NBER Working Papers

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27362: Determinants of Small Business Reopening Decisions After COVID Restrictions Were Lifted

Dylan Balla-Elliott, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward Glaeser, Michael Luca and Christopher T. Stanton

27361: To Pool or Not to Pool? Security Design in OTC Markets

Vincent Glode, Christian Opp and Ruslan Sverchkov

27360: EMEs and COVID-19: Shutting Down in a World of Informal and Tiny Firms

Laura Alfaro, Oscar Becerra and Marcela Eslava

27359: Gender Differences in COVID-19 Related Attitudes and Behavior: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Eight OECD Countries

Vincenzo Galasso, Vincent Pons, Paola Profeta, Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard and Martial Foucault

27358: The Effect of Foreclosures on Homeowners, Tenants, and Landlords

Rebecca Diamond, Adam Guren and Rose Tan

27357: Geographic and Socioeconomic Heterogeneity in the Benefits of Reducing Air Pollution in the United States

Tatyana Deryugina, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor and Julian Reif

27356: The Impacts of a Prototypical Home Visiting Program on Child Skills

James Heckman, Bei Liu, Mai Lu and Jin Zhou

27355: Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis

Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, David Lindsay, Shuo Liu, Pierre-Olivier Weill and Diego Zúñiga

27354: The search theory of OTC markets

Pierre-Olivier Weill

27353: Corporate Culture as a Theory of the Firm

Gary Gorton and Alexander K. Zentefis

27352: Inflation with Covid Consumption Baskets

Alberto Cavallo

27351: Universal Basic Income: A Dynamic Assessment

Diego Daruich and Raquel Fernandez

27350: Global Trade and Margins of Productivity in Agriculture

Farid Farrokhi and Heitor Pellegrina

27349: How and When to Use the Political Cycle to Identify Advertising Effects

Sarah Moshary, Bradley T. Shapiro and Jihong Song

27348: Old Age Risks, Consumption, and Insurance

Richard Blundell, Margherita Borella, Jeanne Commault and Mariacristina De Nardi

27347: Deciphering the Macroeconomic Effects of Internal Devaluations in a Monetary Union

Javier Andrés, Oscar Arce, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Samuel Hurtado

27346: Information and the Acquisition of Social Network Connections

Toman Barsbai, Victoria Licuanan, Andreas Steinmayr, Erwin Tiongson and Dean Yang

27345: The Rise of US Earnings Inequality: Does the Cycle Drive the Trend?

Jonathan Heathcote, Fabrizio Perri and Giovanni Violante

27344: COVID-19 and Remote Work: An Early Look at US Data

Erik Brynjolfsson, John Horton, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock, Garima Sharma and Hong-Yi TuYe

27343: Coping with Disasters: Two Centuries of International Official Lending

Sebastian Horn, Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

27342: Exchange Rates and Asset Prices in a Global Demand System

Ralph Koijen and Motohiro Yogo

27341: Searching for Approval

Sumit Agarwal, John Grigsby, Ali Hortacsu, Gregor Matvos, Amit Seru and Vincent Yao

27340: Trading Off Consumption and COVID-19 Deaths

Robert Hall, Charles Jones and Peter J. Klenow

27339: An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies

Alessandro Rebucci, Jonathan S. Hartley and Daniel Jiménez

27338: Concentration and Agglomeration of IT Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Patenting

Chris Forman and Avi Goldfarb

27337: Party On: The Labor Market Returns to Social Networks in Adolescence

Adriana Lleras-Muney, Matthew Miller, Shuyang Sheng and Veronica Sovero

27336: Sibling Correlation in Educational Attainment: A Test of Genetic Nurture

John Cawley, Euna Han, Jiyoon Kim and Edward Norton

27335: Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model

Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky and Tao Zha

27334: Cities and Smoking

Michael Darden

27333: Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866-1965

W Hanlon, Casper Hansen and Jake W. Kantor

27332: The Great Disconnect: The Decoupling of Wage and Price Inflation in Japan

Takeo Hoshi and Anil Kashyap

27331: Why Didn't the College Premium Rise Everywhere? Employment Protection and On-the-Job Investment in Skills

