NBER Working Papers

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17281: Systemic Risk Exposures: A 10-by-10-by-10 Approach

Darrell Duffie

17280: The Exact Law of Large Numbers for Independent Random Matching

Darrell Duffie and Yeneng Sun

17279: The Importance of the Meaning and Measurement of "Affordable" in the Affordable Care Act

Richard Burkhauser, Sean Lyons and Kosali Simon

17278: Carry Trades and Risk

Craig Burnside

17277: International Risk Cycles

Francois Gourio, Michael Siemer and Adrien Verdelhan

17276: The Continental Dollar: Initial Design, Ideal Performance, and the Credibility of Congressional Commitment

Farley Grubb

17275: Substitution Between Individual and Cultural Capital: Pre-Migration Labor Supply, Culture and US Labor Market Outcomes Among Immigrant Women

Francine Blau and Lawrence Kahn

17274: Unemployment in Latin America and the Caribbean

Laurence Ball, Nicolás de Roux and Marc Hofstetter

17273: "Healthy, Wealthy and Wise?" Revisited: An Analysis of the Causal Pathways from Socio-economic Status to Health

Till Stowasser, Florian Heiss, Daniel McFadden and Joachim Winter

17272: Country Heterogeneity and the International Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Policy

Carlo Favero, Francesco Giavazzi and Jacopo Perego

17271: Long-Term Barriers to the International Diffusion of Innovations

Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg

17270: Employment, Wages and Voter Turnout

Kerwin Kofi Charles and Melvin Stephens

17269: Why Did U.S. Banks Invest in Highly-Rated Securitization Tranches?

Isil Erel, Taylor D. Nadauld and René Stulz

17268: Tax Expenditures, the Size and Efficiency of Government, and Implications for Budget Reform

Leonard E. Burman and Marvin Phaup

17267: The Influence of Irving Fisher on Milton Friedman's Monetary Economics

Michael Bordo and Hugh Rockoff

17266: Constituencies and Legislation: The Fight over the McFadden Act of 1927

Raghuram Rajan and Rodney Ramcharan

17265: The Incredible Shrinking Portuguese Firm

Serguey Braguinsky, Lee Branstetter and André Regateiro

17264: The Elite Illusion: Achievement Effects at Boston and New York Exam Schools

Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Joshua Angrist and Parag Pathak

17263: The Balanced U.S. Press

Riccardo Puglisi and James Snyder

17262: Trade Policy Making in a Model of Legislative Bargaining

Levent Celik, Bilgehan Karabay and John McLaren

17261: Global Asset Pricing

Karen Lewis

17260: What's Next for the Dollar?

Martin Feldstein

17259: Time Use During Recessions

Mark Aguiar, Erik Hurst and Loukas Karabarbounis

17258: Capital flows: Catalyst or Hindrance to economic takeoffs?

Joshua Aizenman and Vladyslav Sushko

17257: Trade and Inequality in India

Pravin Krishna and Guru Sethupathy

17256: Wage Effects of Trade Reform with Endogenous Worker Mobility

Pravin Krishna, Jennifer Poole and Mine Senses

17255: Why Don't the Poor Save More? Evidence from Health Savings Experiments

Pascaline Dupas and Jonathan Robinson

17254: Corporate Social Responsibility for Irresponsibility

Matthew Kotchen and Jon Jungbien Moon

17253: Heterogeneity and the Dynamics of Technology Adoption

Stephen Ryan and Catherine Tucker

17252: Stories of the Twentieth Century for the Twenty-First

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Maurice Obstfeld

17251: Inefficiencies from Metropolitan Political and Fiscal Decentralization: Failures of Tiebout Competition

Stephen Calabrese, Dennis Epple and Richard Romano

17250: A Dynamic Model of Demand for Houses and Neighborhoods

Patrick Bayer, Robert McMillan, Alvin Murphy and Christopher Timmins

17249: China and India as Suppliers of Affordable Medicines to Developing Countries

Tamara Hafner and David Popp

17248: Prospective Analysis of a Wage Subsidy for Cape Town Youth

James Levinsohn and Todd Pugatch

17247: The Value of Honesty: Empirical Estimates from the Case of the Missing Children

