CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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15148: Liquidity Traps in a Monetary Union

Robert Kollmann

15147: Trustworthiness in the Financial Industry

Matthias Heinz, Andrej Gill, Heiner Schumacher and Matthias Sutter

15146: FROEBEL’S GIFTS: HOW THE KINDERGARTEN MOVEMENT CHANGED THE AMERICAN FAMILY

Philipp Ager and Francesco Cinnirella

15145: Permanent Income Shocks, Target Wealth, and the Wealth Gap

Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri

15144: Engineering Growth

Felipe Valencia Caicedo and William Maloney

15143: SELECTION INTO ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND SELF-EMPLOYMENT

Yona Rubinstein and Ross Levine

15142: Slow Down Before You Stop: The Effect of the 2010 French Pension Reform on Older Teachers' Sick Leaves

Fougère, Denis, Hippolyte d'Albis and Gouëdard, Pierre

15141: Power, Scrutiny, and Congressmen's Favoritism for Friends' Firm

Quoc-Anh Do, Yen Teik Lee, Bang Dang Nguyen and Kieu-Trang Nguyen

15140: Who Voted for Trump? Populism and Social Capital

Paola Giuliano and Romain Wacziarg

15139: Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits

Michael Greenstone, Tamma Carleton, Amir Jina, Michael Delgado, Solomon M. Hsiang, Andrew Hultgren, Robert Kopp, Kelly McCusker, Ishan Nath, James Rising, Ashwin Rode, Seo, Hee Kwon (Samuel), Arvid Viaene, Jiacan Yuan and Alice Tianbo Zhang

15138: Local Elites as State Capacity: How City Chiefs Use Local Information to Increase Tax Compliance in the D.R. Congo

Jonathan Weigel, Balán, Pablo, Augustin Bergeron and Gabriel Tourek

15137: Pricing group membership

Antonio Cabrales and Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay

15136: Equilibrium Reforms and Endogenous Complexity

Massimo Morelli and Dana Foarta

15135: Who Bears Risk in China's Non-financial Enterprise Debt?

Ronald Anderson

15134: Achieving Scale Collectively

Vittorio Bassi, Raffaela Muoio, Tommaso Porzio, Ritwika Sen and Esau Tugume

15133: Financial Frictions: Macro vs Micro Volatility

Ralph Luetticke, Seungcheol Lee and Morten Ravn

15132: The Economic Impact of the Black Death

Mark Koyama, Noel Johnson and Remi Jedwab

15131: Slums and Pandemics

Cezar Santos, Luiz Brotherhood, Tiago Cavalcanti and Daniel Da Mata

15130: Ad clutter, time use, and media diversity

Martin Peitz and Simon Anderson

15129: Health vs. Economy: Politically Optimal Pandemic Policy

Mark Koyama and Desiree Desierto

15128: The Stopping Rule and Gender selective mortality: World Evidence

Jean-Marie Baland, Guilhem Cassan and Francois Woitrin

15127: GENERALIZED LINEAR COMPETITION: From pass-through to policy

Christos Genakos, Felix Grey and Robert Ritz

15126: Potential consequences of post-Brexit trade barriers for earnings inequality in the UK

Rachel Griffith, Peter Levell and Agnes Norris Keiller

15125: To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset By Exchange Rates?

Olivier Jeanne and Jeongwon Son

15124: Social Protection Amidst Social Upheaval: Examining the Impact of a Multi-Faceted Program for Ultra-Poor Households in Yemen

Dean Karlan, Lasse Brune, Sikandra Kurdi and Christopher Udry

15123: Procyclical Asset Management and Bond Risk Premia

Alexandru Barbu, Christoph Fricke and ,

15122: Fundamental Disagreement about Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Shuo Cao, Richard Crump and ,

15121: Designing Disability Insurance Reforms: Tightening Eligibility Rules or Reducing Benefits?

