NBER Working Papers

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27862: Tapping into Talent: Coupling Education and Innovation Policies for Economic Growth

Ufuk Akcigit, Jeremy Pearce and Marta Prato

27861: Does Fiscal Policy Matter for Stock-Bond Return Correlation?

Xuenan Li, Tao Zha, Ji Zhang and Hao Zhou

27860: Behavioral Biases are Temporally Stable

Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman

27859: A Return Based Measure of Firm Quality

Ravi Jagannathan and Yang Zhang

27858: The Aggregate Demand for Bank Capital

Milton Harris, Christian Opp and Marcus Opp

27857: Worker Empowerment and Subjective Evaluation: On Building an Effective Conflict Culture

W. Bentley Macleod, Victoria Valle Lara and Christian Zehnder

27856: Why Does the Fed Move Markets so Much? A Model of Monetary Policy and Time-Varying Risk Aversion

Carolin Pflueger and Gianluca Rinaldi

27855: A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model

Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mohammad Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi and Alessandro Rebucci

27854: War, Socialism and the Rise of Fascism: An Empirical Exploration

Daron Acemoglu, Giuseppe De Feo, Giacomo De Luca and Gianluca Russo

27853: What Is CEO Overconfidence? Evidence from Executive Assessments

Steven N. Kaplan, Morten Sorensen and Anastasia Zakolyukina

27852: Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence

Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

27851: Crisis Innovation

Tania Babina, Asaf Bernstein and Filippo Mezzanotti

27850: History and Urban Economics

W Hanlon and Stephan Heblich

27849: Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics

Brian Fabo, Martina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf and Lubos Pastor

27848: A Satellite Account for Health in the United States

David Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, Kassandra Messer, Trivellore Raghunathan, Allison B. Rosen and Susan T. Stewart

27847: The Economics of Currency Risk

Tarek Hassan and Tony Zhang

27846: Crimes Against Morality: Unintended Consequences of Criminalizing Sex Work

Lisa Cameron, Jennifer Seager and Manisha Shah

27845: Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications

Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull

27844: Uncertainty, Long-Run, and Monetary Policy Risks in a Two-Country Macro Model

Kimberly Berg and Nelson Mark

27843: Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases

Jules van Binsbergen, Xiao Han and Alejandro Lopez-Lira

27842: Choice in Insurance Markets: A Pigouvian Approach to Social Insurance Design

Nathaniel Hendren, Camille Landais and Johannes Spinnewijn

27841: Pandemics Through the Lens of Occupations

Anand Chopra, Michael Devereux and Amartya Lahiri

27840: Globalization and Pandemics

Pol Antras, Stephen Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

27839: Measuring Property Rights Institutions

Simeon Djankov, Edward Glaeser, Valeria Perotti and Andrei Shleifer

27838: Child Skill Production: Accounting for Parental and Market-Based Time and Goods Investments

Elizabeth Caucutt, Lance Lochner, Joseph Mullins and Youngmin Park

27837: On the Equilibrium Properties of Network Models with Heterogeneous Agents

Treb Allen, Costas Arkolakis and Xiangliang Li

27836: Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Edward Knotek and Raphael Schoenle

27835: Inequality of Opportunity for Income in Denmark and the United States: A Comparison Based on Administrative Data

Pablo Mitnik, Anne-Line Helsø and Victoria L. Bryant

27834: Marginal Effects of Merit Aid for Low-Income Students

Joshua Angrist, David Autor and Amanda Pallais

27833: The Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: Evidence from Owners, Managers, and Employees

Georgij Alekseev, Safaa Amer, Manasa Gopal, Theresa Kuchler, Schneider Jw, Johannes Stroebel and Nils C. Wernerfelt

27832: Gangs, Labor Mobility and Development

Nikita Melnikov, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla and Maria Micaela Sviatschi

27831: On Public Spending and Economic Unions

Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura

27830: The Intergenerational Effects of the Vietnam Draft on Risky Behaviors

Monica Deza and Alvaro Mezza

27829: Pandemics, Vaccines and an Earnings Damage Function

Harrison Hong, Jeffrey D. Kubik, Neng Wang, Xiao Xu and Jinqiang Yang

27828: Fencing off Silicon Valley: Cross-Border Venture Capital and Technology Spillovers

