NBER Working Papers

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25176: Assortative Matching or Exclusionary Hiring? The Impact of Firm Policies on Racial Wage Differences in Brazil

Francois Gerard, Lorenzo Lagos, Edson Severnini and David Card

25175: The Impact of Permanent Residency Delays for STEM PhDs: Who leaves and Why

Shulamit Kahn and Megan MacGarvie

25174: Computer Vision and Real Estate: Do Looks Matter and Do Incentives Determine Looks

Edward Glaeser, Michael Scott Kincaid and Nikhil Naik

25173: The French (Trade) Revolution of 1860: Intra-Industry Trade and Smooth Adjustment

Stéphane Becuwe, Bertrand Blancheton and Christopher Meissner

25172: General Equilibrium Rebound from Energy Efficiency Innovation

Derek Lemoine

25171: Unemployment and Development

Ying Feng, David Lagakos and James Rauch

25170: Household Debt and Recession in Brazil

Gabriel Garber, Atif Mian, Jacopo Ponticelli and Amir Sufi

25169: Signaling, Shame, and Silence in Social Learning

Arun Chandrasekhar, Benjamin Golub and He Yang

25168: Time-Use and Academic Peer Effects in College

Nirav Mehta, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner

25167: Quantifying Family, School, and Location Effects in the Presence of Complementarities and Sorting

Mohit Agrawal, Joseph Altonji and Richard Mansfield

25166: The Effects of Downstream Competition on Upstream Innovation and Licensing

Jean-Etienne de Bettignies, Bulat Gainullin, Hua Fang Liu and David Robinson

25165: Grandparents, Moms, or Dads? Why Children of Teen Mothers Do Worse in Life

Anna Aizer, Paul Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes

25164: New Technologies, Global Value Chains, and Developing Economies

Dani Rodrik

25163: Unequal Use of Social Insurance Benefits: The Role of Employers

Sarah Bana, Kelly Bedard, Maya Rossin-Slater and Jenna Stearns

25162: Behavioral Corporate Finance

Ulrike Malmendier

25161: Expenditure Visibility and Consumer Behavior: New Evidence

Ori Heffetz

25160: The Impact of Industry Consolidation on Government Procurement: Evidence from Department of Defense Contracting

Rodrigo Carril and Mark Duggan

25159: Banking on the Boom, Tripped by the Bust: Banks and the World War I Agricultural Price Shock

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

25158: Tax Equivalences and their Implications

Alan Auerbach

25157: Mortgage Prepayment and Path-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy

David Berger, Konstantin Milbradt, Fabrice Tourre and Joseph Vavra

25156: Does High Cost-Sharing Slow the Long-term Growth Rate of Health Spending? Evidence from the States

Molly Frean and Mark Pauly

25155: The Role of Exporters and Domestic Producers in GVCs: Evidence for Belgium based on Extended National Supply-and-Use Tables Integrated into a Global Multiregional Input-Output Table

Bernhard Michel, Caroline Hambÿe and Bart Hertveldt

25154: Partial Rating Area Offering in the ACA Marketplaces: Facts, Theory and Evidence

Hanming Fang and Ami Ko

25153: The Impact of Insurance Expansions on the Already Insured: The Affordable Care Act and Medicare

Colleen M. Carey, Sarah Miller and Laura Wherry

25152: State Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy: the Refinancing Channel

Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and Arlene Wong

25151: The Institutional Foundations of Religious Politics: Evidence from Indonesia

Samuel Bazzi, Gabriel Koehler-Derrick and Benjamin Marx

25150: Arbitration with Uninformed Consumers

Mark L. Egan, Gregor Matvos and Amit Seru

25149: Beyond the Balance Sheet Model of Banking: Implications for Bank Regulation and Monetary Policy

Greg Buchak, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski and Amit Seru

25148: The Productivity J-Curve: How Intangibles Complement General Purpose Technologies

Erik Brynjolfsson, Daniel Rock and Chad Syverson

25147: The Opportunity Atlas: Mapping the Childhood Roots of Social Mobility

Raj Chetty, John Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, Maggie R. Jones and Sonya R. Porter

25146: The Impact of Corporate Taxes on Firm Innovation: Evidence from the Corporate Tax Collection Reform in China

Jing Cai, Yuyu Chen and Xuan Wang

25145: The Salary Taboo: Privacy Norms and the Diffusion of Information

Zoë B. Cullen and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

25144: The Role of Parental Wealth and Income in Financing Children's College Attendance and Its Consequences

