NBER Working Papers

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25062: Globalization, Government Popularity, and the Great Skill Divide

Cevat G. Aksoy, Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman

25061: Who Feels the Nudge? Knowledge, Self-Awareness and Retirement Savings Decisions

Anders Anderson and David Robinson

25060: Are Two Bads Better Than One? A Model of Sensory Limitations

Lars Lefgren, Olga Stoddard and John Stovall

25059: Early Stimulation and Nutrition: The Impacts of a Scalable Intervention

Orazio Attanasio, Helen Baker-Henningham, Raquel Bernal, Costas Meghir, Diana Pineda and Marta Rubio-Codina

25058: Sniff Tests as a Screen in the Publication Process: Throwing out the Wheat with the Chaff

Christopher Snyder and Ran Zhuo

25057: Creativity Under Fire: The Effects of Competition on Creative Production

Daniel Gross

25056: Marketing Mutual Funds

Nikolai Roussanov, Hongxun Ruan and Yanhao Wei

25055: Mortality Risk, Insurance, and the Value of Life

Daniel Bauer, Darius Lakdawalla and Julian Reif

25054: Debt, Information, and Illiquidity

Efraim Benmelech and Nittai Bergman

25053: The ACA Medicaid Expansion in Michigan and Financial Health

Sarah Miller, Luojia Hu, Robert Kaestner, Bhashkar Mazumder and Ashley Wong

25052: The Impact of the Philadelphia Beverage Tax on Purchases and Consumption by Adults and Children

John Cawley, David Frisvold, Anna Hill and David Jones

25051: Inventive Capabilities in the Division of Innovative Labor

Ashish Arora, Wesley M. Cohen and Colleen M. Cunningham

25050: The Pass-Through of the Largest Tax on Sugar-Sweetened Beverages: The Case of Boulder, Colorado

John Cawley, Chelsea Crain, David Frisvold and David Jones

25049: Behavior within a Clinical Trial and Implications for Mammography Guidelines

Amanda Kowalski

25048: Macroprudential Policy with Leakages

Julien Bengui and Javier Bianchi

25047: The Making of the Modern Metropolis: Evidence from London

Stephan Heblich, Stephen Redding and Daniel Sturm

25046: Ratings and Asset Allocation: An Experimental Analysis

Robert L. McDonald and Thomas A. Rietz

25045: The Subsidy to Infrastructure as an Asset Class

Aleksandar Andonov, Roman Kräussl and Joshua Rauh

25044: ICT, R&D and Organizational Innovation: Exploring Complementarities in Investment and Production

Pierre Mohnen, Michael Polder and George Leeuwen

25043: The Econometrics and Economics of the Employment Effects of Minimum Wages: Getting from Known Unknowns to Known Knowns

David Neumark

25042: How Does For-profit College Attendance Affect Student Loans, Defaults and Labor Market Outcomes?

Luis Armona, Rajashri Chakrabarti and Michael Lovenheim

25041: The Long-Term Consequences of Having Fewer Children in Old Age: Evidence from China’s “Later, Longer, Fewer” Campaign

Yi Chen and Hanming Fang

25040: Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes

Jiangze Bian, Zhiguo He, Kelly Shue and Hao Zhou

25039: Global Trends in Interest Rates

Marco Del Negro, Domenico Giannone, Marc Giannoni and Andrea Tambalotti

25038: An Anatomy of U.S. Firms Seeking Trademark Registration

Emin Dinlersoz, Nathan Goldschlag, Amanda Fila and Nikolas Zolas

25037: A Test of Supply-side Explanations of Geographic Variation in Health Care Use

Kevin Callison, Robert Kaestner and Jason Ward

25036: When Studying and Nudging Don’t Go as Planned: Unsuccessful Attempts to Help Traditional and Online College Students

Philip Oreopoulos, Richard Patterson, Uros Petronijevic and Nolan Pope

25035: Do Equal Employment Opportunity Statements Backfire? Evidence From A Natural Field Experiment On Job-Entry Decisions

Andreas Leibbrandt and John List

25034: Peer Advice on Financial Decisions: A case of the blind leading the blind?

