CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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14648: Redistribution with Performance Pay

Pawel Doligalski, Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Nicolas Werquin

14647: Why so Negative? Belief Formation and Risk Taking in Boom and Bust Markets

Martin Weber, Pascal Kieren and Jan Mueller-Dethard

14646: Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries

Alessandro Rebucci, Alexander Chudik and Mohammad Pesaran

14645: The Long and Short (Run) of Trade Elasticities

Andrei Levchenko, Christoph Boehm and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

14644: On the productivity advantage of cities

Giordano Mion and Nick Jacob

14643: Entrepreneurship and the fight against poverty in US Cities

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Neil Lee

14642: Tracking the COVID-19 Crisis with High-Resolution Transaction Data

Stephen Hansen, Vasco Carvalho, García, Juan Ramón, Alvaro Ortiz, Tomasa Rodrigo, Rodríguez Mora, José V and Pep Ruiz

14641: Market Reactions to Quest for Decentralization and Independence: Evidence from Catalonia

Vincenzo Galasso

14640: How Do Firms Respond to Demand Shocks? Evidence from the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Miguel Ferreira, Manuel Adelino, Paulo Fagandini and Francisco Queiró

14639: Trade Credit and the Transmission of Unconventional Monetary Policy

Miguel Ferreira, Manuel Adelino, Mariassunta Giannetti and Pedro Pires

14638: Entrepreneurship and Regional Windfall Gains: Evidence from the Spanish Christmas Lottery

Miguel Ferreira, Vicente J. Bermejo, Daniel Wolfenzon and Rafael Zambrana

14637: It Takes a Village: The Economics of Parenting with Neighborhood and Peer Effects

Matthias Doepke, Francesco Agostinelli, Giuseppe Sorrenti and Fabrizio Zilibotti

14636: Elusive Safety: The New Geography of Capital Flows and Risk

Ester Faia, Laura Alfaro, Ruth Judson and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

14635: A Dynamic Theory of Secessionist vs Centrist Conflict

Massimo Morelli, Joan Esteban, Sabine Flamand and Dominic Rohner

14634: Corruption and Extremism

Massimo Morelli, Tommaso Giommoni and Nicolò, Antonio

14633: A Sticky-Price View of Hoarding

Aureo de Paula, Christopher Hansman, Harrison Hong and Vishal Singh

14632: The effect of self-financed property buyers on local house prices

Andreas Fischer and Lucca Zachmann

14631: Global Behaviors and Perceptions in the COVID-19 Pandemic

Thiemo Fetzer, Marc Witte, Lukas Hensel, Jon M. Jachimowicz, Johannes Haushofer, Andriy Ivchenko, Elena Reutskaja, Christopher Roth, Margarita Gomez, Gordon Kraft-Todd, Friedrich Goetz, Erez Yoeli and Stefano Caria

14630: Volatile Hiring: Uncertainty in Search and Matching Models

Wouter Den Haan, Pontus Rendahl and Lukas Freund

14629: Social Distancing and Supply Disruptions in a Pandemic

Giancarlo Corsetti, Martin Bodenstein and Luca Guerrieri

14628: Global giants and local stars: How changes in brand ownership affect competition

Thierry Mayer, Vanessa Alviarez and Keith Head

14627: A Model of Endogenous Risk Intolerance and LSAPs: Asset Prices and Aggregate Demand in a "Covid-19" Shock

Alp ÅžimÅŸek and Ricardo Caballero

14626: Robust Bayesian Inference in Proxy SVARs

Raffaella Giacomini, Toru Kitagawa and Matthew Read

14625: Big G

Raphael Schoenle, Müller, Gernot, Ernesto Pasten and Michael Weber

14624: International Trade and Social Connectedness

Ströbel, Johannes, Michael Bailey, Theresa Kuchler, Abhinav Gupta, Robert Richmond and Sebastian Hillenbrand

14623: Labor Market Polarization and The Great Divergence: Theory and Evidence

Eric Mengus, Donald R. Davis and Tomasz Michalski

14622: Gender gaps and the structure of local labor markets

, and Maddalena Ronchi

14621: Apprenticeship and Youth Unemployment

Pierre Cahuc and Jeremy Hervelin

14620: On the Economic Impacts of Mortgage Credit Expansion Policies: Evidence from Help to Buy

Felipe Carozzi, Christian Hilber and Xiaolun Yu

14619: Divided They Fall. Fragmented Parliaments and Government Stability

Felipe Carozzi, Davide Cipullo and Luca Repetto

14618: Poverty and Economic Dislocation Reduce Compliance with COVID-19 Shelter-in-Place Protocols

Konstantin Sonin, Austin L. Wright, Jesse Driscoll and Jarnickae Wilson

14617: Stereotypes and Politics

Marco Tabellini, Pedro Bordalo and David Yang

14616: Winners and Losers from Enclosure: Evidence from Danish Land Inequality 1682-1895

Paul Sharp, Nina Boberg-Fazlic, Markus Lampe and Pablo Martinelli

14615: Robust Pricing with Refunds

Toomas Hinnosaar and Keiichi Kawai

14614: Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods

Velasco, Andrés and Roberto Chang

14613: Optimal COVID-19 Quarantine and Testing Policies

Facundo Piguillem and Liyan Shi

14612: On the Optimal "Lockdown" During an Epidemic

Martin Gonzalez-Eiras and Dirk Niepelt

14611: Which jobs are done from home? Evidence from the American Time Use Survey

Thomas Le Barbanchon, Lena Hensvik and Roland Rathelot

14610: Two-Stage Matching Contests

Aner Sela

14609: A Finance Approach to Climate Stress Testing

Dirk Schoenmaker, Henk Jan Reinders and Mathijs Van Dijk

14608: Voting or abstaining in "managed" elections? A field experiment in Bangladesh

Roland Hodler, Firoz Ahmed and Asad Islam

14607: Macroeconomic Dynamics and Reallocation in an Epidemic: Evaluating the "Swedish Solution''

Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig and Taojun Xie

14606: Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic

Dirk Krueger, Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote and Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor

14605: Exposure to Transit Migration, Public Attitudes and Entrepreneurship

Sergei Guriev, Cevat Giray Aksoy and Nicolas Ajzenman

14604: Internal Borders and Population Geography in the Unification of Italy

Valeria Rueda and Brian A'Hearn

14603: Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information

Christiane Baumeister and James Hamilton

14602: Cryptocurrency market reactions to regulatory news

Raphael Auer and Stijn Claessens

14601: Overclaimed Refunds, Undeclared Sales, and Invoice Mills: Nature and Extent of Noncompliance in a Value-Added Tax

Mazhar Waseem

14600: The Coronavirus Stimulus Package: How large is the transfer multiplier?

Christian Bayer, Benjamin Born, Ralph Luetticke and Müller, Gernot

14599: The Ability Gradient in Bunching

Daniel Waldenström and Spencer Bastani

14598: Assortative Matching Contests

Aner Sela

14597: Lobbying for Globalization

Paola Conconi, Michael Blanga-Gubbay and Mathieu Parenti

14596: COVID-19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods

Anton Korinek and Zachary Bethune

14595: Optimization incentives in dilemma games with strategic complementarity

Sigrid Suetens and Jan Potters

14594: Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike

Ivan Petrella, Federico Di Pace and Luciana Juvenal

14593: Robot Imports and Firm-Level Outcomes

Alessandra Bonfiglioli, Crinò, Rosario, Harald Fadinger and Gino Gancia

14592: Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism

Andrea Vedolin, Pascal Maenhout and Hao Xing

14591: The Value of Firm Networks: A Natural Experiment on Board Connections

Ester Faia, Maximilian Mayer and Vincenzo Pezone

14590: Changing In-Group Boundaries: The Effect of Immigration on Race Relations in the US

Marco Tabellini and Vasiliki Fouka

14589: Stimulating Peer Effects? Evidence from a Research Cluster Policy

Nicolas Carayol and Marianne Lanoe

14588: Valuation Risk Revalued

Oliver de Groot, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

14587: The Real Side of the High-Volume Return Premium

Ron Kaniel, Doron Israeli and Suhas A. Sridharan

14586: Intermediated Asymmetric Information, Compensation, and Career Prospects

Ron Kaniel and Dmitry Orlov

14585: Macroprudential Policy and Household Debt: What is Wrong with Swedish Macroprudential Policy?

Lars Svensson

14584: How Many Jobs Can be Done at Home?

Jonathan Dingel and Brent Neiman

14583: What's up with the Phillips Curve?

Giorgio Primiceri, Marco Del Negro, Michele Lenza and Andrea Tambalotti

14582: Corrective Tax Design and Market Power

Martin O'Connell and Kate Smith

14581: Environmental Preferences and Technological Choices: Is Market Competition Clean or Dirty?

Bénabou, Roland, Philippe Aghion, Ralf Martin and Alexandra Roulet

14580: Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions

Christiane Baumeister, Dimitris Korobilis and Thomas K. Lee

14579: Consumption insurance over the business cycle

Tobias Broer

14578: Comparative Advantage in (Non-)Routine Production

Johannes Van Biesebroeck, Liza Archanskaia and Gerald Willmann

14577: Learning over the Business Cycle: Policy Implications

Luigi Iovino, George-Marios Angeletos and Jennifer La'O

14576: The Murder-Suicide of the Rentier: Population Aging and the Risk Premium

Alan Taylor and Joseph Kopecky

14575: Make-Wholes in Sovereign Bonds (Not sure why they are there, but they may be free)

Ugo Panizza and Mitu Gulati

14574: Ageing-Driven Migration and Redistribution: Comparing Policy Regimes

Assaf Razin and Alexander Schwemmer

14573: Firm-Level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases: Covid-19, SARS, and H1N1

Tarek Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, Markus Schwedeler and Ahmed Tahoun

14572: The Dynamics of Corporate Debt Structure

Josef Zechner, Michael Halling and Jin Yu

14571: The Covid-19 Pandemic and Corporate Dividend Policy

Josef Zechner, Georg Cejnek and Otto Randl

14570: The Maturity Premium

Josef Zechner, Maria Chaderina and Patrick Weiss

14569: Systemic Banking Crises Database: A Timely Update in COVID-19 Times

Luc Laeven and Fabian Valencia

14568: Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk?

Marcin Kacperczyk and Patrick Bolton

14567: Carbon Premium around the World

Marcin Kacperczyk and Patrick Bolton

14566: Migration-prone and migration-averse places. Path dependence in long-term migration to the US

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Viola Von Berlepsch

14565: What drives university-industry collaboration: Research excellence or firm collaboration strategy?

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Kwadwo Atta-Owusu and Rune Fitjar

14564: The costs of macroprudential deleveraging in a liquidity trap

Jesper Lindé, Daria Finocchiaro, Karl Walentin and Jack Chen

14563: Collusive Market Allocations

Elisabetta Iossa, Simon Loertscher, Leslie Marx and Patrick Rey

14562: Should Germany Have Built a New Wall? Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave

Alexander Ludwig, Christopher Busch, Dirk Krueger, Irina Popova and Zainab Iftikhar

14561: Islam and Human Capital in Historical Spain

Giovanni Prarolo, Francesco Cinnirella and Alireza Naghavi

14560: Hipsters vs. Geeks? Creative workers, STEM and innovation in US cities

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Neil Lee

14559: Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered

Alan Taylor, Oscar Jorda and Moritz Schularick

14558: Innovate to Lead or Innovate to Prevail: When do Monopolistic Rents Induce Growth?

Yu Zheng and Roberto Piazza

14557: Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households

Luigi Paciello and Claudio Michelacci

14556: The Macroeconomic Stabilization of Tariff Shocks: What is the Optimal Monetary Response?

Giancarlo Corsetti and Paul Bergin

14555: The Economics of Helicopter Money

Pierpaolo Benigno and Salvatore Nisticò

14554: No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm

Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham, Jorge Tamayo and Achyuta Adhvaryu

14553: Productivity dispersion and persistence among the world’s most numerous firms

Kyle Emerick, Marshall Burke and Casey Maue

14552: The Response to Dynamic Incentives in Insurance Contracts with a Deductible: Evidence from a Differences-in-Regression-Disconti

Tobias Klein, Martin Salm and Suraj Upadhyay

14551: A World Divided: Refugee Centers, House Prices, and Household Preferences

Hans Koster and Dröes, Martijn

14550: Measuring Welfare and Inequality with Incomplete Price Information

Thibault Fally, David Atkin, Benjamin Faber and Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

14549: Testing predictions on supplier governance from the global value chains literature

Johannes Van Biesebroeck and Alexander Schmitt