NBER Working Papers

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31911: The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Leave: Exploiting Forty Years of U.S. Policy Variation

Andrea Flores, George-Levi Gayle and Andrés Hincapié

31910: Automation: Theory, Evidence, and Outlook

Pascual Restrepo

31909: Contingent Credit Under Stress

Viral Acharya, Maximilian Jager and Sascha Steffen

31908: Cost-Sharing in Medical Care Can Increase Adult Mortality: Evidence from Colombia

Giancarlo Buitrago, Javier Amaya-Nieto, Grant Miller and Marcos Vera-Hernandez

31907: Risk-On Risk-Off: A Multifaceted Approach to Measuring Global Investor Risk Aversion

Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman and Christian Lundblad

31906: Schooling and Intergenerational Mobility: Consequences of Expanding Higher Education Institutions

Noemi Katzkowicz, Victor Lavy, Martina Querejeta and Tatiana Rosá

31905: New Views Of Structural Transformation: Insights From Recent Literature

Douglas Gollin and Joseph Kaboski

31904: Sequential Search for Corporate Bonds

Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, Sébastien Plante and Pierre-Olivier Weill

31903: One-Sided Limited Commitment and Aggregate Risk

Yoshiki Ando, Dirk Krueger and Harald Uhlig

31902: Optimal Subsidies for Green Hydrogen Production

Harrison Fell, Stephen P. Holland and Andrew Yates

31901: The High Frequency Effects of Dollar Swap Lines

Rohan Kekre and Moritz Lenel

31900: Evaluating Tax Harmonization

James R. Hines

31899: The Effect of Public Science on Corporate R&D

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon, Larisa C. Cioaca, Lia Sheer and Hansen Zhang

31898: What Do Impact Investors Do Differently?

Shawn Cole, Leslie Jeng, Josh Lerner, Natalia Rigol and Benjamin N. Roth

31897: Learning by Investing: Entrepreneurial Spillovers from Venture Capital

Josh Lerner, Jinlin Li and Tong Liu

31896: Who Bears the Costs of Inflation? Euro Area Households and the 2021–2023 Shock

Filippo Pallotti, Gonzalo Paz-Pardo, Jiri Slacalek, Oreste Tristani and Giovanni Violante

31895: The Impact of Commercial Real Estate Regulations on U.S. Output

Fil Babalievsky, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Lee Ohanian and Edward Prescott

31894: How Do Households Respond to Income Shocks?

Dirk Krueger, Egor Malkov and Fabrizio Perri

31893: What to do when you can't use '1.96' Confidence Intervals for IV

David S. Lee, Justin McCrary, Marcelo Moreira, Jack R. Porter and Luther Yap

31892: The Voting Premium

Doron Y. Levit, Nadya Malenko and Ernst G. Maug

31891: Corporate Debt Structure with Home and International Currency Bias

Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman and Jesse Schreger

31890: The Debauchery of Currency and Inflation: Chile, 1970-1973

Sebastian Edwards

31889: Long-term Care in Denmark

Mette Gørtz, Bent Jesper Christensen and Nabanita Datta Gupta

31888: Heterogeneous and Racialized Impacts of State Incarceration Policies on Birth Outcomes in the U.S

Courtney Boen, Elizabeth Bair, Hedwig Lee and Atheendar Venkataramani

31887: Pandemic-Era Inflation Drivers and Global Spillovers

Julian di Giovanni, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Álvaro Silva and Muhammed A. Yildirim

31886: The Extent of the Market for Early American Bank Notes

Howard Bodenhorn

31885: Importing the Opioid Crisis? International Trade and Fentanyl Overdoses

Timothy Moore, William Olney and Benjamin Hansen

31884: Insurance Coverage and Provision of Opioid Treatment: Evidence from Medicare

Denis Agniel, Jonathan H. Cantor, Johanna Maclean, Kosali I. Simon and Erin Taylor

31883: Ten Facts about Son Preference in India

Seema Jayachandran

31882: Long-term Care Around the World

Jonathan Gruber, Kathleen McGarry and Charles Hanzel

31881: Long-term Care in the United States

Jonathan Gruber and Kathleen McGarry

31880: The Power of Proximity to Coworkers: Training for Tomorrow or Productivity Today?

