CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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10113: Roads and Innovation

Ajay Agrawal, Alberto Galasso and Alexander Oettl

10112: Pre-Auction Inventory and Bidding Behavior?An Analysis of Canadian Treasury Auctions

Kristian Rydqvist and Mark Wu

10111: Testing Equilibrium Multiplicity in Dynamic Games

Martin Pesendorfer, Yuya Takahashi and Taisuke Otsu

10110: Optimal Ownership of Public Goods Reconsidered

Patrick Schmitz

10109: Predicting Winners in Civil Wars

Stephen H Haber, Marc Weidenmier, Kim Oosterlinck and Kris Mitchener

10108: Real Effects of the Sovereign Debt Crisis in Europe: Evidence from Syndicated Loans

Viral Acharya, Christian Hirsch, Tim Eisert and Christian Eufinger

10107: How far away is a Single European Labor Market?

Klaus Zimmermann, , and Annabelle Krause-Pilatus

10106: Optimal Leniency Programs when Firms Have Cumulative and Asymmetric Evidence

Winand Emons, Silvio Sticher and Marc Blatter

10105: Loss Aversion and the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy

Ivan Petrella, Damjan Pfajfar, Emiliano Santoro and Edoardo Gaffeo

10104: Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy

Allan Timmermann, Davide Pettenuzzo and Antonio Gargano

10103: Self-Selection into Credit Markets: Evidence from Agriculture in Mali

Christopher Udry, Dean Karlan, Lori Beaman and Bram Thuysbaert

10102: English as a global language

Jacques Melitz

10101: Foreign Language Learning: An Econometric Analysis

Jacques Melitz, Victor Ginsburgh and Farid Toubal

10100: Regulatory Capture by Sophistication

Isabel Schnabel and Hendrik Hakenes

10099: Regional Centrality and Tax Competition for FDI

Ian Wooton and Julia Darby

10098: ?Phantom of the Opera? or ?Sex and the City?? Historical Amenities as Sources of Exogenous Variation

Christoph Schmidt, Thomas Bauer and Philipp Breidenbach

10097: The Economics of Density: Evidence from the Berlin Wall

Stephen Redding, Daniel Sturm, Nikolaus Wolf and Gabriel Ahlfeldt

10096: Shopping around? How households adjusted food spending over the Great Recession

Rachel Griffith, Martin O'Connell and Kate Smith

10095: Staggered Contracts, Market Power, and Welfare

Luis Cabral

10094: Media Power

Andrea Prat

10093: Distressed Acquisitions

Henri Servaes and Jean-Marie Meier

10092: The Two Greatest. Great Recession vs. Great Moderation

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel, María Gadea and Ana Gómez-Loscos

10091: Family Structure and the Education Gender Gap: Evidence from Italian Provinces

Graziella Bertocchi and Monica Bozzano

10090: How good are out of sample forecasting Tests on DSGE models?

A. Patrick Minford, Peng Zhou and Yongdeng Xu

10089: This mine is mine! How minerals fuel conflicts in Africa

Nicolas Berman, Dominic Rohner and Mathieu Couttenier

10088: Labor policies and capital mobility in theory and in EMU

Giuseppe Bertola

10087: A model of the confidence channel of fiscal policy

Bernardo Guimaraes, Caio Machado and Marcel Ribeiro

10086: Democratic Redistribution and Rule of the Majority

Giacomo Corneo and Frank Neher

10085: Politically Sustainable Probabilistic Minority Targeting

Philippe De Donder and Eugenio Peluso

10084: Publish or Perish? Incentives and Careers in Italian Academia

Daniele Checchi, Gianni De Fraja and Stefano Verzillo

10083: The Transmission Mechanism in Good and Bad Times

Haroon Mumtaz and Paolo Surico

10082: Weapons of Choice

Axel Dreher and Merle Kreibaum

10081: Round-Robin Versus Elimination in Tournaments with a Dominant Player

Aner Sela and Reut Megidish

10080: Optimal Regulation in the Presence of Reputation Concerns

Andrew Atkeson, Ordoñez, Guillermo and Christian Hellwig

10079: Rainfall Risk and Religious Membership in the Late Nineteenth-Century United States

Antonio Ciccone and Philipp Ager

10078: Inflating Away the Public Debt? An Empirical Assessment

Jens Hilscher and Alon Raviv

10077: Former Foreign Affiliates: Cast Out and Outperformed?

