CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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19180: Emissions Trading with Clean-up Certificates: Deterring Mitigation or Increasing Ambition?

Kai Lessmann, Friedemann Gruner, Matthias Kalkuhl and Ottmar Edenhofer

19179: Sequencing Carbon Dioxide Removal into the EU ETS

Darius Sultani, Sebastian Osorio, Günther, Claudia, Michael Pahle, Katrin Sievert, Tobias S. Schmidt, Bjarne Steffen and Ottmar Edenhofer

19178: People’s Understanding of Inflation

Alberto Binetti, Francesco Nuzzi and Stefanie Stantcheva

19177: When Should the Government Own the Physical Assets Needed to Provide Public Goods?

Patrick Schmitz

19176: Risky Business: Venture Capital, Pivoting and Scaling

Norbäck, Pehr-Johan, Lars Persson and Tåg, Joacim

19175: The long and variable lags of monetary policy: Evidence from disaggregated price indices

Boragan Aruoba and Thomas Drechsel

19174: Do People Distinguish Income from Wealth Inequality? Evidence from the Netherlands

Thomas Douenne, Oda Sund and Joël van der Weele,

19173: Classical Right, New Right, and Voting Behavior: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús and Carlos Sanz

19172: Inflation is always and everywhere Not Conflict

Marcus Hagedorn

19171: Fragmented Monetary Unions

Luca Fornaro and Christoph Grosse Steffen

19170: The Optimal Inflation Target: Bridging the Gap Between Theory and Policy

Klaus Adam and Henning Weber

19169: Health Insurance Coverage and Personal Bankruptcy Reform

Paolo Barbieri, Laura Bottazzi and Giuseppe Di Giacomo

19168: Political Selection in Local Elections: Evidence from Rural Uganda

Siwan Anderson, Björkman Nyqvist, Martina and Andrea Guariso

19167: Household Inflation Expectations: An Overview of Recent Insights for Monetary Policy

Francesco D'Acunto, Evangelos Charalambakis, Dimitris Georgarakos, Geoff Kenny, Justus Meyer and Michael Weber

19166: Civil society: Tracking 100 years of economic research beyond markets and states

Samuel Bowles, Wendy Carlin and Sahana Subramanyam

19165: Supply Chain Disruption and Reorganization: Theory and Evidence From Ukraine’s War

Vasily Korovkin, Alexey Makarin and Yuhei Miyauchi

19164: Climate Change, Firms, and Aggregate Productivity

Andrea Caggese, Andrea Chiavari, Sampreet Goraya and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez

19163: Unconventional but Different After All? A Unified Series of Narrative Monetary Policy Shocks

Bügel, David, Albert Hidalgo and Ralph Luetticke

19162: Trust and Complexity in Vertical Relationships

Giacomo Calzolari, Leonardo Felli, Johannes Koenen, Giancarlo Spagnolo and Konrad Stahl

19161: SAFE to Update Inflation Expectations? New Survey Evidence on Euro Area Firms

Ursel Baumann, Annalisa Ferrando, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Timo Reinelt

19160: The Chronic Disease Index: Analyzing Health Inequalities Over the Lifecycle

Kaveh Danesh, Jonathan Kolstad, William Parker and Johannes Spinnewijn

19159: Spillovers in Criminal Networks: Evidence from Co-Offender Deaths

Matthew Lindquist, Eleonora Patacchini, Michael Vlassopoulos and Yves Zenou

19158: Teacher Value-Added and Gender Gaps in Educational Outcomes

Andres Barrios Fernandez and Marc Riudavets Barcons

19157: Regime Changes and FDI: A Tale of Two Countries – Poland and Israel

Assaf Razin and Andrzej Cieślik

19156: Long Term Effects of Political Violence on Attitudes: Evidence from the Second Intifada

Esteban Klor, Shahar Lahad and Asaf Zussman

19155: Brown Capital (Re)Allocation

Olivier Darmouni and Yuqi Zhang

19154: Environmental Damage News and Stock Returns: Evidence from Latin America

Eduardo Cavallo, Ana Cepeda and Ugo Panizza

19153: Corporate Climate Lobbying

Markus Leippold, Zacharias Sautner and Tingyu Yu

19152: Climate Transition Risks of Banks

Felix Martini, Zacharias Sautner, Sascha Steffen and Carola Theunisz

19151: Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Climate-Economy Model with Heterogeneous Households

Thomas Douenne, Albert Jan Hummel and Marcelo Pedroni

19150: Labor Supply Response to Windfall Gains

Dimitris Georgarakos, Tullio Jappelli, Geoff Kenny and Luigi Pistaferri

19149: International Policy Coordination in a Multisectoral Model of Trade and Health Policy

Viral Acharya, Zhengyang Jiang, Robert Richmond and Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

19148: Dynamic Models, New Gains from Trade?

