CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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15461: An Estimable Model of Production Interactions in Endogenous Networks

Michele Pellizzari, Giacomo De Giorgi and Rodríguez Barraquer, Tomás

15460: Job stability, earnings dynamics, and life-cycle savings

Moritz Kuhn and Gasper Ploj

15459: Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts

Michael Woodford, Rava Azeredo da Silveira and Yeji Sung

15458: Foreign Shocks as Granular Fluctuations

Andrei Levchenko, Julian di Giovanni and Isabelle Mejean

15457: Monetary Policy with Reserves and CBDC: Optimality, Equivalence, and Politics

Dirk Niepelt

15456: Closing the Gap Between Vocational and General Education? Evidence from University Technical Colleges in England

Camille Terrier, Stephen Machin, Sandra McNally and Guglielmo Ventura

15455: Migration and Fiscal Externality: US vs. Europe

Assaf Razin

15454: Language, Knowledge, and Growth: Evidence from Early Modern Europe

Christine Binzel, Andreas Link and Rajesh Ramachandran

15453: From Dual to Unified Employment Protection: Transition and Steady State

Juan Dolado, Lalé, Etienne and Nawid Siassi

15452: The Spanish Labour Market at the Crossroads: Covid†19 meets the Megatrends

Juan Dolado and Juan F Jimeno

15451: Daily Tracker of Global Economic Activity. A Close-Up of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel and Elena Diaz

15450: The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations

Antoine Levy, Luca Ricci and Alejandro Werner

15449: Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics

Elisabeth Kempf, Brian Fabo, Martina Jancokova and Pástor, Luboš

15448: Search, Showrooming, and Retailer Variety

Heski Bar-Isaac and Sandro Shelegia

15447: Revenge of the Experts: Will COVID-19 Renew or Diminish Public Trust in Science?

Barry Eichengreen, Cevat Giray Aksoy and Orkun Saka

15446: A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models

Fabio Canova and Filippo Ferroni

15445: Screening and Loan Origination Time: Lending Standards, Loan Defaults and Bank Failures

Peydró, José-Luis, Jiménez, Gabriel, Mikel Bedayo and Raquel Vegas

15444: Storing Power: Market Structure Matters

Natalia Fabra and Andrés-Cerezo, David

15443: Institutions and the uneven geography of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Chiara Burlina

15442: How ‘smart’ are Smart Specialisation strategies?

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Marco Di Cataldo and Vassilis Monastiriotis

15441: Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?

Matilde Bombardini, Bingjing Li and Francesco Trebbi

15440: Foreign Currency Borrowing of Corporations as Carry Trades: Evidence from India

Viral Acharya and Siddharth Vij

15438: What a drag it is getting old? Mental health and loneliness beyond age 50

Jan C. van Ours

15437: Do Family Policies Reduce Gender Inequality? Evidence from 60 Years of Policy Experimentation

Camille Landais, Henrik Kleven, Johanna Posch, Andreas Steinhauer and Zweimüller, Josef

15436: The Financial (In)Stability Real Interest Rate, R**

Gianluca Benigno, Ozge Akinci, Marco Del Negro and Albert Queralto

15435: LM tests for joint breaks in the dynamics and level of a long-memory time series

Juan Dolado, Heiko Rachinger and Carlos Velasco

15434: From a common empire to colonial rule: commodity market disintegration in the Near East

Laura Panza

15433: Optimal Subsidies for Prevention of Infectious Disease

Michael Kremer, Heidi Williams, Christopher Snyder and Matthew Goodkin-Gold

15432: It’s what you say and what you buy: A holistic evaluation of the Corporate Credit Facilities

Nina Boyarchenko, Anna Kovner and Or Shachar

15431: Measuring Colonial Extraction: The East India Company’s Rule and the Drain of Wealth (1757-1858)

Pilar Nogues-Marco

15430: Credit Constraints, Labor Productivity and the Role of Regional Institutions: Evidence from Manufacturing Firms in Europe

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Roberto Ganau, Kristina Maslauskaite and Monica Brezzi

