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Firm-bank linkages and optimal policies in a lockdown

Anatoli Segura and Alonso Villacorta

No 14838, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We develop a novel framework that features loss amplification through firm-bank linkages. We use it to study optimal intervention in a lockdown that creates cash shortfalls to firms, which must borrow from banks to avoid liquidation. Firms’ increase in debt reduces firms’ output due to moral hazard. Banks need safe collateral to raise funds. Without intervention, aggregate risk constrains bank lending, increasing its cost and amplifying output losses. Optimal government support must provide sufficient aggregate risk insurance, and can be implemented with transfers to firms and fairly-priced guarantees on banks’ debt. Non-priced bank debt guarantees and loan guarantees are suboptimal.

Keywords: Covid-19; Liquidity; Firm's leverage; Financial intermediation; Government interventions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G01 G20 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban and nep-fdg
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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