The Economic Effects of Public Financing: Evidence from Municipal Bond Ratings Recalibration

Manuel Adelino, Miguel Ferreira () and Igor Cunha

No 11811, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We show that municipalities’ financial constraints can have a significant impact on local employment and growth. We identify these effects by exploiting exogenous upgrades in U.S. municipal bond ratings caused by Moody’s recalibration of its ratings scale in 2010. We find that local governments increase expenditures because their debt capacity expands following a rating upgrade. These expenditures have an estimated local income multiplier of 1.9 and a cost per job of $20,000 per year. Our findings suggest that debt-financed increases in government spending can improve economic conditions during recessions.

Keywords: Public finance; Local economy; Municipal bonds; Credit ratings; Government employment; Private employment; Income (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 G24 G28 H74 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac, nep-pub and nep-ure
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (51)

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Journal Article: The Economic Effects of Public Financing: Evidence from Municipal Bond Ratings Recalibration (2017)
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