CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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18070: An American Macroeconomic Picture. Supply and Demand Shocks in the Frequency Domain

Mario Forni, Luca Gambetti, Antonio Granese, Luca Sala and Stefano Soccorsi

18069: Frontier History and Gender Norms in the United States

Samuel Bazzi, Abel Brodeur, Martin Fiszbein and Joanne Haddad

18068: Managing Disinflations

Stephen Cecchetti, Michael Feroli, Peter Hooper, Frederic S Mishkin and Kermit Schoenholtz

18067: Broadband Internet and the Stock Market Investments of Individual Investors

Hans Hvide, Tom G. Meling, Magne Mogstad and Ola Vestad

18066: Gender Homophily, Collaboration, and Output

Lorenzo Ductor and Anja Prummer

18065: Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing Productivity across U.S. States: What the Long-Run Data Show

Alexander Klein and Nicholas Crafts

18064: An Empirical Approximation of the Effects of Trade Sanctions with an Application to Russia

Jean Imbs and Laurent Pauwels

18063: Mobile Internet and the Rise of Communitarian Politics

Marco Manacorda, Guido Tabellini and Andrea Tesei

18062: Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies

Sinem Kilic Celik, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

18061: Potential Growth: A Global Database

Sinem Kilic Celik, Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Franz Ruch

18060: Fortune's Formula or the Road to Ruin? The Generalized Kelly Criterion With Multiple Outcomes

Karl Whelan

18059: Decentralization, Ethnic Fractionalization, and Public Services: Evidence from Kenyan Healthcare

Hémet, Camille, Liam Wren-Lewis and Jessica Mahoney

18058: A transparent index of well being accounting for mortality: Poverty Adjusted Life Expectancy

Jean-Marie Baland, Guilhem Cassan and Benoit Decerf

18057: The Empirics of Economic Growth Over Time and Across Nations: A Unified Growth Perspective

Matteo Cervellati, Gerrit Meyerheim and Uwe Sunde

18056: Relational Collusion in the Colombian Electricity Market

Mario Bernasconi, Miguel Espinosa Farfan, Rocco Macchiavello and Carlos Suarez

18055: Identity Politics

Nicola Gennaioli and Guido Tabellini

18054: Immigration and Provision of Public Goods: Evidence at the Local Level in the US

Anna Maria Mayda, Mine Senses and Walter Steingress

18053: Enfranchisement, Political Participation and Political Competition: Evidence from Colonial and Independent India

Guilhem Cassan, Lakshmi Iyer and Rinchan Mirza

18052: Four Facts about ESG Beliefs and Investor Portfolios

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Ströbel, Johannes, Zhenhao Tan, Stephen Utkus and Xiao Xu

18051: Family Firms: A Cultural Economics Perspective

Mario Daniele Amore

18050: Price and Prejudice: Housing Rents Reveal Racial Animus

Brülhart, Marius, Gian-Paolo Klinke, Andrea Marcucci, Dominic Rohner and Mathias Thoenig

18049: Left-behind vs. unequal places: interpersonal inequality, economic decline, and the rise of populism in the US and Europe

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Terrero-Dávila, Javier and Neil Lee

18048: Completely Relationship-Specific Investments, Transaction Costs, and the Property Rights Theory

Patrick Schmitz

18047: Old Age Risks, Consumption, and Insurance

Richard Blundell, Margherita Borella, Jeanne Commault and Mariacristina De Nardi

18046: Global Gains From a Green Energy Transition: Evidence on Coal-Fired Power and Air Quality Dissatisfaction

Timothy Besley and Azhar Hussain

18045: Stressed Banks? Evidence from the Largest-Ever Supervisory Exercise

Puriya Abbassi, Rajkamal Iyer, Jose-Luis Peydro and Paul Soto

18044: Less Bank Regulation, More Non-Bank Lending

Mary Chen, Seung Jung Lee, Daniel Neuhann and Farzad Saidi

18043: A Snapshot of Central Bank (two year) Forecasting: A Mixed Picture

Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan

18042: Bank Credit, Inflation, and Default Risks over an Infinite Horizon

Charles Goodhart, Dimitrios Tsomocos and Xuan Wang

18041: Lender of Last Resort and Moral Hazard

Charles Goodhart and Rosa Lastra

18040: The pandemic, cash and retail payment behaviour: insights from the future of payments database

Raphael Auer, Giulio Cornelli and Jon Frost

18039: The Macroeconomics of Intensive Agriculture

Timo Boppart, Patrick Kiernan, Per Krusell and Hannes Malmberg

18038: The Technology of Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

Raphael Auer, Bernhard Haslhofer, Stefan Kitzler, Pietro Saggese and Victor Friedhelm

18037: Trade Liberalization, Economic Activity, and Political Violence in the Global South: Evidence from PTAs

