NBER Working Papers
From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.. Contact information at EDIRC. Bibliographic data for series maintained by (). Access Statistics for this working paper series.
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- 30162: The Costs of Job Displacement over the Business Cycle and Its Sources: Evidence from Germany

- Johannes Schmieder, Till von Wachter and Jörg Heining
- 30161: Investing with the Government: A Field Experiment in China

- Emanuele Colonnelli, Bo Li and Ernest Liu
- 30160: The Big Tech Lending Model

- Lei Liu, Guangli Lu and Wei Xiong
- 30159: Is Our Fiscal System Discouraging Marriage? A New Look at the Marriage Tax

- Elias Ilin, Laurence Kotlikoff and Melinda Pitts
- 30158: Heterogeneous Returns to Active Labour Market Programs for Indigenous Populations

- Donna Feir, Kelly Foley and Maggie Jones
- 30157: Moral Universalism: Global Evidence

- Alexander Cappelen, Benjamin Enke and Bertil Tungodden
- 30156: Estimating the Effect of Easements on Agricultural Production

- Nicole Karwowski
- 30155: NIH Grant Expansion, Ancestral Diversity and Scientific Discovery in Genomics Research

- Wei Fu, Shin-Yi Chou and Li-San Wang
- 30154: Inefficient Automation

- Martin Beraja and Nathan Zorzi
- 30153: Climate Change and Downstream Water Quality in Agricultural Production: The Case of Nutrient Runoff to the Gulf of Mexico

- Levan Elbakidze, Yuelu Xu, Philip Gassman, Jeffrey G. Arnold and Haw Yen
- 30152: Unemployment Insurance, Starting Salaries, and Jobs

- Gordon Dahl and Matthew Knepper
- 30151: Tax Knowledge and Tax Manipulation: A Unifying Model

- Ashley Craig and Joel Slemrod
- 30150: Strategic Investment under Uncertainty with First- and Second-mover Advantages

- Min Dai, Zhaoli Jiang and Neng Wang
- 30149: Four Facts about Human Capital

- David Deming
- 30148: Take-up of Social Benefits

- Wonsik Ko and Robert Moffitt
- 30147: The Returns to Face-to-Face Interactions: Knowledge Spillovers in Silicon Valley

- David Atkin, M. Keith Chen and Anton Popov
- 30146: Estimating Discrete Games with Many Firms and Many Decisions: An Application to Merger and Product Variety

- Ying Fan and Chenyu Yang
- 30145: Intangible Marketing Capital

- Bart Bronnenberg, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé and Chad Syverson
- 30144: Bottlenecks for Evidence Adoption

- Stefano DellaVigna, Woojin Kim and Elizabeth Linos
- 30143: Growing Apart: Declining Within- and Across-Locality Insurance in Rural China

- Orazio Attanasio, Costas Meghir, Corina Mommaerts and Yu Zheng
- 30142: Policy Diffusion and Polarization across U.S. States

- Stefano DellaVigna and Woojin Kim
- 30141: Health Care Centralization: The Health Impacts of Obstetric Unit Closures in the US

- Stefanie Fischer, Heather Royer and Corey White
- 30140: An Equilibrium Model of the Impact of Increased Public Investment in Early Childhood Education

- Jonathan Borowsky, Jessica H. Brown, Elizabeth Davis, Chloe Gibbs, Chris M. Herbst, Aaron Sojourner, Erdal Tekin and Matthew Wiswall
- 30139: Vaccination Policy, Delayed Care, and Health Expenditures

- Erkmen Aslim, Wei Fu, Chia-Lun Liu and Erdal Tekin
- 30138: Targeting Impact versus Deprivation

- Johannes Haushofer, Paul Niehaus, Carlos Paramo, Edward Miguel and Michael Walker
- 30137: Adapting to Flood Risk: Evidence from a Panel of Global Cities

- Sahil Gandhi, Matthew Kahn, Rajat Kochhar, Somik Lall and Vaidehi Tandel
- 30136: Measuring Human Capital

- Katharine Abraham and Justine Mallatt
- 30135: Historical Newspaper Data: A Researcher’s Guide and Toolkit

- Brian Beach and W Hanlon
- 30134: Temporary Layoffs, Loss-of-Recall and Cyclical Unemployment Dynamics

- Mark Gertler, Christopher K. Huckfeldt and Antonella Trigari
- 30133: Cognitive Endurance as Human Capital

- Christina Brown, Supreet Kaur, Geeta Kingdon and Heather Schofield
- 30132: A Monetary Policy Asset Pricing Model

- Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek
- 30131: Financing Infrastructure in the Shadow of Expropriation

- Viral Acharya, Cecilia Parlatore and Suresh Sundaresan
- 30130: Discrete-Choice Models and Representative Consumer Theory

- Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Joonhwi Joo and Kyeongbae Kim
- 30129: The Distributional Impacts of a VMT-Gas Tax Swap

- Gilbert Metcalf
- 30128: Risk Pooling and Precautionary Saving in Village Economies

