NBER Working Papers

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23062: Sibling Spillovers

Sandra Black, Sanni Breining, David Figlio, Jonathan Guryan, Krzysztof Karbownik, Helena Nielsen, Jeffrey Roth and Marianne Simonsen

23061: Israel’s Triumph over Inflation: The Long and Winding Road

Assaf Razin

23060: The Local Economic and Welfare Consequences of Hydraulic Fracturing

Alexander Bartik, Janet Currie, Michael Greenstone and Christopher Knittel

23059: Hires and Separations in Equilibrium

Edward Lazear and Kristin McCue

23058: Will Ad Blocking Break the Internet?

Benjamin Shiller, Joel Waldfogel and Johnny Ryan

23057: The Quest for Parsimony in Behavioral Economics: New Methods and Evidence on Three Fronts

Victor Stango, Joanne Yoong and Jonathan Zinman

23056: The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa

Eoin McGuirk and Marshall Burke

23055: Pledgeability, Industry Liquidity, and Financing Cycles

Douglas Diamond, Yunzhi Hu and Raghuram Rajan

23054: Effects of Maternal Work Incentives on Youth Crime

Hope Corman, Dhaval Dave, Ariel Kalil and Nancy E. Reichman

23053: Imperfect Markets versus Imperfect Regulation in U.S. Electricity Generation

Steve Cicala

23052: Related Investing: Corporate Ownership and Capital Mobilization during Early Industrialization

B. Zorina Khan

23051: The Economic Consequences of Family Policies: Lessons from a Century of Legislation in High-Income Countries

Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo

23050: Targeted Remedial Education: Experimental Evidence from Peru

Juan Saavedra, Emma Naslund-Hadley and Mariana Alfonso

23049: FDI and Capital Formation in Developing Economies: New Evidence from Industry-level Data

Alessia Amighini, Margaret McMillan and Marco Sanfilippo

23048: Open Borders in the European Union and Beyond: Migration Flows and Labor Market Implications

John Kennan

23047: The Rise of American Ingenuity: Innovation and Inventors of the Golden Age

Ufuk Akcigit, John Grigsby and Tom Nicholas

23046: Exit, Tweets and Loyalty

Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb and Mara Lederman

23045: Subsidizing Fuel Efficient Cars: Evidence from China's Automobile Industry

Chia-Wen Chen, Wei-Min Hu and Christopher Knittel

23044: The Effect of State Medicaid Expansions on Prescription Drug Use: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act

Ausmita Ghosh, Kosali Simon and Benjamin D. Sommers

23043: 'Acting Wife': Marriage Market Incentives and Labor Market Investments

Leonardo Bursztyn, Thomas Fujiwara and Amanda Pallais

23042: Prestige and Profit: The Royal Society of Arts and Incentives for Innovation, 1750-1850

B. Zorina Khan

23041: Political Determinants of Competition in the Mobile Telecommunication Industry

Mara Faccio and Luigi Zingales

23040: Location Choice, Portfolio Choice

Ioannis Branikas, Harrison Hong and Jiangmin Xu

23039: Misallocation, Selection and Productivity: A Quantitative Analysis with Panel Data from China

Tasso Adamopoulos, Loren Brandt, Jessica Leight and Diego Restuccia

23038: Birth Order and Delinquency: Evidence from Denmark and Florida

Sanni N. Breining, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik and Jeffrey Roth

23037: The Missing Bretton Woods Debate over Flexible Exchange Rates

Douglas Irwin

23036: Reversed Citations and the Localization of Knowledge Spillovers

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon and Honggi Lee

23035: Do Anti-Poverty Programs Sway Voters? Experimental Evidence from Uganda

Christopher Blattman, Mathilde Emeriau and Nathan Fiala

23034: Ownership Concentration and Strategic Supply Reduction

Ulrich Doraszelski, Katja Seim, Michael Sinkinson and Peichun Wang

23033: Winter is Coming: The Long-Run Effects of Climate Change on Conflict, 1400-1900

Murat Iyigun, Nathan Nunn and Nancy Qian

23032: Macro-economic Management in an Electronic Credit/Financial System

Joseph Stiglitz

23031: Supply-Side Drug Policy in the Presence of Substitutes: Evidence from the Introduction of Abuse-Deterrent Opioids

Abby Alpert, David Powell and Rosalie Pacula

23030: Arrested Development: Theory and Evidence of Supply-Side Speculation in the Housing Market