Matthias Doepke and Ruben Gaetani

27330: Working Remotely and the Supply-side Impact of Covid-19

Dimitris Papanikolaou and Lawrence Schmidt

27329: Understanding Spatial Variation in COVID-19 across the United States

Klaus Desmet and Romain Wacziarg

27328: Taxes and the Revaluation of Household Wealth

Edward N. Wolff

27327: Belief Elicitation: Limiting Truth Telling with Information on Incentives

David Danz, Lise Vesterlund and Alistair Wilson

27326: Holiday, Just One Day Out of Life: Birth Timing and Post-natal Outcomes

Mireille Jacobson, Maria Kogelnik and Heather Royer

27325: Imperfect Competition and Rents in Labor and Product Markets: The Case of the Construction Industry

Kory Kroft, Yao Luo, Magne Mogstad and Bradley Setzler

27324: Policing the Police: The Impact of "Pattern-or-Practice" Investigations on Crime

Tanaya Devi and Roland Fryer

27323: Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk

Javier Bianchi and Cesar Sosa-Padilla

27322: Are the Effects of Adoption and Termination of Shelter-in-Place Orders Symmetric? Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Dhaval Dave, Andrew Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols and Joseph J. Sabia

27321: The Employment Impact of Green Fiscal Push: Evidence from the American Recovery Act

David Popp, Francesco Vona, Giovanni Marin and Ziqiao Chen

27320: Civic Capital and Social Distancing during the Covid-19 Pandemic

John Barrios, Efraim Benmelech, Yael V. Hochberg, Paola Sapienza and Luigi Zingales

27319: Broad Bracketing for Low Probability Events

Shereen J. Chaudhry, Michael Hand and Howard Kunreuther

27318: Gender Differences in Negotiation: Evidence from Real Estate Transactions

Steffen Andersen, Julie Marx, Kasper Meisner Nielsen and Lise Vesterlund

27317: No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations

Philippe Andrade, Olivier Coibion, Erwan Gautier and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

27316: Weak Credit Covenants

Victoria Ivashina and Boris Vallee

27315: Short-run Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Worker Transitions

Benjamin Cowan

27314: Does Poverty Change Labor Supply? Evidence from Multiple Income Effects and 115,579 Bags

Abhijit Banerjee, Dean Karlan, Hannah Trachtman and Christopher Udry

27313: Monetary Policy with Opinionated Markets

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

27312: My Professor Cares: Experimental Evidence on the Role of Faculty Engagement

Scott Carrell and Michal Kurlaender

27311: Program Recertification Costs: Evidence from SNAP

Tatiana Homonoff and Jason Somerville

27310: Predicting Social Tipping and Norm Change in Controlled Experiments

James Andreoni, Nikos Nikiforakis and Simon Siegenthaler

27309: The Impact of Covid-19 on Small Business Owners: Evidence of Early-Stage Losses from the April 2020 Current Population Survey

Robert Fairlie

27308: Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory

George-Marios Angeletos, Zhen Huo and Karthik A. Sastry

27307: Revenue at Risk in Coal-Reliant Counties

Adele Morris, Noah Kaufman and Siddhi Doshi

27306: Medicaid Expansion and the Mental Health of College Students

Benjamin Cowan and Zhuang Hao

27305: A Liberalization Spillover: From Equities to Loans

Xin Liu, Shang-Jin Wei and Yifan Zhou

27304: What We Know and Don't Know about Climate Change, and Implications for Policy

Robert Pindyck

27303: Plants in Space

Ezra Oberfield, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Pierre Daniel Sarte and Nicholas Trachter

27302: The Long-Run Effects of School Racial Diversity on Political Identity

Stephen Billings, Eric Chyn and Kareem Haggag

27301: Reciprocity versus Reelection

Prateik Dalmia, Allan Drazen and Erkut Ozbay

27300: Search Frictions and Efficiency in Decentralized Transportation Markets

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi, Theodore Papageorgiou and Nicola Rosaia