Francesco Amodio, Leonardo Baccini, Giorgio Chiovelli and Michele Di Maio

18036: Measuring the Characteristics and Employment Dynamics of U.S. Inventors

Ufuk Akcigit and Nathan Goldschlag

18035: Where Have All the "Creative Talents" Gone? Employment Dynamics of US Inventors

Ufuk Akcigit and Nathan Goldschlag

18034: The Housing Wealth Effect: Quasi-Experimental Evidence

Roine Vestman, Jesper Bojeryd, Björn Tyrefors and Dany Kessel

18033: Breaks in the Phillips Curve: Evidence from Panel Data

Simon Smith, Allan Timmermann and Jonathan Wright

18032: Warp Speed Price Moves: Jumps after Earnings Announcements

Kim Christensen, Allan Timmermann and Bezirgen Veliyev

18031: Collaboration and Connectivity: Historical Evidence from Patent Records

Thor Berger and Erik Prawitz

18030: Partial Secrecy in Vertical Contracting

Jihwan Do and Jeanine Miklos-Thal

18029: Market Size and Trade in Medical Services

Jonathan Dingel, Joshua Gottlieb, Maya Lozinski and Pauline Mourot

18028: Strapped for cash: The role of financial constraints for innovating firms

Bøler, Esther Ann, Andreas Moxnes and Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe

18027: The Quality-Adjusted Cyclical Price of Labor

Mark Bils, Marianna Kudlyak and Paulo Lins

18026: Disasters with Unobservable Duration and Frequency: Intensified Responses and Diminished Preparednes

Viral Acharya, Timothy Johnson, Suresh Sundaresan and Steven Zheng

18025: Vaccine Progress, Stock Prices, and the Value of Ending the Pandemic

Viral Acharya, Timothy Johnson, Suresh Sundaresan and Steven Zheng

18024: Unpacking Social Capital

Ruben Durante, Nicola Mastrorocco, Luigi Minale and James Snyder

18023: Exposure to War and Its Labor Market Consequences over the Life Cycle

Sebastian Braun and Jan Stuhler

18022: Short and Variable Lags

Gergely Buda, Vasco Carvalho, Giancarlo Corsetti, Joao Duarte, Stephen Hansen, Afonso S. Moura, Alvaro Ortiz, Tomasa Rodrigo, Rodríguez Mora, José V and Guilherme A. Silva

18021: Harvesting Ratings

Johannes Johnen and Robin Ng

18020: Do Investors Care About Biodiversity?

Alexandre Garel, Arthur Romec, Zacharias Sautner and Alexander Wagner

18019: Wage Bargaining and Labor Market Policy with Biased Expectations

Almut Balleer, Georg Duernecker, Susanne Forstner and Johannes Goensch

18018: Household Responses to Trade Shocks

Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique, Peter Levell and Matthias Parey

18017: Killer Acquisitions: Evidence from EC Merger Cases in Digital Industries

Marc Ivaldi, Nicolas Petit and Ünekbaş, Selçukhan

18016: Welfare Cost of Mobile Spectrum (Mis)allocation

Louise Aimene, Jean-Baptiste Guiffard, Marc Ivaldi and Julienne Liang

18015: Subtle Discrimination

Elena S. Pikulina and Daniel Ferreira

18014: Sex-Selective Abortions and Instrumental Births as the two faces of the Stopping Rule. New measures and world evidence

Jean-Marie Baland, Guilhem Cassan and Francois Woitrin

18013: Maternal Mortality and Women's Political Voice: Historical Evidence from the U.S

Sonia Bhalotra, Damian Clarke, Joseph Gomes and Atheendar Venkataramani

18012: Currency Risk Premia Redux

Federico Calogero Nucera, Lucio Sarno and Gabriele Zinna

18011: Weighted Median Inflation Around the World: A Measure of Core Inflation

Laurence Ball, Carlos Carvalho, Christopher Evans and Luca Ricci

18010: Public debt and household inflation expectations

Francesco Grigoli and Damiano Sandri

18009: Artificial Intelligence & Data Obfuscation: Algorithmic Competition in Digital Ad Auctions

Francesco Decarolis, Gabriele Rovigatti, Michele Rovigatti and Ksenia Shakhgildyan

18008: Dealing With Adversity: Religiosity or Science? Evidence From the Great Influenza Pandemic

Enrico Berkes, Davide Coluccia, Gaia Dossi and Mara Squicciarini

18007: Debt ceilings with fiscal intransparency and imperfect electoral accountability

Randolph Sloof, Roel Beetsma and Alina Steinweg

18006: Multigenerational Transmission of Wealth: Florence 1403-1480

Marianna Belloc, Francesco Drago, Mattia Fochesato and Roberto Galbiati

18005: Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East-West wage gap

Almut Balleer, Georg Duernecker, Susanne Forstner and Johannes Goensch

18004: Information Flows, Organizational Structure, and Corporate Governance

Nadya Malenko

18003: Inflation and Asset Returns

Anna Cieslak and Carolin Pflueger

18002: Monetary-fiscal policy interactions when price stability occasionally takes a back seat

Sebastian Schmidt

18001: Some Inference Perils of Imposing a Taylor Rule

Paul Beaudry, Franck Portier and Andrew Preston

18000: Fortunate Families? The Effects of Wealth on Marriage and Fertility

Östling, Robert, David Cesarini, Erik Lindqvist and Anastasia Terskaya

17999: Identification of Systematic Monetary Policy

Lukas Hack, Klodiana Istrefi and Matthias Meier

17998: Fifty Shades of QE: Robust Evidence

Brian Fabo, Martina Jancokova, Elisabeth Kempf and Pástor, Luboš

17997: Do Incompetent Politicians Breed Populist Voters? Evidence from Italian Municipalities

Federico Boffa, Vincenzo Mollisi and Giacomo Ponzetto

17996: Smooth versus Harsh Regulatory Interventions and Policy Equivalence

Linda Schilling

17995: Time for Tea: Measuring Discounting for Money and Consumption without the Utility Confound

Mohammed Abdellaoui, Emmanuel Kemel, Amma Panin and Ferdinand Vieider

17994: How do Borrowers Respond to a Debt Moratorium? Experimental Evidence from Consumer Loans in India

Stefano Fiorin, Joseph Hall and Martin Kanz

17993: Robots and Workers: Evidence from the Netherlands

Daron Acemoglu, Hans Koster and Ceren Ozgen

17992: Quantifying Systemic Risk in the Presence of Unlisted Banks: Application to the European Banking Sector

Daniel Dimitrov and Sweder van Wijnbergen

17991: Pay-as-they-get-in: Attitudes towards Migrants and Pension Systems

Tito Boeri, Matteo Gamalerio, Massimo Morelli and Margherita Negri

17990: Distributional and climate implications of policy responses to the energy crisis: Lessons from the UK

Thiemo Fetzer, Gazzè, Ludovica and Menna Bishop

17989: Does A Progressive Wealth Tax Reduce Top Wealth Inequality? Evidence From Switzerland

Samira Marti, Martínez, Isabel Z. and Florian Scheuer

17988: Precautionary Fertility: Conceptions, Births, and Abortions around Employment Shocks

Anna Bardits, Anna Adamecz-Völgyi, Marta Bisztray, Andrea Weber and Agnes Szabo-Morvai

17987: Subjective Earnings Risk

Andrew Caplin, Victoria Gregory, Eungik Lee, Søren Leth-Petersen and Sæverud, Johan

17986: Economic Shocks and Religious Conflict in Medieval India

Rohit Ticku, Anand Shrivastava and Sriya Iyer

17985: Effective Tax Rates and Firm Size

Pierre Bachas, Anne Brockmeyer, Roel Dom and Camille Semelet

17984: Asset Market Participation, Redistribution, and Asset Pricing

Francesco Saverio Gaudio, Ivan Petrella and Emiliano Santoro

17983: Strategic Sophistication and Trading Profits: An Experiment with Professional Traders

Marco Angrisani, Marco Cipriani and Antonio Guarino

17982: CBDC Policies in Open Economies

Michael Kumhof, Marco Pinchetti, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul and Andrej Sokol

17981: Recent violations of Taylor’s principle by the Fed: Documentation, reasons and relevance for the future

Alex Cukierman

17980: Labor Market Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions

Mauricio Ulate, Jose Vasquez and Roman D Zarate

17979: Firm-level productivity growth returns of social capital: Evidence from Western Europe

Roberto Ganau and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

17978: Inequality, poverty, deprivation and the uneven spread of COVID-19 in Europe

Chiara Burlina and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

17977: What draws investment to Special Economic Zones? Lessons from developing countries

Susanne Frick and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

17976: Religion and Cooperation across the Globe

Felipe Valencia Caicedo, Thomas Dohmen and Andreas Pondorfer

17975: Regulatory barriers to climate action: Evidence from Conservation Areas in England

Thiemo Fetzer

17974: Post Pandemic Phillips Curves: Cyclical and Structural Drivers in the Great Policy Trade Off

Sree Kochugovindan and Jeremy Lawson

17973: Spillovers in Childbearing Decisions and Fertility Transitions: Evidence from China

Pauline Rossi and Yun Xiao

17972: How Do Prediction Market Fees Affect Prices and Participants?

Karl Whelan

17971: Disruption to Schooling Impedes the Development of Abstract Reasoning and Theory of Mind in Children

Sule Alan and Betul Turkum