Ufuk Akcigit, Sina T. Ates, Josh Lerner, Richard R. Townsend and Yulia Zhestkova

27827: Expanding the Measurement of Culture with a Sample of Two Billion Humans

Nick Obradovich, Ömer Özak, Ignacio Martín, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín, Edmond Awad, Manuel Cebrián, Rubén Cuevas, Klaus Desmet, Iyad Rahwan and Ángel Cuevas

27826: Optimal Financial Transaction Taxes

Eduardo Davila

27825: Dissertators with Distantly Related Foci Face Divergent Near-Term Outcomes

Kevin M. Kniffin, Andrew Hanks, Xuechao Qian, Bo Wang and Bruce Weinberg

27824: Venture Capitalists and COVID-19

Paul Gompers, Will Gornall, Steven N. Kaplan and Ilya Strebulaev

27823: Intergenerational Mobility in Socio-emotional Skills

Orazio Attanasio, Aureo de Paula and Alessandro Toppeta

27822: Abstentions and Social Networks in Congress

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

27821: Trade and Geography

Stephen Redding

27820: Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers

Cosmin Ilut and Rosen Valchev

27819: Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior

Refet Gürkaynak, Hakan Kara, Burçin Kısacıkoğlu and Sang Seok Lee

27818: On the Origins of Gender-Biased Behavior: The Role of Explicit and Implicit Stereotypes

Eliana Avitzour, Adi Choen, Daphna Joel and Victor Lavy

27817: Do Black and Indigenous Communities Receive their Fair Share of Vaccines Under the 2018 CDC Guidelines?

Parag Pathak, Harald Schmidt, Adam Solomon, Edwin Song, Tayfun Sönmez and Utku Unver

27816: My Taxes are Too Darn High: Why Do Households Protest their Taxes?

Brad C. Nathan, Ricardo Perez-Truglia and Alejandro Zentner

27815: Liquidity Transformation and Fragility in the US Banking Sector

Qi Chen, Itay Goldstein, Zeqiong Huang and Rahul Vashishtha

27814: Unemployment Disrupts Sleep

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

27813: The Contagion Externality of a Superspreading Event: The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19

Dhaval Dave, Andrew Friedson, Drew McNichols and Joseph J. Sabia

27812: Child Development in the Early Years: Parental Investment and the Changing Dynamics of Different Dimensions

Orazio Attanasio, Raquel Bernal, Michele Giannola and Milagros Nores

27811: What Explains the Gap in Welfare Use among Immigrants and Natives?

Xiaoning Huang, Neeraj Kaushal and Julia Shu-Huah Wang

27810: Token-Based Platform Finance

Lin Cong, Ye Li and Neng Wang

27809: The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF

Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Yue and Egon Zakrajšek

27808: On the Origins of the Idea of Ending Poverty

Martin Ravallion

27807: Reservation Wages and Workers’ Valuation of Job Flexibility: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

Kuan-Ming Chen, Claire Ding, John List and Magne Mogstad

27806: Measuring the Cost of Living in Mexico and the US

David Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Munseob Lee

27805: Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19

Vellore Arthi and John Parman

27804: Is the Rise in Illicit Opioids Affecting Labor Supply and Disability Claiming Rates?

Sujeong Park and David Powell

27803: Linguistic Metrics for Patent Disclosure: Evidence from University Versus Corporate Patents

Nancy Kong, Uwe Dulleck, Adam Jaffe, Shupeng Sun and Sowmya Vajjala

27802: On the Use of Outcome Tests for Detecting Bias in Decision Making

Ivan Canay, Magne Mogstad and Jack Mountjoy

27801: Coasean Approaches to Ending Overfishing: Bigeye Tuna Conservation in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean

Daniel Ovando, Gary Libecap, Katherine D. Millage and Lennon Thomas

27800: Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents

Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

27799: Large Learning Gains in Pockets of Extreme Poverty: Experimental Evidence from Guinea Bissau

Ila Fazzio, Alex Eble, Robin L. Lumsdaine, Peter Boone, Baboucarr Bouy, Pei-Tseng Jenny Hsieh, Chitra Jayanty, Simon Johnson and Ana Filipa Silva

27798: The Costs of Employment Segregation: Evidence from the Federal Government under Woodrow Wilson

Abhay Aneja and Guo Xu

27797: Correcting for Misclassified Binary Regressors Using Instrumental Variables

Steven Haider and Melvin Stephens

27796: The Social Safety Net in the Wake of COVID-19

Marianne Bitler, Hilary Hoynes and Diane Schanzenbach

27795: Growing Like China: Firm Performance and Global Production Line Position

Davin Chor, Kalina Manova and Zhihong Yu

27794: The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S

Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll and Giovanni Violante

27793: An Optimal Test for Strategic Interaction in Social and Economic Network Formation between Heterogeneous Agents

Andrin Pelican and Bryan Graham

27792: Who's In and Who's Out under Workplace COVID Symptom Screening?

