Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus

Troy Davig and Eric Leeper

No 15133, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Increases in government spending trigger substitution effects--both inter- and intra-temporal--and a wealth effect. The ultimate impacts on the economy hinge on current and expected monetary and fiscal policy behavior. Studies that impose active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy typically find that government consumption crowds out private consumption: higher future taxes create a strong negative wealth effect, while the active monetary response increases the real interest rate. This paper estimates Markov-switching policy rules for the United States and finds that monetary and fiscal policies fluctuate between active and passive behavior. When the estimated joint policy process is imposed on a conventional new Keynesian model, government spending generates positive consumption multipliers in some policy regimes and in simulated data in which all policy regimes are realized. The paper reports the model's predictions of the macroeconomic impacts of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's implied path for government spending under alternative monetary-fiscal policy combinations.

JEL-codes: E31 E52 E6 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
Note: EFG
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (66)

Published as Davig, Troy & Leeper, Eric M., 2011. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 211-227, February.

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Related works:
Journal Article: Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus (2011)
Working Paper: Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus (2009)
Working Paper: Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus (2009)
Working Paper: MONETARY-FISCAL POLICY INTERACTIONS AND FISCAL STIMULUS (2009)
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