NBER Working Papers

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31462: Bank Branch Density and Bank Runs

Efraim Benmelech, Jun Yang and Michal Zator

31461: Regulating Transformative Technologies

Daron Acemoglu and Todd Lensman

31460: Mega Firms and New Technological Trajectories in the U.S

Joonkyu Choi, Serguey Braguinsky, Yuheng Ding, Karam Jo and Seula Kim

31459: Globalization and Inequality in Latin America

Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian Kovak

31458: Is the Emphasis on Cofinancing Good for Environmental Multilateral Funds?

Matthew Kotchen and Andrew Vogt

31457: Monopsony, Efficiency, and the Regularization of Undocumented Immigrants

George Borjas and Anthony Edo

31456: Credible Social Planning under Uncertainty

Charles Manski

31455: The Rise in American Pain: The Importance of the Great Recession

Sneha Lamba and Robert Moffitt

31454: The Model T

Shari Eli, Joshua Hausman and Paul Rhode

31453: Everything in Moderation: Separating State Dependence from Unobserved Heterogeneity Between Alcohol and Employment

Monica Deza

31452: Tax Losses and Ex-Ante Offshore Transfer of Intellectual Property

Rishi Sharma, Joel Slemrod and Michael Stimmelmayr

31451: Later-life Mortality and the Repeal of Federal Prohibition

David Jacks, Krishna Pendakur, Hitoshi Shigeoka and Anthony Wray

31450: Caregiving and Labor Supply: New Evidence from Administrative Data

Nicole Maestas, Matt Messel and Yulya Truskinovsky

31449: War and Science in Ukraine

Ina Ganguli and Fabian Waldinger

31448: The Age of Mass Migration in Argentina: Social Mobility, Effects on Growth, and Selection Patterns

Federico Droller, Martin Fiszbein and Santiago Perez

31447: How Replaceable Is a Low-Wage Job?

Evan K. Rose and Yotam Shem-Tov

31446: (Breaking) Intergenerational Transmission of Mental Health

Aline Bütikofer, Rita Ginja, Krzysztof Karbownik and Fanny Landaud

31445: The Effects of Cryptocurrency Wealth on Household Consumption and Investment

Darren Aiello, Scott Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson and Jason Kotter

31444: Getting the Right Tail Right: Modeling Tails of Health Expenditure Distributions

Martin Karlsson, Yulong Wang and Nicolas Ziebarth

31443: Instrumental Variable Methods Reconcile Intention-to-Screen Effects Across Pragmatic Cancer Screening Trials

Joshua Angrist and Peter Hull

31442: Pack-Crack-Pack: Gerrymandering with Differential Turnout

Laurent Bouton, Garance Genicot, Micael Castanheira and Allison Stashko

31441: Policy Diffusion Through Elections

Hitoshi Shigeoka and Yasutora Watanabe

31440: Law-Abiding Immigrants: The Incarceration Gap Between Immigrants and the US-born, 1870–2020

Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan, Elisa Jácome, Santiago Perez and Juan David Torres

31439: Time Use, College Attainment, and The Working-from-Home Revolution

Benjamin Cowan

31438: Political Preferences and Transport Infrastructure: Evidence from California’s High-Speed Rail

Pablo D. Fajgelbaum, Cecile Gaubert, Nicole Gorton, Eduardo Morales and Edouard Schaal

31437: Certification and Recertification in Welfare Programs: What Happens When Automation Goes Wrong?

Derek Wu and Bruce Meyer

31436: Access and Exposure to Local News Media in the Digital Era: Evidence from U.S. Media Markets

Minji Bang, Lucie L'Heude, Andrew Postlewaite and Holger Sieg

31435: The Incidence of Adverse Selection: Theory and Evidence from Health Insurance Choices

Michael Geruso, Timothy Layton and Adam Leive

31434: White Flight from Asian Immigration: Evidence from California Public Schools

Leah Boustan, Christine Cai and Tammy Tseng

31433: Price Level and Inflation Dynamics in Heterogeneous Agent Economies

Greg Kaplan, Georgios Nikolakoudis and Giovanni Violante

31432: What Did UWE Do for Economics?

Tatyana Avilova and Claudia Goldin

31431: Fiscal Procyclicality in Commodity Exporting Countries: How Much Does it Pour and Why?

