NBER Working Papers

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18210: When Does It Pay to Delay Social Security? The Impact of Mortality, Interest Rates, and Program Rules

John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

18209: Global Banks and Crisis Transmission

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Elias Papaioannou and Fabrizio Perri

18208: Boarding a Sinking Ship? An Investigation of Job Applications to Distressed Firms

Jennifer Brown and David A. Matsa

18207: Selection and Market Reallocation: Productivity Gains from Multinational Production

Laura Alfaro and Maggie Chen

18206: Income, the Earned Income Tax Credit, and Infant Health

Hilary Hoynes, Douglas Miller and David Simon

18205: The Climate Policy Dilemma

Robert Pindyck

18204: Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation

Charles Manski

18203: Managing Licensing in a Market for Technology

Ashish Arora, Andrea Fosfuri and Thomas Roende

18202: The Need for (long) Chains in Kidney Exchange

Itai Ashlagi, David Gamarnik, Michael A. Rees and Alvin Roth

18201: Evaluating Student Outcomes at For-Profit Colleges

Kevin Lang and Russell Weinstein

18200: Effects of Federal Policy to Insure Young Adults: Evidence from the 2010 Affordable Care Act Dependent Coverage Mandate

Yaa Akosa Antwi, Asako S. Moriya and Kosali Simon

18199: Dealing with the Trilemma: Optimal Capital Controls with Fixed Exchange Rates

Emmanuel Farhi and Iván Werning

18198: Peer Effects in Program Participation

Gordon Dahl, Katrine Løken and Magne Mogstad

18197: Impact of Bilingual Education Programs on Limited English Proficient Students and Their Peers: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Texas

Aimee Chin, N. Meltem Daysal and Scott Imberman

18196: The Benefits of College Athletic Success: An Application of the Propensity Score Design with Instrumental Variables

Michael Anderson

18195: The Economics of Options-Implied Inflation Probability Density Functions

Yuriy Kitsul and Jonathan Wright

18194: Deep Recessions, Fast Recoveries, and Financial Crises: Evidence from the American Record

Michael Bordo and Joseph Haubrich

18193: The Effect of Trade and Migration on Income

Francesc Ortega and Giovanni Peri

18192: Has Surface Water Quality Improved Since the Clean Water Act?

V. Smith and Carlos Valcarcel Wolloh

18191: Trade Wedges, Inventories, and International Business Cycles

George Alessandria, Joseph Kaboski and Virgiliu Midrigan

18190: Is the FHA Creating Sustainable Homeownership?

Andrew Caplin, Anna Cororaton and Joseph Tracy

18189: The Returns to Education in China: Evidence from the 1986 Compulsory Education Law

Hai Fang, Karen Eggleston, John Rizzo, Scott Rozelle and Richard Zeckhauser

18188: A Spatial Knowledge Economy

Donald Davis and Jonathan Dingel

18187: Stand Your Ground Laws, Homicides, and Injuries

Chandler McClellan and Erdal Tekin

18186: Fragmentation and Trade in Value Added over Four Decades

Robert Johnson and Guillermo Noguera

18185: When Educators Are the Learners: Private Contracting by Public Schools

Silke Forbes and Nora Gordon

18184: Measuring Managerial Skill in the Mutual Fund Industry

Jonathan B. Berk and Jules van Binsbergen

18183: The Effects of School Libraries on Language Skills: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in India

Evan Borkum, Fang He and Leigh Linden

18182: Dynamic Olley-Pakes Productivity Decomposition with Entry and Exit

Marc Melitz and Sašo Polanec

18181: Continuous-Time Linear Models

John Cochrane

18180: Behavioral Economics and the Demand for Alcohol: Results from the NLSY97

Henry Saffer, Dhaval Dave and Michael Grossman

18179: Innovating Standards Through Informal Consortia: The Case of Wireless Telecommunications

Henry Delcamp and Aija Leiponen

18178: Robust Comparative Statics in Large Dynamic Economies

Daron Acemoglu and Martin Jensen

18177: Finding Eldorado: Slavery and Long-run Development in Colombia

Daron Acemoglu, Camilo García-Jimeno and James Robinson

18176: Income inequality, tax base and sovereign spreads

Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak

18175: Overcoming the Fear of Free Falling: Monetary Policy Graduation in Emerging Markets

Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin

18174: Money Doctors

Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny

18173: Competition Among University Endowments

William Goetzmann and Sharon Oster

18172: Moral Hazard and Claims Deterrence in Private Disability Insurance

David Autor, Mark Duggan and Jonathan Gruber

18171: An Alternative Framework for Empirically Measuring the Size of Counterfeit Markets

Rosalie Pacula, Srikanth Kadiyala, Priscillia Hunt and Alessandro Malchiodi

18170: Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Lorenz Kueng and John Silvia

18169: Tail Risk in Momentum Strategy Returns

Kent Daniel, Ravi Jagannathan and Soohun Kim

18168: Unobserved Heterogeneity in Matching Games with an Application to Venture Capital

Jeremy Fox, David H. Hsu and Chenyu Yang

18167: Collective Intelligence and Neutral Point of View: The Case of Wikipedia

Shane Greenstein and Feng Zhu

18166: Plan Selection in Medicare Part D: Evidence from Administrative Data

Florian Heiss, Adam Leive, Daniel McFadden and Joachim Winter

18165: The Behavioralist Goes to School: Leveraging Behavioral Economics to Improve Educational Performance

Steven Levitt, John List, Susanne Neckermann and Sally Sadoff

18164: Do Newspapers Serve the State? Incumbent Party Influence on the US Press, 1869-1928

Matthew Gentzkow, Nathan Petek, Jesse Shapiro and Michael Sinkinson

18163: Organizing the Global Value Chain

Pol Antras and Davin Chor

18162: The European Origins of Economic Development

William Easterly and Ross Levine

18161: The Aftermath of Accelerating Algebra: Evidence from a District Policy Initiative

Charles Clotfelter, Helen Ladd and Jacob Vigdor

18160: A Theory of Debt Maturity: The Long and Short of Debt Overhang

Douglas Diamond and Zhiguo He

18159: Do Male-Female Wage Differentials Reflect Differences in the Return to Skill? Cross-City Evidence From 1980-2000

Paul Beaudry and Ethan Lewis

18158: Is Conflicted Investment Advice Better than No Advice?

John Chalmers and Jonathan Reuter

18157: The Ramsey Discounting Formula for a Hidden-State Stochastic Growth Process

Martin Weitzman

18156: Strengthening State Capabilities: The Role of Financial Incentives in the Call to Public Service

Ernesto Dal Bó, Frederico Finan and Martín Rossi

18155: Identification of Potential Games and Demand Models for Bundles

Jeremy Fox and Natalia Lazzati

18154: Declining Labor Shares and the Global Rise of Corporate Saving

Loukas Karabarbounis and Brent Neiman

18153: Using Audit Studies to Test for Physician Induced Demand: The Case of Antibiotic Abuse in China

Janet Currie, Wanchuan Lin and Juanjuan Meng

18152: The Demand of Liquid Assets with Uncertain Lumpy Expenditures

Fernando Alvarez and Francesco Lippi

18151: Taxation and Redistribution of Residual Income Inequality

Mikhail Golosov, Pricila Maziero and Guido Menzio

18150: Corrupting Learning: Evidence from Missing Federal Education Funds in Brazil

Claudio Ferraz, Frederico Finan and Diana Moreira

18149: Testing for Keynesian Labor Demand

Mark Bils, Pete Klenow and Benjamin Malin

18148: Real Options, Taxes and Financial Leverage

Stewart C. Myers and James A. Read, Jr.

