CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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16023: The option value of vacant land: Don't build when demand for housing is booming

Coen Teulings and Rutger-Jan Lange

16022: Putty-Clay Automation

Joseba Martinez

16021: Cross-Country Stock Market Comovement: A Macro Perspective

Alexis Anagnostopoulos, Orhan Erem Atesagaoglu, Elisa Faraglia and Chryssi Giannitsarou

16020: The Delphic forward guidance puzzle in New Keynesian models

Ippei Fujiwara and Yuichiro Waki

16019: Equilibrium Data Mining

Thierry Foucault and Jerome Dugast

16018: COVID-19 and Global Beverage Markets: Implications for Wine

Kym Anderson and Glyn Wittwer

16017: Gibrat's Law for Cities: Evidence from World War I Casualties

Antonio Ciccone

16016: Negative Interest Rate Policies: A Survey

Luis Brandao-Marques, Marco Casiraghi, Gunes Kamber, Roland Meeks and R. Gaston Gelos

16015: Diversity and Team Performance in a Kenyan Organization

Benjamin Marx, Vincent Pons and Tavneet Suri

16014: Four great Asian trade collapses

Kevin O'Rourke, Alan de Bromhead, Alan Fernihough and Markus Lampe

16013: Serving the Underserved: Microcredit as a Pathway to Commercial Banks

Andrea Presbitero, Sumit Agarwal, Tomas Kigabo, Camelia Minoiu and Andre F. Silva

16012: Minority Turnout and Representation under Cumulative Voting. An experiment

Alessandra Casella, Jeffrey Guo and Michelle Jiang

16011: Optimal Taxation and Market Power

Jan Eeckhout, Chunyang Fu, Wenjian Li and Xi Weng

16010: The Nexus of Elites and War Mobilization

Ruixue Jia, Ying Bai and Jiaojiao Yang

16009: Trade, Jobs, and Worker Welfare

Paulo Bastos, Erhan Artuc and Eunhee Lee

16008: Dynamic Labor Reallocation with Heterogeneous Skills and Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk

Marianna Kudlyak, Ester Faia and Ekaterina Shabalina

16007: The welfare cost of ignoring the beta

Christian Gollier

16006: Displacement and complementarity in the recorded music industry: evidence from France

Marc Ivaldi, Ambre Nicolle, Frank Verboven and Jiekai Zhang

16005: Diagnostic Business Cycles

Francesco Bianchi, Cosmin Ilut and Hikaru Saijo

16004: Cities and the Sea Level

Guy Michaels, Yatang Lin and Thomas McDermott

16003: Optimal Ownership of Public Goods under Asymmetric Information

Patrick Schmitz

16002: Representation is Not Sufficient for Selecting Gender Diversity

Emanuele Tarantino, Justus Baron, Bernhard Ganglmair, Nicola Persico and Timothy S. Simcoe

16001: On Robustness of Average Inflation Targeting

Seppo Honkapohja and Nigel McClung

16000: COVID-19, Race, and Gender

Graziella Bertocchi and Arcangelo Dimico

15999: Better Alone? Evidence on the Costs of Intermunicipal Cooperation

Clemence Tricaud

15998: The Macroeconomic Consequences of Infrastructure Investment

Valerie Ramey

15997: Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses

David Bloom, Michael Kuhn and Klaus Prettner

15996: COVID-19 Vaccine’s Gender Paradox

Vincenzo Galasso, Paola Profeta, Martial Foucault and Vincent Pons

15995: Covid-19 and Shopping Streets

Hans Koster, Cheng Tang, Jos van Ommeren and Nander Bras

15994: The Productivity Consequences of Pollution-Induced Migration in China

Ahmed Mobarak, Gaurav Khanna, Ran Song and Wenquan Liang

15993: COVID-19 Time-varying Reproduction Numbers Worldwide: An Empirical Analysis of Mandatory and Voluntary Social Distancing

Alessandro Rebucci, Alexander Chudik and Mohammad Pesaran

15992: Entry Regulations and Product Variety in Retail

Florin Maican and Matilda Orth

15991: The Irish economy during the century after Partition

Kevin O'Rourke and Gráda, Cormac Ó

15990: Returns to International Migration: Evidence from a Bangladesh-Malaysia Visa Lottery