- Marcel Fafchamps and Aditya Shrinivas
- 30127: Structural Change Within versus Across Firms: Evidence from the United States

- Xiang Ding, Teresa Fort, Stephen Redding and Peter Schott
- 30126: Accelerating Vaccine Innovation for Emerging Infectious Diseases via Parallel Discovery

- Joseph Barberio, Jacob Becraft, Zied Ben Chaouch, Dimitris Bertsimas, Tasuku Kitada, Michael Lingzhi Li, Andrew Lo, Kevin Shi and Qingyang Xu
- 30125: The Impact of Minority Representation at Mortgage Lenders

- W Frame, Ruidi Huang, Erik J. Mayer and Adi Sunderam
- 30124: Nutrient Pollution and U.S. Agriculture: Causal Effects, Integrated Assessment, and Implications of Climate Change

- Konstantinos Metaxoglou and Aaron Smith
- 30123: A National Estimate of Irrigation Canal Lining and Piping Water Conservation

- R. Aaron Hrozencik, Nicholas A. Potter and Steven Wallander
- 30122: Cover Crops, Drought, Yield and Risk: an Analysis of U.S. Soybean Production

- Fengxia Dong
- 30121: Weather, Climate, and Technology Adoption: An Application to Drought-Tolerant Corn in the United States

- Jonathan R. McFadden, David J. Smith and Steven Wallander
- 30120: (Co-)Working in Close Proximity: Knowledge Spillovers and Social Interactions

- Maria P. Roche, Alexander Oettl and Christian Catalini
- 30119: Globalization, Fertility and Marital Behavior in a Lowest-Low Fertility Setting

- Osea Giuntella, Lorenzo Rotunno and Luca Stella
- 30118: How Undervalued is the Covid-19 Vaccine? Evidence from Discrete Choice Experiments and VSL Benchmarks

- Patrick Carlin, Brian E. Dixon, Kosali Simon, Ryan Sullivan and Coady Wing
- 30117: Escaping Secular Stagnation with Unconventional Monetary Policy

- Luba Petersen and Ryan Rholes
- 30116: Comparing Past and Present Inflation

- Marijn Bolhuis, Judd N. L. Cramer and Lawrence Summers
- 30115: Factors Influencing the Choice of Pension Distribution at Retirement

- Robert L. Clark and Olivia Mitchell
- 30114: The Race Between Tax Enforcement and Tax Planning: Evidence From a Natural Experiment in Chile

- Sebastián Bustos, Dina Pomeranz, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, José Vila-Belda and Gabriel Zucman
- 30113: Who Benefits from Meritocracy?

- Diana Moreira and Santiago Perez
- 30112: Mothers as Insurance: Family Spillovers in WIC

- Marianne Bitler, Janet Currie, Hilary Hoynes, Krista Ruffini, Lisa Schulkind and Barton Willage
- 30111: Near-Rational Equilibria in Heterogeneous-Agent Models: A Verification Method

- Leonid Kogan and Indrajit Mitra
- 30110: Opioid Use and Employment Outcomes: Evidence from the U.S. Military

- Abby E. Alpert, Steve Schwab and Benjamin Ukert
- 30109: Cutting Out the Middleman: The Structure of Chains of Intermediation

- Matthew Grant and Meredith Startz
- 30108: Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions

- Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Peter Hull and Michal Kolesár
- 30107: Gender and Underrepresented Minority Differences in Research Funding

- Laura Cruz-Castro, Donna Ginther and Luis Sanz-Menendez
- 30106: Days of Work Over a Half Century: The Rise of the Four-day Week

- Daniel Hamermesh and Jeff Biddle
- 30105: The Effects of Advanced Degrees on the Wage Rates, Hours, Earnings and Job Satisfaction of Women and Men

- Joseph Altonji, John Humphries and Ling Zhong
- 30104: Non-Covid Excess Deaths, 2020-21: Collateral Damage of Policy Choices?

- Casey Mulligan and Robert D. Arnott
- 30103: Maternal Mortality and Women’s Political Power

- Sonia Bhalotra, Damian Clarke, Joseph Gomes and Atheendar Venkataramani
- 30102: Microgiving with Digital Platforms

- Xiheng Jiang, Jianwei Xing, Jintao Xu and Eric Zou
- 30101: Wealth of Two Nations: The U.S. Racial Wealth Gap, 1860-2020

- Ellora Derenoncourt, Chi Hyun Kim, Moritz Kuhn and Moritz Schularick
- 30100: Gender Pay Gap across Cultures

- Natasha Burns, Kristina Minnick, Jeffry Netter and Laura Starks
- 30099: Dividend Taxes, Firm Growth, and the Allocation of Capital

- Adrien Matray
- 30098: Right-to-Work Laws, Unionization, and Wage Setting

- Nicole Fortin, Thomas Lemieux and Neil Lloyd
- 30097: The Effects of Alcohol Excise Tax Increases by Drinking Level and by Income Level

