CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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16166: The Aftermath of Sovereign Debt Crises: A Narrative Approach

Rui Esteves, Sean Kenny and Jason Lennard

16165: Challenging the Incumbent: Entry in markets with captive consumers and taste heterogeneity

Christian Oertel and Armin Schmutzler

16164: Malleability of preferences for honesty

Johannes Abeler, Armin Falk and Fabian Kosse

16163: Explaining Trends in Adult Height in China: 1950 to 1990

Timothy Hatton, Minhee Chae and Xin Meng

16162: Emigration from the UK to the USA, Canada and Australia/New Zealand, 1870-1913: Quantity and Quality

Timothy Hatton

16161: THE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS OF U.S. FIRMS: EVIDENCE FROM A NEW SURVEY

Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

16160: Dynamic Choice and Common Learning

Rahul Deb and Ludovic Renou

16159: Families in Corporate Venture Capital

Mario Amore, Samuele Murtinu and Valerio Pelucco

16158: Leader identity and coordination

Sonia Bhalotra, Irma Clots Figueras, Lakshmi Iyer and Joseph Vecci

16157: The disciplining effect of supervisory scrutiny in the EU-wide stress test

Christoffer Kok, Müller, Carola, Steven Ongena and Cosimo Pancaro

16156: Monopolistic price setting behavior of IT firms

Ellen Van 't Klooster and Coen Teulings

16155: Why Do Couples and Singles Save During Retirement?

Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, John Bailey Jones and Rory McGee

16154: Global Economic Impacts of Climate Shocks, Climate Policy and Changes in Climate Risk Assessment

Roshen Fernando, Weifeng Liu and Warwick McKibbin

16153: Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons

Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov, Luca Ricci, Alejandro Werner and Rene Zamarripa

16152: The Macroeconomic Impact of Social Unrest

Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov, Samuel Pienknagura and Luca Ricci

16151: The "kill zone": Copying, acquisition and start-ups' direction of innovation

Massimo Motta and Sandro Shelegia

16150: Airbnb and Rental Markets: Evidence from Berlin

Tomaso Duso, Claus Michelsen, Maximilian Schaefer and Kevin Tran

16149: Wind of Change? Cultural Determinants of Maternal Labor Supply

Barbara Boelmann, Anna Raute and Schönberg, Uta

16148: The Cross-border Effects of Bank Capital Regulation

Saleem Bahaj and Frederic Malherbe

16147: Bias in expert product reviews

Ben Vollaard and Jan C. van Ours

16146: Capital Inflows and Property Prices: Ethnicity, Education, and Spillovers

Yuk-Ying Chang and Sudipto Dasgupta

16145: Outlasting the Pandemic: Corporate Payout and Financing Decisions During Covid-19

Davide Pettenuzzo, Riccardo Sabbatucci and Allan Timmermann

16144: Help to Spend? The Housing Market and Consumption Response to Relaxing the Down Payment Constraint

Belinda Tracey and Neeltje Van Horen

16143: Earnings Inequality and the Minimum Wage: Evidence from Brazil

Niklas Engbom and Christian Moser

16142: Banking on Experience

Hans Degryse, Sotirios Kokas and Raoul Minetti

16141: Short-term Planning, Monetary Policy, and Macroeconomic Persistence

López-Salido, J David, Christopher Gust and Edward Herbst

16140: The 15-Hour Week: Keynes's Prediction Revisited

Nicholas Crafts

16139: Complementarities in Infrastructure: Evidence from Rural India

Oliver Vanden Eynde and Liam Wren-Lewis

16138: Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union

Lucrezia Reichlin, Giovanni Ricco and Tarbé, Matthieu

16137: The Dynamic Response of Municipal Budgets to Revenue Shocks

Ines Helm and Jan Stuhler

16136: The Societal Responses to COVID-19: Evidence from the G7 Countries

Katharina Lima de Miranda and Dennis Snower

16135: A Generation of Italian Economists

Enrico Nano, Ugo Panizza and Martina Viarengo

16134: Making waves: Monetary policy and its asymmetric spillovers in a globalised world

Ca’Zorzi, Michele, Luca Dedola, Georgios Georgiadis, Marek Jarociński, Livio Stracca and Georg Strasser

16133: Housing market discount rates: Evidence from bargaining and bidding wars

Hans Koster and Jan Rouwendal

16132: Welfare and Output with Income Effects and Taste Shocks

David Baqaee and Ariel Burstein

16131: How Do Households Respond to Job Loss? Lessons from Multiple High-Frequency Data Sets