Sandro Ambuehl, B. Douglas Bernheim, Fulya Ersoy and Donna Harris

25033: Policy Experimentation, Redistribution and Voting Rules

T. Renee Bowen and Vincent Anesi

25032: Non-Monetary News in Central Bank Communication

Anna Cieslak and Andreas Schrimpf

25031: Rare Disasters, Financial Development, and Sovereign Debt

Sergio Rebelo, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

25030: Understanding Joint Retirement

Pierre-Carl Michaud, Arthur van Soest and Luc Bissonnette

25029: Eliminating the Pass-Through: Towards FDI Statistics that Better Capture the Financial and Economic Linkages between Countries

Maria Borga and Cecilia Caliandro

25028: Nevertheless She Persisted? Gender Peer Effects in Doctoral STEM Programs

Valerie Bostwick and Bruce Weinberg

25027: Public Health Efforts and the Decline in Urban Mortality

D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles and Daniel Rees

25026: Insurance Contracts when Individuals “Greatly Value” Certainty: Results from a Field Experiment in Burkina Faso

Elena Serfilippi, Michael Carter and Catherine Guirkinger

25025: Integrability and Generalized Separability

Thibault Fally

25024: Deduction Dilemmas: The Taiwan Assignment Mechanism

Umut Dur, Parag Pathak, Fei Song and Tayfun Sönmez

25023: Do Neighborhoods Affect Credit Market Decisions of Low-Income Borrowers? Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment

Sarah Miller and Cindy K. Soo

25022: Skill versus Voice in Local Development

Katherine Casey, Rachel Glennerster, Edward Miguel and Maarten Voors

25021: The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates

Atsushi Inoue and Barbara Rossi

25020: The Intertemporal Keynesian Cross

Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

25019: What Matters to Individual Investors? Evidence from the Horse’s Mouth

James Choi and Adriana Z. Robertson

25018: Difference-in-Differences with Variation in Treatment Timing

Andrew Goodman-Bacon

25017: Medicare Payment to Skilled Nursing Facilities: The Consequences of the Three-Day Rule

Ginger Zhe Jin, Ajin Lee and Susan Feng Lu

25016: Missing Events in Event Studies: Identifying the Effects of Partially-Measured News Surprises

Refet Gürkaynak, Burçin Kısacıkoğlu and Jonathan Wright

25015: Do Digital Platforms Reduce Moral Hazard? The Case of Uber and Taxis

Meng Liu, Erik Brynjolfsson and Jason Dowlatabadi

25014: Dynamic Corrective Taxes with Time-Varying Salience

Ben Gilbert and Joshua Graff Zivin

25013: The Effect of Own-Gender Juries on Conviction Rates

Mark Hoekstra and Brittany Street

25012: Fiscal Space and Government-Spending & Tax-Rate Cyclicality Patterns: A Cross-Country Comparison, 1960-2016

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Hien Thi Kim Nguyen and Donghyun Park

25011: International Spillovers and Bailouts

Marina Azzimonti and Vincenzo Quadrini

25010: Trade and Immigration, 1870-2010

David Jacks and John Tang

25009: The Life Expectancy of Older Couples And Surviving Spouses

Janice Compton and Robert Pollak

25008: Estimating the Consequences of Climate Change from Variation in Weather

Derek Lemoine

25007: FinTech in Sub-Saharan Africa: What Has Worked Well, and What Hasn't

David Yermack

25006: The Right Stuff? Personality and Entrepreneurship

Barton Hamilton, Nicholas Papageorge and Nidhi Pande

25005: Employer Credit Checks: Poverty Traps versus Matching Efficiency

P. Dean Corbae and Andy Glover

25004: Why Have Negative Nominal Interest Rates Had Such a Small Effect on Bank Performance? Cross Country Evidence

Jose Lopez, Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

25003: Transitions From Career Employment Among Public- and Private-Sector Workers

Joseph Quinn, Kevin Cahill and Michael Giandrea

25002: Dynamics and Efficiency in Decentralized Online Auction Markets

Kenneth Hendricks and Alan Sorensen

25001: On the Effects of Linking Voluntary Cap-and-Trade Systems for CO2 Emissions

Martin Weitzman and Bjart Holtsmark

25000: The Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital: Evidence from the Golden Age of Upward Mobility

David Card, Ciprian Domnisoru and Lowell Taylor

24999: The Long Term Impacts of Grants on Poverty: 9-year Evidence From Uganda's Youth Opportunities Program

Christopher Blattman, Nathan Fiala and Sebastian Martinez

24998: For Richer, for Poorer: Bankers' Liability and Risk-taking in New England, 1867-1880

Peter Koudijs, Laura Salisbury and Gurpal Sran

24997: Quasi-Experimental Shift-Share Research Designs

Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull and Xavier Jaravel

24996: Subways and Urban Growth: Evidence from Earth

Marco Gonzalez-Navarro and Matthew Turner

24995: Long-term Changes in Married Couples' Labor Supply and Taxes: Evidence from the US and Europe Since the 1980s

