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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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24091: House Price Beliefs And Mortgage Leverage Choice Downloads
Michael Bailey, Eduardo Dávila, Theresa Kuchler and Johannes Stroebel
24090: Wealthier, Happier and More Self-Sufficient: When Anti-Poverty Programs Improve Economic and Subjective Wellbeing at a Reduced Cost to Taxpayers Downloads
Titus J. Galama, Robson Morgan and Juan E. Saavedra
24089: Brokers and Order Flow Leakage: Evidence from Fire Sales Downloads
Andrea Barbon, Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni and Augustin Landier
24088: Spatial Patterns of Development: A Meso Approach Downloads
Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou
24087: Unhappiness and Pain in Modern America: A Review Essay, and Further Evidence, on Carol Graham’s Happiness for All? Downloads
David G. Blanchflower and Andrew Oswald
24086: The L-Shaped Phillips Curve: Theoretical Justification and Empirical Implications Downloads
Narayana Kocherlakota
24085: Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1962 to 2016: Has Middle Class Wealth Recovered? Downloads
Edward N. Wolff
24084: Urban Revival in America, 2000 to 2010 Downloads
Victor Couture and Jessie Handbury
24083: Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street? Investor Participation in Market Manipulation Downloads
Christian Leuz, Steffen Meyer, Maximilian Muhn, Eugene Soltes and Andreas Hackethal
24082: Venture Capital Investments and Merger and Acquisition Activity Around the World Downloads
Gordon Phillips and Alexei Zhdanov
24081: The Impact of Bank Credit on Labor Reallocation and Aggregate Industry Productivity Downloads
John (Jianqiu) Bai, Daniel Carvalho and Gordon Phillips
24080: U.S. Job Flows and the China Shock Downloads
Brian J. Asquith, Sanjana Goswami, David Neumark and Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez
24079: Job Tasks, Time Allocation, and Wages Downloads
Ralph Stinebrickner, Todd Stinebrickner and Paul J. Sullivan
24078: Endowments, Skill-Biased Technology, and Factor Prices: A Unified Approach to Trade Downloads
Peter M. Morrow and Daniel Trefler
24077: Reconsidering the Consequences of Worker Displacements: Firm versus Worker Perspective Downloads
Aaron B. Flaaen, Matthew Shapiro and Isaac Sorkin
24076: Why are Banks Exposed to Monetary Policy? Downloads
Sebastian Di Tella and Pablo Kurlat
24075: A Stream of Prospects or a Prospect of Streams: On the Evaluation of Intertemporal Risks Downloads
James Andreoni, Paul Feldman and Charles Sprenger
24074: High Wage Workers Work for High Wage Firms Downloads
Katarína Borovičková and Robert Shimer
24073: Household Inequality and the Consumption Response to Aggregate Real Shocks Downloads
Gene Amromin, Mariacristina De Nardi and Karl Schulze
24072: The Marginal Product of Climate Downloads
Tatyana Deryugina and Solomon Hsiang
24070: Shrinking the Cross Section Downloads
Serhiy Kozak, Stefan Nagel and Shrihari Santosh
24069: Wages and Employment: The Canonical Model Revisited Downloads
Audra Bowlus, Eda Bozkurt, Lance Lochner and Chris Robinson
24068: A New Index of Debt Sustainability Downloads
Olivier Blanchard and Mitali Das
24067: New Evidence of Generational Progress for Mexican Americans Downloads
Brian Duncan, Jeffrey Grogger, Ana Sofia Leon and Stephen Trejo
24066: The Long-run Effects of Agricultural Productivity on Conflict, 1400-1900 Downloads
Murat Iyigun, Nathan Nunn and Nancy Qian
24065: Leaving Money on the Table? Suboptimal Enrollment in the New Social Pension Program in China Downloads
Xi Chen, Lipeng Hu and Jody L. Sindelar
24064: Credit Default Swaps, Agency Problems, and Management Incentives Downloads
Jongsub Lee, Junho Oh and David Yermack
24063: Environmental, Social, and Governance Criteria: Why Investors are Paying Attention Downloads
Ravi Jagannathan, Ashwin Ravikumar and Marco Sammon
24062: Who Becomes an Inventor in America? The Importance of Exposure to Innovation Downloads
Alexander M. Bell, Raj Chetty, Xavier Jaravel, Neviana Petkova and John van Reenen
24061: The Effect of Education and School Quality on Female Crime Downloads
Javier Cano-Urbina and Lance Lochner
24060: Student Loan Nudges: Experimental Evidence on Borrowing and Educational Attainment Downloads
Benjamin M. Marx and Lesley Turner
24059: The Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle, Exchange Rate Forecasting, and Taylor Rules Downloads
Charles Engel, Dohyeon Lee, Chang Liu, Chenxin Liu and Steve Pak Yeung Wu
24058: Learning from Coworkers: Peer Effects on Individual Investment Decisions Downloads
