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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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27162: College Achievement and Attainment Gaps: Evidence from West Point Cadets Downloads
Dario Cestau, Dennis Epple, Richard Romano, Holger Sieg and Carl Wojtaszek
27161: When Coercive Economies Fail: The Political Economy of the US South After the Boll Weevil Downloads
James Feigenbaum, Soumyajit Mazumder and Cory Smith
27160: Earnings Expectations in the COVID Crisis Downloads
Augustin Landier and David Thesmar
27159: The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession Downloads
Tomaz Cajner, Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz and Ahu Yildirmaz
27158: Zombie Credit and (Dis-)Inflation: Evidence from Europe Downloads
Viral Acharya, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert and Christian Eufinger
27157: Poverty, Depression, and Anxiety: Causal Evidence and Mechanisms Downloads
Matthew Ridley, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach and Vikram H. Patel
27156: The Winners and Losers of Immigration: Evidence from Linked Historical Data Downloads
Joseph Price, Christian vom Lehn and Riley Wilson
27155: Prospect Theory and Stock Market Anomalies Downloads
Nicholas C. Barberis, Lawrence Jin and Baolian Wang
27154: The Gender Gap in Tech & Competitive Work Environments? Field Experimental Evidence from an Internet-of-Things Product Development Platform Downloads
Kevin Boudreau and Nilam Kaushik
27153: Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders Downloads
William Easterly and Steven Pennings
27152: Supply and Demand in Disaggregated Keynesian Economies with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis Downloads
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi
27151: Machine Learning in Gravity Models: An Application to Agricultural Trade Downloads
Munisamy Gopinath, Feras A. Batarseh and Jayson Beckman
27150: How Resilient is Venture-Backed Innovation? Evidence from Four Decades of U.S. Patenting Downloads
Sabrina T. Howell, Josh Lerner, Ramana Nanda and Richard R. Townsend
27149: Systemic Credit Freezes in Financial Lending Networks Downloads
Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar, James Siderius and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi
27148: Trade in Technology: A Potential Solution to the Food Security Challenges of the 21st Century Downloads
Thomas Hertel, Uris L.C. Baldos and Keith Fuglie
27147: The Impact of Retaliatory Tariffs on Agricultural and Food Trade Downloads
Colin Carter and Sandro Steinbach
27146: Kill Zone Downloads
Sai Krishna Kamepalli, Raghuram Rajan and Luigi Zingales
27145: Innovation and Entrepreneurship in the Energy Sector Downloads
David Popp, Jacquelyn Pless, Ivan Haščič and Nick Johnstone
27144: Measuring Real Consumption and CPI Bias under Lockdown Conditions Downloads
Walter Diewert and Kevin Fox
27143: Paying It Backward and Forward: Expanding Access to Convalescent Plasma Therapy Through Market Design Downloads
Scott Kominers, Parag Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez and Utku Unver
27142: The Use of Group-Level Approaches to Environmental and Natural Resource Policy Downloads
Matthew Kotchen and Kathleen Segerson
27141: The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending Downloads
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
27140: Entry vs. Rents: Aggregation with Economies of Scale Downloads
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi
27139: The Darwinian Returns to Scale Downloads
David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi and Kunal Sangani
27138: Paid sick-leave and physical mobility: Evidence from the United States during a pandemic Downloads
Martin Andersen, Johanna Maclean, Michael Pesko and Kosali Simon
27137: COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock Downloads
Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis
27136: What Keeps Stablecoins Stable? Downloads
Richard Lyons and Ganesh Viswanath-Natraj
27135: Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing Downloads
Steve Cicala, Stephen Holland, Erin Mansur, Nicholas Muller and Andrew Yates
27134: Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity Downloads
Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Nora Lamersdorf and Farzad Saidi
27133: Trade and Welfare (Across Local Labor Markets) Downloads
Ryan Kim and Jonathan Vogel
27132: Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses Downloads
Laura Montenovo, Xuan Jiang, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian Schmutte, Kosali Simon, Bruce Weinberg and Coady Wing
27131: The First Weeks of the Coronavirus Crisis: Who Got Hit, When and Why? Evidence from Norway Downloads