15429: Stereotypes in Financial Literacy: Evidence from PISA

Annamaria Lusardi and ,

15428: Bewley Banks

Tommaso Monacelli and Rustam Jamilov

15427: Anatomy of Technology in the Firm

Diego Comin, Xavier Cirera, Marcio Cruz and Kyung Min Lee

15426: Child Labour and Global Value Chains

Marcelo Olarreaga, Cristian Ugarte and ,

15425: Informing WTO Reform: Dispute Settlement Performance, 1995-2020

Petros C. Mavroidis and Maarja Saluste

15424: COVID-19, public procurement regimes and trade policy

Anirudh Shingal, Varun Eknath and Viktoriya Ereshchenko

15423: The Scars of Supply Shocks: Implications for Monetary Policy

Luca Fornaro and Martin Wolf

15422: Expectations-driven liquidity traps: Implications for monetary and fiscal policy

Sebastian Schmidt and Taisuke Nakata

15421: Asymmetric information, strategic transfers, and the design of long-term care policies

Helmuth Cremer and Chiara Canta

15420: Gig-jobs: stepping stones or dead ends?

Lena Hensvik and Adrian Adermon

15419: Climate Change Mitigation Policies: Aggregate and Distributional Effects

Cezar Santos, Tiago Cavalcanti and Zeina Hasna

15418: Binary Choice with Asymmetric Loss in a Data-Rich Environment: Theory and an Application to Racial Justice

Eric Ghysels, Andrii Babii, Xi Chen and Rohit Kumar

15417: Persistence – Myth and Mystery

Hans-Joachim Voth

15416: Subsidizing the spread of COVID19: Evidence from the UK's Eat-Out-to-Help-Out scheme

Thiemo Fetzer

15415: Predistribution vs. Redistribution: Evidence from France and the U.S

Thomas Piketty, Antoine Bozio, Bertrand Garbinti, Jonathan Goupille-Lebret and Malka Guillot

15414: The Geopolitics of International Trade in Southeast Asia

A. Kerem Coşar and Benjamin Thomas

15413: Financial Policymaking after Crises: Public vs. Private Interest

Paul De Grauwe, Orkun Saka and Yuemei Ji

15412: Monopsony, Skills, and Labor Market Concentration

Kjell G Salvanes, Samuel Dodini, Michael Lovenheim and Willén, Alexander

15411: Discrete Mixtures of Normals Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimators of Structural Vector Autoregressions

Enrique Sentana and Gabriele Fiorentini

15410: Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis

Stefanie Stantcheva, Marcella Alsan, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, Minjeong Joyce Kim and David Yang

15409: Location, Location, Location: Manufacturing and House Price Growth

Nir Jaimovich, Stephen Terry and Nicolas Vincent

15408: Rational Inattention: A Review

Bartosz Maćkowiak, MatÄ›jka, Filip and Mirko Wiederholt

15407: Designing an International Economic Order: A Research Agenda

T. Renee Bowen and James Broz

15406: Agenda-Setter Power Dynamics: Learning in Multi-Issue Bargaining

T. Renee Bowen, Stefan Krasa and Ilwoo Hwang

15405: Populist Leaders and the Economy

Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick and Christoph Trebesch

15404: Stock Market Spillovers via the Global Production Network: Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy

Galina Hale and Julian di Giovanni

15403: A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth

Christiane Baumeister and Pierre Guérin

15402: Revisiting Productivity Dynamics in Europe: A New Measure of Utilization-Adjusted TFP Growth

Diego Comin, Javier Quintana Gonzalez, Tom Schmitz and Antonella Trigari

15401: Competitive Gerrymandering and the Popular Vote

Felix Bierbrauer and Mattias K Polborn

15400: Not an ordinary bank but a great engine of state: the bank of England and the British economy, 1694-1844

Patrick O'Brien and Nuno Palma

15399: Judge Bias in Labor Courts and Firm Performance

Pierre Cahuc, Carcillo, Stéphane, Patault, Bérengère and Flavien Moreau

15398: Dynastic Control without Ownership: Evidence from Post-war Japan

Morten Bennedsen, Vikas Mehrotra, Jungwook Shim and Yupana Wiwattanakantang

15397: Exchange Rates and Prices: Evidence from the 2015 Swiss Franc Appreciation

Raphael Auer, Sarah Lein and Ariel Tomas Burstein

15396: Industrial Clusters, Networks and Resilience to the Covid-19 Shock in China