Beata Javorcik and Steven Poelhekke

10076: Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-thy-neighbor Policy Responses: A Global Economywide Analysis

Kym Anderson and Hans Jensen

10075: Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts?

Lutz Kilian, Christiane Baumeister and Thomas K Lee

10074: Guest Workers in the Underground Economy

Slobodan Djajic and Alice Mesnard

10073: Growth, Import Dependence and War

Kevin O'Rourke and Roberto Bonfatti

10072: Wealth and Inheritance in the Long Run

Thomas Piketty and Gabriel Zucman

10071: Heterogeneity and Government Revenues: Higher Taxes at the Top?

Nezih Guner, Gustavo Ventura and Martin Lopez-Daneri

10070: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence

Galí, Jordi and Luca Gambetti

10069: A Surplus of Ambition: Can Europe Rely on Large Primary Surpluses to Solve its Debt Problem?

Barry Eichengreen and Ugo Panizza

10068: Measuring Top Incomes and lnequality in the Middle East: Data Limitations and Illustration with the Case of Egypt

Thomas Piketty and Facundo Alvaredo

10067: The Precautionary Saving Effect of Government Consumption

Nicola Pavoni and Valerio Ercolani

10066: Employee Satisfaction, Labor Market Flexibility, and Stock Returns Around The World

Chendi Zhang, Alex Edmans and Lucius Li

10065: A Critical Evaluation of Bail-in as a Bank Recapitalisation Mechanism

Charles Goodhart and Emilios Avgouleas

10064: Shortfall Aversion

Gur Huberman, Paolo Guasoni and Dan Ren

10063: The Incidence of Transaction Taxes: Evidence from a Stamp Duty Holiday

Timothy Besley, Paolo Surico and Neil Meads

10062: Bayesian Networks and Boundedly Rational Expectations

Ran Spiegler

10061: Trust and the Welfare State: the Twin Peaks Curve

Pierre Cahuc, Yann Algan and Marc Sangnier

10060: Forward and Spot Exchange Rates in a Multi-currency World

Tarek Hassan and Rui Mano

10059: Developing Countries Exports Survival in the OECD: Does Experience Matter?

Vanessa Strauss-Kahn and Carrère, Céline

10058: External Liabilities and Crises

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti and Catão, Luís

10057: Knowledge Spillovers, ICT and Productivity Growth

Jonathan Haskel

10056: Managing Intrinsic Motivation in a Long-Run Relationship

Ran Spiegler and Kfir Eliaz

10055: Workplace health promotion and labour market performance of employees

Michael Lechner, Conny Wunsch and Martin Huber

10054: The Effect of Competition on Managers? Compensation: Evidence From a Quasi-natural Experiment

L. Winters, Ana Fernandes and Priscila Ferreira

10053: Quality Pricing-to-Market

Thomas Chaney, Raphael Auer and Sauré, Philip

10052: Endogenous Contractual Externalities

Kathy Yuan and Emre Ozdenoren

10051: Relational Warm Glow and Giving in Social Groups

Kimberley Scharf and Sarah Smith

10050: When Arm?s Length Is Too Far. Relationship Banking over the Business Cycle