Francisco Arroyo Marioli and Carlos Vegh

31430: On the Importance of African Traditional Religion for Economic Behavior

Louis Dunia, Aimable Amani Lameke, Nathan Nunn, Max Posch and Raúl Sánchez de la Sierra

31429: The Intergenerational Transmission of Poverty and Public Assistance: Evidence from the Earned Income Tax Credit

Nicardo S. McInnis, Katherine Michelmore and Natasha Pilkauskas

31428: Innovation and Appropriability: Revisiting the Role of Intellectual Property

Filippo Mezzanotti and Timothy Simcoe

31427: Bottlenecks: Sectoral Imbalances and the US Productivity Slowdown

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor and Christina Patterson

31426: Institutions and Global Crop Yields

David Wuepper, Haoyu Wang, Wolfram Schlenker, Meha Jain and Robert Finger

31425: Black Empowerment and White Mobilization: The Effects of the Voting Rights Act

Andrea Bernini, Giovanni Facchini, Marco Tabellini and Cecilia Testa

31424: Sparse Modeling Under Grouped Heterogeneity with an Application to Asset Pricing

Lin Cong, Guanhao Feng, Jingyu He and Junye Li

31423: The Largest Insurance Expansion in History: Saving One Million Lives Per Year in China

Jonathan Gruber, Mengyun Lin and Junjian Yi

31422: Combining Human Expertise with Artificial Intelligence: Experimental Evidence from Radiology

Nikhil Agarwal, Alex Moehring, Pranav Rajpurkar and Tobias Salz

31421: Think Globally, Act Globally: Opportunities to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Rachel Glennerster and Seema Jayachandran

31420: Credit Allocation and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

Karsten Müller and Emil Verner

31419: Nowcasting World Trade with Machine Learning: a Three-Step Approach

Menzie Chinn, Baptiste Meunier and Sebastian Stumpner

31418: Currency Risk Premiums: A Multi-horizon Perspective

Mikhail Chernov and Magnus Dahlquist

31417: What Caused the US Pandemic-Era Inflation?

Olivier Blanchard and Ben Bernanke

31416: Production, Trade, and Cross-Border Data Flows

Qing Chang, Lin Cong, Liyong Wang and Longtian Zhang

31415: Concentration, Market Power, and Misallocation: The Role of Endogenous Customer Acquisition

Hassan Afrouzi, Andres Drenik and Ryan Kim

31414: Competitive Capture of Public Opinion

Ricardo Alonso and Gerard Padró I Miquel

31413: How Good Are Privacy Guarantees? Platform Architecture and Violation of User Privacy

Daron Acemoglu, Alireza Fallah, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian and Asuman Ozdaglar

31412: Effects of the Expanded Child Tax Credit on Household Spending: Estimates Based on U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey Data

Jake Schild, Sophie M. Collyer, Thesia Garner, Neeraj Kaushal, Jiwan Lee, Jane Waldfogel and Christopher T. Wimer

31411: Praying for Rain

José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez, Salvador Gil-Guirado and Nicholas Ryan

31410: The Economics of Tropical Deforestation

Clare A. Balboni, Aaron Berman, Robin Burgess and Benjamin Olken

31409: Choose Your Moments: Peer Review and Scientific Risk Taking

Richard Carson, Joshua Graff Zivin and Jeffrey Shrader

31408: Energy and the Environment in Economic History

Karen Clay

31407: Enhancing Human Capital in Children: A Case Study on Scaling

Francesco Agostinelli, Ciro Avitabile and Matteo Bobba

31406: Sibling Spillovers May Enhance the Efficacy of Targeted School Policies

David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik and Umut Özek

31405: The Dollar in an Era of International Retrenchment

Ryan Chahrour and Rosen Valchev

31404: Who's on (the 1040) First? Determinants and Consequences of Spouses' Name Order on Joint Returns

Emily Y. Lin, Joel Slemrod, Evelyn A. Smith and Alexander Yuskavage

31403: Bridging the Gap: Mismatch Effects and Catch-Up Dynamics in a Brazilian College Affirmative Action

Rodrigo Oliveira, Alei Santos and Edson Severnini

31402: Foreign Residents and the Future of Global Cities

Joao Guerreiro, Sergio Rebelo, Pedro Teles and Miguel Godinho de Matos

31401: Policy Uncertainty Reduces Green Investment

Mengyu Wang, Jeffrey Wurgler and Hong Zhang

31400: Gender-Neutral Language and Gender Disparities

Alma Cohen, Tzur Karelitz, Tamar Kricheli-Katz, Sephi Pumpian and Tali Regev

31399: Exporting Ideology: The Right and Left of Foreign Influence

Pol Antras and Gerard Padró I Miquel

31398: How Do Firms Respond to State Retirement Plan Mandates?