Krista Ruffini, Aaron Sojourner and Abigail Wozniak

27791: Who are the Essential and Frontline Workers?

Francine Blau, Josefine Koebe and Pamela A. Meyerhofer

27790: Clean Air as an Experience Good in Urban China

Matthew Kahn, Weizeng Sun and Siqi Zheng

27789: Does Gender Matter for Promotion in Science? Evidence from Physicists in France

Jacques Mairesse, Michele Pezzoni and Fabiana Visentin

27788: Paid Leave Pays Off: The Effects of Paid Family Leave on Firm Performance

Benjamin Bennett, Isil Erel, Léa H. Stern and Zexi Wang

27787: Declining Business Dynamism among Our Best Opportunities: The Role of the Burden of Knowledge

Thomas Astebro, Serguey Braguinsky and Yuheng Ding

27786: Manufacturing Risk-free Government Debt

Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Xiaolan

27785: The Social Determinants of Choice Quality: Evidence from Health Insurance in the Netherlands

Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan Kolstad, Thomas Minten and Johannes Spinnewijn

27784: What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?

Josue Cox, Daniel Greenwald and Sydney Ludvigson

27783: Does Increasing Access to Formal Credit Reduce Payday Borrowing?

Sarah Miller and Cindy K. Soo

27782: Shale Shocked: Cash Windfalls and Household Debt Repayment

J. Anthony Cookson, Erik P. Gilje and Rawley Heimer

27781: Using Taxes to Meet an Emission Target

Robert Harris and William Pizer

27780: Test Sensitivity for Infection versus Infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2

Joshua Gans

27779: Affirmative Action and Pre-College Human Capital

Mitra Akhtari, Natalie Bau and Jean-William Laliberté

27778: Immigration and Entrepreneurship in the United States

Pierre Azoulay, Benjamin Jones, J. Daniel Kim and Javier Miranda

27777: Tracing the Linkages Between Scientific Research and Energy Innovations: A Comparison of Clean and Dirty Technologies

Robert K. Perrons, Adam Jaffe and Trinh Le

27776: Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein and Mesay Gebresilasse

27775: Perinatal Health among 1 Million Chinese-Americans

Douglas Almond and Yi Cheng

27774: The Fractured-Land Hypothesis

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Mark Koyama, Youhong Lin and Tuan-Hwee Sng

27773: The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures

Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig and Irina Popova

27772: Winners and Losers from Sovereign Debt Inflows

Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, Lorenzo Pandolfi and Tomas Williams

27771: How to Estimate a VAR after March 2020

Michele Lenza and Giorgio Primiceri

27770: Clearing the Bar: Improving Tax Compliance for Small Firms through Target Setting

Yazan Al-Karablieh, Evangelos Koumanakos and Stefanie Stantcheva

27769: Board Dynamics over the Startup Life Cycle

Michael Ewens and Nadya Malenko

27768: Effective Demand Failures and the Limits of Monetary Stabilization Policy

Michael Woodford

27767: To Stay or to Migrate? When Becker Meets Harris-Todaro

Pei-Ju Liao, Ping Wang, Yin-Chi Wang and Chong Yip

27766: Economic Aspects of the Energy Transition

Geoffrey Heal

27765: Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money

Mohammad Akbarpour, Julien Combe, YingHua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimer and Olivier Tercieux

27764: The Impact of Migration Controls on Urban Fiscal Policies and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital in China

Holger Sieg, Chamna Yoon and Jipeng Zhang

27763: Monetary Stimulus Amidst the Infrastructure Investment Spree: Evidence from China's Loan-Level Data

Kaiji Chen, Haoyu Gao, Patrick Higgins, Daniel Waggoner and Tao Zha