NBER Working Papers

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28111: The Inexorable Recoveries of Unemployment

Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

28110: Why Is All COVID-19 News Bad News?

Bruce Sacerdote, Ranjan Sehgal and Molly Cook

28109: Has Persistence Persisted in Private Equity? Evidence from Buyout and Venture Capital Funds

Robert S. Harris, Tim Jenkinson, Steven N. Kaplan and Ruediger Stucke

28108: Will the Secular Decline In Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatility Survive COVID-19?

Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

28107: Top-up Design and Health Care Expenditure: Evidence from Cardiac Stents

Ginger Zhe Jin, Hsienming Lien and Xuezhen Tao

28106: The Comparative Impact of Cash Transfers and a Psychotherapy Program on Psychological and Economic Well-being

Johannes Haushofer, Robert Mudida and Jeremy P. Shapiro

28105: Beyond 140 Characters: Introduction to The Role of Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Economic Growth

Michael Andrews, Aaron Chatterji and Scott Stern

28104: Sizing up Corporate Restructuring in the COVID Crisis

Robin Greenwood, Benjamin Iverson and David Thesmar

28103: Ratings-Driven Demand and Systematic Price Fluctuations

Itzhak Ben-David, Jiacui Li, Andrea Rossi and Yang Song

28102: Volatility Expectations and Returns

Lars A. Lochstoer and Tyler Muir

28101: The Antebellum Roots of Distinctively Black Names

Trevon Logan, Lisa Cook and John Parman

28100: Search and Information Frictions on Global E-Commerce Platforms: Evidence from AliExpress

Jie Bai, Maggie Chen, Jin Liu, Xiaosheng Mu and Yi Xu

28099: Social Positions and Fairness Views on Inequality

Kristoffer B. Hvidberg, Claus Kreiner and Stefanie Stantcheva

28098: Designing, not Checking, for Policy Robustness: An Example with Optimal Taxation

Benjamin Lockwood, Afras Y. Sial and Matthew Weinzierl

28097: How New Fed Corporate Bond Programs Dampened the Financial Accelerator in the Covid-19 Recession

Michael Bordo and John Duca

28096: Foreign Currency Borrowing of Corporations as Carry Trades: Evidence from India

Viral Acharya and Siddharth Vij

28095: Building an Epidemiology of Happiness

John F. Helliwell, David Gyarmati, Craig Joyce and Heather Orpana

28094: Twisting the Demand Curve: Digitalization and the Older Workforce

Erling Barth, James Davis, Richard Freeman and Kristina McElheran

28093: Maximize Utility subject to R≤1: A Simple Price-Theory Approach to Covid-19 Lockdown and Reopening Policy

Eric Budish

28092: Aggregate and Distributional Impacts of LTV Policy: Evidence from China's Micro Data

Kaiji Chen, Qing Wang, Tong Xu and Tao Zha

28091: Choice Screen Auctions

Michael Ostrovsky

28090: Dynamic General Equilibrium Modeling of Long and Short-Run Historical Events

Gary D. Hansen, Lee Ohanian and Fatih Ozturk

28089: Propagation and Insurance in Village Networks

Cynthia Kinnan, Krislert Samphantharak, Robert Townsend and Diego Vera Cossio

28088: Going-Concern Debt of Financial Intermediaries

Yueran Ma and José A. Scheinkman

28087: Trade Integration, Global Value Chains, and Capital Accumulation

Michael Sposi, Kei-Mu Yi and Jing Zhang

28086: Can Nudges Increase Take-up of the EITC?: Evidence from Multiple Field Experiments

Elizabeth Linos, Allen Prohofsky, Aparna Ramesh, Jesse Rothstein and Matt Unrath

28085: Optimal Vaccine Subsidies for Endemic and Epidemic Diseases

Matthew Goodkin-Gold, Michael Kremer, Christopher M. Snyder and Heidi Williams

28084: Wages, Hires, and Labor Market Concentration

Ioana Marinescu, Ivan Ouss and Louis-Daniel Pape

28083: Searching, Recalls, and Tightness: An Interim Report on the COVID Labor Market

Eliza Forsythe, Lisa B. Kahn, Fabian Lange and David Wiczer

28082: Do Family Policies Reduce Gender Inequality? Evidence from 60 Years of Policy Experimentation

Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Johanna Posch, Andreas Steinhauer and Josef Zweimüller

28081: From Heterogeneous Firms to Heterogeneous Trade Elasticities: The Aggregate Implications of Firm Export Decisions

