NBER Working Papers

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31748: Secrets in Asset Purchases: Estimating the Unofficial Incomes of Officials

Yongheng Deng, Shang-Jin Wei, Jing Wu and Rongjie Zhang

31747: Algorithmic Recommendations and Human Discretion

Victoria Angelova, Will S. Dobbie and Crystal Yang

31746: The Long-Term Effects of Income for At-Risk Infants: Evidence from Supplemental Security Income

Amelia A. Hawkins, Christopher A. Hollrah, Sarah Miller, Laura R. Wherry, Gloria Aldana and Mitchell D. Wong

31745: Bitcoin and Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Evidence from Daily Production Decisions

Anna Papp, Douglas Almond and Shuang Zhang

31744: A Perturbational Approach for Approximating Heterogeneous Agent Models

Anmol Bhandari, Thomas Bourany, David Evans and Mikhail Golosov

31743: Obsolescence Rents: Teamsters, Truckers, and Impending Innovations

Costas Cavounidis, Qingyuan Chai, Kevin Lang and Raghav Malhotra

31742: Do Consumers Acquire Information Optimally? Experimental Evidence from Energy Efficiency

Andrea La Nauze and Erica Myers

31741: The Central Bank's Dilemma: Look Through Supply Shocks or Control Inflation Expectations?

Paul Beaudry, Thomas J. Carter and Amartya Lahiri

31740: Self-Employment Within the Firm

Vittorio Bassi, Jung Hyuk Lee, Alessandra Peter, Tommaso Porzio, Ritwika Sen and Esau Tugume

31739: Resilience in Vertical Supply Chains

Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman and Alejandro Sabal

31738: Forest Fires: Why The Large Year-to-Year Variation in Forests Burned?

Jerome Apt, Dennis Epple and Fallaw Sowell

31737: Financial Aid and Social Mobility: Evidence from Colombia's Ser Pilo Paga

Juliana Londoño-Vélez, Catherine Rodriguez, Fabio Sanchez and Luis E. Álvarez-Arango

31736: Industrial Policy and the Great Divergence

Réka Juhász and Claudia Steinwender

31735: Aspiring to a Better Future: Can a Simple Psychological Intervention Reduce Poverty?

Kate Orkin, Rob Garlick, Mahreen Mahmud, Richard Sedlmayr, Johannes Haushofer and Stefan Dercon

31734: Sexual Harassment in Public Spaces and Police Patrols: Experimental Evidence from Urban India

Sofia Amaral, Girija Borker, Nathan Fiala, Anjani Kumar, Nishith Prakash and Maria Micaela Sviatschi

31733: Effects of Universal and Unconditional Cash Transfers on Child Abuse and Neglect

Lindsey R. Bullinger, Analisa Packham and Kerri M. Raissian

31732: Investigator Racial Diversity and Clinical Trial Participation

Marcella Alsan, Romaine A. Campbell, Lukas Leister and Ayotomiwa Ojo

31731: Discovery of Unregulated Contaminants in Drinking Water: Evidence from PFAS and Housing Prices

Michelle M. Marcus and Rosie Mueller

31730: The Refugee Advantage: English-Language Attainment in the Early Twentieth Century

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, Peter Catron, Dylan Connor and Rob Voigt

31729: Inequality and Business Cycles

Florin O. Bilbiie, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

31728: Adjusting for Scale-Use Heterogeneity in Self-Reported Well-Being

Daniel J. Benjamin, Kristen Cooper, Ori Heffetz, Miles S. Kimball and Jiannan Zhou

31727: From Happiness Data to Economic Conclusions

Daniel J. Benjamin, Kristen Cooper, Ori Heffetz and Miles S. Kimball

31726: Time Preferences and Food Choice

Andy Brownback, Alex Imas and Michael A. Kuhn

31725: The Minimum Wage and Inequality Between Groups

Francine D. Blau, Isaac Cohen, Matthew L. Comey, Lawrence Kahn and Nikolai Boboshko

31724: Centralization and Organization Reproduction: Ethnic Innovation in R&D Centers and Satellite Locations

William R. Kerr

31723: Economic Consequences of a Regime Change: Overview

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

31722: Bonus Question: Does Flexible Incentive Pay Dampen Unemployment Dynamics?