Charles G. Nathanson and Eric Zwick

23029: The Costs of and Net Returns to College Major

Joseph Altonji and Seth Zimmerman

23028: Non-Cognitive Abilities and Financial Delinquency: The Role of Self-Efficacy in Avoiding Financial Distress

Camelia Kuhnen and Brian Melzer

23027: Intergenerational Mobility and Support for Redistribution

Alberto Alesina, Stefanie Stantcheva and Edoardo Teso

23026: Prison Work Programs in a Model of Deterrence

A. Mitchell Polinsky

23025: Faculty Deployment in Research Universities

Paul Courant and Sarah Turner

23024: Gasoline Price Uncertainty and the Design of Fuel Economy Standards

Ryan Kellogg

23023: Maximizing the Impact of Climate Finance: Funding Projects or Pilot Projects?

Matthew Kotchen

23022: Expectation, Disappointment, and Exit: Reference Point Formation in a Marketplace

Matthew Backus, Thomas Blake, Dimitriy V. Masterov and Steven Tadelis

23021: The Changing Structure of Africa's Economies

Xinshen Diao, Kenneth Harttgen and Margaret McMillan

23020: Cool to be Smart or Smart to be Cool? Understanding Peer Pressure in Education

Leonardo Bursztyn, Georgy Egorov and Robert Jensen

23019: Federal Funding of Doctoral Recipients: Results from new Linked Survey and Transaction Data

Wan-Ying Chang, Wei Cheng, Julia Lane and Bruce Weinberg

23018: Proximity and Economic Activity: An Analysis of Vendor‐University Transactions

Nathan Goldschlag, Julia Lane, Bruce Weinberg and Nikolas Zolas

23017: Childhood Circumstances and Adult Outcomes: Act II

Douglas Almond, Janet Currie and Valentina Duque

23016: The Factory-Free Economy: Outsourcing, Servitization and the Future of Industry

Lionel Fontagné and Ann Harrison

23015: Evaluating Post-Secondary Aid: Enrollment, Persistence, and Projected Completion Effects

Joshua Angrist, David Autor, Sally Hudson and Amanda Pallais

23014: Can the Central Bank Alleviate Fiscal Burdens?

Ricardo Reis

23013: Social Image and Economic Behavior in the Field: Identifying, Understanding and Shaping Social Pressure

Leonardo Bursztyn and Robert Jensen

23012: Forgetting and Heterogeneity in Task Delay: Evidence from New York City Parking-Ticket Recipients

Ori Heffetz, Ted O'Donoghue and Henry Schneider

23011: The Historical Evolution of the Wealth Distribution: A Quantitative-Theoretic Investigation

Joachim Hubmer, Per Krusell and Anthony Smith

23010: Corporate Control around the World

Gur Aminadav and Elias Papaioannou

23009: Climate Change and Growth Risks

Ravi Bansal, Juan Ochoa and Dana Kiku

23008: Firing Costs, Misallocation, and Aggregate Productivity

José-María Da-Rocha, Marina Tavares and Diego Restuccia

23007: Recent Trends in U.S. Top Income Shares in Tax Record Data Using More Comprehensive Measures of Income Including Accrued Capital Gains

Jeff Larrimore, Richard Burkhauser, Gerald Auten and Philip Armour

23006: To Work for Yourself, for Others, or Not At All? How Disability Benefits Affect the Employment Decisions of Older Veterans

Courtney Coile, Mark Duggan and Audrey Guo

23005: Labor Drops: Experimental Evidence on the Return to Additional Labor in Microenterprises

Suresh De Mel, David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff

23004: Currency Wars or Efficient Spillovers? A General Theory of International Policy Cooperation

Anton Korinek

23003: The Effect of Education on Overall Fertility

Philip DeCicca and Harry Krashinsky

23002: The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility II: County-Level Estimates

Raj Chetty and Nathaniel Hendren

23001: The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility I: Childhood Exposure Effects

Raj Chetty and Nathaniel Hendren

23000: Growth and Childbearing in the Short- and Long-Run

Shoumitro Chatterjee and Tom Vogl

22999: Inequality in Human Capital and Endogenous Credit Constraints

Rong Hai and James Heckman

22998: Measuring Instructor Effectiveness in Higher Education

Pieter De Vlieger, Brian Jacob and Kevin Stange

22997: Real Estate Bubbles and Urban Development

Edward Glaeser

22996: The Out-of-State Tuition Distortion

Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff

22995: The Effects of Non-Contributory Pensions on Material and Subjective Well Being

