NBER Working Papers

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36005: Policy Evaluation Beyond Significance Testing: Evidence from Chicago's ShotSpotter Contract

Terence Chau, Philip J Cook, Javier Lopez, Jens Ludwig, Alejandro Roemer and Adam K. Soliman

36004: The Main Monetary Policy Shock

Christoph Boehm, Husang Kim and T. Niklas Kroner

36003: AI as Shared Business Infrastructure: Firm Growth and the Distribution of Gains

Panle Barwick, Lu Fang, Jinhan Liu, Huilan Xu and Zhe Yuan

36002: Knowledge Without Taxation? Experimental Evidence from a Tax Education Program

Anders Jensen, Nikhil Kumar and Konstantin Poensgen

36001: Vigilance, Risk Vulnerability, and the Precautionary Augment

Miles Kimball and Vincent A. Mastantuno

36000: When More Prenatal Care Looks Like Less: Selection, Information and Maternal and Infant Health

Chien-Tzu Cheng, Shin-Yi Chou and Hsienming Lien

35999: (In)Credible Development RCTs: False Discoveries, Low Power, and a Solution

Qingyuan Chai, Kevin Lang and Liang Zhong

35998: Sorting by Participation: A Field Experiment in a Stem-cell Registry

Michael Haylock, Patrick Kampkötter, Mario Macis, Susanne Seitz, Robert Slonim and Daniel Wiesen

35997: Beyond Overdose Prevention: Naloxone Coprescription Laws and the Path to Treatment

Shin-Yi Chou, Jiarun Li and Bingjin Xue

35996: When Food Stamps Became Free: Impacts and Implications of Removing the Purchase Requirement

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Notowidigdo and Charlie Rafkin

35994: The Impact of Climate Change on Fisheries

Fabio Cevenini, Christopher Costello and Carlo Fezzi

35993: Peer Influence in College Applications

Ana M. Gazmuri and Elena Prager

35992: Policy Deterrence: Strategic Investment in U.S. Broadband

Karam Kang and Mo Xiao

35991: Doing Better at Doing Good: Lessons from a Bayesian Meta-Analysis After 20 Years of Poverty Graduation Programs

Samantha Carter, Edward Jee, Dean Karlan and Patrick Premand

35990: Financial Advisors and Retirees' Risk-taking

Allison Cole, Maarten Meeuwis, Alessandro Previtero and Noah Stoffman

35989: Clearing the Fog: Price Transparency, Market Churn, and Consumer Welfare in Short-Term Rentals

Ginger Zhe Jin, Liad Wagman and Jingyi Xing

35988: The Hidden Sharpe Ratio

Mikhail Chernov, Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud and Johannes Schwab

35987: TaskNet: Building Occupational Task Inventories from Worker Interviews at Scale

Jennifer Wang, Andreas Haupt, Isaac Robinson, Phil Lewis, Erik Brynjolfsson and Diyi Yang

35986: Debiasing Law Enforcement Officers: Evidence from an Expressive Arts Intervention in India

Sofia Amaral, Girija Borker, Nishith Prakash and María Micaela Sviatschi

35985: Unconventional Monetary Policy and Deposit Retention

Philip Strahan and Tuo Yang

35984: Target What? The Foundations of Poverty Targeting

Rema Hanna, Emily Breza, Benjamin Olken, Abhijit Banerjee, Arun Chandrasekhar and Gideon Moore

35983: Universities as Incubators of Mass Uprising

Sultan Mehmood and Ahmed Mobarak

35982: Green Tastes, Beliefs, and Portfolios: Evidence from Synthetic Investors

Xindi He and Lubos Pastor

35981: Beyond the Numbers: Professional Forecasters’ Narratives about Inflation and Stock Market Performance

Christian Conrad, Julius Theodor Schoelkopf, Michael Weber and Frank Brueckbauer

35980: Demand-Driven Inflation

Domenico Giannone and Giorgio Primiceri

35979: What Drives Censorship on College Campuses?

Peter Arcidiacono, Cory Dowd and Matthew Lilley

35978: Coordinated R&D Programs and the Creation of New Industries

Daniel Gross and Maria P. Roche

35977: Fixed/Floating Interest Rate Parity

Matthias Fleckenstein, Sven Klingler and Francis Longstaff

35976: Manufacturing Renaissance Meets Time-Inconsistent Tariffs

Christoph Boehm, Andrei Levchenko and Wei Xiang

35975: The Global Office: How Globalisation’s Frontier is Shifting from Factories to Offices

Richard Baldwin

35974: How Different are Different Differences-in-Differences? A Large-Scale Meta-Analysis

Peter Hull

35973: Risk and Return in Government Bonds

Matteo Leombroni, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam

35972: Governance Regimes, Economic Mobility, and the Composition of Public Investment: Evidence from the Democratization of Villages in India