Natalia Emanuel, Emma Harrington and Amanda Pallais

31879: Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos

31878: Recent Developments in Financial Risk and the Real Economy

Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio

31877: Combinatorial Discrete Choice: A Quantitative Model of Multinational Location Decisions

Costas Arkolakis, Fabian Eckert and Rowan Shi

31876: International Trade Responses to Labor Market Regulations

Mathilde Muñoz

31875: The Economics of Long-Term Care in Canada

Kevin Milligan and Tammy Schirle

31874: Late Bloomers: The Aggregate Implications of Getting Education Later in Life

Zsofia Barany, Moshe Buchinsky and Pauline Corblet

31873: The Environmental Impacts of Protected Area Policy

Mathias Reynaert, Eduardo A. Souza-Rodrigues and Arthur A. van Benthem

31872: A Model of Behavioral Manipulation

Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian and Asuman Ozdaglar

31871: Geographic Variation in Cesarean Sections in the United States: Trends, Correlates, and Other Interesting Facts

Sarah Robinson, Heather Royer and David Silver

31870: Long-term Care in Germany

Johannes Geyer, Axel H. Börsch-Supan, Peter Haan and Elsa Perdrix

31869: One Says Goodbye, Another Says Hello: Turnover and Compensation in the Early Care and Education Sector

Flavio Cunha and Marcos Lee

31868: Identification using Revealed Preferences in Linearly Separable Models

Nikhil Agarwal, Pearl Z. Li and Paulo J. Somaini

31867: The Impact of Right-to-Work Laws on Long Hours and Work Schedules

Rania Gihleb, Osea Giuntella and Jian Qi Tan

31866: Job Transitions and Employee Earnings After Acquisitions: Linking Corporate and Worker Outcomes

David Arnold, Kevin Milligan, Terry Moon and Amirhossein Tavakoli

31865: The Deposit Business at Large vs. Small Banks

Adrien d'Avernas, Andrea Eisfeldt, Can Huang, Richard Stanton and Nancy Wallace

31864: Financial Windfalls, Portfolio Allocations, and Risk Preferences

Joseph S. Briggs, David Cesarini, Sean Chanwook Lee, Erik Lindqvist and Robert Östling

31863: When do Treasuries Earn the Convenience Yield? — A Hedging Perspective

Viral Acharya and Toomas Laarits

31862: Are Swedish House Prices Too High? Why the Price-to-Income Ratio Is a Misleading Indicator

Lars E.O. Svensson

31861: Long-term Care in Italy

Agar Brugiavini, Ludovico Carrino and Giacomo Pasini

31860: Trade Uncertainty and U.S. Bank Lending

Ricardo Correa, Julian di Giovanni, Linda Goldberg and Camelia Minoiu

31859: What Drives Booms and Busts in Value?

John Campbell, Stefano Giglio and Christopher Polk

31858: The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival

Tatyana Deryugina and Julian Reif

31857: Forecasting the Impact of Racial Uprisings, Market versus Stakeholders' Expectations

Bocar A. Ba, Roman Rivera and Alexander Whitefield

31856: Who Invests in Crypto? Wealth, Financial Constraints, and Risk Attitudes

Darren Aiello, Scott Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson and Jason Kotter

31855: Safety Reviews on Airbnb: An Information Tale

Aron Culotta, Ginger Zhe Jin, Yidan Sun and Liad Wagman

31854: Perspectives on the Labor Share

Loukas Karabarbounis

31853: The Long-Term Distributional Impacts of a Full-Year Interleaving Math Program in Nigeria

Lotte van der Haar, Guthrie Gray-Lobe, Michael Kremer and Joost de Laat

31852: A Framework for Geoeconomics

Christopher Clayton, Matteo Maggiori and Jesse Schreger

31851: Implications of Asset Market Data for Equilibrium Models of Exchange Rates

Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Hanno Lustig

31850: What about Japan?

YiLi Chien, Harold Cole and Hanno Lustig

31849: Policymakers' Uncertainty

Anna Cieslak, Stephen Hansen, Michael McMahon and Song Xiao

31848: The Active Role of the Natural Rate of Unemployment

Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

31847: Spillover Effects at School: How Black Teachers affect their White Peers’ Racial Competency

Seth Gershenson, Constance A. Lindsay, Nicholas Papageorge, Romaine A. Campbell and Jessica H. Rendon

31846: Technology and Labor Displacement: Evidence from Linking Patents with Worker-Level Data

Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence D.W. Schmidt and Bryan Seegmiller

31845: Differences in How and Why Social Comparison and Real-Time Feedback Impact Resource Use: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Mark Andor, Lorenz Goette, Michael Price, Anna Schulze Tilling and Lukas Tomberg

