NBER Working Papers

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1406: Exchange Rate Determination with Systematic and Unsystematic Policy Regime Changes: Evidence From the Yen/Dollar Rate

John Makin and Raymond Sauer

1405: The Impact of OSHA and EPA Regulation on Productivity

Wayne Gray

1404: An Empirical Evaluation of the Disequilibrium Real Wage Rate Hypothesis

Jacques R. Artus

1403: The Impact of Annuity Insurance on Savings and Inequality

Laurence Kotlikoff, John B. Shoven and Avia Spivak

1402: Nutrition and the Decline in Mortality Since 1700: Some Preliminary Findings

Robert Fogel

1401: The Compliance Cost of the U.S. Individual Income Tax System

Joel Slemrod and Nikki Sorum

1400: Ricardian Consumers With Keynesian Propensities

Robert Barsky, N. Gregory Mankiw and Stephen Zeldes

1399: Risk and Return: Consumption versus Market Beta

N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew Shapiro

1398: Economically Sensible Solutions for Linear Rational Expectations Models with Forward and Backward Looking Dynamic Processes

Michael Mussa

1397: Incentive for the Homogenization of Time Use

Daniel Hamermesh

1396: Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions When Firms Have InformationThat Investors Do Not Have

Stewart C. Myers and Nicholas S. Majluf

1395: Major Changes in Cyclical Behavior

Victor Zarnowitz and Geoffrey H. Moore

1394: The Development and Role of the National Bureau's Business Cycle Chronologies

Geoffrey H. Moore and Victor Zarnowitz

1393: Capital Structure Puzzle

Stewart C. Myers

1392: Are Business Cycles All Alike?

Olivier Blanchard and Mark Watson

1391: The Role of Consumption in Economic Fluctuations

Robert Hall

1390: Household Formations

Patric Hendershott and Marc Smith

1389: Debt, Deficits and Finite Horizons

Olivier Blanchard

1388: An Empirical Model of Wage Indexation Provisions in Union Contracts

David Card

1387: Determinants of Neonatal Mortality Rates in the U.S.: A Reduced Form Model

Hope Corman and Michael Grossman

1386: Was the Transition from the Artisanal Shop to the Non-Mechanized Fctry Assoc. w/Gains in Effcny?: Evdnc. from the U.S. Mnfctr. Censuses of 1820 & 1850

Kenneth Sokoloff

1385: Investment in Fixed and Working Capital During Early Industrialization: Evidence From U.S. Manufacturing Firms

Kenneth Sokoloff

1384: The Heights of Americans in Three Centuries: Some Economic and Demographic Implications

Kenneth Sokoloff

1383: Household Saving: An Econometric Investigation

Patric Hendershott and Joe Peek

1382: Pricing FHA Mortgage Default Insurance

Donald F. Cunningham and Patric Hendershott

1381: Counterfactuals, Forecasts, and Choice-Theoretic Modelling of Policy

Herschel Grossman

1380: Money, The Rate of Devaluation and Interest Rates in a Semi-Open Economy: Colombia 1968-1982

Sebastian Edwards

1379: The Reaction of Reduced-Form Coefficients to Regime Changes: The Case of Interest Rates

Joe Peek and James A. Wilcox

1378: Business Cycles Analysis and Expectational Survey Data

Victor Zarnowitz

1377: Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation

Ray Fair

1376: The Cyclical Behavior of Industrial Labor Markets: A Comparison of the Pre-War and Post-War Eras

Ben Bernanke and James Powell

1375: Optimal Taxation by the Monetary Authority

Carl Walsh

1374: Excess Reserves in the Great Depression

James A. Wilcox

1373: Stabilization Policies and the Information Content of Real Wages

Joshua Aizenman

1372: Bequests and Social Security With Uncertain Lifetimes

Andrew Abel

1371: Inventory Fluctuations in the United States Since 1929

Alan Blinder and Douglas Holtz-Eakin

1370: Pension Plan Integration as Insurance Against Social Security Risk

Robert Merton, Zvi Bodie and Alan Marcus

1369: An Examination of Multijurisdictional Corporate Income Taxes Under Formula Apportionment

Roger Gordon and John Wilson

1368: Ruling Out Productivity? Labor Contract Pages and Plant Performance

Casey Ichniowski

1367: Industrial Relations and Economic Performance Grievances and Productivity

Casey Ichniowski

1366: Fuzzy Frontiers of Production: Evidence of Persistent Inefficiency in Safety Expenditures

Casey Ichniowski

1365: Micro-Production Functions Aren't Pretty: Firm-Level and Industry-Level Specification For Inputs and Outputs

Casey Ichniowski

1364: Post-Retirement Adjustments of Pension Benefits

Steven Allen, Robert L. Clark and Daniel Sumner

1363: Uncertain Lifetimes, Pensions, and Individual Saving

Robert Hubbard

1362: Estimation of a Simultaneous Model of Married Women's Labor Force Participation and Fertility in Urban Japan

Tadashi Yamada and Tetsuji Yamada

1361: Social Security and Household Portfolio Allocation

Robert Hubbard

1360: Concepts and Measures of Earnings Replacement During Retirement

Michael J. Boskin and John B. Shoven

1359: Wage Bargaining, Labor Turnover, and the Business Cycle: A Model with Asymmetric Information