Andrew Foster and Mark Rosenzweig

35971: Coase Meets Negishi: Property Rights, Welfare Weights, and Distributional Consequences in Climate Economics

Simon F. Lang, Matthew D. Gordon and Matthew Kotchen

35970: A Beckerian Theory of Taxation

Margaret Chen, Mikhail Golosov and Ilia Krasikov

35969: Pollution Monitoring and the Pricing of Environmental Risk in Firms

Namrata Kala, Jalal Sani, Nemit Shroff and Pengdong Zhang

35968: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Macroeconomic Expectations: High-Frequency Evidence from Prediction Markets

Eric Swanson, Wang Renxuan and Yanbin Wu

35967: Aggregate-Surplus Maximizing Monetary Policy

David Baqaee, Ariel Burstein and Joao Guerreiro

35966: Public R&D and the Automation of Manufacturing: Evidence from the Space Race

Apoorva Babbar, Shawn Kantor, Alexander Whalley and Jingyuan Zeng

35965: Income Inequality and Intergenerational Mobility in Russia: Trends, Sources, and Measurement

Kristina Butaeva, Steven Durlauf and Dmitry Rudenko

35964: Saving for the Machines

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde

35963: Affirmative Action, Faculty Productivity and Caste Interactions: Evidence from Engineering Colleges in India

Robert Fairlie, Saurabh Khanna, Prashant Loyalka and Gagandeep S. Sachdeva

35962: Unraveling the Cobweb of Global Imbalances: Drivers, Vulnerabilities and Adjustment Scenarios

Stefan Avdjiev, Kristin Forbes, Tsvetelina Nenova and Marjorie Santos

35961: Can Home Visits Re-Engage Chronically Absent Students? Evidence from the LEAP Program

Eric Brunner, Shangyue Jiang and Stephen Ross

35960: Coasian Stakeholder Theory

Matthew Higgins, Peter G. Klein, Anita McGahan and Rob Wuebker

35959: Behavioral Finance at 40

Nicholas C. Barberis

35958: Who Can Control Our Firms? National Security and Foreign Ownership Regulation

Rodrigo Adão and Olivier Kooi

35957: Tariff Staggering

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

35956: Ratings, Debt, and Deficits: An Exploration

Olivier Blanchard, Daniel Leigh and Prachi Mishra

35955: The Impact of Silver Loading in ACA Health Insurance Marketplaces

Coleman Drake, David Anderson, Dylan Nagy and Mark Shepard

35954: When Cash Wakes Up: Inertia in Institutional Money Market Funds and the Potential Effects of AI Disruption

Ali Hortaçsu and Younggeun Yoo

35953: Competition in Generative AI: Evidence from Consumer Demand

Mark L. Egan, Dominic Russel, Claire Shi and Vincent Yao

35952: The Great Game: A Model of Geoeconomic Competition

Christopher Clayton, Matteo Maggiori and Jesse Schreger

35951: A Network Approach to Geopolitics

Ernest Liu, Stephen Redding, Bennett Smith-Worthington and David Yang

35950: Training Your Replacement: Worker Incentives and the Pace of Automation

Joshua Gans and Peter Landry

35949: Generative AI, Managerial Expectations, and Economic Activity

Manish Jha, Jialin Qian, Michael Weber and Baozhong Yang

35948: fevc: Leave-Out Bias-Corrected Variance Decompositions in Stata

Johannes F. Schmieder

35947: An LLM Workflow for Functional Form Sensitivity Analysis

Isaiah Andrews, Simon C. Essig Aberg and Jesse Shapiro

35946: The Value of (Sub) Specialization: Evidence from Oncology

René Karadakic, David C. Chan, Nancy L. Keating, Bruce E. Landon and Michael L. Barnett

35945: Homework in Climate Economics: Household Production, Environmental Preferences, and Climate Policy

Stephie Fried, David Lagakos and Hannah Rhodenhiser

35944: Selective Admissions in Nursing Homes: Evidence from a Randomized Audit Study

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Jesse Gubb, Neale Mahoney and James Okun

35943: Global Entrepreneurial Talent Flows: Widely Funded, Selectively Successful?