Alexander Bick, Bettina Brüggemann, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln and Hannah Paule-Paludkiewicz

24994: I Don't Know

Matthew Backus and Andrew Little

24993: Liquidity Constraints and the Value of Insurance

Keith Ericson and Justin R. Sydnor

24992: Improving Non-Academic Student Outcomes Using Online and Text-Message Coaching

Philip Oreopoulos, Uros Petronijevic, Christine Logel and Graham Beattie

24991: Monopsony and Employer Mis-optimization Explain Why Wages Bunch at Round Numbers

Arindrajit Dube, Alan Manning and Suresh Naidu

24990: The Impact of the Philadelphia Beverage Tax on Prices and Product Availability

John Cawley, David Frisvold, Anna Hill and David Jones

24989: The Costs of Macroprudential Policy

Björn Richter, Moritz Schularick and Ilhyock Shim

24988: Labor Market Search With Imperfect Information and Learning

John J. Conlon, Laura Pilossoph, Matthew Wiswall and Basit Zafar

24987: Do You Know That I Know That You Know...? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Saten Kumar and Jane Ryngaert

24986: School Nutrition and Student Discipline: Effects of Schoolwide Free Meals

Nora Gordon and Krista Ruffini

24985: Individual and Aggregate Labor Supply in Heterogeneous Agent Economies with Intensive and Extensive Margins

Yongsung Chang, Sun-Bin Kim, Kyooho Kwon and Richard Rogerson

24984: Financial Markets, the Real Economy, and Self-fulfilling Uncertainties

Jess Benhabib, Xuewen Liu and Pengfei Wang

24983: The Exorbitant Tax Privilege

Thomas Wright and Gabriel Zucman

24982: Taxation and Innovation in the 20th Century

Ufuk Akcigit, John Grigsby, Tom Nicholas and Stefanie Stantcheva

24981: Quantitative Sovereign Default Models and the European Debt Crisis

Luigi Bocola, Gideon Bornstein and Alessandro Dovis

24980: Setting with the Sun: The Impacts of Renewable Energy on Wholesale Power Markets

James Bushnell and Kevin Novan

24979: Rising Government Debt: Causes and Solutions for a Decades-Old Trend

Pierre Yared

24978: Cognitive Imprecision and Small-Stakes Risk Aversion

Mel Win Khaw, Ziang Li and Michael Woodford

24977: Intrahousehold Consumption Allocation and Demand for Agency: A Triple Experimental Investigation

Uzma Afzal, Giovanna d'Adda, Marcel Fafchamps and Farah Said

24976: When Investor Incentives and Consumer Interests Diverge: Private Equity in Higher Education

Charlie Eaton, Sabrina Howell and Constantine Yannelis

24975: Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs, Opioid Abuse, and Crime

Dhaval Dave, Monica Deza and Brady Horn

24974: Smokers’ Rational Lexicographic Preferences for Cigarette Package Warnings: A Discrete Choice Experiment with Eye Tracking

Jeffrey E. Harris, Mariana Gerstenblüth and Patricia Triunfo

24973: Asset Insulators

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Andra Ghent and Valentin Haddad

24972: Asset Pricing with Endogenously Uninsurable Tail Risk

Hengjie Ai and Anmol Bhandari

24971: Resolving New Keynesian Anomalies with Wealth in the Utility Function

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

24970: Hazed and Confused: The Effect of Air Pollution on Dementia

Kelly Bishop, Jonathan Ketcham and Nicolai Kuminoff

24969: The Impact of Chief Diversity Officers on Diverse Faculty Hiring

Steven Bradley, James R. Garven, Wilson Law and James West

24968: On Average Establishment Size across Sectors and Countriesy

Pedro Bento and Diego Restuccia

24967: Machine Learning for Regularized Survey Forecast Combination: Partially-Egalitarian Lasso and its Derivatives

Francis Diebold and Minchul Shin

24966: Authoritarian Elites

Adlai Newson and Francesco Trebbi

24965: Commodity Trade Matters

Thibault Fally and James Sayre

24964: Liquidity vs. Wealth in Household Debt Obligations: Evidence from Housing Policy in the Great Recession

Peter Ganong and Pascal Noel

24963: Design-based Analysis in Difference-In-Differences Settings with Staggered Adoption

Susan Athey and Guido Imbens