NBER Working Papers

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10780: When it Rains, it Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Policies

Graciela Kaminsky, Carmen Reinhart and Carlos Vegh

10779: Bulls, Bears, and Retirement Behavior

Courtney Coile and Phillip Levine

10778: Markets in China and Europe on the Eve of the Industrial Revolution

Carol Shiue and Wolfgang Keller

10777: Neighborhood Effects on Crime for Female and Male Youth: Evidence from a Randomized Housing Voucher Experiment

Jeffrey Kling, Jens Ludwig and Lawrence Katz

10776: When Can Changes in Expectations Cause Business Cycle Fluctuations in Neo-Classical Settings?

Paul Beaudry and Franck Portier

10775: Corruption and Reform: An Introduction

Edward Glaeser and Claudia Goldin

10774: Compatibility and Pricing with Indirect Network Effects: Evidence from ATMs

Christopher Knittel and Victor Stango

10773: Do Acquirers With More Uncertain Growth Prospects Gain Less From Acquisitions?

Sara B. Moeller, Frederik Schlingemann and René Stulz

10772: Marriage and Divorce since World War II: Analyzing the Role of Technological Progress on the Formation of Households

Jeremy Greenwood and Nezih Guner

10771: The Pre-Producers

Boyan Jovanovic

10770: On the Industry Concentration of Actively Managed Equity Mutual Funds

Marcin Kacperczyk, Clemens Sialm and Lu Zheng

10769: Social Networks and Trade Liberalization

Manish Pandey and John Whalley

10768: The Impact of China on the Exports of Other Asian Countries

Barry Eichengreen, Yeongseop Rhee and Hui Tong

10767: Growth and Ideas

Charles Jones

10766: Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence

Ross Levine

10765: Technological Progress and Economic Transformation

Jeremy Greenwood and Ananth Seshadri

10764: Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation

Thomas Sargent, Noah Williams and Tao Zha

10763: Will Job Testing Harm Minority Workers?

David Autor and David Scarborough

10762: Effects of Child Health on Sources of Public Support

Nancy E. Reichman, Hope Corman and Kelly Noonan

10761: The Optimal Use of Fines and Imprisonment When Wealth is Unobservable

A. Mitchell Polinsky

10760: Optimal Fines and Auditing When Wealth is Costly to Observe

A. Mitchell Polinsky

10759: Explaining Diversities in Age-Specific Life Expectancies and Values of Life Saving: A Numerical Analysis

Isaac Ehrlich and Yong Yin

10758: Patent Licensing and the Research University

Richard Jensen and Marie Thursby

10757: Socioeconomic Status and Medical Care Expenditures in Medicare Managed Care

Kanika Kapur, Jeannette A. Rogowski, Vicki A. Freedman, Steven L. Wickstrom, John L. Adams and Jose J. Escarce

10756: Can Interest Rate Volatility be Extracted from the Cross Section of Bond Yields? An Investigation of Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Christopher Jones and Robert S. Goldstein

10755: Predatory Trading

Markus Brunnermeier and Lasse Pedersen

10754: The Appeals Process and Adjudicator Incentives

Steven Shavell

10753: Sovereign Debt and Repudiation: The Emerging-Market Debt Crisis in the U.S. States, 1839-1843

John Joseph Wallis, Richard E. Sylla and Arthur Grinath

10752: High Performing Asian Economies

Robert Fogel

10751: The Long-Run Volatility Puzzle of the Real Exchange Rate

Ricardo Hausmann, Ugo Panizza and Roberto Rigobon

10750: Rule of Law, Democracy, Openness, and Income: Estimating the Interrelationships

Roberto Rigobon and Dani Rodrik

10749: Once Again, is Openness Good for Growth?

Ha Yan Lee, Luca Ricci and Roberto Rigobon

10748: Why Do Incumbent Senators Win? Evidence from a Dynamic Selection Model

Gautam Gowrisankaran, Matthew Mitchell and Andrea Moro

10747: Targeting Rules vs. Instrument Rules for Monetary Policy: What is Wrong with McCallum and Nelson?

