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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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27482: Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession Downloads
Francis Diebold
27481: Credit Booms, Financial Crises and Macroprudential Policy Downloads
Mark Gertler, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and Andrea Prestipino
27480: How the Other Half Died: Immigration and Mortality in US Cities Downloads
Philipp Ager, James Feigenbaum, Casper Hansen and Hui Ren Tan
27479: Property Rights without Transfer Rights: A Study of Indian Land Allotment Downloads
Christian Dippel, Dustin Frye and Bryan Leonard
27478: Labor Market Screening and the Design of Social Insurance: An Equilibrium Analysis of the Labor Market for the Disabled Downloads
Naoki Aizawa, Soojin Kim and Serena Rhee
27477: The Microeconomics of Cryptocurrencies Downloads
Hanna Halaburda, Guillaume Haeringer, Joshua Gans and Neil Gandal
27476: The Impressive Effects of Tutoring on PreK-12 Learning: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Experimental Evidence Downloads
Andre Nickow, Philip Oreopoulos and Vincent Quan
27475: Competition and Quality: Evidence from High-Speed Railways and Airlines Downloads
Hanming Fang, Long Wang and Yang Yang
27474: Trade, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy Downloads
Matteo Cacciatore and Fabio Ghironi
27473: Rationing the Commons Downloads
Nicholas Ryan and Anant Sudarshan
27472: Rational Sentiments and Economic Cycles Downloads
Maryam Farboodi and Péter Kondor
27471: The Hidden Costs of Strategic Opacity Downloads
Ana Babus and Maryam Farboodi
27470: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Which Firms Won? Which Lost? Downloads
Alexander Wagner, Richard Zeckhauser and Alexandre Ziegler
27469: Home Prices, Fertility, and Early-Life Health Outcomes Downloads
N. Meltem Daysal, Michael Lovenheim, Nikolaj Siersbæk and David Wasser
27468: Class Rank and Long-Run Outcomes Downloads
Jeffrey Denning, Richard Murphy and Felix Weinhardt
27467: Fixing Misallocation with Guidelines: Awareness vs. Adherence Downloads
Jason Abaluck, Leila Agha, David C. Chan, Daniel Singer and Diana Zhu
27466: Technology Diffusion Downloads
Nancy Stokey
27465: Understanding 100 Years of the Evolution of Top Wealth Shares in the U.S.: What is the Role of Family Firms? Downloads
Andrew Atkeson and Magnus Irie
27464: Optimal Monetary Policy in Production Networks Downloads
Jennifer La'O and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi
27463: The Franchise, Policing, and Race: Evidence from Arrests Data and the Voting Rights Act Downloads
Giovanni Facchini, Brian Knight and Cecilia Testa
27462: The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Owners: The First Three Months after Social-Distancing Restrictions Downloads
Robert Fairlie
27461: The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis Downloads
Efraim Benmelech and Nitzan Tzur-Ilan
27460: Trade Wars, Currency Wars Downloads
Stéphane Auray, Michael Devereux and Aurélien Eyquem
27459: Optimal Illiquidity Downloads
John Beshears, James Choi, Christopher Clayton, Christopher Harris, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian
27458: Physician Characteristics and Patient Survival: Evidence from Physician Availability Downloads
Joseph J. Doyle
27457: Group Testing in a Pandemic: The Role of Frequent Testing, Correlated Risk, and Machine Learning Downloads
Ned Augenblick, Jonathan Kolstad, Ziad Obermeyer and Ao Wang
27456: Political Power, Elite Control, and Long-Run Development: Evidence from Brazil Downloads
Claudio Ferraz, Frederico Finan and Monica Martinez-Bravo
27455: Income-driven Labor Market Polarization Downloads
Diego Comin, Ana Danieli and Martí Mestieri
27454: The Performance of Hedge Fund Performance Fees Downloads
Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru and Andrea Rossi
27453: Towards a Dynamic Disequilibrium Theory with Randomness Downloads
Martin Guzman and Joseph Stiglitz
27452: Personal Wealth and Self-Employment Downloads
Aymeric Bellon, J. Anthony Cookson, Erik P. Gilje and Rawley Heimer
27451: Pandemic Shocks and Fiscal-Monetary Policies in the Eurozone: COVID-19 Dominance During January - June 2020 Downloads
Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin and Joshua Aizenman
27450: Why Retirement, Social Security, and Age Discrimination Policies Need to Consider the Intersectional Experiences of Older Women Downloads
Ian Burn, Patrick Button, Theodore Figinski and Joanne McLaughlin
27449: Social Norms as a Barrier to Women's Employment in Developing Countries Downloads
Seema Jayachandran
27448: Early Evidence on the Impact of COVID-19 and the Recession on Older Workers Downloads
