor Wiseman

15583: Aggregate-Demand Amplification of Supply Disruptions: The Entry-Exit Multiplier

Florin Bilbiie and Marc Melitz

15582: Perceived Competition in Networks

Olivier Bochet, Mathieu Faure, Yan Long and Yves Zenou

15581: Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news

Benjamin Born, Jonas Dovern and Zeno Enders

15580: The multiple-volunteers principle

Goldlücke, Susanne and Tröger, Thomas

15579: Anchored in Troubled Waters: Monetary Unions and Uncertainty

Benjamin Born, Luis Huxel, Müller, Gernot and Johannes Pfeifer

15578: Away from Home and Back: Coordinating (Remote) Workers in 1800 and 2020

Juhász, Réka, Mara Squicciarini and Voigtländer, Nico

15577: Female Genital Cutting and the Slave Trade

Lucia Corno, Eliana La Ferrara and Alessandra Voena

15576: Interregional Contact and National Identity

Manuel Bagues and Christopher Roth

15575: School Closures During the 1918 Flu Pandemic

Philipp Ager, Katherine Eriksson, Ezra Karger, Peter Nencka and Melissa A Thomasson

15574: The Elusive Peace Dividend of Development Policy: From War Traps to Macro-Complementarities

Dominic Rohner and Mathias Thoenig

15573: Self-Fulfilling Prophecies, Quasi Non-Ergodicity & Wealth Inequality

Jean-Philippe Bouchaud and Roger Farmer

15572: The Story of the Real Exchange Rate

Oleg Itskhoki

15571: Pricing Currency Risks

Mikhail Chernov, Magnus Dahlquist and Lars Lochstoer

15570: Consumer Credit with Over-Optimistic Borrowers

Florian Exler, Igor Livshits, James (Jim) MacGee and Michele Tertilt

15569: Currency Mispricing and Dealer Balance Sheets

Gino Cenedese, Pasquale Della Corte and Tianyu Wang

15568: Understanding Debt in the Older Population

Annamaria Lusardi, Olivia Mitchell and Noemi Oggero

15567: The Right to Quit Work: An Efficiency Rationale for Restricting the Freedom of Contract

Müller, Daniel and Patrick Schmitz

15566: U.S. Churches' Response to Covid-19: Results from Facebook

Eva Raiber and Paul Seabright

15565: Learning to Navigate a New Financial Technology: Evidence from Payroll Accounts

Emily Breza, Martin Kanz and Leora Klapper