Ahmed Mobarak, Iffath Sharif and Maheshwor Shrestha

15989: Revisiting Cap-and-Trade in Presence of Publicly Owned Polluters: The Case of Italy 2006-2018

Jakub Kastl, Bruno Baranek and Federico Boffa

15988: The Panopticon of Germany’s Foreign Trade, 1880-1913. New facts on the First Globalization

Nikolaus Wolf and Wolf-Fabian Hungerland

15987: Management practices and resilience to shocks: Evidence from COVID-19

Andrea Lamorgese, Andrea Linarello, Megha Patnaik and Fabiano Schivardi

15986: Real Effects of Climate Policy: Financial Constraints and Spillovers

Söhnke Bartram, Kewei Hou and Sehoon Kim

15985: Who Produces the Robots?

Hans Gersbach and Samuel Schmassmann

15984: Disease Surveillance, Mortality and Race: The Case of HIV/AIDS in the United States

Paul Sharp and Frederikke Kristensen

15983: Taxing Property in Developing Countries: Theory and Evidence from Mexico

Anne Brockmeyer, Alejandro Estefan, Ramírez Arras, Karina and Suárez Serrato, Juan Carlos

15982: The United States of Europe: A gravity model evaluation of the four freedoms

Thierry Mayer and Keith Head

15981: Increasing price transparency in the Dutch health care market does not affect provider choice

Tobias Klein, Husiatyński, Maciej and Misja Mikkers

15980: The welfare cost of vaccine misallocation, delays and nationalism

Christian Gollier

15979: Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, Thorsten Drautzburg and Pablo Guerron

15978: What Moves Treasury Yields?

Emanuel Moench and Soroosh Soofi Siavash

15977: Pandemics, Incentives, and Economic Policy: A Dynamic Model

Velasco, Andrés, Roberto Chang and Humberto Martinez

15976: On the Evolution of the Rules versus Discretion Debate

Harris Dellas and George Tavlas

15975: The Intergenerational Elasticity of Earnings: Exploring the Mechanisms

Eric French, O’Dea, Cormac and Jamie Hentall MacCuish

15974: Dementia and Disadvantage in the United States and England

Eric French, Jeremy McCauley, Eric Brunner and Karolos Arapakis

15973: An Experimental Analysis of the Prize-Probability Tradeoff in Stopping Problems

Yair Antler and Ayala Arad

15972: A Scientific Approach to Innovation Management: Theory and Evidence from Four Field Experiments

Alfonso Gambardella, Arnaldo Camuffo, Danilo Messinese, Elena Novelli, Emilio Paolucci and Chiara Spina

15971: Establishment and Outsiders: Can Political Incorrectness and Social Extremism work as a Signal of Commitment to Populist Poli

Paul Seabright and Jerome Gonnot

15970: On the Optimality of Outsourcing when Vertical Integration can Mitigate Information Asymmetries

Patrick Schmitz

15969: Purchase history and product personalization

Vasiliki Skreta and Laura Doval

15968: ACE - Analytic Climate Economy

Christian Traeger

15967: Consumer Search and the Uncertainty Effect

Heiko Karle, Heiner Schumacher and Rune Volund

15966: The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Dimitris Georgarakos, Geoff Kenny and Michael Weber

15965: Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era

Massimiliano Marcellino, Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Elmar Mertens

15964: Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility

Massimiliano Marcellino, Todd Clark, Andrea Carriero and Elmar Mertens

15963: Africa’s Latent Assets

James A. Robinson and Soeren Henn

15962: From Mancession to Shecession: Women's Employment in Regular and Pandemic Recessions

Matthias Doepke, Sena Coskun, David Koll and Michele Tertilt

15961: Using machine learning and qualitative interviews to design a five-question women's agency index

Seema Jayachandran, Monica Biradavolu and Jan Cooper

15960: Enforcement of Labor Regulation and the Labor Market Effects of Trade: Evidence from Brazil

Gabriel Ulyssea and Vladimir Ponczek

15959: Commodity Prices and Banking Crises

Andrea Presbitero and Markus Eberhardt

15958: One Ring to Rule Them All? New Evidence on World Cycles

Eric Monnet and Damien Puy

15957: The Impact of Gender Role Norms on Mothers’ Labor Supply

Marco Francesconi, Cheti Nicoletti and Danilo Cavapozzi

15956: Dry Bulk Shipping and the Evolution of Maritime Transport Costs, 1850-2020

David Jacks and Martin Stuermer

15955: OLS Estimation of the Intra-Household Distribution of Expenditure

Lechene, Valérie, Krishna Pendakur and Alexander Wolf

15954: Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years?