Rosangela Bando, Sebastian Galiani and Paul Gertler

22994: A Theory of Bundling Advertisements in Media Markets

Kevin Murphy and Ignacio Palacios-Huerta

22993: The Life-cycle Benefits of an Influential Early Childhood Program

Jorge Luis Garcia, James Heckman, Duncan Ermini Leaf and María José Prados

22992: Killer Incentives: Status Competition and Pilot Performance during World War II

Philipp Ager, Leonardo Bursztyn and Hans-Joachim Voth

22991: Commodity Price Forecasts, Futures Prices and Pricing Models

Gonzalo Cortazar, Cristobal Millard, Hector Ortega and Eduardo S. Schwartz

22990: Financial Frictions and Fluctuations in Volatility

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Patrick Kehoe

22989: Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research

Garret Christensen and Edward Miguel

22988: Child Age and Gender Differences in Food Security in a Low-Income Inner-City Population

Robert Moffitt and David Ribar

22987: Procrastination in the Workplace: Evidence from the U.S. Patent Office

Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman

22986: How Does Technological Change Affect Quality-Adjusted Prices in Health Care? Systematic Evidence from Thousands of Innovations

Kristopher Hult, Sonia Jaffe and Tomas Philipson

22985: Cross-Sectional Patterns of Mortgage Debt during the Housing Boom: Evidence and Implications

Christopher Foote, Lara Loewenstein and Paul Willen

22984: A Structural Analysis of the Effects of the Great Recession on Retirement and Working Longer by Members of Two-Earner Households

Alan Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier and Nahid Tabatabai

22983: Fuel Consumption and Gasoline Prices: The Role of Assortative Matching between Households and Automobiles

Spencer Banzhaf and M. Taha Kasim

22982: Asset Managers: Institutional Performance and Smart Betas

Joseph Gerakos, Juhani T. Linnainmaa and Adair Morse

22981: A Passage to America: University Funding and International Students

John Bound, Breno Braga, Gaurav Khanna and Sarah Turner

22980: Blind Tigers and Red-Tape Cocktails: Liquor Control and Homicide in Late-Nineteenth-Century South Carolina

Howard Bodenhorn

22979: Stepping on a Rake: the Fiscal Theory of Monetary Policy

John Cochrane

22978: Discrete Adjustment to a Changing Environment: Experimental Evidence

Mel Win Khaw, Luminita Stevens and Michael Woodford

22977: Who Benefits Most from SNAP? A Study of Food Security and Food Spending

Partha Deb and Christian Gregory

22976: Classification Trees for Heterogeneous Moment-Based Models

Sam Asher, Denis Nekipelov, Paul Novosad and Stephen Ryan

22975: Populism and the Return of the “Paranoid Style”: Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal

Rafael Di Tella and Julio Rotemberg

22974: A Portrait of Trade in Value Added over Four Decades

Robert Johnson and Guillermo Noguera

22973: Depression for Economists

Jonathan de Quidt and Johannes Haushofer

22972: Beliefs about Gender

Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

22971: Adjustment to Small, Large, and Sunspot Shocks in Open Economies With Stock Collateral Constraints

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

22970: The Hidden Resources of Women Working Longer: Evidence from Linked Survey-Administrative Data

C. Bee and Joshua Mitchell

22969: The Response of Consumer Spending to Changes in Gasoline Prices

Michael Gelman, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Shachar Kariv, Dmitri Koustas, Matthew Shapiro, Dan Silverman and Steven Tadelis

22968: The Political Economy of Weak Treaties

Marco Battaglini and Bard Harstad

22967: Where Do Students Go when For-Profit Colleges Lose Federal Aid?

Stephanie R. Cellini, Rajeev Darolia and Lesley Turner

22966: Public Sector Personnel Economics: Wages, Promotions, and the Competence-Control Trade-off

Charles M. Cameron, John M. de Figueiredo and David E. Lewis

22965: Disaggregating the Matching Function

Peter Diamond and Aysegul Sahin

22964: An Energy-centric Theory of Agglomeration

Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor

22963: Empowering Mothers and Enhancing Early Childhood Investment: Effect on Adults Outcomes and Children Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills

Victor Lavy, Giulia Lotti and Zizhong Yan