Annette Alstadsæter, Bernt Bratsberg, Gaute Eielsen, Wojciech Kopczuk, Simen Markussen, Oddbjørn Raaum and Knut Røed
27130: Does Biology Drive Child Penalties? Evidence from Biological and Adoptive Families Downloads
Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais and Jakob Søgaard
27129: International Equity and Debt Flows: Composition, Crisis, and Controls Downloads
Chang Ma and Shang-Jin Wei
27128: Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities Downloads
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Charles Jones
27127: Is the Cure Worse than the Problem Itself? Immediate Labor Market Effects of COVID-19 Case Rates and School Closures in the U.S Downloads
Felipe Lozano Rojas, Xuan Jiang, Laura Montenovo, Kosali Simon, Bruce Weinberg and Coady Wing
27126: Does Information Disclosure Improve Consumer Knowledge? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment of Restaurant Menu Calorie Labels Downloads
John Cawley, Alex M. Susskind and Barton Willage
27125: The Effects of Need-Based Financial Aid on Employment and Earnings: Experimental Evidence from the Fund for Wisconsin Scholars Downloads
Deven E. Carlson, Alex Schmidt, Sarah Souders and Barbara Wolfe
27124: Covid-19, Shelter-In Place Strategies and Tipping Downloads
Zhihan Cui, Geoffrey Heal and Howard Kunreuther
27123: The Wealth of Generations, With Special Attention to the Millennials Downloads
William Gale, Hilary Gelfond, Jason J. Fichtner and Benjamin H. Harris
27122: The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis Downloads
Nir Jaimovich, Itay Saporta-Eksten, Henry Siu and Yaniv Yedid-Levi
27121: COVID-19 and the Welfare Effects of Reducing Contagion Downloads
Robert Pindyck
27120: The Value of Health Insurance during a Crisis: Effects of Medicaid Implementation on Pandemic Influenza Mortality Downloads
Karen Clay, Joshua Lewis, Edson Severnini and Xiao Wang
27119: A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics Downloads
Peter Lin and Christopher Meissner
27118: Transfers vs Credit Policy: Macroeconomic Policy Trade-offs during Covid-19 Downloads
Saki Bigio, Mengbo Zhang and Eduardo Zilberman
27117: The Effect of Changes in Alcohol Tax Differentials on Alcohol Consumption Downloads
Markus Gehrsitz, Henry Saffer and Michael Grossman
27116: The Fiscal Theory of Price Level with a Bubble Downloads
Markus Brunnermeier, Sebastian A. Merkel and Yuliy Sannikov
27115: Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections Downloads
George Hall and Thomas Sargent
27114: The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment Downloads
Mary Amiti, Sang Hoon Kong and David Weinstein
27113: The Macroprudential Role of Stock Markets Downloads
Kyriakos T. Chousakos, Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordonez
27112: Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength Downloads
Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini and Leonardo Melosi
27111: An Economic Approach to Regulating Algorithms Downloads
Ashesh Rambachan, Jon Kleinberg, Sendhil Mullainathan and Jens Ludwig
27110: Social Security Wealth, Inequality, and Lifecycle Saving Downloads
John Sabelhaus and Alice Henriques Volz
27109: Taxation and Innovation: What Do We Know? Downloads
Ufuk Akcigit and Stefanie Stantcheva
27108: The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models Downloads
Geert Bekaert, Eric Engstrom and Andrey Ermolov
27107: Education and Innovation: The Long Shadow of the Cultural Revolution Downloads
Zhangkai Huang, Gordon Phillips, Jialun Yang and Yi Zhang
27106: How Valuable is Financial Flexibility when Revenue Stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis Downloads
Ruediger Fahlenbrach, Kevin Rageth and René M. Stulz
27105: Pandemic Recession: L or V-Shaped? Downloads
Victoria Gregory, Guido Menzio and David Wiczer
27104: The Macroeconomics of Testing and Quarantining Downloads
Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt
27103: Do Youth Employment Programs Work? Evidence from the New Deal Downloads
Anna Aizer, Shari Eli, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Keyoung Lee
27102: Optimal Targeted Lockdowns in a Multi-Group SIR Model Downloads
Daron Acemoglu, Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Werning and Michael Whinston
27101: Early Life Shocks, Market Adjustments, and Black-White Inequality Downloads
Karen Clay and Ethan J. Schmick
27100: Inequality of Fear and Self-Quarantine: Is There a Trade-off between GDP and Public Health? Downloads
Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee and Yongseok Shin
27099: Health vs. Wealth? Public Health Policies and the Economy During Covid-19 Downloads
Peter Lin and Christopher Meissner
27098: Office Visits Preventing Emergency Room Visits: Evidence From the Flint Water Switch Downloads