V. Joseph Hotz, Emily E. Wiemers, Joshua Rasmussen and Kate Maxwell Koegel

25143: Errors in Survey Reporting and Imputation and their Effects on Estimates of Food Stamp Program Participation

Bruce Meyer, Nikolas Mittag and Robert M. Goerge

25142: Early Determinants of Work Disability in an International Perspective

Axel Börsch-Supan, Tabea Bucher-Koenen and Felizia Hanemann

25141: Unlucky Cohorts: Estimating the Long-term Effects of Entering the Labor Market in a Recession in Large Cross-sectional Data Sets

Hannes Schwandt and Till von Wachter

25140: The Valuation of Fisheries Rights: A Real Options Approach

Jose Pizarro and Eduardo S. Schwartz

25139: Revealed Preference Analysis with Framing Effects

Jacob Goldin and Daniel Reck

25138: More Amazon Effects: Online Competition and Pricing Behaviors

Alberto Cavallo

25137: Information and Bargaining through Agents: Experimental Evidence from Mexico’s Labor Courts

Joyce Sadka, Enrique Seira Bejarano and Christopher Woodruff

25136: Connecting to Power: Political Connections, Innovation, and Firm Dynamics

Ufuk Akcigit, Salome Baslandze and Francesca Lotti

25135: Analyzing the Aftermath of a Compensation Reduction

Jason Sandvik, Richard Saouma, Nathan Seegert and Christopher Stanton

25134: Linear IV Regression Estimators for Structural Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

Myrto Kalouptsidi, Paul Scott and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues

25133: How Will Persistent Low Expected Returns Shape Household Economic Behavior?

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer and Olivia Mitchell

25132: Matrix Completion Methods for Causal Panel Data Models

Susan Athey, Mohsen Bayati, Nikolay Doudchenko, Guido Imbens and Khashayar Khosravi

25131: From Paper to Plastic: Understanding the Impact of eWIC on WIC Recipient Behavior

Andrew Hanks, Carolyn Gunther, Dean Lillard and Robert L. Scharff

25130: The Limits and Consequences of Population Policy: Evidence from China’s Wan Xi Shao Campaign

Kimberly Singer Babiarz, Paul Ma, Grant Miller and Shige Song

25129: Navigating Complex Financial Decisions at Retirement: Evidence from Annuity Choices in Public Sector Pensions

Robert L. Clark, Robert Hammond and David Vanderweide

25128: The Minimum Wage and Search Effort

Camilla Adams, Jonathan Meer and CarlyWill Sloan

25127: Post-FOMC Announcement Drift in U.S. Bond Markets

Jordan Brooks, Michael Katz and Hanno Lustig

25126: Overcoming Wealth Inequality by Capital Taxes that Finance Public Investment

Linus Mattauch, David Klenert, Joseph Stiglitz and Ottmar Edenhofer

25125: Capital Structure and a Firm’s Workforce

David A. Matsa

25124: Fatal Attraction? Extended Unemployment Benefits, Labor Force Exits, and Mortality

Andreas Kuhn, Stefan Staubli, Jean-Philippe Wuellrich and Josef Zweimüller

25123: The Federal Reserve Is Not Very Constrained by the Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates

Eric Swanson

25122: Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?

Klaus Adam, Dmitry Matveev and Stefan Nagel

25121: Happiness at Different Ages: The Social Context Matters

John Helliwell, Max Norton, Haifang Huang and Shun Wang

25120: Trade and Domestic Production Networks

Felix Tintelnot, Ken Kikkawa, Magne Mogstad and Emmanuel Dhyne

25119: Worst-Case Bounds on R&D and Pricing Distortions: Theory with an Application Assuming Consumer Values Follow the World Income Distribution

Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder

25118: Vacancy Durations and Entry Wages: Evidence from Linked Vacancy-Employer-Employee Data

Andreas Mueller, Damian Osterwalder, Josef Zweimüller and Andreas Kettemann

25117: Is Education Consumption or Investment? Implications for the Effect of School Competition

W. Bentley Macleod and Miguel Urquiola

25116: The Minimum Wage, EITC, and Criminal Recidivism

Amanda Agan and Michael Makowsky

25115: Do Place-Based Tax Incentives Create Jobs?

Hyejin Ku, Uta Schönberg and Ragnhild C. Schreiner

25114: Genes, Education, and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study

Nicholas Papageorge and Kevin Thom

25113: Cross-sectional Skewness

Simon Oh and Jessica Wachter

25112: Who Creates New Firms When Local Opportunities Arise?