Motty Perry and Gary Solon

1358: The Degree of Fiscal Illusion in Interest Rates: Some Direct Estimates

Joe Peek and James A. Wilcox

1357: The Social Security Student Benefit Program and Family Decisions

Ronald Ehrenberg and Rebecca A. Luzadis

1356: The Asset Price Approach to the Analysis of Capital Income Taxation

Lawrence Summers

1355: A Fiscal Framework for Analysis of Interest Rate Behavior in Open Economies

John Makin

1354: Budget Deficits and Rates of Interest in the World Economy

Jacob A. Frenkel and Assaf Razin

1353: The Economic Effects of Dividend Taxation

James Poterba and Lawrence Summers

1352: Prospective Changes in Tax Law and the Value of Depreciable Real Estate

Patric Hendershott and David Ling

1351: The After Tax Rate of Return Affects Private Savings

Lawrence Summers

1350: Exchange Rates and Taxes

John Makin

1349: Microeconomic Evidence on the Composition of Effective Household SavingsDuring the 1960s and 1970s

Edward Kane

1348: The Effects of Social Security Reforms on Retirement Ages and RetirementIncomes

Gary Fields and Olivia Mitchell

1347: The Inefficiency of Marginal-Cost Pricing and The Apparent Rigidity of Prices

Robert Hall

1346: What Promises Are Worth: The Impact of Affirmative Action Goals

Jonathan Leonard

1345: Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?

N. Gregory Mankiw and Lawrence Summers

1344: Targeted Export Promotion with Several Oligopolistic Industries

Avinash Dixit and Gene Grossman

1343: The 1981-82 Velocity Decline: A Structural Shift in Income or Money Demand?

Robert Gordon

1342: The Roles of the Terms of Trade and Nontraded-Good-Prices in Exchange Rate Variations

Alan Stockman and Harris Dellas

1341: Excess Sensitivity of Consumption to Current Income: Liquidity Constraints or Myopia?

Marjorie A. Flavin

1340: Patents as Options: Some Estimates of the Value of Holding European Patent Stocks

Ariel Pakes

1339: Contracts, Credibility, and Disinflation

Stanley Fischer

1338: Taxation and Pricing of Agricultural and Industrial Goods

Raaj Sah and Joseph Stiglitz

1337: Equilibrium Wage Distributions

Joseph Stiglitz

1336: External Debt, Budget Deficits and Disequilibrium Exchange Rates

Rüdiger Dornbusch

1335: Informational Imperfections in the Capital Market and Macro-Economic Fluctuations

Bruce C. Greenwald, Joseph Stiglitz and Andrew Weiss

1334: The Architecture of Economic Systems: Hierarchies and Polyarchies

Raaj Sah and Joseph Stiglitz

1333: Inflation and Real Interest Rates on Assets with Different Risk Characteristics

John Huizinga and Frederic Mishkin

1332: Measuring Aspects of Fiscal and Financial Policy

Willem Buiter

1331: Regulatory Structure in Futures Markets: Jurisdictional Competition Among the SEC, the CFTC, and Other Agencies

Edward Kane

1330: Recent U.S. Trade Policy and its Global Implications

Robert Baldwin and J. David Richardson

1329: Optimal Wage Indexation, Foreign-Exchange Intervention and Monetary Policy

Joshua Aizenman and Jacob A. Frenkel

1328: Affirmative Action as Earnings Redistribution: The Targeting of Compliance Reviews

Jonathan Leonard

1327: Splitting Blacks?: Affirmative Action and Earnings Inequality within and Across Races

Jonathan Leonard

1326: The Lucas Critique and the Volcker Deflation

Olivier Blanchard

1325: Cyclical Behavior of Prices and Quantities in the Automobile Market

Olivier Blanchard and Angelo Melino

1324: Capital Controls, The Dual Exchange Rate, and Devaluation

Maurice Obstfeld

1323: The Informational Content of Bond Ratings

Louis H. Ederington, Jess B. Yawitz and Brian E. Roberts

1322: Social Security and Pensions

Edward Lazear

1321: Trade Policy, Income, and Employment

Robert Baldwin

1320: Technological and Regulatory Forces in the Developing Fusion of Financial-Services Competition

Edward Kane

1319: Optimal Price Adjustment with Time-Dependent Costs

Joshua Aizenman

1318: The Heights of Europeans Since 1750: A New Source For European Economic History

Roderick Floud

1317: Open-Economy Implications of Two Models of Business Fluctuations

Alan Stockman and Ai Tee Koh

1316: A Reconsideration of the Effects of Unionism on Relative Wages and Employment in the United States, 1920-80

John Pencavel and Catherine E. Hartsog

1315: Funding and Asset Allocation in Corporate Pension Plans: An Empirical Investigation

Zvi Bodie, Jay O. Light, Randall Morck and Robert A. Taggart, Jr.

1314: A Test of Dual Labor Market Theory

William T. Dickens and Kevin Lang

1313: The Effects of Inflation and Money Supply Announcements on Interest Rates

Thomas Urich and Paul Wachtel

1312: Banking and Insurance

Joseph Haubrich and Robert King

1311: Unions and Equal Employment Opportunity

Jonathan Leonard

1310: The Impact of Affirmative Action on Employment

Jonathan Leonard

1309: The Behavior of U.S. Deficits

Robert Barro

1308: Simulating Alternative Social Security Responses to the Demographic Transition

Alan Auerbach and Laurence Kotlikoff

1307: The Demand for International Reserves and Monetary Equilibrium: Some Evidence From Developing Countries

Sebastian Edwards