Stefan Staubli, Andreas Haller and Zweimüller, Josef

15120: The Impact of Social Security on Pension Claiming and Retirement: Active vs. Passive Decisions

Stefan Staubli, Rafael Lalive and Arvind Magesan

15119: How Laws Affect the Perception of Norms: Empirical Evidence from the Lockdown

Roberto Galbiati, Emeric Henry, Nicolas Jacquemet and Max Lobeck

15118: Real-Time Inequality and the Welfare State in Motion: Evidence from COVID-19 in Spain

Oriol Aspachs, Ruben Durante, Alberto Graziano, Josep Mestres, García-Montalvo, José and Marta Reynal-Querol

15117: A Continuous-Time Model of Financial Clearing

Konstantin Sonin and Isaac Sonin

15116: Investor Sophistication and Portfolio Dynamics

Adrian Buss, Grigory Vilkov and Raman Uppal

15115: Relative Performance Evaluation, Sabotage and Collusion

Giancarlo Spagnolo, Matthew Bloomfield and Catarina Marvao

15114: Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis

Massimiliano Marcellino, Claudia Foroni and Dalibor Stevanovic

15113: Shelving or developing? Optimal policy for mergers with potential competitors

Chiara Fumagalli, Massimo Motta and Emanuele Tarantino

15112: When the Threat is Stronger than the Execution: Trade and Welfare under Oligopoly

J. Peter Neary and Dermot Leahy

15111: Progressive Participation

Dirk Bergemann and Philipp Strack

15110: The Human Side of Structural Transformation

Tommaso Porzio, Federico Rossi and Gabriella Santangelo

15109: Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk

Davide Delle Monache, Andrea De Polis and Ivan Petrella

15108: Risk Preferences at the Time of COVID-19: An Experiment with Professional Traders and Students

Marco Cipriani, Marco Angrisani, Antonio Guarino, Ryan Kendall and Julen Ortiz de Zarate Pina

15107: Caveats for Economists: Epidemiology-Based Modelling of COVID19 and Model Misspecifications

Eran Yashiv, Yinon Bar-On, Tatiana Baron and Ron Milo

15106: Layoffs and Productivity at a Bangladeshi Sweater Factory

Rocco Macchiavello, Robert Akerlof, Anik Ashraf and Atonu Rabbani

15105: "Does Higher Hospital Quality Save Lives? The Association between" "COVID-19 Deaths and Hospital Quality in the USA

Carol Propper and Johannes Kunz

15104: Information, Market Power and Price Volatility

Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris and Tibor Heumann

15103: Behavioral Corporate Finance: The Life Cycle of a CEO Career

Ulrike M. Malmendier and Marius Guenzel

15102: Agreements Must Be Kept? Residential Leases during Covid-19

David Genesove, Eran Hoffmann and Yael Elster

15101: The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic

Paolo Surico, Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem and Känzig, Diego

15100: The new hazardous jobs and worker reallocation

Tito Boeri, Gaetano Basso, Alessandro Caiumi and Marco Paccagnella

15099: Semi-flexible Majority Rules for Public Good Provision

Hans Gersbach and Oriol Tejada

15098: Sentimental Business Cycles

Morten Ravn, Evi Pappa and Andresa Helena Lagerborg

15097: Bank-Intermediated Arbitrage

Nina Boyarchenko, Thomas Eisenbach, Pooja Gupta, Or Shachar and Peter Van Tassel

15096: Operational Risk Capital

Steven Ongena, Thomas Conlon and Xing Huan

15095: Expanding Access to Clean Water for the Rural Poor: Experimental Evidence from Malawi

Pascaline Dupas, Basimenye Nhlema, Zachary Wagner, Aaron Wolf and Emily Wroe

15094: What kind of EU fiscal capacity? Evidence from a randomized survey experiment in five European countries in times of corona

Roel Beetsma, Brian Burgoon, Francesco Nicoli, Anniek de Ruijter and Frank Vandenbroucke

15093: Gender Differences in Wage Expectations: The Role of Biased Beliefs

Aderonke Osikominu, Stephanie Briel, Gregor Pfeifer, Mirjam Reutter and Sascha Satlukal

15092: Filtered and Unfiltered Treatment Effects with Targeting Instruments

Salanié, Bernard and Sokbae (Simon) Lee

15091: The Long Shadow of the Spanish Civil War

Felipe Valencia Caicedo and Ana Tur-Prats

15090: China's Foreign Trade and Investment, 1800 - 1950

Wolfgang Keller and ,

15089: Political activism when voters have a limited attention span

Iwan Barankay

15088: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics

Nina Boyarchenko, Tobias Adrian and Domenico Giannone

15087: The Economic Effects of COVID-19 Containment Measures

Jonathan Ostry, Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri and Nour Tawk

15086: The Effect of Containment Measures on the COVID-19 Pandemic

Jonathan Ostry, Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri and Nour Tawk

15085: Challenges of Change: An Experiment Promoting Women to Managerial Roles in the Bangladeshi Garment Sector

Christopher Woodruff, Rocco Macchiavello, Andreas Menzel and Atonu Rabbani

15084: Determinants of Economies of Scope in Retail

Florin Maican and Matilda Orth

15083: Heterogeneity and Wage Inequalities over the Life Cycle

Thierry Magnac and Sébastien Roux

15082: Application Costs and Congestion in Matching Markets

Thierry Magnac and YingHua He

15081: The economics of deferral and clawback requirements

Marcus Opp, Florian Hoffmann and Roman Inderst

15080: Robots and the rise of European superstar firms

,, Joel Stiebale and Nicole Woessner

15079: The Hidden Costs of Strategic Opacity

Ana Babus and Maryam Farboodi

15078: Choosing Institutional over Economic Integration: Are There Growth Effects?