Lars Svensson

10746: Faster, Smaller, Cheaper: An Hedonic Price Analysis of PDAs

Paul D. Chwelos, Ernst R. Berndt and Iain Cockburn

10745: Does the Impact of Managed Care on Substance Abuse Treatment Services Vary By Profit Status?

Jody Sindelar and Todd Olmstead

10744: Effective Labor Regulation and Microeconomic Flexibility

Ricardo Caballero, Kevin Cowan, Eduardo Engel and Alejandro Micco

10743: Multi-Period Corporate Failure Prediction with Stochastic Covariates

Darrell Duffie and Ke Wang

10742: Stealth Compensation Via Retirement Benefits

Lucian Bebchuk and Jesse M. Fried

10741: On the Timing of Innovation in Stochastic Schumpeterian Growth Models

Gadi Barlevy

10740: Disaggregating Employment Protection: The Case of Disability Discrimination

Christine Jolls and J.J. Prescott

10739: The Dynamics of Criminal Behavior: Evidence from Weather Shocks

Brian Jacob, Lars Lefgren and Enrico Moretti

10738: How Does Cost-Sharing Affect Drug Purchases? Insurance Regimes in the Private Market for Prescription Drugs

Avi Dor and William Encinosa

10737: The Value of Life and the Rise in Health Spending

Robert Hall and Charles Jones

10736: The Social Costs of Gun Ownership

Philip J Cook and Jens Ludwig

10735: Labor Market Institutions, Wages, and Investment

Jorn-Steffen Pischke

10734: Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle is the Trend

Mark Aguiar and Gita Gopinath

10733: Neoclassical Growth and the Adoption of Technologies

Diego Comin and Bart Hobijn

10732: Transition Dynamics in Vintage Capital Models: Explaining the Postwar Catch-Up of Germany and Japan

Simon Gilchrist and John Williams

10731: Defaultable Debt, Interest Rates and the Current Account

Mark Aguiar and Gita Gopinath

10730: Welfare vs. Market Access: The Implications of Tariff Structure for Tariff Reform

James Anderson and J. Peter Neary

10729: Empire, Public Goods, and the Roosevelt Corollary

Kris James Mitchener and Marc Weidenmier

10728: Technical Change and the Wage Structure During the Second Industrial Revolution: Evidence from the Merchant Marine, 1865-1912

Aimee Chin, Chinhui Juhn and Peter Thompson

10727: The US Current Account Deficit and Economic Development: Collateral for a Total Return Swap

Michael Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau and Peter Garber

10726: Why Do Countries Matter So Much for Corporate Governance?

René Stulz, Craig Doidge and G. Karolyi

10725: Determinants of Business Cycle Comovement: A Robust Analysis

Marianne Baxter and Michael Kouparitsas

10724: Optimal Operational Monetary Policy in the Christiano-Eichenbaum-Evans Model of the U.S. Business Cycle

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

10723: Exchange Rates and Fundamentals

Charles Engel and Kenneth West

10722: Robin Hood and His Not-So-Merry Plan: Capitalization and the Self-Destruction of Texas' School Finance Equalization Plan

Caroline Hoxby and Ilyana Kuziemko

10721: Negotiating Free Trade

Philippe Aghion, Pol Antras and Elhanan Helpman

10720: The More the Merrier? The Effect of Family Composition on Children's Education

Sandra Black, Paul Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes

10719: Stock Market Trading and Market Conditions

John M. Griffin, Federico Nardari and René Stulz

10718: The Impact of Trade on Intraindustry Reallocation and Aggregate Industry Productivity: A Comment

Richard Baldwin and Frederic Robert-Nicoud

10717: Transboundary Spillovers and Decentralization of Environmental Policies

Hilary Sigman

10716: Corporate Ownership in France: The Importance of History

Antoin E. Murphy

10715: How Much Might Universal Health Insurance Reduce Socioeconomic Disparities in Health? A Comparison of the US and Canada

Sandra L. Decker and Dahlia K. Remler

10714: Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure

Leora Friedberg and Michael Owyang

10713: Long-Term Consequences of Secondary School Vouchers: Evidence from Administrative Records in Colombia

Joshua Angrist, Eric Bettinger and Michael Kremer

10712: CPI Bias from Supercenters: Does the BLS Know that Wal-Mart Exists?