- Henry Saffer, Markus Gehrsitz and Michael Grossman
- 30096: Inflation Past, Present and Future: Fiscal Shocks, Fed Response, and Fiscal Limits

- John Cochrane
- 30095: Individual Earnings and Family Income: Dynamics and Distribution

- Joseph Altonji, Disa Hynsjo and Ivan Vidangos
- 30094: Expectations Data in Structural Microeconomic Models

- Gizem Kosar and Cormac O'Dea
- 30093: Center Pivot Irrigation Systems as a Form of Drought Risk Mitigation in Humid Regions

- Daniel J. Cooley and Steven Smith
- 30092: Internal Disagreement and Disruptive Technologies

- Joshua Gans
- 30091: A Theory of Visionary Disruption

- Joshua Gans
- 30090: The Effects of Public Housing on Children: Evidence from Colombia

- Adriana Camacho, Valentina Duque, Michael Gilraine and Fabio Sanchez Torres
- 30089: The Rest of the World’s Dollar-Weighted Return on U.S. Treasurys

- Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Hanno Lustig
- 30088: Grads on the Go: Measuring College-Specific Labor Markets for Graduates

- Johnathan G. Conzelmann, Steven W. Hemelt, Brad Hershbein, Shawn M. Martin, Andrew Simon and Kevin Stange
- 30087: Who Holds Sovereign Debt and Why It Matters

- Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy and Karen Lewis
- 30086: Did the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Reduce Profit Shifting by US Multinational Companies?

- Javier Garcia-Bernardo, Petr Janský and Gabriel Zucman
- 30085: New Schools and New Classmates: The Disruption and Peer Group Effects of School Reassignment

- Darryl V. Hill, Rodney P. Hughes, Matthew A. Lenard, David D. Liebowitz and Lindsay C. Page
- 30084: Causal Inference During a Pandemic: Evidence on the Effectiveness of Nebulized Ibuprofen as an Unproven Treatment for COVID-19 in Argentina

- Sebastian Calonico, Rafael Di Tella and Juan Cruz Lopez Del Valle
- 30083: Robbing Peter to Pay Paul? The Redistribution of Wealth Caused by Rent Control

- Kenneth Ahern and Marco Giacoletti
- 30082: Decarbonization and Electrification in the Long Run

- Stephen Holland, Erin Mansur and Andrew Yates
- 30081: Creating American Farmland: Governance Institutions and Investment in Agricultural Drainage

- Eric Edwards and Walter N. Thurman
- 30080: Producer Beliefs and Conservation: The Impact of Perceived Water Scarcity on Irrigation Technology Adoption

- Joey Blumberg, Christopher Goemans and Dale Manning
- 30079: The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?

- Alberto Alesina and Marco Tabellini
- 30078: The “College Gap” in Marriage and Children’s Family Structure

- Melissa Kearney
- 30077: Creative Destruction? Impact of E-Commerce on the Retail Sector

- Sudheer Chava, Alexander Oettl, Manpreet Singh and Linghang Zeng
- 30076: A Penny for Your Thoughts

- W Hanlon, Stephan Heblich, Ferdinando Monte and Martin Schmitz
- 30075: Boundary Discontinuity Methods and Policy Spillovers

- Ekaterina S. Jardim, Mark Long, Robert Plotnick, Emma van Inwegen, Jacob Vigdor and Hilary Wething
- 30074: The Labor Market Impacts of Technological Change: From Unbridled Enthusiasm to Qualified Optimism to Vast Uncertainty

- David Autor
- 30073: The Endowment Effect and Collateralized Loans

- Kevin Carney, Michael Kremer, Xinyue Lin and Gautam Rao
- 30072: A Structural Approach to High-Frequency Event Studies: The Fed and Markets as Case History

- Francesco Bianchi, Sydney Ludvigson and Sai Ma
- 30071: Idiosyncrasy as a Leading Indicator

- Randall Morck, Bernard Yeung and Lu Y. Zhang
- 30070: The Crime Effect of Refugees

- Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel, Naci Mocan, Semih Tumen and Belgi Turan
- 30069: Agricultural Crises and Government Responses Between the World Wars in the Atlantic Trading Network

- Price Fishback
- 30068: Urban Sprawl and Social Capital: Evidence from Indonesian Cities

- Andrea Civelli, Arya Gaduh, Alexander Rothenberg and Yao Wang
- 30067: Safety Nets and Social Welfare Expenditures in World Economic History

- Price Fishback
- 30066: Markets, Governments, and the Institutional Structure of Social Welfare Expenditures in the United States and Sweden in the 20th Century

- Price Fishback
- 30065: Bayesian Persuasion with Lie Detection

- Florian Ederer and Weicheng Min
- 30064: Reserve System Design for Allocation of Scarce Medical Resources in a Pandemic: Some Perspectives from the Field

- Parag Pathak, Govind Persad, Tayfun Sönmez and Utku Unver
- 30063: Safeguarding Consumers Through Minimum Quality Standards: Milk Inspections and Urban Mortality, 1880-1910

- D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles, Michael McKelligott and Daniel Rees
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