NBER Working Papers

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30027: Local Carbon Policy

José-Luis Cruz and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

30026: Uncertainty Shocks, Capital Flows, and International Risk Spillovers

Ozge Akinci, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Albert Queralto

30025: State Dependent Government Spending Multipliers: Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity and Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations

Yoon Jo and Sarah Zubairy

30024: Government Debt and Capital Accumulation in an Era of Low Interest Rates

N. Gregory Mankiw

30023: Q-Monetary Transmission

Priit Jeenas and Ricardo Lagos

30022: Data and Markups: A Macro-Finance Perspective

Jan Eeckhout and Laura Veldkamp

30021: Analyzing the Agenda of the U.K. Parliament Over the Long Run

W Hanlon

30020: International Trade and the Environment: Three Remaining Empirical Challenges

Jevan Cherniwchan and M. Scott Taylor

30019: Population, Productivity, and Sustainable Consumption

Robert Pindyck

30018: Top Income Inequality and Tax Policy

Isaac Delestre, Wojciech Kopczuk, Helen Miller and Kate Smith

30017: Aligned with Whom? Direct and Social Goals for AI Systems

Anton Korinek and Avital Balwit

30016: The Dynamic Impact of Market Integration: Evidence from Renewable Energy Expansion in Chile

Luis Edwin Gonzales Carrasco, Koichiro Ito and Mar Reguant

30015: Bunching and Taxing Multidimensional Skills

Job Boerma, Aleh Tsyvinski and Alexander P. Zimin

30014: Weighted-Average Quantile Regression

Denis Chetverikov, Yukun Liu and Aleh Tsyvinski

30013: The Marginal Propensity to Consume in Heterogeneous Agent Models

Greg Kaplan and Giovanni Violante

30012: Credibility and Explicit Inflation Targeting

Robert King and Yang K. Lu

30011: The Long-Run Effects of Psychotherapy on Depression, Beliefs, and Economic Outcomes

Bhargav Bhat, Jonathan de Quidt, Johannes Haushofer, Vikram H. Patel, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach and Pierre-Luc P. Vautrey

30010: The Consequences of Remote and Hybrid Instruction During the Pandemic

Dan Goldhaber, Thomas J. Kane, Andrew McEachin, Emily Morton, Tyler Patterson and Doug Staiger

30009: Sanctions and the Exchange Rate

Oleg Itskhoki and Dmitry Mukhin

30008: Automatic Tax Filing: Simulating a Pre-Populated Form 1040

Lucas Goodman, Katherine Lim, Bruce Sacerdote and Andrew Whitten

30007: Measuring Valuation of Liquidity with Penalized Withdrawals

David Coyne, Itzik Fadlon and Tommaso Porzio

30006: Cryptocurrencies and Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

Igor Makarov and Antoinette Schoar

30005: On Criteria for Evaluating Social Programs

Jorge Luis Garcia and James Heckman

30004: A Tale of Two Networks: Common Ownership and Product Market Rivalry

Florian Ederer and Bruno Pellegrino

30003: Faith and Assimilation: Italian Immigrants in the US

Stefano Gagliarducci and Marco Tabellini

30002: Complexity and Satisficing: Theory with Evidence from Chess

Yuval Salant and Jörg Spenkuch

30001: Values as Luxury Goods and Political Polarization

Benjamin Enke, Mattias K Polborn and Alex Wu

30000: The US COVID-19 Baby Bust and Rebound

Melissa Kearney and Phillip Levine

29999: Is the American Soft Power a Casualty of the Trade War?

Haichao Fan, Yichuan Hu, Lixin Tang and Shang-Jin Wei

29998: The Inverse Hyperbolic Sine Transformation and Retransformed Marginal Effects

Edward Norton

29997: Generalized Separability and Integrability: Consumer Demand with a Price Aggregator

Thibault Fally

29996: AI Adoption in a Competitive Market

Joshua Gans

29995: AI Adoption in a Monopoly Market

Joshua Gans

29994: Climate Regulatory Risk and Corporate Bonds

Lee Seltzer, Laura Starks and Qifei Zhu

29993: Demand Analysis under Latent Choice Constraints

Nikhil Agarwal and Paulo J. Somaini

29992: Dangerous Prescribing and Healthcare Fragmentation: Evidence from Opioids

Keith Marzilli Ericson, Adam Sacarny and R. Annetta Zhou

29991: Property Rights in Historical Political Economy: When do Wedges Wither?