Hans Degryse, Ralph De Haas, Thorsten Beck and Neeltje Van Horen

10049: Fertility Decline and Missing Women

Seema Jayachandran

10048: Anchoring or Loss Aversion? Empirical Evidence from Art Auctions

Kathryn Graddy, Rachel Pownall, Lara Loewenstein, Jianping Mei and Mike Moses

10047: Free to Leave? A Welfare Analysis of Divorce Regimes

Fernández, Raquel and Joyce Cheng Wong

10046: The Impact of Regional and Sectoral Productivity Changes on the U.S. Economy

Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Lorenzo Caliendo, Fernando Parro and Pierre Daniel Sarte

10045: Substitution between Fixed-line and Mobile Access: the Role of Complementarities

Frank Verboven and Lukasz Grzybowski

10044: Banks, Government Bonds, and Default: What do the Data Say?

Nicola Gennaioli, Stefano Rossi and Martín, Alberto

10043: Electoral politics and regional development: assessing the geographical allocation of public investment in Turkey

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Davide Luca

10042: Gender Peer Effects in School, a Birth Cohort Approach

Antonio Ciccone and Walter Garcia-Fontes

10041: The Ins and Arounds in the U.S. Housing Market

Ruediger Bachmann and Daniel Cooper

10040: The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions

Lutz Kilian and Robert Vigfusson

10039: Incompatible European Partners? Cultural Predispositions and Household Financial Behavior

Michael Haliassos, Yigitcan Karabulut and Thomas Jansson

10038: Transportation Costs and the Spatial Organization of Economic Activity

Stephen Redding and Matthew Turner

10037: Enrollment and degree completion in higher education without admission standards

Frank Verboven and Koen Declercq

10036: Competitive Screening under Heterogeneous Information

Renato Gomes, Lucas Maestri and Daniel Garrett

10035: Managerial Attention and Worker Engagement

Andrea Prat and Marina Halac

10034: Factor Analysis with Large Panels of Volatility Proxies

Eric Ghysels

10033: The Euro Area Crisis: Politics over Economics

Athanasios Orphanides

10032: Migration, Friendship Ties, and Cultural Assimilation

Giovanni Facchini, Eleonora Patacchini and Max Steinhardt

10031: Local and Consistent Centrality Measures in Networks

Yves Zenou and ,

10030: Urban Spatial Structure, Employment and Social Ties

Yves Zenou and Pierre Picard

10029: Parenting with Style: Altruism and Paternalism in Intergenerational Preference Transmission

Fabrizio Zilibotti and Matthias Doepke

10028: A DSGE Model of China

A. Patrick Minford, Li Dai and Peng Zhou

10027: Dynamic Entry in Vertically Differentiated Markets

Raphael Auer and Sauré, Philip

10026: External Integration, Structural Transformation and Economic Development: Evidence from Argentina 1870-1914

Stephen Redding and Pablo Fajgelbaum

10025: The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of OMT Announcements

Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Carlo Altavilla

10024: Culture: Persistence and Evolution

Francesco Giavazzi, Fabio Schiantarelli and Ivan Petkov

10023: Has the Euro-Mediterranean partnership affected Mediterranean business cycles?

Fabio Canova and Alan Schlaepfer

10022: Estimating overidentified, non-recursive, time varying coefficients structural VARs

Fabio Canova and Pérez Forero, Fernando J.

10021: Bargaining with Informational Externalities in a Market Equilibrium

Mikhail Drugov

10020: Information Aggregation in a DSGE Model

Tarek Hassan and Thomas M. Mertens

10019: Capital Controls and Recovery from the Financial Crisis of the 1930s

Kris Mitchener and Kirsten Wandschneider

10018: Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in t

Mark Taylor and Po-Hsuan Hsu

10017: Banks Are Where The Liquidity Is

Oliver Hart and Luigi Zingales

10016: Common Macro Factors and Currency Premia

Mark Taylor

10015: The Global Financial Crisis?What Drove The Build-Up?

Ouarda Merrouche and Erlend Nier

10014: Toward a theory of monopolistic competition

Jacques Thisse, Mathieu Parenti and Philip Ushchev