Christoph Boehm, Andrei Levchenko, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar and Hiroshi Toma

19147: The Irrelevance of Intergenerational Altruism for Social Discounting

Maya Eden

19146: Authoritarian Institutions

Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

19145: Trade, Skills and Productivity

Giordano Mion and Joana Silva

19144: The Negligible Effect of Free Contraception on Fertility: Experimental Evidence from Burkina Faso

Pascaline Dupas, Seema Jayachandran, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Pauline Rossi

19143: Overnight Index Swaps and Monetary Policy Expectations in the US

Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin

19142: Team production on the battlefield: Evidence from NATO in Afghanistan

Thiemo Fetzer, Oliver Vanden Eynde and Austin L. Wright

19141: Proud to Belong: The Impact of Ethics Training on Police Officers in Ghana

Donna Harris, Oana Borcan, Danila Serra, Henry Telli, Bruno Schettini and Stefan Dercon

19140: Corporate Reorganization and the Reallocation of Labor in Bankruptcy

Diana Bonfim and Gil Nogueira

19139: A Presence of Absence: The Benign Emergence of Monetary Stability

Asher Rose and Andrew Rose

19138: Global Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance

Roshen Fernando and Warwick McKibbin

19137: Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties

Frances Moore, Moritz Drupp, James Rising, Simon Dietz, Ivan Rudik and Gernot Wagner

19136: U.S. Liquid Government Liabilities and Emerging Market Capital Flows

Annie Soyean Lee and Charles Engel

19135: Artificial Intelligence in the Knowledge Economy

Enrique Ide and Eduard Talamas

19134: Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations: Insights from TANK models

Davide Debortoli and Galí, Jordi

19133: Keeping Up With The Jansens: Causal Peer Effects On Household Spending, Beliefs And Happiness

Maarten van Rooij, Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Bernardo Candia and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

19132: The Political Economy of Industrial Policy

Juhász, Réka and Nathaniel Lane

19131: Survey-based Monetary Policy Uncertainty and its Asymmetric Effects

Tatjana Dahlhaus and Tatevik Sekhposyan

19130: The Inflation Accelerator

Andres Blanco, Corina Boar, Callum Jones and Virgiliu Midrigan

19129: Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails

Christiane Baumeister, Florian Huber and Massimiliano Marcellino

19128: How Far Can Inclusion Go? The Long-term Impacts of Preferential College Admissions

Michela Carlana, Enrico Miglino and Michela Tincani

19127: Negative Control Falsification Tests for Instrumental Variable Designs

Oren Danieli, Daniel Nevo, Itai Walk, Bar Weinstein and Dan Zeltzer

19126: Optimal Contracts and Inflation Targets Revisited

Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini

19125: Xenophobic Violence and Foreigner Integration. Individual-level evidence from 19th-century France

Mathilde Emeriau and Stephane Wolton

19124: The Dark Side of Infrastructure: Roads, Repression, and Land in Authoritarian Paraguay

Felipe Gonzalez, Josepa Miquel-Florensa, Mounu Prem and Stephane Straub

19123: Behavioral Lock-In: Aggregate Implications of Reference Dependence in the Housing Market

Cristian Badarinza, Tarun Ramadorai, Juhana Siljander and Jagdish Tripathy

19122: Gender-Specific Transportation Costs and Female Time Use: Evidence from India’s Pink Slip Program

Yutong Chen, Kerem Cosar, Devaki Ghose, Shirish Mahendru and Sheetal Sekhri

19121: Forecasting International Stock Market Variances

Geert Bekaert, Nancy Xu and Tiange Ye

19120: Digital access and infectious disease spread

Johannes Kunz, Carol Propper and Trong-Anh Trinh

19119: Do Politicians Affect Firm Outcomes? Evidence from Connections to the German Federal Parliament

Andre Diegmann, Laura Pohlan and Andrea Weber

19118: The Effects of Mental Health Interventions on Labor Market Outcomes in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Crick Lund, Kate Orkin, Marc Witte, John Walker, Thandi Davies, Johannes Haushofer, Sarah Murray, Judy Bass, Laura Murray, Wietse Tol and Vikram Patel

19117: Pigouvian Income Taxation

Lassi Ahlvik, Matti Liski and Mäkimattila, Mikael

19116: Does a Stronger Patent System Stimulate More R&D? Yes, in Firms That Rely on Patents as an Appropriation Mechanism

Pere Arque-Castells and Christian Fons-Rosen

19115: Inference for Regression with Variables Generated by AI or Machine Learning