27299: Social Proximity to Capital: Implications for Investors and Firms

Theresa Kuchler, Yan Li, Lin Peng, Johannes Stroebel and Dexin Zhou

27298: Experimental Evidence on Alternative Policies to Increase Learning at Scale

Annie Duflo, Jessica Kiessel and Adrienne Lucas

27297: The Food Problem and the Aggregate Productivity Consequences of Climate Change

Ishan B. Nath

27296: Founder-CEO Compensation and Selection into Venture Capital-Backed Entrepreneurship

Michael Ewens, Ramana Nanda and Christopher T. Stanton

27295: Wall Street vs. Main Street QE

Eric Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu

27294: Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States

Emily E. Wiemers, Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V. Joseph Hotz, Robert Schoeni and Judith A. Seltzer

27293: Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs

Charles Manski and Aleksey Tetenov

27292: The Anatomy of the Transmission of Macroprudential Policies

Viral Acharya, Katharina Bergant, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert and Fergal McCann

27291: Yield Performance of Corn under Heat Stress: A Comparison of Hybrid and Open-Pollinated Seeds during a Period of Technological Transformation, 1933-1955

Keith Meyers and Paul Rhode

27290: Consumption Insurance in Networks with Asymmetric Information

Orazio Attanasio and Sonya Krutikova

27289: Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty

Michael Barnett, Greg Buchak and Constantine Yannelis

27288: Disguising Prejudice: Popular Rationales as Excuses for Intolerant Expression

Leonardo Bursztyn, Ingar Haaland, Aakaash Rao and Christopher Roth

27287: Spatial Economics for Granular Settings

Jonathan Dingel and Felix Tintelnot

27286: Demand-Side Constraints in Development: The Role of Market Size, Trade, and (In)Equality

Pinelopi Goldberg and Tristan Reed

27285: The Environmental Benefits from Transportation Electrification: Urban Buses

Stephen Holland, Erin Mansur, Nicholas Muller and Andrew Yates

27284: What’s Driving Entrepreneurship and Innovation in the Transport Sector?

Derrick Choe, Alexander Oettl and Robert Seamans

27283: Belief Overreaction and Stock Market Puzzles

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer

27282: India's Lockdown: An Interim Report

Debraj Ray and S. Subramanian

27281: Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis

David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi

27280: Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes

Sumedha Gupta, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian Schmutte, Kosali Simon, Bruce Weinberg and Coady Wing

27279: Post-9/11 War Deployments Increased Crime among Veterans

Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia and Erdal Tekin

27278: Flying or Trapped?

Yunfang Hu, Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura and Ping Wang

27277: Divided We Stay Home: Social Distancing and Ethnic Diversity

Georgy Egorov, Ruben Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin and Maria Petrova

27276: The Welfare Cost of a Current Account Imbalance: A "Clean" Effect

Jungho Lee, Shang-Jin Wei and Jianhuan Xu

27275: Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Gabriel Mihalache

27274: How to Get Away with Merger: Stealth Consolidation and Its Effects on US Healthcare

Thomas G. Wollmann

27273: How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World?

Titan Alon, Minki Kim, David Lagakos and Mitchell VanVuren

27272: Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen Utkus

27271: Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception

Grant Miller, Aureo de Paula and Christine Valente

27270: Common Practice: Spillovers from Medicare on Private Health Care

Michael L. Barnett, Andrew Olenski and Adam Sacarny

27269: Measuring the Effect of Student Loans on College Persistence

David Card and Alex Solis

27268: The Great Migration of Black Americans from the US South: A Guide and Interpretation

William Collins

27267: Dying to Work: Effects of Unemployment Insurance on Health

Alexander Ahammer and Analisa Packham

27266: Reconstructing the Yield Curve

Yan Liu and Jing Cynthia Wu

27265: Framing, Information, and Welfare

Andrew Caplin and Daniel Martin

27264: COVID-19 Doesn't Need Lockdowns to Destroy Jobs: The Effect of Local Outbreaks in Korea

Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee and Yongseok Shin

27263: Breaking Routine for Energy Savings: An Appliance-level Analysis of Small Business Behavior under Dynamic Prices

Jiyong Eom and Frank A. Wolak