Jerry Hausman and Ephraim Leibtag

10711: Borrowing Constraints, College Aid, and Intergenerational Mobility

Eric Hanushek, Charles Leung and Kuzey Yilmaz

10710: Merger Policy and Innovation: Must Enforcement Change to Account for Technological Change?

Michael Katz and Howard A. Shelanski

10709: The Effect of Malpractice Liability on the Delivery of Health Care

Katherine Baicker and Amitabh Chandra

10708: The Role and Functioning of Public-Interest Legal Organizations in the Enforcement of the Employment Laws

Christine Jolls

10707: Optimal Expectations

Markus Brunnermeier and Jonathan Parker

10706: Interdependent Security: A General Model

Geoffrey Heal and Howard Kunreuther

10705: Abortion Legalization and Lifecycle Fertility

Elizabeth Oltmans Ananat, Jonathan Gruber and Phillip Levine

10704: Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: A Look Back at Past U.S. Stock Market Booms

Michael Bordo and David Wheelock

10703: Why Do Real and Nominal Inventory-Sales Ratios Have Different Trends

Valerie Ramey and Daniel J. Vine

10702: A Common Currency: Early U.S. Monetary Policy and the Transition to the Dollar

Peter Rousseau

10701: The Effect of Mandated State Education Spending on Total Local Resources

Katherine Baicker and Nora Gordon

10700: How Far to the Hospital? The Effect of Hospital Closures on Access to Care

Thomas Buchmueller, Mireille Jacobson and Cheryl Wold

10699: What Did the "Illegitimacy Bonus" Reward?

Sanders Korenman, Ted Joyce, Robert Kaestner and Jennifer Walper

10698: Pairwise Kidney Exchange

Alvin Roth, Tayfun Sönmez and Utku Unver

10697: Overseas Assembly and Country Sourcing Choices

Deborah Swenson

10696: Fixed Exchange Rates and Trade

Michael Klein and Jay Shambaugh

10695: Do Tenured and Tenure-Track Faculty Matter?

Ronald Ehrenberg and Liang Zhang

10694: Budget Windows, Sunsets, and Fiscal Control

Alan Auerbach

10693: The Fiscal Burden of Korean Reunification: A Generational Accounting Approach

Alan Auerbach, Young Jun Chun and Ilho Yoo

10692: Corporate Governance, Economic Entrenchment and Growth

Randall Morck, Daniel Wolfenzon and Bernard Yeung

10691: Maternal Employment and Adolescent Development

Christopher Ruhm

10690: Corporate Tax Evasion with Agency Costs

Keith J. Crocker and Joel Slemrod

10689: Weak and Semi-Strong Form Stock Return Predictability, Revisited

Wayne Ferson, Andrea Heuson and Tie Su

10688: Demand for Illicit Drugs by Pregnant Women

Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan, Nancy E. Reichman and Dhaval Dave

10687: Law and Firms' Access to Finance

Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirguc-Kunt and Ross Levine

10686: The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration

Menzie Chinn and Robert Fairlie

10685: Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from the Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler

10684: What is Discrimination? Gender in the American Economic Association

Stephen Donald and Daniel Hamermesh

10683: Inequality Change in China and (Hukou) Labour Mobility Restrictions

John Whalley and Shunming Zhang

10682: Welfare Migration: Is the Net Fiscal Burden a Good Measure of Its Economic Impact on the Welfare of the Native Born Population?

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

10681: Federal Government Debt and Interest Rates

Eric M. Engen and Robert Hubbard