Laura Battaglia, Tim Christensen, Stephen Hansen and Szymon Sacher

19114: The EU Miracle: When 75 Million Reach High Income

Basile Grassi

19113: Geopolitical Oil Price Risk and Economic Fluctuations

Lutz Kilian, Michael Plante and Alexander Richter

19112: Identifying Assumptions and Research Dynamics

Andrew Ellis and Ran Spiegler

19111: The Law of Small Numbers in Financial Markets: Theory and Evidence

Lawrence Jin and Cameron Peng

19110: It Takes (More Than) a Moment: Estimating Trade Flows with Superstar Exporters

Giorgio Barba Navaretti, Matteo Bugamelli, Emanuele Forlani and Gianmarco Ottaviano

19109: International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Sanctions

Fabio Ghironi, Daisoon Kim and Galip Ozhan

19108: Barriers to Knowledge Creation in the Multinational Firm

Cagatay Bircan, Beata Javorcik and Stefan Pauly

19107: Optimal Redistribution: Rising Inequality vs. Rising Living Standards

Axelle Ferriere, Grübener, Philipp and Dominik Sachs

19106: School Autonomy and Pupils' Performance: Academy Conversion in English Primary Schools

Sabrina Auci, Manuela Coromaldi and Gianni De Fraja

19105: Testing for Asymmetric Information in Insurance with Deep Learning

Serguei Maliar and Salanié, Bernard

19104: A Comprehensive Analysis of Production Efficiency: A Tax Reform Perspective

Laurence Jacquet and Etienne Lehmann

19103: Believe it or not, it’s all about Beliefs!

Fabrice Collard, Patrick Feve and Alain Guay

19102: Dynamic Collective Action and the Power of Large Numbers

Marco Battaglini and Thomas Palfrey

19101: Work from Home and Interstate Migration

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, Karel Mertens and Hannah Rubinton

19100: The geometry of consumer preference aggregation

Fedor Sandomirskiy and Philip Ushchev

19099: Investment-Goods Market Power and Capital Accumulation

Fabio Bertolotti, Andrea Lanteri and Alessandro Villa

19098: Investment in Infrastructure and Trade: The Case of Ports

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Theodore Papageorgiou

19097: Explanations

Thomas Graeber, Christopher Roth and Constantin Schesch

19096: Behavioral Spillovers from Promoting Healthier Consumer Choices

Mathias Barlose, Kfir Eliaz, Neil Thakral and Sarit Weisburd

19095: Indirect taxation in consumer search markets: The case of retail fuel

Kai Fischer, Simon Martin and Philipp Schmidt-Dengler

19094: Trouble Every Day: Monetary Policy in an Open Emerging Economy

Ekaterina Pirozhkova, Giovanni Ricco and Nicola Viegi

19093: Returns Heterogeneity and Consumption Inequality Over the Life Cycle

Claudio Daminato and Luigi Pistaferri

19092: Keeping Up Appearances: An Experimental Investigation of Socioeconomic Status Signaling to Avoid Discrimination

Pascaline Dupas, Marcel Fafchamps and Laura Hernandez-Nunez

19091: The Economic Burden of Burnout

Arash Nekoei, Sigurdsson, Jósef and Dominik Wehr

19090: The Great Reversal

Tommy Chrimes, Bram Gootjes, Ayhan Kose and Collette Wheeler

19089: Network formation and heterogeneous risks

Antonio Cabrales and Piero Gottardi

19088: Fiscal Consequences of Central Bank Losses

Stephen Cecchetti and Jens Hilscher

19087: Central Bank Exit Strategies: Domestic Transmission and International Spillovers

Christopher J. Erceg, Marcin Kolasa, Lindé, Jesper, Haroon Mumtaz and Pawel Zabczyk

19086: FX Market Frictions in Emerging Market Economies: A Macroeconomic Assessment

Kaili Chen, Marcin Kolasa, Lindé, Jesper, Hou Wang, Pawel Zabczyk and Jianping Zhou

19085: Can Energy Subsidies Help Slay Inflation?

Christopher J. Erceg, Marcin Kolasa, Lindé, Jesper and Andrea Pescatori

19084: How Successful Public Health Interventions Fail: Regulating Prostitution in Nineteenth-Century Britain

Grant Goehring and W Hanlon

19083: How to Pay for Scientific Research

Daniele Checchi, Gianni De Fraja, Carmen Marchiori, Enrico Minelli and Stefano Verzillo

19082: The Death of King Coal and the Scars of Deindustrialization

Björn Brey and Valeria Rueda

19081: News Media as Suppliers of Narratives (and Information)

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler