CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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18159: Publication Bias and Model Uncertainty in Measuring the Effect of Class Size on Achievement

Matej Opatrny, Tomas Havranek, Zuzana Irsova and Milan Ščasný

18158: The Impact of the Prehistoric Out-of-Africa Migration on Cultural Diversity

Oded Galor, Marc Klemp and Daniel Wainstock

18157: For Better or Worse? Subjective Expectations and Cost-Benefit Trade-Offs in Health Behavior

Gabriella Conti and Pamela Giustinelli

18156: Free to Fail? Paternalistic Preferences in the United States

Björn Bartling, Alexander Cappelen, Henning Hermes, Marit Skivenes and Bertil Tungodden

18155: Labor Associations: The Blue Wall of Silence

David Levine, Andrea Mattozzi and Salvatore Modica

18154: Helping and Antisocial Behavior in the Workplace

Michael Haylock, Kampkötter, Patrick, Michael Kosfeld and Ferdinand von Siemens

18153: Do Gamblers Understand Complex Bets? Evidence From Asian Handicap Betting on Soccer

Tadgh Hegarty and Karl Whelan

18152: Central Bank Communication by ??? The Economics of Public Policy Leaks

Michael Ehrmann, Phillipp Gnan and Kilian Rieder

18151: Leveraging Trading Networks to Improve Tax Compliance: Experimental Evidence from Uganda

Miguel Almunia, David J. Henning, Justine Knebelmann, Dorothy Nakyambadde and Lin Tian

18150: “A Fed for Our Timesâ€, a review essay on Twentieth Century Monetary Policy by Ben Bernanke

Lucrezia Reichlin

18149: Forward-Looking Labor Supply Responses to Changes in Pension Wealth: Evidence from Germany

Elisabeth Artmann, Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola and Giulia Giupponi

18148: Nudging in complex environments

Alexander Koch, Mønster, Dan and Julia Nafziger

18147: Inventors among the “Impoverished Sophisticateâ€

Thor Berger and Erik Prawitz

18146: Organized Crime, Violence and Support for the State

Gian Maria Campedelli, Gianmarco Daniele, Andrea Martinangeli and Paolo Pinotti

18145: The Network Origins of Entry

Arthur Campbell, Philip Ushchev and Yves Zenou

18144: Disagreement and Market Structure in Betting Markets: Theory and Evidence from European Soccer

Tadgh Hegarty and Karl Whelan

18143: Social Organizations and Political Institutions: Why China and Europe Diverged

Joel Mokyr and Guido Tabellini

18142: Inflation and wage growth since the pandemic

Jordà , Òscar and Fernanda Nechio

18141: A Local Projections Approach to Difference-in-Differences Event Studies

Alan Taylor, Arindrajit Dube, Daniele Girardi and Jordà , Òscar

18140: Subjective Well-being in Spain’s Decline

Carlos à lvarez-Nogal and Leandro Prados de la Escosura

18139: Fiscal Consequences of Corporate Tax Avoidance

Katarzyna Bilicka, Evgeniya Dubinina and Janský, Petr

18138: The taxation of couples

Felix Bierbrauer, Pierre Boyer, Andreas Peichl and Daniel Weishaar

18137: Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion

Alex Edmans, Caroline Flammer and Simon Glossner

18136: Revisiting the public-private wage gap in Spain: New evidence and interpretation

Couceiro de León, Alba and Juan Dolado

18135: Labour Market Reallocation Effects of COVID-19 Policies in Spain: A Tale of two Recessions

Díaz, Antonia, Juan Dolado, Jañez, Alvaro and Felix Wellschmied

18134: Neighborhood Spillover Effects of Early Childhood Interventions

John List, Fatemeh Momeni, Michael Vlassopoulos and Yves Zenou

18133: Debt and Deficits: Fiscal Analysis with Stationary Ratios

John Campbell, Can Gao and Ian Martin

18132: Trade and development in the Middle East, 1500-1914

Laura Panza

18131: Information Sharing, Access to Finance, Loan Contract Design, and the Labor Market

Thorsten Beck, Patrick Behr and Raquel de Freitas Oliveira

18130: Monetary Policy and Labor Income Inequality: the Role of Extensive and Intensive Margins

Paul Hubert and Frédérique Savignac

18129: Machine-Learning the Skill of Mutual Fund Managers

Ron Kaniel, Zihan Lin, Markus Pelger and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

18128: International Diversification, Reallocation, and the Labor Share

Joe David, Romain Ranciere and David Zeke

18127: Retail Trading in European Equity Markets

Fatemeh Aramian and Carole Comerton-Forde

18126: Price Setting on the Two Sides of the Atlantic: Evidence from Supermarket-Scanner Data

Peter Karadi, Juergen Amann, Sánchez Bachiller, Javier, Pascal Seiler and Jesse Wursten

18125: Text Algorithms in Economics

Elliott Ash and Stephen Hansen

18124: Mobile Money, Interoperability and Financial Inclusion

Markus Brunnermeier, Nicola Limodio and Lorenzo Spadavecchia

18123: Geopolitical Risk Perceptions

Yevheniia Bondarenko, Vivien Lewis, Matthias Rottner and Schüler, Yves

18122: Do non-banks need access to the lender of last resort? Evidence from fund runs

Johannes Breckenfelder and Marie Hoerova

18121: Strategic Corporate Purpose

Rui Albuquerque and Luis Cabral

18120: Pandemic Consumption

Bachmann, Rüdiger, Christian Bayer and Martin Kornejew

18119: A Fundamental Connection: Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Expectations

Vania Stavrakeva and Jenny Tang

18118: Who gains from market fragmentation? Evidence from the early stages of the EU carbon market

Estelle Cantillon and Aurélie Slechten

18117: International Mobility of Academics: Theory and Evidence

Gianni De Fraja

18116: It's Baaack: The Surge in Inflation in the 2020s and the Return of the Non-Linear Phillips Curve

Pierpaolo Benigno and Gauti Eggertsson

18115: Estimation of Characteristics-based Quantile Factor Models

Liang Chen, Juan Dolado, Jesus Gonzalo and Haozi Pan

18114: Heterogeneous Predictive Association of CO2 with Global Warming

Liang Chen, Juan Dolado, Jesus Gonzalo and Andrey Ramos

18113: Discrimination in Universal Social Programs? A Nationwide Field Experiment on Access to Child Care

Henning Hermes, Philipp Lergetporer, Fabian Mierisch, Frauke Peter and Simon Wiederhold

18112: Evaluating merger effects

Christos Genakos, Andreas Lamprinidis and James Walker

18111: Logrolling in Congress

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

18110: Frictions and adjustments in firm-to-firm trade

Francois Fontaine, Julien Martin and Isabelle Mejean

18109: The Deep Roots of Vaccine Hesitancy in Germany: The 19th-Century Naturopathic Movement

Christine Binzel and Andreas Link

18108: How did banks' ESG conduct affect financial performance and lending during COVID-19?

Ozlem Dursun-de Neef, Joaquin Forchieri, Thomas Gehrig and Alexander Schandlbauer

18107: From the Saving Glut to Financial Instability: Evidence from the Silicon Valley Bank Failure

Guillaume Vuillemey

18106: Bank Ownership Around the World

Ugo Panizza

18105: Hidden Overtime: Optimal Contracts with (Self-)Deceptive Effort Reports

Juho Alasalmi, Goldlücke, Susanne and Michelle Jordan

18104: Persuasion and Welfare

Laura Doval and Alex Smolin

18103: Monetary Policies without Giveaways to Banks

Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji

18102: Covid and Cities, Thus Far

Gilles Duranton and Jessie Handbury

18101: Local and National Concentration Trends in Jobs and Sales: The Role of Structural Transformation

David Autor, Christina Patterson and John van Reenen

18100: FDI and Superstar Spillovers: Evidence from firm-to-firm transactions

Mary Amiti, Cedric Duprez, Jozef Konings and John van Reenen

18099: The Relative Importance of Global Agricultural Subsidies and Tariffs, Revisited

Kym Anderson, Erwin Corong, Anna Strutt and Ernesto Valenzuela

18098: Incorporating Theory-Consistent Endogenous Markups into Applied General-Equilibrium Models

James Markusen

18097: The Pandemic Push: Digital Technologies and Workforce Adjustments

Christina Gathmann, Christian Kagerl, Laura Pohlan and Duncan Roth

18096: Wealth and Property Taxation in the United States

Sacha Dray, Camille Landais and Stefanie Stantcheva

18095: The motherhood wage and income traps

Francesca Barigozzi, Helmuth Cremer and Emmanuel Thibault

18094: Estimating and Testing Investment-based Asset Pricing Models

Frederico Belo, Yao Deng and Juliana Salomao

18093: Social networks and collective action in large populations: An application to the Egyptian Arab Spring