Truc Bui, Patrick Button and Elyce G. Picciotti
27447: Reviving the Salter-Swan Small Open Economy Model Downloads
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe
27446: Measuring Infrastructure in BEA's National Economic Accounts Downloads
Jennifer Bennett, Robert Kornfeld, Daniel Sichel and David Wasshausen
27445: Pollution and Labor Market Search Externalities Over the Business Cycle Downloads
John Gibson and Garth Heutel
27444: Long-Run Effects of Incentivizing Work After Childbirth Downloads
Elira Kuka and Na'ama Shenhav
27443: Is Attention Produced Optimally? Theory and Evidence from Experiments with Bandwidth Enhancements Downloads
Erin Bronchetti, Judd B. Kessler, Ellen Magenheim, Dmitry Taubinsky and Eric Zwick
27442: Do Bank Insiders Impede Equity Issuances? Downloads
Martin Goetz, Luc Laeven and Ross Levine
27441: Optimal Lockdown in a Commuting Network Downloads
Pablo Fajgelbaum, Amit Khandelwal, Wookun Kim, Cristiano Mantovani and Edouard Schaal
27440: Endogenous Quality Investments in the U.S. Hospital Market Downloads
Craig Garthwaite, Christopher Ody and Amanda Starc
27439: Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19 Downloads
Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp and Venky Venkateswaran
27438: Portfolio Delegation and 401(k) Plan Participant Responses to COVID-19 Downloads
David Blanchett, Michael Finke and Jonathan Reuter
27437: Parallel Inverse Aggregate Demand Curves in Discrete Choice Models Downloads
Kory Kroft, René Leal Vizcaíno, Matthew Notowidigdo and Ting Wang
27436: ‘Mechanization Takes Command’: Inanimate Power and Labor Productivity in Late Nineteenth Century American Manufacturing Downloads
Jeremy Atack, Robert Margo and Paul Rhode
27435: Barbarians at the Store? Private Equity, Products, and Consumers Downloads
Cesare Fracassi, Alessandro Previtero and Albert W. Sheen
27434: The Macroeconomics of Sticky Prices with Generalized Hazard Functions Downloads
Fernando E. Alvarez, Francesco Lippi and Aleksei Oskolkov
27433: Do Interactions with Candidates Increase Voter Support and Participation? Experimental Evidence from Italy Downloads
Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons
27432: Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020 Downloads
Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson
27431: The Economic Impacts of COVID-19: Evidence from a New Public Database Built Using Private Sector Data Downloads
Raj Chetty, John Friedman, Michael Stepner and The Opportunity Insights Team
27430: Epidemics in the New Keynesian Model Downloads
Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt
27429: Informality, Consumption Taxes and Redistribution Downloads
Pierre Bachas, Lucie Gadenne and Anders Jensen
27428: Revisiting the Hypothesis of High Discounts and High Unemployment Downloads
Paolo Martellini, Guido Menzio and Ludo Visschers
27427: COVID-19 and the Demand for Online Food Shopping Services: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan Downloads
Hung-Hao Chang and Chad Meyerhoefer
27426: Implications of the Covid-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues Downloads
Jeffrey Clemens and Stan Veuger
27425: Transatlantic Technologies: The Role of ICT in the Evolution of U.S. and European Productivity Growth Downloads
Robert Gordon and Hassan Sayed
27424: Local Polynomial Order in Regression Discontinuity Designs Downloads
Zhuan Pei, David S. Lee, David Card and Andrea Weber
27423: The Changing Risk and Burden of Wildfire in the US Downloads
Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, Jenny Xue, Sam Heft-Neal, Jennifer Burney and Michael Wara
27422: What Jobs are Being Done at Home During the Covid-19 Crisis? Evidence from Firm-Level Surveys Downloads
Alexander Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward Glaeser, Michael Luca and Christopher T. Stanton
27421: Tech Clusters Downloads
William Kerr and Frederic Robert-Nicoud
27420: A Behavioral Explanation for the Puzzling Persistence of the Aggregate Real Exchange Rate Downloads
Mario Crucini, Mototsugu Shintani and Takayuki Tsuruga
27419: Back to Business and (Re)employing Workers? Labor Market Activity During State COVID-19 Reopenings Downloads
Wei Cheng, Patrick Carlin, Joanna Carroll, Sumedha Gupta, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Ian Schmutte, Olga Scrivner, Kosali Simon, Coady Wing and Bruce Weinberg
27418: Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
David Altig, Scott Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Steven Davis, Julia Leather, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nicholas B. Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka and Gregory Thwaites
27417: Misinformation During a Pandemic Downloads
Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher Roth and David Yanagizawa-Drott
27416: Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis Downloads
Zhiguo He, Stefan Nagel and Zhaogang Song
27415: Conservation Co-Benefits from Air Pollution Regulation: Evidence from Birds Downloads
Yuanning Liang, Ivan J. Rudik, Eric Zou, Alison Johnston, Amanda D. Rodewald and Catherine Kling
27414: Food, Fuel and the Domesday Economy Downloads
Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor
27413: Nondogmatic Climate Policy Downloads
Niko Jaakkola and Antony Millner
27412: Betting on the House: Subjective Expectations and Market Choices Downloads
Nicolas Bottan and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
27411: Financial Vulnerability and Risks to Growth in Emerging Markets Downloads
Viral Acharya, Soumya Bhadury and Jay Surti
27410: Biases in Long-Horizon Predictive Regressions Downloads
Jacob Boudoukh, Ronen Israel and Matthew P. Richardson
27409: Salience and Taxation with Imperfect Competition Downloads
Kory Kroft, Jean-William Laliberté, René Leal-Vizcaíno and Matthew Notowidigdo
27408: Black Lives Matter Protests and Risk Avoidance: The Case of Civil Unrest During a Pandemic Downloads
Dhaval Dave, Andrew Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia and Samuel Safford
27407: Racial Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths: Seeking Economic Roots with Census data Downloads
John McLaren
27406: Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations Downloads
Francesco Bianchi, Sydney Ludvigson and Sai Ma
27405: The Effect of Price on Firm Reputation Downloads
Michael Luca and Oren Reshef
27404: From Imitation to Innovation: Where Is all that Chinese R&D Going? Downloads
Michael König, Zheng Michael Song, Kjetil Storesletten and Fabrizio Zilibotti
27403: The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis Downloads
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Philippe Martin and Todd E. Messer
27402: Which Investors Matter for Equity Valuations and Expected Returns? Downloads
Ralph Koijen, Robert Richmond and Motohiro Yogo
27401: The Political Scar of Epidemics Downloads
Barry Eichengreen, Orkun Saka and Cevat Giray Aksoy
27400: Economic Crisis, General Laws, and the Mid-Nineteenth-Century Transformation of American Political Economy Downloads
Naomi R. Lamoreaux and John Joseph Wallis
27399: Managing Households' Expectations with Unconventional Policies Downloads
Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang and Michael Weber
27398: The Growth of Nations Revisited: Global Environmental Accounting from 1998 to 2018 Downloads
Aniruddh Mohan, Nicholas Muller, Akshay Thyagarajan, Randall V. Martin, Melanie S. Hammer and Aaron van Donkelaar
27397: What Accounts for the Rising Share of Women in the Top 1%? Downloads
Richard Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen Jenkins and Roger Wilkins
27396: Predictable Financial Crises Downloads
Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson, Andrei Shleifer and Jakob Ahm Sørensen
27395: Aggregate Effects from Public Works: Evidence from India Downloads
Justin Cook and Manisha Shah
27394: Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment Downloads
Hie Joo Ahn and James Hamilton
27393: Social Distancing and Social Capital: Why U.S. Counties Respond Differently to COVID-19 Downloads
Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Wensi Xie
27392: The Impact of COVID-19 on Student Experiences and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey Downloads
Esteban Aucejo, Jacob F. French, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya and Basit Zafar
27391: What Does and Does Not Correlate with COVID-19 Death Rates Downloads
Christopher Knittel and Bora Ozaltun
27390: Within-Job Wage Inequality: Performance Pay and Job Relatedness Downloads
Rongsheng Tang, Yang Tang and Ping Wang
27389: Dynamics of Markups, Concentration and Product Span Downloads
Elhanan Helpman and Benjamin C. Niswonger
27388: Principal Portfolios Downloads
Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud and Lasse Pedersen
27387: Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations Downloads
Niels Gormsen and Ralph Koijen
27386: Gains from wage Flexibility and the Zero Lower Bound Downloads
Roberto Billi and Jordi Galí
27385: Insider-Outsider Labor Markets, Hysteresis and Monetary Policy Downloads
Jordi Galí
27384: Does Policy Communication During Covid Work? Downloads
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
27383: China’s Import Demand for Agricultural Products: The Impact of the Phase One Trade Agreement Downloads
Robert Feenstra and Chang Hong
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