Paige Ouimet and Geoffrey Tate
24057: Should we Get rid of the Natural Rate Hypothesis? Downloads
Olivier Blanchard
24056: US Exports and Employment Downloads
Robert Feenstra, Hong Ma and Yuan Xu
24055: Moral Hazard in Health Insurance: What We Know and How We Know It Downloads
Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein
24054: Personalized Medicine When Physicians Induce Demand Downloads
David H. Howard, Jason Hockenberry and Guy David
24053: The Use and Misuse of Patent Data: Issues for Corporate Finance and Beyond Downloads
Josh Lerner and Amit Seru
24052: Intrinsic Openness and Endogenous Institutional Quality Downloads
Yang Jiao and Shang-Jin Wei
24051: Aggregating from Micro to Macro Patterns of Trade Downloads
Stephen Redding and David Weinstein
24050: Moral Hazard Misconceptions: the Case of the Greenspan Put Downloads
Gideon Bornstein and Guido Lorenzoni
24049: Tax Simplicity and Heterogeneous Learning Downloads
Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Matthieu Lequien and Stefanie Stantcheva
24048: Fresh Air Eases Work – The Effect of Air Quality on Individual Investor Activity Downloads
Steffen Meyer and Michaela Pagel
24047: Are Poor Individuals Mainly Found in Poor Households? Evidence using Nutrition Data for Africa Downloads
Caitlin S. Brown, Martin Ravallion and Dominique van de Walle
24046: Fast and Slow Learning From Reviews Downloads
Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian and Asuman Ozdaglar
24045: Socioeconomic Status and Macroeconomic Expectations Downloads
Sreyoshi Das, Camelia Kuhnen and Stefan Nagel
24044: Old-age Labor Force Participation in Germany: What Explains the Trend Reversal among Older Men? And What the Steady Increase among Women? Downloads
Axel Börsch-Supan and Irene Ferrari
24043: Friedman's Presidential Address in the Evolution of Macroeconomic Thought Downloads
N. Gregory Mankiw and Ricardo Reis
24042: Family Health Behaviors Downloads
Itzik Fadlon and Torben Heien Nielsen
24041: Consumption Risk and Human Capital Accumulation in India Downloads
Andrew Foster and Esther Gehrke
24040: Upstream, Downstream: Diffusion and Impacts of the Universal Product Code Downloads
Emek Basker and Timothy Simcoe
24039: Are Negative Nominal Interest Rates Expansionary? Downloads
Gauti Eggertsson, Ragnar E. Juelsrud and Ella Getz Wold
24038: Service-level Selection: Strategic Risk Selection in Medicare Advantage in Response to Risk Adjustment Downloads
Sungchul Park, Anirban Basu, Norma Coe and Fahad Khalil
24037: The Employer Penalty, Voluntary Compliance, and the Size Distribution of Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Small Businesses Downloads
Casey Mulligan
24036: The Effect of Air Pollution on Migration: Evidence from China Downloads
Shuai Chen, Paulina Oliva and Peng Zhang
24035: Identifying Sources of Inefficiency in Health Care Downloads
Amitabh Chandra and Doug Staiger
24034: The Effects of Land Markets on Resource Allocation and Agricultural Productivity Downloads
Chaoran Chen, Diego Restuccia and Raül Santaeulàlia-Llopis
24033: Equity Effects in Energy Regulation Downloads
Carolyn Fischer and William Pizer
24032: The Rise and Fall of Local Elections in China: Theory and Empirical Evidence on the Autocrat's Trade-off Downloads
Monica Martinez-Bravo, Gerard Padró I Miquel, Nancy Qian and Yang Yao
24031: Sovereign Risk Contagion Downloads
Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Sandra Lizarazo
24030: Probabilistic States versus Multiple Certainties: The Obstacle of Uncertainty in Contingent Reasoning Downloads
Alejandro Martínez-Marquina, Muriel Niederle and Emanuel Vespa
24029: Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects Downloads
Tarek A. Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent and Ahmed Tahoun
24028: Management Quality in Public Education: Superintendent Value-Added, Student Outcomes and Mechanisms Downloads
Victor Lavy and Adi Boiko
24027: Measuring Global Value Chains Downloads
Robert Johnson
24026: Characterizing the Drug Development Pipeline for Precision Medicines Downloads
Amitabh Chandra, Craig Garthwaite and Ariel Dora Stern
24025: Pass-Through of Input Cost Shocks Under Imperfect Competition: Evidence from the U.S. Fracking Boom Downloads
Erich Muehlegger and Richard Sweeney
24024: Bid Shading and Bidder Surplus in the U.S. Treasury Auction System Downloads
Ali Hortaçsu, Jakub Kastl and Allen Zhang
24023: Missing Growth from Creative Destruction Downloads
Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart, Peter J. Klenow and Huiyu Li
24022: The ‘China Shock’, Exports and U.S. Employment: A Global Input-Output Analysis Downloads