31844: Do Two Wrongs Make a Right? Measuring the Effect of Publications on Science Careers

Donna Ginther, Carlos Zambrana, Patricia Oslund and Wan-Ying Chang

31843: Life and Death at the Margins of Society: The Mortality of the U.S. Homeless Population

Bruce Meyer, Angela Wyse and Ilina Logani

31842: Designing Difference in Difference Studies With Staggered Treatment Adoption: Key Concepts and Practical Guidelines

Seth Freedman, Alex Hollingsworth, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing and Madeline Yozwiak

31841: To Go Electric or To Burn Coal? A Randomized Field Experiment of Informational Nudges

Hanming Fang, King King Li and Peiyao Shen

31840: Foreign Competition and Innovation

Elhanan Helpman

31839: Daily Momentum and New Investors in an Emerging Stock Market

Zhenyu Gao, Wenxi Jiang, Wei A. Xiong and Wei Xiong

31838: Fiscal Influences on Inflation in OECD Countries, 2020-2023

Robert Barro and Francesco Bianchi

31837: The A.I. Dilemma: Growth versus Existential Risk

Charles Jones

31836: The Impact of Fake Reviews on Demand and Welfare

Jesper Akesson, Robert W. Hahn, Robert Metcalfe and Manuel Monti-Nussbaum

31835: A Tale of Two Fields? STEM Career Outcomes

Xuan Jiang, Joseph Staudt and Bruce Weinberg

31834: Lagged-Price Reimbursement Contracts: The Impact of Medicare Part B on Pharmaceutical Price Growth

Angelique Acquatella, Keith Marzilli Ericson and Amanda Starc

31833: Risk Preferences Implied by Synthetic Options

Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio

31832: Asset Pricing in a Low Rate Environment

Marlon Azinovic, Harold Cole and Felix Kubler

31831: Do Water Audits Work?

Jesper Akesson, Robert W. Hahn, Rajat Kochhar and Robert Metcalfe

31830: Competition, Harmonization and Redistribution: Corporate Taxes in Switzerland

Marius Brülhart, Marko Koethenbuerger, Matthias Krapf, Raphaël Parchet, Kurt Schmidheiny and David Staubli

31829: Long-term Care in Japan

Rong Fu, Toshiaki Iizuka and Haruko Noguchi

31828: Preemptive Austerity with Rollover Risk

Juan Carlos Conesa and Timothy Kehoe

31827: Partisan Traps

Ethan Bueno de Mesquita and Wioletta Dziuda

31826: Long-term Care in England

James Banks, Eric French and Jeremy McCauley

31825: Universalizing the Access to Long-term Care: Evidence from Spain

Joan Costa-Font, Sergi Jimenez-Martin, Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto and Analía Viola

31824: Tax Policy and the Heterogeneous Costs of Homeownership

Kelly Bishop, Jakob Dowling, Nicolai Kuminoff and Alvin Murphy

31823: Long-term care in the Netherlands

Pieter Bakx, Eddy Van Doorslaer and Bram Wouterse

31822: Greater Than the Sum of Its Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations

Alexander Dietrich, Edward Knotek, Kristian O. Myrseth, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber

31821: Convergent Evolution Toward the Joint-Stock Company

David Le Bris, William Goetzmann and Sébastien Pouget

31820: Hidden Exposure: Measuring US Supply Chain Reliance

Richard Baldwin, Rebecca Freeman and Angelos Theodorakopoulos

31819: Social Insurance and Migration: Evidence from a Nation-Wide Institutional Reform in China

Fanghua Li, Chenyang Ji and Moshe Buchinsky

31818: Does Wage Theft Vary by Demographic Group? Evidence from Minimum Wage Increases

Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Strain

31817: Semiparametric Conditional Factor Models: Estimation and Inference

Qihui Chen, Nikolai Roussanov and Xiaoliang Wang

31816: How Does Medicaid Expansion Impact Income Support Program Participation and Employment for Different Types of People with Disabilities?

Ari Ne'eman and Nicole Maestas

31815: Economic Growth under Transformative AI

Philip Trammell and Anton Korinek

31814: Analyzing Bounded Count Data

John Mullahy

31813: Dirty Air and Green Investments: The Impact of Pollution Information on Portfolio Allocations

Raymond Fisman, Pulak Ghosh, Arkodipta Sarkar and Jian Zhang

31812: The Impact of the Global COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign on All-Cause Mortality

Virat Agrawal, Neeraj Sood and Christopher Whaley