Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe

Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem, Loukas Karabarbounis, Gita Gopinath and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez ()
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

No 10826, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Starting in the early 1990s, countries in southern Europe experienced low productivity growth alongside declining real interest rates. We use data for manufacturing firms in Spain between 1999 and 2012 to document a significant increase in the dispersion of the return to capital across firms, a stable dispersion of the return to labor, and a significant increase in productivity losses from capital misallocation over time. We develop a model with size-dependent financial frictions that generates firm-level behavior similar to the behavior observed in production and balance sheet data. We illustrate how the decline in the real interest rate, often attributed to the euro convergence process, leads to a significant decline in sectoral total factor productivity as capital inflows are misallocated toward firms that have higher net worth but are not necessarily more productive. We show that similar trends in dispersion and productivity losses are observed in Italy and Portugal but not in Germany, France, and Norway.

Keywords: Capital flows; Dispersion; Europe; Misallocation; Productivity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D24 E22 F41 O16 O47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-eff, nep-mac and nep-opm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (148)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe (2017)
Working Paper: Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe (2015)
Working Paper: Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe (2015)
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