Monetary Policy and the Short-Rate Disconnect in Emerging Economies
Pierre De Leo,
Gita Gopinath and
Kalemli-Özcan, Á¹¢ebnem
No 17748, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Abstract:
We document that emerging market central banks adhere to Taylor-type rules and lower their policy rates when economic activity slows down, including as a response to U.S. monetary policy tightening. This suggests a countercyclical monetary policy stance. However, in contrast to advanced economies, short-term market rates do not move in tandem with policy rates. Market rates, if anything, tend to increase during recessions. We present evidence that this disconnect between policy rates and market rates can be significantly explained by fluctuations in dollar funding premia that get transmitted into local market rates through the banking sector that relies on foreign funding. Our findings shed light on the challenges to transmission and effectiveness of monetary policy in emerging economies.
Keywords: Monetary policy; Emerging market economies; US monetary policy shocks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 E50 E52 F30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-12
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
https://cepr.org/publications/DP17748 (application/pdf)
CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at subscribers@cepr.org
Related works:
Working Paper: Monetary Policy and the Short-Rate Disconnect in Emerging Economies (2022) 
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17748
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
https://cepr.org/publications/DP17748
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().