Robert Feenstra and Akira Sasahara
24021: Orphan Drug Designations as Valuable Intangible Assets for IPO Investors in Pharma-Biotech Companies Downloads
Philippe Gorry and Diego Useche
24020: The Information Pharms Race and Competitive Dynamics of Precision Medicine: Insights from Game Theory Downloads
Ernst R. Berndt and Mark R. Trusheim
24019: How Well Do Automated Methods Perform in Historical Samples? Evidence from New Ground Truth Downloads
Martha Bailey, Connor Cole, Morgan Henderson and Catherine Massey
24018: On the Economics of Audit Partner Tenure and Rotation: Evidence from PCAOB Data Downloads
Brandon Gipper, Luzi Hail and Christian Leuz
24017: How Well Do Structural Demand Models Work? Counterfactual Predictions in School Choice Downloads
Parag A. Pathak and Peng Shi
24016: The Gold Pool (1961-1968) and the Fall of the Bretton Woods System. Lessons for Central Bank Cooperation Downloads
Michael Bordo, Eric Monnet and Alain Naef
24015: Educational Upgrading and Returns to Skills in Latin America: Evidence from a Supply-Demand Framework Downloads
Sebastian Galiani, Guillermo Cruces, Pablo Acosta and Leonardo C. Gasparini
24014: Daily Price Limits and Destructive Market Behavior Downloads
Ting Chen, Zhenyu Gao, Jibao He, Wenxi Jiang and Wei Xiong
24013: The Life-Cycle Dynamics of Exporters and Multinational Firms Downloads
Anna Gumpert, Andreas Moxnes, Natalia Ramondo and Felix Tintelnot
24012: Premium or Penalty? Labor Market Returns to Novice Public Sector Teachers Downloads
Juan Saavedra, Dario Maldonado, Lucrecia Santibanez and Luis Omar Herrera Prada
24011: Does Economic Insecurity Affect Employee Innovation? Downloads
Shai Bernstein, Timothy McQuade and Richard R. Townsend
24010: Nowcasting the Local Economy: Using Yelp Data to Measure Economic Activity Downloads
Edward Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim and Michael Luca
24009: The Development Effects of the Extractive Colonial Economy: The Dutch Cultivation System in Java Downloads
Melissa Dell and Benjamin Olken
24008: Older Americans Would Work Longer If Jobs Were Flexible Downloads
John Ameriks, Joseph S. Briggs, Andrew Caplin, Minjoon Lee, Matthew Shapiro and Christopher Tonetti
24007: Productivity and Misallocation in General Equilibrium Downloads
David Rezza Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi
24006: Children, Time Allocation and Consumption Insurance Downloads
Richard Blundell, Luigi Pistaferri and Itay Saporta-Eksten
24005: The Rise, the Fall, and the Resurrection of Iceland Downloads
Sigríður Benediktsdóttir, Gauti Eggertsson and Eggert Þórarinsson
24004: Measuring Success in Education: The Role of Effort on the Test Itself Downloads
Uri Gneezy, John List, Jeffrey A. Livingston, Sally Sadoff, Xiangdong Qin and Yang Xu
24003: When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering? Downloads
Alberto Abadie, Susan Athey, Guido Imbens and Jeffrey Wooldridge
24002: Medicaid and Financial Health Downloads
Kenneth Brevoort, Daniel Grodzicki and Martin B. Hackmann
24001: Artificial Intelligence and the Modern Productivity Paradox: A Clash of Expectations and Statistics Downloads
Erik Brynjolfsson, Daniel Rock and Chad Syverson
24000: How Bargaining in Marriage drives Marriage Market Equilibrium Downloads
Robert Pollak
23999: CoCo Issuance and Bank Fragility Downloads
Stefan Avdjiev, Bilyana Bogdanova, Patrick Bolton, Wei Jiang and Anastasia Kartasheva
23998: A Note on Variance Decomposition with Local Projections Downloads
Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Byoungchan Lee
23997: Frontier Culture: The Roots and Persistence of "Rugged Individualism" in the United States Downloads
Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein and Mesay Gebresilasse
23996: Uniform Pricing in US Retail Chains Downloads
Stefano DellaVigna and Matthew Gentzkow
23995: Impact of Comprehensive Smoking Bans on the Health of Infants and Children Downloads
Kerry Anne McGeary, Dhaval Dave, Brandy J. Lipton and Timothy Roeper
23994: City Equilibrium with Borrowing Constraints: Structural Estimation and General Equilibrium Effects Downloads
Amine Ouazad and Romain Ranciere
23993: What Rule for the Federal Reserve? Forecast Targeting Downloads
Lars Svensson
23992: Trade, Merchants, and the Lost Cities of the Bronze Age Downloads
Gojko Barjamovic, Thomas Chaney, Kerem A. Coşar and Ali Hortaçsu
23991: Temperature Effects on Productivity and Factor Reallocation: Evidence from a Half Million Chinese Manufacturing Plants Downloads
Peng Zhang, Olivier Deschenes, Kyle C. Meng and Junjie Zhang
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