Lee Alston and Bernardo Mueller

29990: Measuring Knowledge and Learning

James Heckman and Jin Zhou

29989: On Wars, Sanctions and Sovereign Default

Javier Bianchi and Cesar Sosa-Padilla

29988: Why Does Disability Increase During Recessions? Evidence from Medicare

Colleen Carey, Nolan H. Miller and David Molitor

29987: Who Protests, What Do They Protest, and Why?

Erica Chenoweth, Barton Hamilton, Hedwig Lee, Nicholas Papageorge, Stephen P. Roll and Matthew V. Zahn

29986: The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers

Ethan M. L. McClure, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

29985: Investing in Early Childhood Development in Preschool and at Home

Greg Duncan, Ariel Kalil, Magne Mogstad and Mari Rege

29984: Collective Hold-Up

Matias Iaryczower and Santiago Oliveros

29983: The Opioid Crisis, Health, Healthcare, and Crime: A Review Of Quasi-Experimental Economic Studies

Johanna Maclean, Justine Mallatt, Christopher Ruhm and Kosali Simon

29982: The Fed's International Dollar Liquidity Facilities: New Evidence on Effects

Linda Goldberg and Fabiola Ravazzolo

29981: The Design of Defined Contribution Plans

Vivek Bhattacharya and Gastón Illanes

29980: AI, Trade and Creative Destruction: A First Look

Daniel Trefler and Ruiqi Sun

29979: Educational Inequality*

Joanne Blanden, Matthias Doepke and Jan Stuhler

29978: Should Copula Endogeneity Correction Include Generated Regressors for Higher-order Terms? No, It Hurts

Yi Qian, Hui Xie and Anthony Koschmann

29977: Expectations Data in Asset Pricing

Klaus Adam and Stefan Nagel

29976: A Linear Panel Model with Heterogeneous Coefficients and Variation in Exposure

Liyang Sun and Jesse Shapiro

29975: The New Corporate Governance

Oliver Hart and Luigi Zingales

29974: Understanding the Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Women

Claudia Goldin

29973: The Trade Reform Wave of 1985-1995

Douglas Irwin

29972: An Evaluation of the Paycheck Protection Program Using Administrative Payroll Microdata

David Autor, David Cho, Leland Crane, Mita Goldar, Byron Lutz, Joshua K. Montes, William Peterman, David D. Ratner, Daniel Villar Vallenas and Ahu Yildirmaz

29971: The Narrow Channel of Quantitative Easing: Evidence from YCC Down Under

David Lucca and Jonathan Wright

29970: Causal Effects of Countercyclical Interest Rates: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard

Kris James Mitchener and Goncalo Pina

29969: The Demand For Protection and the Persistently High Rates of Gun Violence Among Young Black Males

William Evans and Maciej Kotowski

29968: Are Cryptocurrencies Currencies? Bitcoin as Legal Tender in El Salvador

Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente and Diana Van Patten

29967: Interdependent Preferences and the Mitigation of Market Failure

Geoffrey Heal

29966: Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability

Matias Iaryczower, Adam Meirowitz and Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma

29965: Representation Failure

Matias Iaryczower, Sergio Montero and Galileu Kim

29964: What the Students for Fair Admissions Cases Reveal About Racial Preferences

Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler and Tyler Ransom

29963: Is the Price Right? The Role of Economic Tradeoffs in Explaining Reactions to Price Surges

Julio Elias, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis

29962: Learning Through Imitation: an Experiment

Marina Agranov, Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma, Philipp Strack and Omer Tamuz

29961: Optimal Taxation of Risky Entrepreneurial Capital

Corina Boar and Matthew Knowles

29960: Neighborhood Choice After COVID: The Role of Rents, Amenities, and Work-From-Home