Paul Gompers and Henry Woo

35942: Comparative Advantage and Economies of Scale under Uncertainty

Xiao Ma and Natalia Ramondo

35941: The Returns to Temporary Migration: Experimental Evidence from the H-2A Program

Melanie Morten, Beatriz Magaloni, Sebastián Cubillos and Alice Yiqian Wang

35940: Sex and Subsistence: Income Effects on Risky Sexual Behavior and Partner Selection

Natalie Bau, Corinne Low and Bryce Steinberg

35939: Gender Gaps: International Evidence on the Role of Family Policy

Francine Blau, Lawrence Kahn, Freddy Bachmann, Helen Burkhardt, Leonardo Peñaloza-Pacheco and David Titus

35938: Optimal Taxation of Indistinguishable Activities

Jacob Goldin, Sebastian Koehne and Nicholas Lawson

35937: Regional Variations and Productivity Puzzles in Health Care

Amy Finkelstein and Jonathan Skinner

35936: Representation, Innovation, and Product Adoption

Jennifer L. Kao and Tamar Oostrom

35935: Implications of Policy Interventions on Eliminating Gender Gaps

Carla Varona Cervantes and Russell Cooper

35934: Tax Productivity and Economic Development: A Quantitative Macroeconomic Analysis

Radhika Goyal, Anders Jensen, David Lagakos, Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Yuntian Zhao

35933: Losing Their Religion

Richard Murphy and Shqiponja Telhaj

35932: Insuring Landlords

Thomas Bézy, Antoine B. Levy and Timothy McQuade

35931: We Just Created More Than 1,000 Synthetic Controls To Study California's $20 Fast Food Minimum Wage

Jeffrey Clemens, Olivia Edwards, Jonathan Meer and Joshua D. Nguyen

35930: College Success: Understanding the Roles of Financial Aid, Loans, Preparation, and Incentives

Douglas N. Harris, Christopher R. Taber and Yu (Alan) Yang

35929: The Occupational Ladder: Implications for Life-Cycle Wage Dynamics

Henry Siu, Kelly Foley and Guido Matias Cortes

35928: Strategic Monetary Policy in Open Economies

Louphou Coulibaly and Charles Engel

35927: HouseholdBench: Evaluating Large Language Models as Predictors of Household Economic Behavior

Jin Huang, Diego Ferreras Garrucho, Yutong Xie, Walter M. Yuan, Qiaozhu Mei, Chen Lian and Jonathon Hazell

35926: The Why and How of Foreign Aid

Dean Karlan

35925: Correcting for Heterogeneity in the Use of Subjective Scales

Daniel Benjamin, Kristen B. Cooper, Ori Heffetz, Miles Kimball and Jiannan Zhou

35924: Too Little too Late? Nationwide Carbon Trading in China

Shuang Zhang and Douglas Almond

35923: Staying Connected: Experimental Effects of Coach-Delivered Text Messages in an Adult High School

Alberto Ortega, Pietro Pellerito and Patrick Turner

35922: Will Medical Care Strangle or Save the Federal Budget?

David Cutler

35921: Understanding Migration Responses to Local Shocks

Kirill Borusyak, Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian Kovak

35920: The Role of Organization in Firm-Sponsored Training

David Deming, Raffaella Sadun and Christopher T. Stanton

35919: Venture Capital and Customer Capital

Martin Aragoneses, Young Soo Jang and Amir Sufi

35918: Firms' Investment and the Real Transmission of the Global Financial Cycle

Caitlin Hegarty, Matias Moretti, Pablo Ottonello and Diego J. Perez

35917: The Effects of a Shorter Workweek on Employment, Output, and Productivity

Pauline Carry, Claire Montialoux, Elio Nimier-David, Alexandra Roulet and Nina Roussille

35916: The Long March to Innovation: R&D and Competitive Evolution in the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry

Chirantan Chatterjee, Aniruddh Bhaskaran and Matthew Higgins

35915: Transportation as a Barrier to Education Access: Evidence from Chicago Public Schools

Cecilia H. Moreira, Steven Puller and Ini Umosen

35914: The Impact of the Great Recession on Mortality: A Dynamic Factor Analysis

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Notowidigdo and Enzo Profili

35913: Inside Central Bankers’ Calendars: How Do Fed Chairs Allocate Their Time?

Thomas Drechsel and Dali Tsakadze

35912: Upgrading Financial Markets

Francis Annan and Seth Garz

35911: Green Subsidies with Demand Distortions

Susanna Berkouwer and Joshua T. Dean

35910: Infinite Factor Structure in Conditional Asset Pricing

Mikhail Chernov, Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud and Johannes Schwab

35909: The Robust Properties of Economies with Endogenous Production Networks

Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, Roberto Corrao, Joel P. Flynn and Giacomo Lanzani

35908: The Impact of Social Insurance on Household Debt

Gideon Bornstein and Sasha Indarte

35907: Pricing Power in the Mortgage Market: Evidence from GSE Fee Waivers

Neil Bhutta, Benjamin Keys and Adithya Raajkumar

35906: Home-Foreign Elasticity Functions and the Gains from Trade

Jonathan Vogel

35905: Credit Markets with New Screening Technologies

Maryam Farboodi, Péter Kondor and Pablo Kurlat