Shooshan Danagoulian, Daniel S. Grossman and David Slusky
27097: Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments Downloads
Scott Baker, R. A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel and Constantine Yannelis
27096: Employer Policies and the Immigrant-Native Earnings Gap Downloads
Benoit Dostie, Jiang Li, David Card and Daniel Parent
27095: Did the Paycheck Protection Program Hit the Target? Downloads
João Granja, Christos Makridis, Constantine Yannelis and Eric Zwick
27094: A New Method for Estimating Teacher Value-Added Downloads
Michael Gilraine, Jiaying Gu and Robert McMillan
27093: Expected Profits and The Scientific Novelty of Innovation Downloads
David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite and Manuel Hermosilla
27092: Measuring the Perceived Liquidity of the Corporate Bond Market Downloads
Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam
27091: When Do Shelter-in-Place Orders Fight COVID-19 Best? Policy Heterogeneity Across States and Adoption Time Downloads
Dhaval Dave, Andrew Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa and Joseph J. Sabia
27090: Dropouts Need Not Apply? The Minimum Wage and Skill Upgrading Downloads
Jeffrey Clemens, Lisa Kahn and Jonathan Meer
27089: Do Differences in School Quality Generate Heterogeneity in the Causal Returns to Education? Downloads
Philip DeCicca and Harry Krashinsky
27088: Dissecting Mechanisms of Financial Crises: Intermediation and Sentiment Downloads
Arvind Krishnamurthy and Wenhao Li
27087: Personalized Pricing and the Value of Time: Evidence from Auctioned Cab Rides Downloads
Nicholas Buchholz, Laura Doval, Jakub Kastl, Filip Matejka and Tobias Salz
27086: Ambiguous Pollution Response to COVID-19 in China Downloads
Douglas Almond, Xinming Du and Shuang Zhang
27085: Which Workers Bear the Burden of Social Distancing? Downloads
Simon Mongey, Laura Pilossoph and Alex Weinberg
27084: Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool Downloads
Fabio Ghironi and Galip Ozhan
27083: Steering Incentives of Platforms: Evidence from the Telecommunications Industry Downloads
Brian McManus, Aviv Nevo, Zachary Nolan and Jonathan W. Williams
27082: Global Behaviors and Perceptions at the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Thiemo Fetzer, Marc Witte, Lukas Hensel, Jon Jachimowicz, Johannes Haushofer, Andriy Ivchenko, Stefano Caria, Elena Reutskaja, Christopher Roth, Stefano Fiorin, Margarita Gómez, Gordon Kraft-Todd, Friedrich M. Götz and Erez Yoeli
27081: Electricity and Firm Productivity: A General-Equilibrium Approach Downloads
Stephie Fried and David Lagakos
27080: Economics of Research and Innovation in Agriculture Downloads
Petra Moser
27079: Incentivizing Behavioral Change: The Role of Time Preferences Downloads
Shilpa Aggarwal, Rebecca Dizon-Ross and Ariel Zucker
27078: Is the Supply of Charitable Donations Fixed? Evidence from Deadly Tornadoes Downloads
Tatyana Deryugina and Benjamin Marx
27077: Trade Credit and the Transmission of Unconventional Monetary Policy Downloads
Manuel Adelino, Miguel Ferreira, Mariassunta Giannetti and Pedro Pires
27076: Generosity Across the Income and Wealth Distributions Downloads
Jonathan Meer and Benjamin A. Priday
27075: Immigration, Innovation, and Growth Downloads
Konrad Burchardi, Thomas Chaney, Tarek Hassan, Lisa Tarquinio and Stephen Terry
27074: Optimal Bailouts and the Doom Loop with a Financial Network Downloads
Agostino Capponi, Felix C. Corell and Joseph Stiglitz
27073: Religion, Education, and the State Downloads
Samuel Bazzi, Masyhur Hilmy and Benjamin Marx
27072: Geographic Mobility in America: Evidence from Cell Phone Data Downloads
M. Keith Chen and Devin Pope
27071: Team Players: How Social Skills Improve Group Performance Downloads
Ben Weidmann and David Deming
27070: Does Economics Make You Sexist? Downloads
Valentina A. Paredes, M. Daniele Paserman and Francisco Pino
27069: Inequality and the Safety Net Throughout the Income Distribution, 1929-1940 Downloads
James Feigenbaum, Price Fishback and Keoka Grayson
27068: Asian American Discrimination in Harvard Admissions Downloads
Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler and Tyler Ransom
27067: Original Sin and the Great Depression Downloads
Michael Bordo and Christopher Meissner
27066: Mitigating Disaster Risks in the Age of Climate Change Downloads
Harrison Hong, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang
27065: Should the U.S. Government Issue Floating Rate Notes? Downloads
Jonathan Hartley and Urban Jermann
27064: The Long and Short (Run) of Trade Elasticities Downloads
Christoph Boehm, Andrei Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar
27063: Sequential Lifting of COVID-19 Interventions with Population Heterogeneity Downloads
Adriano Rampini
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