Fernando Ferreira and Maisy Wong

29959: Pharmacy Benefit Managers and Vertical Relationships in Drug Supply: State of Current Research

Zarek Brot-Goldberg, Catherine Che and Benjamin R. Handel

29958: Pandemic-Era Uncertainty

Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Jose Maria Barrero, Steven Davis, David Altig and Nicholas Bloom

29957: Asymmetric Investment Rates

Hang Bai, Xuenan Li, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

29956: The Anatomy of U.S. Sick Leave Schemes: Evidence from Public School Teachers

Christopher Cronin, Matthew Harris and Nicolas Ziebarth

29955: Modeling the Great Recession as a Bank Panic: Challenges

Lawrence Christiano, Husnu Dalgic and Xiaoming Li

29954: The Inherent Trade-Off Between the Environmental and Anti-Poverty Goals of Payments for Ecosystem Services

Seema Jayachandran

29953: Partially Linear Models under Data Combination

Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Christophe Gaillac and Arnaud Maurel

29952: Air Pollution and the Labor Market: Evidence from Wildfire Smoke

Mark Borgschulte, David Molitor and Eric Zou

29951: A Comparative Perspective on Long-Term Care Systems

Rainer Kotschy and David Bloom

29950: Additive Growth

Thomas Philippon

29949: Cohort Effects on Expected Co-Movement

William Goetzmann, Akiko Watanabe and Masahiro Watanabe

29948: The Economics of Fertility: A New Era

Matthias Doepke, Anne Hannusch, Fabian Kindermann and Michele Tertilt

29947: Increasing the Demand for Workers with a Criminal Record

Zoe B. Cullen, Will S. Dobbie and Mitchell Hoffman

29946: Trends in Retirement and Retirement Income Choices by TIAA Participants: 2000–2018

Jeffrey Brown, James Poterba and David P. Richardson

29945: Measuring Firm Activity from Outer Space

Katarzyna Bilicka and André Seidel

29944: The Savings Glut of the Old: Population Aging, the Risk Premium, and the Murder-Suicide of the Rentier

Joseph Kopecky and Alan Taylor

29943: US Sanctions Reinforce the Dollar’s Dominance

Michael Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau and Peter Garber

29942: Who is Neoliberal? Durkheimian Individualism and Support for Market Mechanisms

Augustin Landier and David Thesmar

29941: The Impact of U.S.-China Tensions on U.S. Science

Ruixue Jia, Margaret E. Roberts, Ye Wang and Eddie Yang

29940: Guns, Privacy, and Crime

Alessandro Acquisti and Catherine Tucker

29939: A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification

Michael Bauer and Eric Swanson

29938: Independent Regulators and Financial Stability: Evidence from Gubernatorial Campaigns and a Progressive Era Policy Experiment

Marco Del Angel and Gary Richardson

29937: Stubborn Beliefs in Search Equilibrium

Guido Menzio

29936: Programming FPGAs for Economics: An Introduction to Electrical Engineering Economics

Bhagath Cheela, André DeHon, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Alessandro Peri

29935: Heterogeneity in Place Effects on Health: The Case of Time Preferences and Adolescent Obesity

Ashlesha Datar, Nancy Nicosia and Anya Samek

29934: Optimal Exploration and Price Paths of a Non-renewable Commodity with Stochastic Discoveries

Ivar Ekeland, Wolfram Schlenker, Peter Tankov and Brian Wright

29933: Returns to Different Postsecondary Investments: Institution Type, Academic Programs, and Credentials

Michael Lovenheim and Jonathan Smith

29932: Substance Abuse during the Pandemic: Implications for Labor-Force Participation

Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen Kopecky

29931: A p Theory of Taxes and Debt Management

Wei Jiang, Thomas Sargent, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

29930: Intimate Partner Violence and Income: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Earned Income Tax Credit

Resul Cesur, Núria Rodriguez-Planas, Jennifer Roff and David Simon

29929: A Minimalist Model for the Ruble During the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Guido Lorenzoni and Iván Werning

29928: A Final Report Card on the States’ Response to COVID-19

Phil Kerpen, Stephen Moore and Casey Mulligan