Asger Lau Andersen, Amalie Jensen, Niels Johannesen, Claus Kreiner, Søren Leth-Petersen and Adam Sheridan

16130: The Impact of Online Competition on Local Newspapers: Evidence from the Introduction of Craigslist

Milena Djourelova, Ruben Durante and Gregory J. Martin

16129: Direct, Spillover and Welfare Effects of Regional Firm Subsidies

Sebastian Siegloch, Wehrhöfer, Nils and Tobias Etzel

16128: Foreign Exchange Volume

Giovanni Cespa, Antonio Gargano, Steven Riddiough and Lucio Sarno

16127: Aging and the Real Interest Rate in Japan: A Labor Market Channel

Shigeru Fujita and Ippei Fujiwara

16126: U.S. Market Concentration and Import Competition

Mary Amiti and Sebastian Heise

16125: Assessing the Stabilizing Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions

Alexey Gorn and Antonella Trigari

16124: CIP Deviations, the Dollar, and Frictions in International Capital Markets

Wenxin Du and Jesse Schreger

16123: Credit Supply, Firms, and Earnings Inequality

Christian Moser, Farzad Saidi, Benjamin Wirth and Stefanie Wolter

16122: Will COVID-19 Have Long-Lasting Effects on Inequality? Evidence from Past Pandemics

Davide Furceri, Prakash Loungani, Jonathan Ostry and Pietro Pizzuto

16121: Religion and Persecution

Umair Khalil and Laura Panza

16120: Migration and Labor Market Integration in Europe

David Dorn and Josef Zweimueller

16119: High-Skilled Services and Development in China

Lei Fang and Berthold Herrendorf

16118: The Evolution of the Earnings Distribution in a Volatile Economy: Evidence from Argentina

Andres Blanco, Bernardo Díaz de Astarloa, Andres Drenik, Christian Moser and Danilo Trupkin

16117: Earnings Inequality and Dynamics in the Presence of Informality: The Case of Brazil

Niklas Engbom, Gustavo Gonzaga, Christian Moser and Roberta Olivieri

16116: THE STATE CAPACITY CEILING ON TAX RATES: EVIDENCE FROM RANDOMIZED TAX ABATEMENTS IN THE DRC

Augustin Bergeron, Gabriel Tourek and Jonathan Weigel

16115: Race-related Research in Economics and Other Social Sciences

Arun Advani, Elliott Ash, David Cai and Imran Rasul

16114: The Cross-Sectional Implications of the Social Discount Rate

Maya Eden

16113: Some Economics of Movie Exhibition: Increasing Returns and Imax Revenue Premium

Pascal Courty

16112: Lockdowns as options

Sweder van Wijnbergen

16111: Market Structure, Investment and Technical Efficiencies in Mobile Telecommunications

Jonathan Elliott, Georges Vivien Houngbonon, Marc Ivaldi and Paul Scott

16110: How Resilient Is Mortgage Credit Supply? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Andreas Fuster, Aurel Hizmo, Lauren Lambie-Hanson, James Vickery and Paul Willen

16109: Have Risk Premia Vanished?

Simon Smith and Allan Timmermann

16108: Worse Than You Think: Public Debt Forecast Errors in Advanced and Developing Economies

Julia Estefania Flores, Davide Furceri, Siddharth Kothari and Jonathan Ostry

16107: Platform Competition and Online Communities: Evidence from Game Wikis

Johannes Loh and Tobias Kretschmer

16106: Regulating Platforms as Utilities? A Business Model Perspective

Tobias Kretschmer and Sven Werner

16105: The Cross-Section of Household Preferences

Laurent Calvet, John Campbell, Francisco Gomes and Paolo Sodini

16104: Friday Morning Fever. Evidence from a Randomized Experiment on Sick Leave Monitoring in the Public Sector

Tito Boeri, Edoardo Di Porto, Paolo Naticchioni and Vincenzo Scrutinio

16103: Formation of College Plans: Expected Returns, Preferences and Adjustment Process

Ghazala Azmat and Katja Kaufmann

16102: Losing on the Home Front? Battlefield Casualties, Media, and Public Support for Foreign Interventions

Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro Souza, Oliver Vanden Eynde and Austin L. Wright

16101: Spending Allocation under Nominal Uncertainty: A Model of Effective Price Rigidity

Gaetano Gaballo and Luigi Paciello

16100: The Perils of Friendly Oversight

Dino Gerardi, Edoardo Grillo and Ignacio Monzon

16099: Understanding Performance in Test Taking: The Role of Question Difficulty Order