Rodrigo Adão, Costas Arkolakis and Sharat Ganapati

28080: Anatomy of Technology in the Firm

Xavier Cirera, Diego Comin, Marcio Cruz and Kyung Min Lee

28079: Sudden Stops and Optimal Foreign Exchange Intervention

Jonathan Davis, Michael Devereux and Changhua Yu

28078: Understanding the Success of the Know-Nothing Party

Marcella Alsan, Katherine Eriksson and Gregory Niemesh

28077: Effects of Welfare Reform on Parenting

Nancy Reichman, Hope Corman, Dhaval Dave, Ariel Kalil and Ofira Schwartz-Soicher

28076: Powering Up Productivity: The Effects of Electrification on U.S. Manufacturing

Martin Fiszbein, Jeanne Lafortune, Ethan Lewis and José Tessada

28075: Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts

Rava Azeredo da Silveira, Yeji Sung and Michael Woodford

28074: Long-term Effects of the Targeting the Ultra Poor Program

Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Garima Sharma

28073: Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?

Matilde Bombardini, Bingjing Li and Francesco Trebbi

28072: Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China

Hanming Fang, Chunmian Ge, Hanwei Huang and Hongbin Li

28071: Internal Deadlines, Drug Approvals, and Safety Problems

Lauren Cohen, Umit Gurun and Danielle Li

28070: Land Quality

J. Vernon Henderson, Adam Storeygard and David Weil

28069: Corporate Governance, Business Group Governance and Economic Development Traps

Luis Dau, Randall Morck and Bernard Yeung

28068: Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Domestic Violence in Los Angeles

Amalia Miller, Carmit Segal and Melissa K. Spencer

28067: Economic Studies on the Opioid Crisis: A Review

Johanna Maclean, Justine Mallatt, Christopher Ruhm and Kosali Simon

28066: Forward Guidance and Durable Goods Demand

Alisdair McKay and Johannes Wieland

28065: Stereotypes in Financial Literacy: Evidence from PISA

Laura Bottazzi and Annamaria Lusardi

28064: Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys

Nikhil Agarwal, Charles Hodgson and Paulo Somaini

28063: FinTech Adoption and Household Risk-Taking: From Digital Payments to Platform Investments

Claire Yurong Hong, Xiaomeng Lu and Jun Pan

28062: How Would Medicare for All Affect Health System Capacity? Evidence from Medicare for Some

Jeffrey Clemens, Joshua Gottlieb and Jeffrey Hicks

28061: Answering the Call of Automation: How the Labor Market Adjusted to Mechanizing Telephone Operation

James Feigenbaum and Daniel Gross

28060: Productivity Shocks, Long-Term Contracts and Earnings Dynamics

Neele Balke and Thibaut Lamadon

28059: Persistence and Path Dependence in the Spatial Economy

Treb Allen and Dave Donaldson

28058: COVID-19 Restrictions Reduced Abortion Clinic Visits, Even in Blue States

Martin Andersen, Sylvia Bryan and David Slusky

28057: Asymmetric Demand Response when Prices Increase and Decrease: The Case of Child Healthcare

Toshiaki Iizuka and Hitoshi Shigeoka

28056: Intangible Value

Andrea Eisfeldt, Edward Kim and Dimitris Papanikolaou

28055: Farm Product Prices, Redistribution, and the Early U.S. Great Depression

Joshua K. Hausman, Paul Rhode and Johannes Wieland

28054: Price Ceiling, Market Structure, and Payout Policies

Mao Ye, Miles Zheng and Xiongshi Li

28053: Brexit Uncertainty and its (Dis)Service Effects

Saad Ahmad, Nuno Limão, Sarah Oliver and Serge Shikher

28052: Reputation and Earnings Dynamics

Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat

28051: The Structure of Business Taxation in China

Zhao Chen, Yuxuan He, Zhikuo Liu, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Yi Xu

28050: Local Public Finance Dynamics and Hurricane Shocks

Rhiannon Jerch, Matthew Kahn and Gary C. Lin

28049: Mothers’ Social Networks and Socioeconomic Gradients of Isolation

Alison Andrew, Orazio Attanasio, Britta Augsburg, Jere Behrman, Monimalika Day, Pamela Jervis, Costas Meghir and Angus Phimister

28048: The Geopolitics of International Trade in Southeast Asia

A. Kerem Coşar and Benjamin D. Thomas

28047: Dog Eat Dog: Measuring Network Effects Using a Digital Platform Merger

Chiara Farronato, Jessica Fong and Andrey Fradkin

28046: Comprehensive Approaches to Increasing Student Completion in Higher Education: A Survey of the Landscape

Rachel Fulcher Dawson, Melissa S. Kearney and James X. Sullivan

28045: A Generalizable and Accessible Approach to Machine Learning with Global Satellite Imagery