18147: Real Assets and Capital Structure

Murillo Campello and Erasmo Giambona

18146: Evaluating the Role of Science Philanthropy in American Research Universities

Fiona E. Murray

18145: The Effect of Education Policy on Crime: An Intergenerational Perspective

Ulrika Ahrsjö, Costas Meghir, Mårten Palme and Marieke Schnabel

18144: A Precautionary Tale of Uncertain Tail Fattening

Martin Weitzman

18143: The Dollar and its Discontents

Olivier Jeanne

18142: Getting the Biggest Bang for the Buck in Fiscal Policy

Miles Kimball

18141: The Cost of Friendship

Paul Gompers, Vladimir Mukharlyamov and Yuhai Xuan

18140: Post-Durban Climate Policy Architecture Based on Linkage of Cap-and-Trade Systems

Matthew Ranson and Robert Stavins

18139: Does Finance Cause Growth? Evidence from the Origins of Banking in Russia

Daniel Berkowitz, Mark Hoekstra and Koen Schoors

18138: The Euro and the global crises: finding the balance between short term stabilization and forward looking reforms

Joshua Aizenman

18137: Does Mutual Fund Performance Vary over the Business Cycle?

André de Souza and Anthony W. Lynch

18136: Managing Catastrophic Risk

Howard Kunreuther and Geoffrey Heal

18135: Inflation Tracking Portfolios

Christopher T. Downing, Francis Longstaff and Michael A. Rierson

18134: Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Castle Doctrine

Cheng Cheng and Mark Hoekstra

18133: The Life Cycle of Plants in India and Mexico

Chang-Tai Hsieh and Pete Klenow

18132: International Standards and International Trade: Empirical Evidence from ISO 9000 Diffusion

Joseph Clougherty and Michal Grajek

18131: Skill Premium and Trade Puzzles: a Solution Linking Production and Preferences

Justin Caron, Thibault Fally and James Markusen

18130: How Deep Are the Roots of Economic Development?

Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg

18129: Suffrage, Schooling, and Sorting in the Post-Bellum U.S. South

Suresh Naidu

18128: Growth-Rate and Uncertainty Shocks in Consumption: Cross-Country Evidence

Emi Nakamura, Dmitriy Sergeyev and Jon Steinsson

18127: The Incidence of an Oil Glut: Who Benefits from Cheap Crude Oil in the Midwest?

Severin Borenstein and Ryan Kellogg

18126: Decentralisation in Africa and the Nature of Local Governments' Competition: Evidence from Benin

Emilie Caldeira, Martial Foucault and Grégoire Rota-Graziosi

18125: Housing Market Spillovers: Evidence from the End of Rent Control in Cambridge Massachusetts

David Autor, Christopher J. Palmer and Parag Pathak

18124: Water Availability as a Constraint on China's Future Growth

Dana Medianu and John Whalley

18123: Tall or Taller, Pretty or Prettier: Is Discrimination Absolute or Relative?

Daniel Hamermesh

18122: Distance and Political Boundaries: Estimating Border Effects under Inequality Constraints

Fernando Borraz, Alberto Cavallo, Roberto Rigobon and Leandro Zipitria

18121: Hard Evidence on Soft Skills

James Heckman and Tim D. Kautz

18120: Multinationals and the High Cash Holdings Puzzle

Lee Pinkowitz, René Stulz and Rohan Williamson

18119: Education and the Quality of Government

Juan Botero, Alejandro Ponce and Andrei Shleifer

18118: Does Decentralization Facilitate Access to Poverty-Related Services? Evidence from Benin

Emilie Caldeira, Martial Foucault and Grégoire Rota-Graziosi

18117: Democracy and Reforms: Evidence from a New Dataset

Paola Giuliano, Prachi Mishra and Antonio Spilimbergo

18116: NIH Peer Review: Challenges and Avenues for Reform

Pierre Azoulay, Joshua Graff Zivin and Gustavo Manso

18115: The Effects of "Girl-Friendly" Schools: Evidence from the BRIGHT School Construction Program in Burkina Faso

Harounan Kazianga, Dan Levy, Leigh Linden and Matt Sloan

18114: Liquidity Traps and Expectation Dynamics: Fiscal Stimulus or Fiscal Austerity?

Jess Benhabib, George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja

18113: Why Trade Matters After All

Ralph Ossa

18112: The Political Risks of Fighting Market Failures: Subversion, Populism and the Government Sponsored Enterprises

Edward Glaeser

18111: When Walmart Comes to Town: Always Low Housing Prices? Always?

Devin Pope and Jaren Pope