Chih-Sheng Hsieh, Lachlan Deer, Michael Koenig and Fernando Vega-Redondo

18092: More working from home - aggregate and distributional impacts of shifts in residential location

David Miles and James Sefton

18091: Immigration and the Slope of the Labor Demand Curve: The Role of Firm Heterogeneity in a Model of Regional Labor Markets

Andrea Ariu, Müller, Tobias and Tuan Nguyen

18090: Test-Optional Admissions

Wouter Dessein, Alexander Frankel and Navin Kartik

18089: Market versus Optimum Diversity in Open Economies: Theory and Quantitative Evidence

Peter Egger and Ruobing Huang

18088: Inflation Distorts Relative Prices: Theory and Evidence

Klaus Adam, Andrey Alexandrov and Henning Weber

18087: Managed Campaigns and Data-Augmented Auctions for Digital Advertising

Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Nick Wu

18086: Government Performance and Democracy: Survey Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries during Covid-19

Michael Becher, Nicolas Longuet-Marx, Vincent Pons, Sylvain Brouard, Martial Foucault, Vincenzo Galasso, Eric Kerrouche, Sandra Leon Alfonso and Daniel Stegmueller

18085: Feudal Political Economy

Desiree Desierto and Mark Koyama

18084: White, Male, and Angry: A Reputation-based Rationale

Stephane Wolton

18083: Murphy's Law or Luck of the Irish? Disparate Treatment of the Irish in 19th Century Courts

Anna Bindler, Randi Hjalmarsson, Stephen Machin and Melissa Rubio-Ramos

18082: Risk Management in Traditional Agriculture: Intercropping in Italian Wine Production

Giovanni Federico and Pablo Martinelli

18081: Adjusting to Decentralization: Investment Dynamics and Beyond

Beata Javorcik and Steven Poelhekke

18080: Does State-Ownership Bias Government Support? Evidence from the Financial Crisis

Clarissa Mang and Klaus Schmidt

18079: Should history change the way we think about populism?

Alan de Bromhead and Kevin O'Rourke

18078: Why Did Putin Invade Ukraine? A Theory of Degenerate Autocracy

Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

18077: Heterothetic Cobb Douglas: Theory and Applications

Clement Bohr, Martí Mestieri and Frederic Robert-Nicoud

18075: Long-term debt propagation and real reversals

Mathias Drehmann, Mikael Juselius and Anton Korinek

18074: Does Regional Identity Guide Investments? Evidence from German license plates

Thilo Rene Huning and Fabian Wahl

18073: Price Setting on a Network

Toomas Hinnosaar

18072: Unpacking Moving: A Spatial Equilibrium Model with Wealth

Elisa Giannone, Paixão, Nuno, Xinle Pang and Qi Li

18071: Consumption Segregation

Corina Boar and Elisa Giannone

18070: An American Macroeconomic Picture. Supply and Demand Shocks in the Frequency Domain

Mario Forni, Luca Gambetti, Antonio Granese, Luca Sala and Stefano Soccorsi

18069: Frontier History and Gender Norms in the United States

Samuel Bazzi, Abel Brodeur, Martin Fiszbein and Joanne Haddad

18068: Managing Disinflations

Stephen Cecchetti, Michael Feroli, Peter Hooper, Frederic S Mishkin and Kermit Schoenholtz

18067: Broadband Internet and the Stock Market Investments of Individual Investors

Hans Hvide, Tom G. Meling, Magne Mogstad and Ola Vestad

18066: Gender Homophily, Collaboration, and Output

Lorenzo Ductor and Anja Prummer

18065: Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing Productivity across U.S. States: What the Long-Run Data Show

Alexander Klein and Nicholas Crafts

18064: An Empirical Approximation of the Effects of Trade Sanctions with an Application to Russia

Jean Imbs and Laurent Pauwels

18063: Mobile Internet and the Rise of Communitarian Politics

Marco Manacorda, Guido Tabellini and Andrea Tesei

18062: Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies

Sinem Kilic Celik, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

18061: Potential Growth: A Global Database

Sinem Kilic Celik, Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Franz Ruch

18060: Fortune's Formula or the Road to Ruin? The Generalized Kelly Criterion With Multiple Outcomes

Karl Whelan

18059: Decentralization, Ethnic Fractionalization, and Public Services: Evidence from Kenyan Healthcare

Hémet, Camille, Liam Wren-Lewis and Jessica Mahoney