Esther Rolf, Jonathan Proctor, Tamma Carleton, Ian Bolliger, Vaishaal Shankar, Miyabi Ishihara, Benjamin Recht and Solomon Hsiang

28044: Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

28043: Making Rallies Great Again: The Effects of Presidential Campaign Rallies on Voter Behavior, 2008-2016

James M. Snyder and Hasin Yousaf

28042: Using Divide and Conquer to Improve Tax Collection: Theory and Laboratory Evidence

Sylvain Chassang, Lucia Del Carpio and Samuel Kapon

28041: Employment Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit: Taking the Long View

Diane Schanzenbach and Michael Strain

28040: Promoting Parental Involvement in Schools: Evidence From Two Randomized Experiments

Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Paul Gertler, Nozomi Nakajima and Harry Patrinos

28039: Refinancing, Monetary Policy, and the Credit Cycle

Gene Amromin, Neil Bhutta and Benjamin Keys

28038: Who Benefits from Analyst “Top Picks”?

Justin Birru, Sinan Gokkaya, Xi Liu and René M. Stulz

28037: The Age Profile of Life-satisfaction After Age 65 in the U.S

Péter Hudomiet, Michael D. Hurd and Susann Rohwedder

28036: Affective Polarization Did Not Increase During the Coronavirus Pandemic

Levi Boxell, Jacob Conway, James N. Druckman and Matthew Gentzkow

28035: Russian Holidays Predict Troll Activity 2015-2017

Douglas Almond, Xinming Du and Alana Vogel

28034: U.S. Robots and their Impacts in the Tropics: Evidence from Colombian Labor Markets

Adriana Kugler, Maurice Kugler, Laura Ripani and Rodimiro Rodrigo

28033: Who Married, (to) Whom, and Where? Trends in Marriage in the United States, 1850-1940

Claudia Olivetti, M. Daniele Paserman, Laura Salisbury and Anna Weber

28032: Has the Paycheck Protection Program Succeeded?

R. Glenn Hubbard and Michael Strain

28031: Economic Benefits of COVID-19 Screening Tests

Andrew Atkeson, Michael C. Droste, Michael Mina and James H. Stock

28030: Private Equity and Growth

Boyan Jovanovic, Sai Ma and Peter Rousseau

28029: The Market Risk Premium for Unsecured Consumer Credit Risk

Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis Longstaff

28028: Retail Financial Innovation and Stock Market Dynamics: The Case of Target Date Funds

Jonathan Parker, Antoinette Schoar and Yang Sun

28027: Spillovers from Ancillary Services to Wholesale Energy Markets

Jesse Buchsbaum, Catherine Hausman, Johanna L. Mathieu and Jing Peng

28026: Structural Breaks in an Endogenous Growth Model

Timothy Cogley and Boyan Jovanovic

28025: Mandatory Retirement for Judges Improved Performance on U.S. State Supreme Courts

Elliott Ash and W. Bentley Macleod

28024: Uncertainty and Growth Disasters

Boyan Jovanovic and Sai Ma

28023: Data Sharing and Market Power with Two-Sided Platforms

Rishabh Kirpalani and Thomas Philippon

28022: Learning During the COVID-19 Pandemic: It Is Not Who You Teach, but How You Teach

George Orlov, Douglas McKee, James Berry, Austin Boyle, Thomas DiCiccio, Tyler Ransom, Alex Rees-Jones and Jörg Stoye

28021: Fintech Borrowers: Lax-Screening or Cream-Skimming?

Marco Di Maggio and Vincent Yao

28020: Is There Too Much Benchmarking in Asset Management?

Anil Kashyap, Natalia Kovrijnykh, Jian Li and Anna Pavlova

28019: Idea Diffusion and Property Rights

Boyan Jovanovic and Zhu Wang

28018: Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care

Amitabh Chandra, Pragya Kakani and Adam Sacarny

28017: Obsolescence of Capital and Investment Spikes

Arthur Fishman and Boyan Jovanovic

28016: Adverse Selection Dynamics in Privately-Produced Safe Debt Markets

Nathan Foley-Fisher, Gary Gorton and Stephane Verani

28015: Bury the Gold Standard? A Quantitative Exploration

Anthony M. Diercks, Jonathan Rawls and Eric Sims

28014: A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth

Christiane Baumeister and Pierre Guérin

28013: Rural-Urban Migration and House Prices in China

Carlos Garriga, Aaron Hedlund, Yang Tang and Ping Wang

28012: Nursing Home Quality, COVID-19 Deaths, and Excess Mortality

Christopher Cronin and William Evans