Sara LaLumia and James Sallee

17246: Network Stability, Network Externalities and Technology Adoption

Catherine Tucker

17245: Chemical Fertilizer and Migration in China

Avraham Ebenstein, Jian Zhang, Margaret McMillan and Kevin Chen

17244: How Survey Design Affects Inference Regarding Health Perceptions and Outcomes

Anneke Exterkate and Robin L. Lumsdaine

17243: Stepping Stones: Principal Career Paths and School Outcomes

Tara Béteille, Demetra Kalogrides and Susanna Loeb

17242: Defying Gravity: The 1932 Imperial Economic Conference and the Reorientation of Canadian Trade

David Jacks

17241: The Feasibility and Importance of Adding Measures of Actual Experience to Cross-Sectional Data Collection

Francine Blau and Lawrence Kahn

17240: On Measuring the Effects of Fiscal Policy in Recessions

Jonathan Parker

17239: Over-optimism in Forecasts by Official Budget Agencies and Its Implications

Jeffrey Frankel

17238: Are All Ratings Created Equal? The Impact of Issuer Size on the Pricing of Mortgage-backed Securities

Jie (Jack) He, Jun Qian and Philip E. Strahan

17237: Corporate and Personal Bankruptcy Law

Michelle White

17236: Has the Shift to Managed Care Reduced Medicaid Expenditures? Evidence from State and Local-Level Mandates

Mark Duggan and Tamara Hayford

17235: Human Capital Spillovers in Families: Do Parents Learn from or Lean on their Children?

Ilyana Kuziemko

17234: "Last-place Aversion": Evidence and Redistributive Implications

Ilyana Kuziemko, Ryan W. Buell, Taly Reich and Michael I. Norton

17233: How Do Firm Financial Conditions Affect Product Quality and Pricing?

Gordon Phillips and Giorgo Sertsios

17232: Gauging the Generosity of Employer-Sponsored Insurance: Differences Between Households With and Without a Chronic Condition

Jean M. Abraham, Anne Royalty and Thomas DeLeire

17231: The Land that Lean Manufacturing Forgot? Management Practices in Transition Countries

Nicholas Bloom, Helena Schweiger and John van Reenen

17230: Public Consumption Over the Business Cycle

Ruediger Bachmann and Jinhui Bai

17229: Cycles, Gaps, and the Social Value of Information

George-Marios Angeletos, Luigi Iovino and Jennifer La'O

17228: Capital Flow Types, External Financing Needs, and Industrial Growth: 99 countries, 1991-2007

Joshua Aizenman and Vladyslav Sushko

17227: The Costs of Free Entry: An Empirical Study of Real Estate Agents in Greater Boston

Panle Barwick and Parag Pathak

17226: Cross-National Evidence on Generic Pharmaceuticals: Pharmacy vs. Physician-Driven Markets

Patricia Danzon and Michael F. Furukawa

17225: School Competition and Teacher Labor Markets: Evidence from Charter School Entry in North Carolina

C. Kirabo Jackson

17224: House Price Booms and the Current Account

Klaus Adam, Pei Kuang and Albert Marcet

17223: The Effects of Health Shocks on Employment and Health Insurance: The Role of Employer-Provided Health Insurance

Cathy J. Bradley, David Neumark and Meryl Motika

17222: Caution, Drivers! Children Present: Traffic, Pollution, and Infant Health

Christopher Knittel, Douglas Miller and Nicholas Sanders

17221: Conglomerate Industry Choice and Product Differentiation

Gerard Hoberg and Gordon Phillips

17220: Competing with Costco and Sam's Club: Warehouse Club Entry and Grocery Prices

Charles Courtemanche and Art Carden

17219: Sources of Entropy in Representative Agent Models

David Backus, Mikhail Chernov and Stanley Zin

17218: Post-Secondary Attendance by Parental Income in the U.S. and Canada: What Role for Financial Aid Policy?

Philippe Belley, Marc Frenette and Lance Lochner

17217: Understanding Cross-National Trends in High-Tech Renewable Power Equipment Exports to the United States

Aparna Sawhney and Matthew Kahn

17216: The "Out of Africa" Hypothesis, Human Genetic Diversity, and Comparative Economic Development

Quamrul Ashraf and Oded Galor

17215: Economic Growth in the Mid Atlantic Region: Conjectural Estimates for 1720 to 1800

Joshua Rosenbloom and Thomas Weiss

17214: An Optimal Tax System

Louis Kaplow

17213: Future Skill Shortages in the U.S. Economy?