Adam Bloomfield, Kyung Min Lee, Jay Philbrick and Sita Slavov

31397: How Costs Limit Contraceptive Use among Low-Income Women in the U.S.: A Randomized Control Trial

Martha Bailey, Vanessa Wanner Lang, Alexa Prettyman, Iris Vrioni, Lea J. Bart, Daniel Eisenberg, Paula Fomby, Jennifer Barber and Vanessa Dalton

31396: Deposit Regulation and Monetary Transmission in China

Kaiji Chen, Yiqing Xiao and Tao Zha

31395: China's Macroeconomic Development: The Role of Gradualist Reforms

Kaiji Chen and Tao Zha

31394: In-Kind Welfare Benefits and Reincarceration Risk: Evidence from Medicaid

Marguerite Burns and Laura Dague

31393: Design-Based Identification with Formula Instruments: A Review

Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull and Xavier Jaravel

31392: The Impact of Fear on Police Behavior and Public Safety

Sungwoo Cho, Felipe Gonçalves and Emily Weisburst

31391: Treatment for Mental Health and Substance Use: Spillovers to Police Safety

Monica Deza, Thanh Lu, Johanna Maclean and Alberto Ortega

31390: International Trade, Noise Pollution, and Killer Whales

M. Scott Taylor and Fruzsina Mayer

31389: Do Municipal Bond Investors Pay a Convenience Premium to Avoid Taxes?

Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis Longstaff

31388: When Your Bootstraps Are Not Enough: How Demand and Supply Interact to Generate Learning in Settings of Extreme Poverty

Alex Eble and Maya Escueta

31387: The Urban Wage Premium in Historical Perspective

Kyle Butts, Taylor Jaworski and Carl Kitchens

31386: Gold's Value as an Investment

Urban Jermann

31385: Is it the Message or the Messenger? Examining Movement in Immigration Beliefs

Hassan Afrouzi, Carolina Arteaga and Emily K. Weisburst

31384: Identification of Non-Additive Fixed Effects Models: Is the Return to Teacher Quality Homogeneous?

Jinyong Hahn, John Singleton and Neşe Yildiz

31383: Does Anger Drive Populism?

Omer Ali, Klaus Desmet and Romain Wacziarg

31382: Anatomy of the Phillips Curve: Micro Evidence and Macro Implications

Luca Gagliardone, Mark Gertler, Simone Lenzu and Joris Tielens

31381: The Welfare Economics of Reference Dependence

Daniel Reck and Arthur Seibold

31380: Monetary Policy Transmission Through Online Banks

Isil Erel, Jack Liebersohn, Constantine Yannelis and Samuel Earnest

31379: The Impact of Lead Exposure on Fertility, Infant Mortality, and Infant Birth Outcomes

Karen Clay, Alex Hollingsworth and Edson Severnini

31378: Trade Integration, Industry Reallocation, and Welfare in Colombia

George Alessandria and Oscar Avila-Montealegre

31377: Transmission Impossible? Prospects for Decarbonizing the US Grid

Lucas Davis, Catherine Hausman and Nancy Rose

31376: A Welfare Analysis of Tax Audits Across the Income Distribution

William Boning, Nathaniel Hendren, Ben Sprung-Keyser and Ellen Stuart

31375: Who Benefits from a Smaller Honors Track?

Zachary Szlendak and Richard Mansfield

31374: Return on Returns: Building Scientific Capacity in AIDS Endemic Countries

Caroline Fry and Ina Ganguli

31373: Why Do Wages Grow Faster for Educated Workers?

David Deming

31372: How Does Data Access Shape Science? The Impact of Federal Statistical Research Data Centers on Economics Research

Abhishek Nagaraj and Matteo Tranchero

31371: Pricing Neighborhoods

Sadegh Eshaghnia, James Heckman and Goya Razavi

31370: Monetary Policy Operations: Theory, Evidence, and Tools for Quantitative Analysis

Ricardo Lagos and Gaston Navarro

31369: Optimal Public Transportation Networks: Evidence from the World's Largest Bus Rapid Transit System in Jakarta

Gabriel Kreindler, Arya Gaduh, Tilman Graff, Rema Hanna and Benjamin Olken

31368: Chat Over Coffee? Diffusion of Agronomic Practices and Market Spillovers in Rwanda

Esther Duflo, Daniel Keniston, Tavneet Suri and Céline Zipfel

31367: Understanding Trends in Chinese Skill Premiums, 2007-2018

Eric Hanushek, Yuan Wang and Lei Zhang

31366: The Spillover Effects of Top Income Inequality

Joshua Gottlieb, David Hemous, Jeffrey Hicks and Morten G. Olsen

31365: The Historical Impact of Coal on Cities

Karen Clay, Joshua Lewis and Edson Severnini

31364: Screen Now, Save Later? The Trade-Off between Administrative Ordeals and Fraud

Shan Aman-Rana, Daniel W. Gingerich and Sandip Sukhtankar

31363: Foreign Direct Investment, Global Value Chains, and Labor Rights: No Race-to-the-Bottom?

Hyejoon Im and John McLaren