Meghana Gaur, John R. Grigsby, Jonathon Hazell and Abdoulaye Ndiaye

31721: Credit Supply Shocks and Firm Dynamics: Evidence from Brazil

Samuel Bazzi, Marc-Andreas Muendler, Raquel F. Oliveira and James E. Rauch

31720: Cash Transfers and Social Preferences of Children

Johannes Haushofer, Magdalena Larreboure, Sara Lowes and Leon Mait

31719: High-Dimensional Factor Models and the Factor Zoo

Martin Lettau

31718: Science, Philanthropy, and American Leadership

Robert W. Conn, Peter F. Cowhey, Joshua S. Graff Zivin and Christopher L. Martin

31717: Welfare Accounting

Eduardo Dávila and Andreas Schaab

31716: The International Monetary System and International Financial System as an Analogy to the Copernican Heliocentric system: A simple multi-layers network model with simultaneous regime changes

Michael D. Bordo and Cécile Bastidon

31715: Drivers of Change: How Intra-household Preferences Shape Employment Responses to Gender Reform

Chaza Abou Daher, Erica M. Field, Kendal M. Swanson and Kate H. Vyborny

31713: Institutional Drift, Property Rights, and Economic Development: Evidence from Historical Treaties

Donn L. Feir, Rob Gillezeau and Maggie E.C. Jones

31712: Education Gradients in Parental Time Investment and Subjective Well-being

Ariel Kalil, Susan Mayer, William Delgado and Lisa A. Gennetian

31711: Illiquid Lemon Markets and the Macroeconomy

Aimé Bierdel, Andres Drenik, Juan Herreño and Pablo Ottonello

31710: Minimum Lot Size Restrictions: Impacts on Urban Form and House Price at the Border

Joseph Gyourko and Sean McCulloch

31709: Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models

Neville Francis, Michael Owyang and Daniel F. Soques

31708: Structural Transformation and Value Change: The British Abolitionist Movement

Valentín Figueroa and Vasiliki Fouka

31707: Utility and Happiness

Miles S. Kimball and Robert J. Willis

31706: The Importance of a Helping Hand in Education and in Life

Francisco Gallego, Philip Oreopoulos and Noah Spencer

31705: Procurement and Infrastructure Costs

Zachary Liscow, Will Nober and Cailin Slattery

31704: Going the Extra Mile: Farm Subsidies and Spatial Convergence in Agricultural Input Adoption

Naresh Kumar, Rolly Kapoor, Shilpa Aggarwal, Dahyeon Jeong, David Sungho Park, Jonathan Robinson and Alan Spearot

31703: Technological Rivalry and Optimal Dynamic Policy in an Open Economy

Yan Bai, Keyu Jin and Dan Lu

31702: Implications of the Decline in LGBT Rights for Population Mental Health: Evidence from Polish “LGBT-free zones”

Chad Meyerhoefer, Bingjin Xue and Anna Poznańska

31701: Moral Boundaries

Benjamin Enke

31700: Reluctant Entrepreneurs: Evidence from China’s SOE Reform

Hanming Fang, Ming Li, Zenan Wu and Yapei Zhang

31699: The Effect of Multitasking on Educational Outcomes and Academic Dishonesty

Victor Lavy

31698: Monetary Policy and Innovation

Yueran Ma and Kaspar Zimmermann

31697: You Can Lead a Horse to Water: Spatial Learning and Path Dependence in Consumer Search

Charles Hodgson and Gregory Lewis

31696: Mobile Money, Interoperability, and Financial Inclusion

Markus K. Brunnermeier, Nicola Limodio and Lorenzo Spadavecchia

31695: Intergenerational Mobility of Daughters and Marital Sorting: New Evidence from Imperial China

Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue

31694: High-Quality Early-Childhood Education at Scale: Evidence from a Multisite Randomized Trial

William R. Dougan, Jorge Luis García and Illia Polovnikov

31693: The Reserve Supply Channel of Unconventional Monetary Policy

William F. Diamond, Zhengyang Jiang and Yiming Ma

31692: Consumer Surveillance and Financial Fraud

Bo Bian, Michaela Pagel and Huan Tang

31691: Provider Payment Incentives: Evidence From The U.S. Hospice Industry

Norma Coe and David A. Rosenkranz

31690: Can Patience Account for Subnational Differences in Student Achievement? Regional Analysis with Facebook Interests

Eric A. Hanushek, Lavinia Kinne, Pietro Sancassani and Ludger Woessmann

31689: Complexity in Factor Pricing Models

Antoine Didisheim, Shikun (Barry) Ke, Bryan T. Kelly and Semyon Malamud

31688: Zero-Sum Thinking and the Roots of U.S. Political Divides

Sahil Chinoy, Nathan Nunn, Sandra Sequeira and Stefanie Stantcheva

31687: Forward Return Expectations

Mihir Gandhi, Niels Joachim Gormsen and Eben Lazarus

31686: The Evolution of Work from Home

Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom and Steven J. Davis

31685: The State Capacity Ceiling on Tax Rates: Evidence from Randomized Tax Abatements in the DRC

Augustin Bergeron, Gabriel Z. Tourek and Jonathan L. Weigel

31684: The Labor Market Consequences of Heat Exposure During Pregnancy

Xuwen Gao, Ran Song, Christopher Timmins and Fang Xia

31683: Heterogeneous Real Estate Agents and the Housing Cycle

Sophia Gilbukh and Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

31682: Selection into Financial Education and Effects on Portfolio Choice

Irina Gemmo, Pierre-Carl Michaud and Olivia S. Mitchell

31681: Mistrust, Misperception, and Misunderstanding: Imperfect Information and Conflict Dynamics