David Neumark, Hans P. Johnson and Marisol Cuellar Mejia

17212: Early Maternal Employment and Family Wellbeing

Pinka Chatterji, Sara Markowitz and Jeanne Brooks-Gunn

17211: American Incomes before and after the Revolution

Peter Lindert and Jeffrey Williamson

17210: Environmental Regulations, Air and Water Pollution, and Infant Mortality in India

Michael Greenstone and Rema Hanna

17209: State Redemption of the Continental Dollar, 1779-1790

Farley Grubb

17208: Competition in Health Care Markets

Martin Gaynor and Robert Town

17207: When is capital enough to get female microenterprises growing? Evidence from a randomized experiment in Ghana

Marcel Fafchamps, David McKenzie, Simon Quinn and Christopher Woodruff

17206: What Really Happened During the Glorious Revolution?

Steven C.A. Pincus and James Robinson

17205: Vaccine Supply: Effects Of Regulation And Competition

Patricia Danzon and Nuno Sousa Pereira

17204: Supplier Responses to Wal-Mart's Invasion of Mexico

Leonardo Iacovone, Beata Javorcik, Wolfgang Keller and James Tybout

17203: Economic Preparation for Retirement

Michael Hurd and Susann Rohwedder

17202: Tax Policy and the Efficiency of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad

Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley and James Hines

17201: International Recessions

Fabrizio Perri and Vincenzo Quadrini

17200: Understanding the Solar Home Price Premium: Electricity Generation and "Green" Social Status

Samuel Dastrup, Joshua Graff Zivin, Dora Costa and Matthew Kahn

17199: The Behavior of Savings and Asset Prices When Preferences and Beliefs are Heterogeneous

Ngoc-Khanh Tran and Richard Zeckhauser

17198: The Labor Market Impact of Employer Health Benefit Mandates: Evidence from San Francisco's Health Care Security Ordinance

Carrie Colla, William Dow and Arindrajit Dube

17197: Issuer Quality and the Credit Cycle

Robin Greenwood and Samuel Hanson

17196: The Empirical Content of Models with Multiple Equilibria in Economies with Social Interactions

Alberto Bisin, Andrea Moro and Giorgio Topa

17195: Policy Response to Pandemic Influenza: The Value of Collective Action

Georgiy Bobashev, Maureen Cropper, Joshua M. Epstein, D. Michael Goedecke, Stephen Hutton and A. Over

17194: Pay for Percentile

Gadi Barlevy and Derek Neal

17193: Connected Substitutes and Invertibility of Demand

Steven Berry, Amit Gandhi and Philip Haile

17192: Negotiating with Labor Under Financial Distress

Efraim Benmelech, Nittai K. Bergman and Ricardo Enriquez

17191: Customer Capital

Francois Gourio and Leena Rudanko

17190: The Oregon Health Insurance Experiment: Evidence from the First Year

Amy Finkelstein, Sarah Taubman, Bill Wright, Mira Bernstein, Jonathan Gruber, Joseph Newhouse, Heidi Allen, Katherine Baicker and The Oregon Health Study Group

17189: Using Non-Pecuniary Strategies to Influence Behavior: Evidence from a Large Scale Field Experiment

Paul Ferraro and Michael Price

17188: Regulation and Welfare: Evidence from Paragraph IV Generic Entry in the Pharmaceutical Industry

Lee Branstetter, Chirantan Chatterjee and Matthew Higgins

17187: What Explains the German Labor Market Miracle in the Great Recession?

Michael Burda and Jennifer Hunt

17186: The Economic Impact of Social Ties: Evidence from German Reunification

Konrad Burchardi and Tarek Hassan

17185: Improving Reading Skills by Encouraging Children to Read in School: A Randomized Evaluation of the Sa Aklat Sisikat Reading Program in the Philippines

Ama Abeberese, Todd J. Kumler and Leigh Linden

17184: Divide and Rule or the Rule of the Divided? Evidence from Africa

Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou

17183: Using Implementation Intentions Prompts to Enhance Influenza Vaccination Rates

Katherine Milkman, John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

17182: Regime Changes and Financial Markets

Andrew Ang and Allan Timmermann