Shai Bernstein, Emanuele Colonnelli, Davide Malacrino and Timothy McQuade

25111: Exchange Rates, Local Currency Pricing and International Tax Policies

Sihao Chen, Michael Devereux, Juanyi Xu and Kang Shi

25110: Unbundling Polarization

Nathan Canen, Chad Kendall and Francesco Trebbi

25109: Who Votes for Medicaid Expansion? Lessons from Maine’s 2017 Referendum

David A. Matsa and Amalia Miller

25108: Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice

Maarten Meeuwis, Jonathan Parker, Antoinette Schoar and Duncan I. Simester

25107: Unlocking Amenities: Estimating Public-Good Complementarity

David Albouy, Peter Christensen and Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri

25106: Turnover Liquidity and the Transmission of Monetary Policy

Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang

25105: The Effects of Medicaid Expansion on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Border Counties

Lizhong Peng, Xiaohui (Ronnie) Guo and Chad Meyerhoefer

25104: Do Fire Sales Create Externalities?

Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam

25103: Robots, Trade, and Luddism: A Sufficient Statistic Approach to Optimal Technology Regulation

Arnaud Costinot and Iván Werning

25102: Forecasting with Dynamic Panel Data Models

Laura Liu, Hyungsik Moon and Frank Schorfheide

25101: Differences in citation patterns across journal tiers: The case of economics

María Victoria Anauati, Sebastian Galiani and Ramiro Gálvez

25100: Deterring Illegal Entry: Migrant Sanctions and Recidivism in Border Apprehensions

Samuel Bazzi, Sarah Burns, Gordon Hanson, Bryan Roberts and John Whitley

25099: Majority Choice of Taxation and Redistribution in a Federation

Stephen Calabrese, Dennis Epple and Richard Romano

25098: Corruption, Government Subsidies, and Innovation: Evidence from China

Lily Fang, Josh Lerner, Chaopeng Wu and Qi Zhang

25097: The Equilibrium Effects of Information Deletion: Evidence from Consumer Credit Markets

Andres Liberman, Christopher Neilson, Luis Opazo and Seth Zimmerman

25096: Heterogeneous Beliefs and School Choice Mechanisms

Adam Kapor, Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman

25095: Optimal Law Enforcement with Ordered Leniency

Claudia Landeo and Kathryn E. Spier

25094: Ordered Leniency: An Experimental Study of Law Enforcement with Self-Reporting

Claudia Landeo and Kathryn E. Spier

25093: Publishing and Promotion in Economics: The Tyranny of the Top Five

James Heckman and Sidharth Moktan

25092: Taking the Cochrane-Piazzesi Term Structure Model Out of Sample: More Data, Additional Currencies, and FX Implications

Robert Hodrick and Tuomas Tomunen

25091: Immigrants, Labor Market Dynamics and Adjustment to Shocks in the Euro Area

Gaetano Basso, Francesco D'Amuri and Giovanni Peri

25090: Perception of House Price Risk and Homeownership

Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar and Felipe Severino

25089: The Neo-Fisher Effect: Econometric Evidence from Empirical and Optimizing Models

Martín Uribe

25088: The Chinese Pension System

Hanming Fang and Jin Feng

25087: The Evidence from California on the Economic Impact of Inefficient Distribution Network Pricing

Frank A. Wolak

25086: Asymmetric Consumption Smoothing

Brian Baugh, Itzhak Ben-David, Hoonsuk Park and Jonathan Parker

25085: Capital Reallocation

Andrea Eisfeldt and Yu Shi

25084: Lazy Prices

Lauren Cohen, Christopher Malloy and Quoc Nguyen

25083: Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?

Toni Ahnert, Kristin Forbes, Christian Friedrich and Dennis Reinhardt

25082: MPC Heterogeneity in Europe: Sources and Policy Implications

Miguel Ampudia Fraile, Russell Cooper, Julia Le Blanc and Guozhong Zhu

25081: Inheritance Taxation and Wealth Effects on the Labor Supply of Heirs

Fabian Kindermann, Lukas Mayr and Dominik Sachs

25080: Vanished Classmates: The Effects of Local Immigration Enforcement on Student Enrollment

Thomas Dee and Mark Murphy

25079: Why Does Credit Growth Crowd Out Real Economic Growth?

Stephen Cecchetti and Enisse Kharroubi

25078: Measurement Error in Imputed Consumption

Scott Baker, Lorenz Kueng, Steffen Meyer and Michaela Pagel

25077: Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016

Simone Moriconi, Giovanni Peri and Riccardo Turati