Lina Anaya, Nagore Iriberri, Pedro Rey Biel and Gema Zamarro

16098: The Political Economy of Preferential Trade Agreements: An Empirical Investigation

Giovanni Facchini, Peri Silva and Gerald Willmann

16097: QUANTIFYING MARKET POWER AND BUSINESS DYNAMISM IN THE MACROECONOMY

Jan De Loecker, Jan Eeckhout and Simon Mongey

16096: Optimal Price Targeting

Adam Smith, Stephan Seiler and Ishant Aggarwal

16095: Maternal labor supply: Perceived returns, constraints, and social norms

Teodora Boneva, Katja Kaufmann and Christopher Rauh

16094: Household Debt Overhang Did Hardly Cause a Larger Spending Fall during the Financial Crisis in Australia

Lars Svensson

16093: Trade Protection, Stock-Market Returns, and Welfare

Mary Amiti, Sang Hoon Kong and David Weinstein

16092: Freedom of the Press? Catholic Censorship during the Counter-Reformation

Sascha Becker, Francisco Pino and Jordi Vidal-Robert

16091: Equilibrium Securitization with Diverse Beliefs

Andrew Ellis, Michele Piccione and Shengxing Zhang

16090: Imports and the CO2 Emissions of Firms

Anders Akerman, Rikard Forslid and Ossian Prane

16089: Credit Horizons

Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, John Moore and Shengxing Zhang

16088: Fiscal Policy Challenges for Latin America during the Next Stages of the Pandemic: The Need for a Fiscal Pact

Mauricio Cardenas, Luca Ricci, Jorge E Roldos and Alejandro Werner

16087: Gainers and Losers from Market Integration

Hans Gersbach and Hans Haller

16086: A Lingua Franca for Kurdish Populations

Sacha Bourgeois-Gironde, Victor Ginsburgh, Hossein Hassani and Shlomo Weber

16085: Local Public Goods and the Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity

Arthur Guillouzouic, Emeric Henry and Joan Monras

16084: Selecting the Most Effective Nudge: Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment on Immunization

Abhijit Banerjee, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Suresh Dalpath, Esther Duflo, John Floretta, Matthew Jackson, Harini Kannan, Francine Loza, Anirudh Sankar, Anna Schrimpf and Maheshwor Shrestha

16083: Real and Private Value Assets

William Goetzmann, Christophe Spaenjers and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

16082: The U.S. Public Debt Valuation Puzzle

Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Xiaolan

16081: Financial and Total Wealth Inequality with Declining Interest Rates

Dan Greenwald, Matteo Leombroni, Hanno Lustig and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

16080: Flattening the Curve: Pandemic-Induced Revaluation of Urban Real Estate

Arpit Gupta, Vrinda Mittal, Jonas Peeters and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

16079: How Does Monetary Policy Affect Income and Wealth Inequality? Evidence from Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area

Michele Lenza and Jiri Slacalek

16078: A Policy Matrix for Inclusive Growth

Dani Rodrik and Stefanie Stantcheva

16077: The Fundamental Surplus Strikes Again

Lars Ljungqvist and Thomas Sargent

16076: The Dynamics of Return Migration, Human Capital Accumulation, and Wage Assimilation

Jerome Adda, Christian Dustmann and Görlach, Joseph-Simon

16075: "Crime and Punishment"? Anticipation, Diffusion, and Propagation of Global Sanctions

Mikhail Mamonov, Steven Ongena and Anna Pestova

16074: Decision rules for corporate investment

Reinier De Adelhart Toorop, Dirk Schoenmaker and Willem Schramade

16073: A Model of Long-Term Value Creation

Lars Kurznack, Dirk Schoenmaker and Willem Schramade

16072: Firm growth in times of crisis

Jozef Konings and Aigerim Yergabulova

16071: The Economic Ripple Effects of COVID-19

Francisco Buera, Roberto Fattal Jaef, Hugo Hopenhayn, Pablo Neumeyer and Yongseok Shin

16070: The Great COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout: Behavioral and Policy Responses

Christopher Auld and Flavio Toxvaerd

16069: The Toll of Tariffs: Protectionism, Education and Fertility in Late 19th Century France

Vincent Bignon and García-Peñalosa, Cecilia

16068: Real Responses to Anti-tax Avoidance: Evidence from the UK Worldwide Debt Cap

Katarzyna Bilicka, Yaxuan Qi and Jing Xing

16067: The Fruits of El Dorado: The Global Impact of American Precious Metals

Leticia Arroyo Abad and Nuno Palma