Marianna Kudlyak and Robert Hall

15953: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers

Christian Siegel and Michael Boehm

15952: The Smoot-Hawley Trade War

Kirsten Wandschneider, Kris Mitchener and Kevin O'Rourke

15951: Bayesian Estimation of Epidemiological Models: Methods, Causality, and Policy Trade-Offs

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, Jonas Arias, Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco and Minchul Shin

15949: Reducing Parent-School Information Gaps and Improving Education Outcomes: Evidence from High-Frequency Text Messages

Taryn Dinkelman, Samuel Berlinski, Matias Busso and Claudia Martinez A.

15948: Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage

Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem, Xiaoxi Liu and Ilhyock Shim

15947: Inflation and Individual Investors’ Behavior: Evidence from the German Hyperinflation

Fabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck and Nic Schaub

15946: Institutional Investors and Infrastructure Investing

Aleksandar Andonov, Kräussl, Roman and Joshua Rauh

15945: Sustainability or Performance? Ratings and Fund Managers’ Incentives

Nickolay Gantchev, Mariassunta Giannetti and Rachel Li

15944: Asymmetries in Monetary Policy

Pierpaolo Benigno and Lorenza Rossi

15943: Estimating General Equilibrium Spillovers of Large-Scale Shocks

Kilian Huber

15942: The Rise of Agribusinesses and its Distributional Consequences

Swati Dhingra and Silvana Tenreyro

15941: Smart Cap

Christian Traeger and Larry Karp

15940: Public debt and the political economy of reforms

Pierre Boyer, Christoph Esslinger and Brian Roberson

15939: When to Lock, Not Whom: Managing Epidemics Using Time-Based Restrictions

Eran Yashiv, Yinon Bar-On, Tatiana Baron and Ron Milo

15938: Reconciliation Narratives: The Birth of a Nation after the US Civil War

Elena Esposito, Elena Esposito, Alessandro Saia and Mathias Thoenig

15937: The Effects of Child Tax Benefits on Poverty and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Canada Child Benefit and Universal Child Care

Mark Stabile, Michael Baker and Derek Messacar

15936: Accounting for the Great Divergence: Recent Findings from Historical National Accounting

Stephen Broadberry

15935: Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward

Kris Mitchener and Christoph Trebesch

15934: Information and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy

Kurt Mitman, Tobias Broer, Alexandre Kohlhas and Kathrin Schlafmann

15933: Diversity in Schools: Immigrants and the Educational Performance of U.S. Born Students

Paola Giuliano, David Figlio, Riccardo Marchingiglio, Umut Ozek and Paola Sapienza

15932: The Voice of Monetary Policy

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Tho Pham and Oleksandr Talavera

15931: Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

Luis Brandao-Marques, Thomas Harjes, Ratna Sahay, Yi Xue and R. Gaston Gelos

15930: Dispersion in Financing Costs and Development

Cezar Santos, Tiago Cavalcanti, Joseph Kaboski and Bruno Martins

15929: The Costs of Populism for the Bureaucracy and Government Performance

Massimo Morelli, Luca Bellodi and Matia Vannoni

15928: Taxes and Turnout: When the decisive voter stays at home

Felix Bierbrauer, Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin

15927: Welfare Effects of Property Taxation

Sebastian Siegloch and Löffler, Max

15926: Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: Secular Trends, Large Shocks and New Data

Ivan Petrella, Juan Antolin-Diaz and Thomas Drechsel

15925: Sharing the Pie: An Analysis of Undernutrition and Individual Consumption in Bangladesh

Rossella Calvi, Caitlin Brown and Jacob Penglase

15924: The More the Poorer? Resource Sharing and Scale Economies in Large Families

Rossella Calvi, Jacob Penglase, Denni Tommasi and Alexander Wolf

15923: SVARs With Occasionally-Binding Constraints

Frank Schorfheide, S. Boragan Aruoba, Marko Mlikota and Sergio Villalvazo