Dilip Mookherjee, Ruochen Dai, Yingyue Quan and Xiaobo Zhang

15395: Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk

Kjetil Storesletten, Elin Halvorsen, Hans Holter and Serdar Ozkan

15394: How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality

Kjetil Storesletten, Jonathan Heathcote and Giovanni Violante

15393: Macroeconomic Outcomes and COVID-19: A Progress Report

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús and Charles Jones

15392: Does lasting behavior change require knowledge change? Evidence from savings interventions for young adults

Dean Karlan, Samantha Horn, Julian C. Jamison and Jonathan Zinman

15391: Personal Values and Cyber Risk-Taking

Neil Gandal, Zohar Weinstein and Sonia Roccas

15390: Evaluating the Effectiveness of Policies Against a Pandemic

Alexander Ludwig, Alemán, Christian, Christopher Busch and Santaeulà lia-Llopis, Raül

15389: Grantmaking

Marco Ottaviani

15388: Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints

Frank Schorfheide, S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Kenji Hilga-Flores and Sergio Villalvazo

15387: Offshoring and Inflation

Diego Comin and Robert Johnson

15386: Efficient Policy Interventions in an Epidemic

Piero Gottardi and Alberto Bisin

15385: Granular Credit Risk

Helene Rey, Sigurd Galaasen, Rustam Jamilov and Ragnar Juelsrud

15384: Fiscal transfers, local government, and entrepreneurship

Steven Ongena and Piotr Danisewicz

15383: Measuring Price Selection in Microdata - It's Not There

Peter Karadi, Raphael Schoenle and Jesse Wursten

15382: Fiscal policy in Europe: a helicopter view

Florin Bilbiie, Tommaso Monacelli and Roberto Perotti

15381: Mortgage Market Disruptions

Paolo Surico, Philippe Bracke, Karen Croxson, Daoud Fakhri and Tommaso Valletti

15380: Accounting for Growth in Spain, 1850-2019

Leandro Prados de la Escosura and Rosés, Joan R.

15379: Competition in a spatially-differentiated product market with negotiated prices

Howard Smith, Walter Beckert and Yuya Takahashi

15378: Uncertainty, Contracting, and Beliefs in Organizations

Paolo Fulghieri and David Dicks

15377: Arrovian Efficiency and Auditability in the Allocation of Discrete Resources

Marek Pycia and M. Utku Ãœnver

15376: Profit-splitting Rules and the Taxation of Multinational Digital Platforms

Gabrielle Demange and Francis Bloch

15375: An annual index of Irish industrial production, 1840-1913

Kevin O'Rourke, Kenny, Seán and Jason Lennard

15374: Gravity with Granularity

Holger Breinlich, Harald Fadinger, Volker Nocke and Nicolas Schutz

15373: Expectations, Infections, and Economic Activity

Martin Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Rebelo, Sérgio and Mathias Trabandt

15372: China's Dazzling Transport-infrastructure Growth: Measurement and Effects

Peter Egger, Gabriel Loumeau and Nicole Loumeau

15371: Preparing for a pandemic: Spending dynamics and panic buying during the COVID-19 first wave

Martin O'Connell, Aureo de Paula and Kate Smith

15370: Income Risk and Stock Market Entry/Exit Decisions

George Korniotis, Yosef Bonaparte and Alok Kumar

15369: The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment

Florin Maican, Matilda Orth, Mark Roberts and Van Anh Vuong

15368: Exploring Differences in Household Debt Across the United States and Euro Area Countries

Michael Ehrmann, Dimitris Christelis and Dimitris Georgarakos

15367: The Reversal Interest Rate: A Critical Review

Rafael Repullo

15366: Designing Central Bank Digital Currencies

Giovanni Dell'ariccia, Itai Agur and Anil Ari

15365: Monetary Policy in the Next Recession?

Stephen Cecchetti, Michael Feroli, Anil Kashyap, Catherine L. Mann and Kermit Schoenholtz

15364: Capital in Spain, 1850-2019

Leandro Prados de la Escosura

15363: Rise of the central bank digital currencies: drivers, approaches and technologies

Raphael Auer, Jon Frost and Giulio Cornelli

15362: Historical Data: Where to Find Them, How to Use Them

Paola Giuliano and Andrea Matranga

15361: (S)Cars and the Great Recession

Morten Ravn, Orazio Attanasio, Kieran Larkin and Mario Padula