Daron Acemoglu and Alexander Wolitzky

31680: Estimating the Effects of Government Spending Through the Production Network

Alessandro Barattieri, Matteo Cacciatore and Nora Traum

31679: Generation Next: Experimentation with AI

Gary Charness, Brian Jabarian and John A. List

31678: Police Discretion and Public Safety

Felipe M. Gonçalves and Steven Mello

31677: Quantifying Lottery Choice Complexity

Benjamin Enke and Cassidy Shubatt

31676: Exporting the Surveillance State via Trade in AI

Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Y. Yang and Noam Yuchtman

31675: From Retributive to Restorative: An Alternative Approach to Justice

Anjali Adukia, Benjamin Feigenberg and Fatemeh Momeni

31674: Allocative Skill

Andrew Caplin, David J. Deming, Søren Leth-Petersen and Ben Weidmann

31673: Externalities from Medical Innovation: Evidence from Organ Transplantation

Kevin Callison, Michael E. Darden and Keith F. Teltser

31672: Households' Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation

Philip Schnorpfeil, Michael Weber and Andreas Hackethal

31671: Breakthroughs in Historical Record Linking Using Genealogy Data: The Census Tree Project

Kasey Buckles, Adrian Haws, Joseph Price and Haley E.B. Wilbert

31670: The Digital Welfare of Nations: New Measures of Welfare Gains and Inequality

Erik Brynjolfsson, Avinash Collis, Asad Liaqat, Daley Kutzman, Haritz Garro, Daniel Deisenroth, Nils Wernerfelt and Jae Joon Lee

31669: The Intergenerational Transmission of Housing Wealth

N. Meltem Daysal, Michael F. Lovenheim and David N. Wasser

31668: Incentivizing Innovation in Open Source: Evidence from the GitHub Sponsors Program

Annamaria Conti, Vansh Gupta, Jorge Guzman and Maria P. Roche

31667: Ending Pay for PBM Performance: Consequences for Prescription Drug Prices, Utilization, and Government Spending

Casey B. Mulligan

31666: How Credible is the Credibility Revolution?

Kevin Lang

31665: Wage and Earnings Inequality Between and Within Occupations: The Role of Labor Supply

Andrés Erosa, Luisa Fuster, Gueorgui Kambourov and Richard Rogerson

31664: Portfolio Management in Private Equity

Gregory W. Brown, Celine Yue Fei and David T. Robinson

31663: Zero-Sum Thinking, the Evolution of Effort-Suppressing Beliefs, and Economic Development

Jean-Paul Carvalho, Augustin Bergeron, Joseph Henrich, Nathan Nunn and Jonathan L. Weigel

31662: A Theory of Trade Policy Transitions

Renee Bowen, J. Lawrence Broz and B. Peter Rosendorff

31661: Global Supply Chains: The Looming “Great Reallocation”

Laura Alfaro and Davin Chor

31660: Limits to Competition: Strategies for Promoting Jurisdictional Cooperation

David Agrawal

31659: Large Shocks Travel Fast

Alberto Cavallo, Francesco Lippi and Ken Miyahara

31658: Quantifying Climate Change Loss and Damage Consistent with a Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases

Marshall Burke, Mustafa Zahid, Noah Diffenbaugh and Solomon M. Hsiang

31657: Climate Change, Directed Innovation, and Energy Transition: The Long-run Consequences of the Shale Gas Revolution

Daron Acemoglu, Philippe Aghion, Lint Barrage and David Hémous

31656: Composite Sorting

Job Boerma, Aleh Tsyvinski, Ruodu Wang and Zhenyuan Zhang

31655: 'We Are Not Guinea Pigs’: The Effects of Disclosure of Medical Misconduct on Vaccine Compliance

Belinda Archibong and Francis Annan

31654: The Importance of Sound Monetary Policy: Some Lessons for Today from Canada’s Experience with Floating Exchange Rates Since 1950

Michael D. Bordo and Pierre Siklos

31653: Contexts of Convenience: Generalizing from Published Evaluations of School Finance Policies

Danielle V. Handel and Eric A. Hanushek

31652: Price Discrimination and Mortgage Choice

Jamie Coen, Anil K Kashyap and May Rostom

31651: A Cognitive View of Policing

Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur and Anuj K. Shah

31650: Game, Sweat, Match: Temperature and Elite Worker Productivity

Marshall Burke, Vincent Tanutama, Sam Heft-Neal, Miyuki Hino and David Lobell

31649: The Child Penalty Atlas

Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais and Gabriel Leite-Mariante

31648: The Outlook for Long-Term Economic Growth

Charles I. Jones