Fabrizio Coricelli, Nauro Campos and Luigi Moretti

15077: DEMOGRAPHIC SHOCKS AND WOMEN'S LABOR MARKET PARTICIPATION: EVIDENCE FROM THE 1918 INFLUENZA PANDEMIC IN INDIA

Bishnupriya Gupta, James Fenske and Song Yuan

15076: Populism and the First Wave of Globalization: Evidence from the 1892 US Presidential Election

Paul Sharp, Alexander Klein and Karl Gunnar Persson

15075: "Soft" Affirmative Action and Minority Recruitment

Alessandro Pavan and Daniel Fershtman

15074: Firms, Failures, and Fluctuations: The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions

Daron Acemoglu and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

15073: The risk of being a fallen angel and the corporate dash for cash in the midst of COVID

Viral Acharya and Sascha Steffen

15072: Privacy Protection, Security, and Consumer Retention

Bruno Jullien, Yassine Lefouili and Michael Riordan

15071: The Economics of Platforms: A Theory Guide for Competition Policy

Bruno Jullien and Wilfried Sand-Zantman

15070: Do institutional investors stabilize equity markets in crisis periods? Evidence from COVID-19

Simon Glossner, Pedro Pinto Matos, Stefano Ramelli and Alexander Wagner

15069: The Impact of Alternative Forms of Bank Consolidation on Credit Supply and Financial Stability

Emanuele Tarantino, Nicola Pavanini and Sergio Mayordomo

15068: International Friends and Enemies

Stephen Redding, Benny Kleinman and Ernest Liu

15067: Understanding the German criticism of the Target system and the role of central bank capital

Roberto Perotti

15066: Mergers with Differentiated Products: Where do we Stand?

Tommaso Valletti and Hans Zenger

15065: A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework

Jesper Lindé, Tobias Adrian, Christopher Erceg, Pawel Zabczyk and Jianping Zhou

15064: Advertising Arbitrage

Marco Pagano and Sergey Kovbasyuk

15063: Interest Rates, Market Power, and Financial Stability

Rafael Repullo and David Martinez-Miera

15062: Patents, News, and Business Cycles

Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem and Kristina Bluwstein

15061: The Ends of 27 Big Depressions

Kevin O'Rourke, Martin Ellison and Sang Seok Lee

15060: Corporate tax avoidance and sales: micro evidence and aggregate implications

Julien Martin and Farid Toubal

15059: The Sensitivity of Cash Savings to the Cost of Capital

Viral Acharya, Soku Byoun and Zhaoxia Xu

15058: With a Little Help from Friends: Strategic Financing and the Crowd

Sudipto Dasgupta, Tingting Fan, Yiwei Li and Yizhou Xiao

15057: Do Analysts Learn from Each Other? Evidence from Analysts’ Location Diversity

Ling Cen, Yuk Ying Chang and Sudipto Dasgupta

15056: Product Market Competition and the Relocation of Economic Activity: Evidence from the Supply Chain

Sudipto Dasgupta, Chen Chen, Thanh Huynh and Ying Xia

15055: Support for Small Businesses amid COVID-19

Charles Goodhart, Dimitrios Tsomocos and Xuan Wang

15054: U.S. Populist Rhetoric and Currency Returns

Mark Taylor, Ilias Filippou, Arie Gozluklu and My Nguyen

15053: The Real Effects of Exchange Rate Risk on Corporate Investment: International Evidence

Mark Taylor, Zigan Wang and Qi Xu

15052: The Out-of-Sample Performance of Carry Trades

Mark Taylor, Po-Hsuan Hsu and Zigan Wang

15051: Measuring the Regional Economic Cost of Brexit: Evidence up to 2019

Thiemo Fetzer and Shizhuo Wang

15050: How Much Does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other US Cities

Stephen Redding, Edward Glaeser and Caitlin Gorback

15049: Can export promotion reduce unemployment?

Marcelo Olarreaga and Cristian Ugarte