NBER Working Papers

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20440: The Economics of Aesthetics and Three Centuries of Art Price Records

William Goetzmann, Elena Mamonova and Christophe Spaenjers

20439: Momentum Crashes

Kent Daniel and Tobias J. Moskowitz

20438: The Agricultural Origins of Time Preference

Oded Galor and Ömer Özak

20437: Tax News: The Response of Household Spending to Changes in Expected Taxes

Lorenz Kueng

20436: Quantifying the Sources of Firm Heterogeneity

Colin Hottman, Stephen Redding and David Weinstein

20435: Assessing Asset Pricing Models Using Revealed Preference

Jonathan B. Berk and Jules van Binsbergen

20434: Experimental Evidence on Distributional Effects of Head Start

Marianne Bitler, Hilary Hoynes and Thurston Domina

20433: The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns

Kent Daniel, Robert Hodrick and Zhongjin Lu

20432: Vaccine Approvals and Mandates Under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics

Charles Manski

20431: The Efficiency of Real-World Bargaining: Evidence from Wholesale Used-Auto Auctions

Bradley Larsen

20430: Pathways to Education: An Integrated Approach to Helping At-Risk High School Students

Philip Oreopoulos, Robert S. Brown and Adam Lavecchia

20429: Risk Sorting, Portfolio Choice, and Endogenous Informal Insurance

Xiao Yu Wang

20428: Immigration and the Economy of Cities and Regions

Ethan Lewis and Giovanni Peri

20427: Reallocation in the Great Recession: Cleansing or Not?

Lucia Foster, Cheryl Grim and John Haltiwanger

20426: Housing Bubbles

Edward Glaeser and Charles G. Nathanson

20425: Numerical General Equilibrium Analysis of China's Impacts from Possible Mega Trade Deals

Chunding Li, Jing Wang and John Whalley

20424: How Close is Asia to Already Being A Trade Bloc?

Chunding Li and John Whalley

20423: A New Method of Estimating Potential Real GDP Growth: Implications for the Labor Market and the Debt/GDP Ratio

Robert Gordon

20422: Gossip: Identifying Central Individuals in a Social Network

Abhijit Banerjee, Arun Chandrasekhar, Esther Duflo and Matthew Jackson

20421: Keynes, King's and Endowment Asset Management

David Chambers, Elroy Dimson and Justin Foo

20420: Governance and Comovement Under Common Ownership

Alex Edmans, Doron Levit and Devin Reilly

20419: Trade Dynamics in the Market for Federal Funds

Gara Afonso and Ricardo Lagos

20418: The Dynamics of Housing Prices

Sheridan Titman, Ko Wang and Jing Yang

20417: Get Rid of Unanimity: The Superiority of Majority Rule with Veto Power

Laurent Bouton, Aniol Llorente-Saguer and Frederic Malherbe

20416: Entry and Exit in OTC Derivatives Markets

Andrew Atkeson, Andrea Eisfeldt and Pierre-Olivier Weill

20415: Consumer Price Search and Platform Design in Internet Commerce

Michael Dinerstein, Liran Einav, Jonathan Levin and Neel Sundaresan

20414: Methods of Identification in Social Networks

Bryan Graham

20413: The Changing Benefits of Early Work Experience

Charles Baum and Christopher Ruhm

20412: Making Progress on Foreign Aid

Nancy Qian

20411: Imperfect Competition in Selection Markets

Neale Mahoney and Eric Weyl

20410: Selling Failed Banks

João Granja, Gregor Matvos and Amit Seru

20409: The Labor Market Impacts of the 2010 Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill and Offshore Oil Drilling Moratorium

Joseph Aldy

20408: What Calls to ARMs? International Evidence on Interest Rates and the Choice of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages

Cristian Badarinza, John Campbell and Tarun Ramadorai

20407: Can a Summer Make a Difference? The Impact of the American Economic Association Summer Program on Minority Student Outcomes

Charles M. Becker, Cecilia Elena Rouse and Mingyu Chen

20406: Price Setting in Online Markets: Basic Facts, International Comparisons, and Cross-border Integration

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Oleksandr Talavera

20405: Why High-order Polynomials Should not be Used in Regression Discontinuity Designs

Andrew Gelman and Guido Imbens

20404: On the Measure of Distortions

Hugo Hopenhayn

20403: A Tear in the Iron Curtain: The Impact of Western Television on Consumption Behavior

Leonardo Bursztyn and Davide Cantoni

20402: From Assortative to Ashortative Coupling: Men's Height, Height Heterogamy, and Relationship Dynamics in the United States

Abigail Weitzman and Dalton Conley

20401: Failure to Refinance

Benjamin Keys, Devin Pope and Jaren Pope

20400: Within-Mother Estimates of the Effects of WIC on Birth Outcomes in New York City

Janet Currie and Ishita Rajani

20399: A Direct Estimate of the Technique Effect: Changes in the Pollution Intensity of US Manufacturing 1990 - 2008

Arik Levinson

20398: Does Labor Legislation Benefit Workers? Well-Being after an Hours Reduction

Daniel Hamermesh, Daiji Kawaguchi and Jungmin Lee

20397: Affirmative Action and Human Capital Investment: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

Christopher Cotton, Brent R. Hickman and Joseph Price

20396: The Evolution of Rotation Group Bias: Will the Real Unemployment Rate Please Stand Up?

Alan Krueger, Alexandre Mas and Xiaotong Niu

20395: Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson and Brendan Price

20394: Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models

Lars Hansen

20393: Terminating Links between Emission Trading Programs

William Pizer and Andrew Yates

20392: Did Bank Distress Stifle Innovation During the Great Depression?

Ramana Nanda and Tom Nicholas

20391: Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending

Peter Benczur and Cosmin Ilut

20390: Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models

Andrew Foerster, Juan F Rubio-Ramirez, Daniel Waggoner and Tao Zha

20389: Damming the Commons: An Empirical Analysis of International Cooperation and Conflict in Dam Location

Sheila M. Olmstead and Hilary Sigman

20388: Worker Mobility in a Global Labor Market: Evidence from the United Arab Emirates

Suresh Naidu, Yaw Nyarko and Shing-Yi Wang

20387: Selection into Credit Markets: Evidence from Agriculture in Mali

Lori Beaman, Dean Karlan, Bram Thuysbaert and Christopher Udry

20386: International Reserves Before and After the Global Crisis: Is There No End to Hoarding?

Joshua Aizenman, Yin-Wong Cheung and Hiro Ito

20385: Fair Weather Avoidance: Unpacking Costs and Benefits in Replication of 'Avoiding the Ask'

Hannah Trachtman, Andrew Steinkruger, Mackenzie Wood, Adam Wooster, James Andreoni, James Murphy and Justin M. Rao

20384: Does the Gender of Offspring Affect Parental Political Orientation?

Byungkyu Lee and Dalton Conley

20383: Manufacturing Growth and the Lives of Bangladeshi Women

Rachel Heath and Ahmed Mobarak

20382: Skill Gaps, Skill Shortages and Skill Mismatches: Evidence for the US

Peter Cappelli

20381: On the Interaction of Memory and Procrastination: Implications for Reminders

Keith Ericson

20380: The Roots of Gender Inequality in Developing Countries

Seema Jayachandran

20379: Has Creative Destruction Become More Destructive?

John Komlos

20378: Don't Take 'No' For An Answer: An Experiment With Actual Organ Donor Registrations

Judd B. Kessler and Alvin Roth

20377: Discount Shock, Price-Rent Dynamics, and the Business Cycle

Jianjun Miao, Pengfei Wang and Tao Zha

20376: Welfare Implications of Learning Through Solicitation versus Diversification in Health Care

Anirban Basu

20375: Defining Clusters of Related Industries

Mercedes Delgado, Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern

20374: Spatial Errors in Count Data Regressions

Marinho Bertanha and Petra Moser

20373: Moral Hazard and Less Invasive Medical Treatment for Coronary Artery Disease: The Case of Cigarette Smoking

Jesse Margolis, Jason Hockenberry, Michael Grossman and Shin-Yi Chou

20372: Corporate Taxes and Capital Structure: A Long-Term Historical Perspective

Francis Longstaff and Ilya Strebulaev

20371: Spousal Labor Market Effects from Government Health Insurance: Evidence from a Veterans Affairs Expansion

Melissa Boyle and Joanna Lahey

20370: Changing Times, Changing Values: A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the US Stock Market 1872-2013

Oliver D. Bunn and Robert Shiller

20369: Social Norms and the Enforcement of Laws

Daron Acemoglu and Matthew Jackson

20368: The 9/11 Dust Cloud and Pregnancy Outcomes: A Reconsideration

Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt

20367: Agglomeration and Innovation

Gerald Carlino and William Kerr

20366: Lead Exposure and Behavior: Effects on Antisocial and Risky Behavior among Children and Adolescents

Jessica Wolpaw Reyes

20365: Inefficiently Low Screening with Walrasian Markets

Kinda Hachem

20364: Remix Rights and Negotiations Over the Use of Copy-Protected Works

Joshua Gans

20363: Paternalism and Energy Efficiency: An Overview

Hunt Allcott

20362: Free to Choose: Promoting Conservation by Relaxing Outdoor Watering Restrictions

Anita Castledine, Klaus Moeltner, Michael Price and Shawn Stoddard

20361: Supply vs. Demand under an Affirmative Action Ban: Estimates from UC Law Schools

Danny Yagan

20360: Riding the Bubble? Chasing Returns into Illiquid Assets

Danny Yagan

20359: Tradeoffs in the Design of Health Plan Payment Systems: Fit, Power and Balance

Michael Geruso and Thomas G. McGuire

20358: Entrepreneurship as Experimentation

William Kerr, Ramana Nanda and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf

20357: The Economics of Fair Trade

Raluca E. Dragusanu, Daniele Giovannucci and Nathan Nunn

20356: History of American Corporate Governance: Law, Institutions, and Politics

Eric Hilt

20355: The Changing Face of World Oil Markets

James Hamilton

20354: The Economics of Density: Evidence from the Berlin Wall

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Stephen Redding, Daniel Sturm and Nikolaus Wolf

20353: Positive Externalities of Social Insurance: Unemployment Insurance and Consumer Credit

Joanne Hsu, David A. Matsa and Brian Melzer

20352: The Causal Effect of Environmental Catastrophe on Long-Run Economic Growth: Evidence From 6,700 Cyclones

Solomon M. Hsiang and Amir S. Jina

20351: Measuring Economic Efficiency Using Inverse-Optimum Weights

Nathaniel Hendren

20350: Urban Vibrancy and Corporate Growth

Casey Dougal, Christopher A. Parsons and Sheridan Titman

20349: Cash for Corollas: When Stimulus Reduces Spending

Mark Hoekstra, Steven Puller and Jeremy West

20348: How Does Family Health Care Use Respond to Economic Shocks? Realized and Anticipated Effects

Alan C. Monheit, Irina Grafova and Rizie Kumar

20347: The Geography of Financial Misconduct

Christopher A. Parsons, Johan Sulaeman and Sheridan Titman

20346: Political Booms, Financial Crises

Helios Herrera, Guillermo Ordonez and Christoph Trebesch

20345: Capital Structure and Hedging Demand with Incomplete Markets

Alberto Bisin, Gian Luca Clementi and Piero Gottardi

20344: Can Electronic Procurement Improve Infrastructure Provision? Evidence From Public Works in India and Indonesia

Sean Lewis-Faupel, Yusuf Neggers, Benjamin Olken and Rohini Pande

20343: Reference-Dependent Preferences: Evidence from Marathon Runners

Eric J. Allen, Patricia M. Dechow, Devin Pope and George Wu

20342: Broken or Fixed Effects?

Charles E. Gibbons, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Michael B. Urbancic

20341: An econometric model of link formation with degree heterogeneity

Bryan Graham