NBER Working Papers

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27311: Program Recertification Costs: Evidence from SNAP

Tatiana Homonoff and Jason Somerville

27310: Predicting Social Tipping and Norm Change in Controlled Experiments

James Andreoni, Nikos Nikiforakis and Simon Siegenthaler

27309: The Impact of Covid-19 on Small Business Owners: Evidence of Early-Stage Losses from the April 2020 Current Population Survey

Robert Fairlie

27308: Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory

George-Marios Angeletos, Zhen Huo and Karthik A. Sastry

27307: Revenue at Risk in Coal-Reliant Counties

Adele Morris, Noah Kaufman and Siddhi Doshi

27306: Medicaid Expansion and the Mental Health of College Students

Benjamin Cowan and Zhuang Hao

27305: A Liberalization Spillover: From Equities to Loans

Xin Liu, Shang-Jin Wei and Yifan Zhou

27304: What We Know and Don't Know about Climate Change, and Implications for Policy

Robert Pindyck

27303: Plants in Space

Ezra Oberfield, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Pierre-Daniel Sarte and Nicholas Trachter

27302: The Long-Run Effects of School Racial Diversity on Political Identity

Stephen Billings, Eric Chyn and Kareem Haggag

27301: Reciprocity versus Reelection

Prateik Dalmia, Allan Drazen and Erkut Ozbay

27300: Search Frictions and Efficiency in Decentralized Transportation Markets

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi, Theodore Papageorgiou and Nicola Rosaia

27299: Social Proximity to Capital: Implications for Investors and Firms

Theresa Kuchler, Yan Li, Lin Peng, Johannes Stroebel and Dexin Zhou

27298: Experimental Evidence on Alternative Policies to Increase Learning at Scale

Annie Duflo, Jessica Kiessel and Adrienne Lucas

27297: The Food Problem and the Aggregate Productivity Consequences of Climate Change

Ishan B. Nath

27296: Founder-CEO Compensation and Selection into Venture Capital-Backed Entrepreneurship

Michael Ewens, Ramana Nanda and Christopher T. Stanton

27295: Wall Street vs. Main Street QE

Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu

27294: Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States

Emily E. Wiemers, Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V. Joseph Hotz, Robert F. Schoeni and Judith A. Seltzer

27293: Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs

Charles Manski and Aleksey Tetenov

27292: The Anatomy of the Transmission of Macroprudential Policies

Viral Acharya, Katharina Bergant, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert and Fergal McCann

27291: Yield Performance of Corn under Heat Stress: A Comparison of Hybrid and Open-Pollinated Seeds during a Period of Technological Transformation, 1933-1955

Keith Meyers and Paul Rhode

27290: Consumption Insurance in Networks with Asymmetric Information

Orazio Attanasio and Sonya Krutikova

27289: Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty

Michael Barnett, Greg Buchak and Constantine Yannelis

27288: Disguising Prejudice: Popular Rationales as Excuses for Intolerant Expression

Leonardo Bursztyn, Ingar K. Haaland, Aakaash Rao and Christopher Roth

27287: Spatial Economics for Granular Settings

Jonathan Dingel and Felix Tintelnot

27286: Demand-Side Constraints in Development: The Role of Market Size, Trade, and (In)Equality

Pinelopi Goldberg and Tristan Reed

27285: The Environmental Benefits from Transportation Electrification: Urban Buses

Stephen P. Holland, Erin Mansur, Nicholas Muller and Andrew Yates

27284: What’s Driving Entrepreneurship and Innovation in the Transport Sector?

Derrick Choe, Alexander Oettl and Robert Seamans

27283: Belief Overreaction and Stock Market Puzzles

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer

27282: India's Lockdown: An Interim Report

Debraj Ray and S. Subramanian

27281: Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis

David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi

27280: Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes

Sumedha Gupta, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce Weinberg and Coady Wing

27279: Post-9/11 War Deployments Increased Crime among Veterans

Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia and Erdal Tekin

27278: Flying or Trapped?

Yunfang Hu, Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura and Ping Wang

27277: Divided We Stay Home: Social Distancing and Ethnic Diversity

Georgy Egorov, Ruben Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin and Maria Petrova

27276: The Welfare Cost of a Current Account Imbalance: A "Clean" Effect

Jungho Lee, Shang-Jin Wei and Jianhuan Xu

27275: Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Gabriel Mihalache

27274: How to Get Away with Merger: Stealth Consolidation and Its Effects on US Healthcare

Thomas G. Wollmann

27273: How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World?

Titan Alon, Minki Kim, David Lagakos and Mitchell VanVuren

27272: Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen Utkus

27271: Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception

Grant Miller, Aureo de Paula and Christine Valente

27270: Common Practice: Spillovers from Medicare on Private Health Care

Michael L. Barnett, Andrew Olenski and Adam Sacarny

27269: Measuring the Effect of Student Loans on College Persistence

David Card and Alex Solis

27268: The Great Migration of Black Americans from the US South: A Guide and Interpretation

William Collins

27267: Dying to Work: Effects of Unemployment Insurance on Health

Alexander Ahammer and Analisa Packham

27266: Reconstructing the Yield Curve

Yan Liu and Jing Cynthia Wu

27265: Framing, Information, and Welfare

Andrew Caplin and Daniel Martin

27264: COVID-19 Doesn't Need Lockdowns to Destroy Jobs: The Effect of Local Outbreaks in Korea

Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee and Yongseok Shin

27263: Breaking Routine for Energy Savings: An Appliance-level Analysis of Small Business Behavior under Dynamic Prices

Jiyong Eom and Frank A. Wolak

27262: Simplified Electricity Market Models with Significant Intermittent Renewable Capacity: Evidence from Italy

Christoph Graf, Federico Quaglia and Frank A. Wolak

27261: Building Better Retirement Systems in the Wake of the Global Pandemic

Olivia Mitchell

27260: An Experimental Comparison of Carbon Pricing Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets

Trevor L. Davis, Mark C. Thurber and Frank A. Wolak

27259: Measuring the Spatial Distribution of Health Rankings in the United States

Will Davis, Zander Gordan and Rusty Tchernis

27258: Bank Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from a Structural Estimation

Yifei Wang, Toni Whited, Yufeng Wu and Kairong Xiao

27257: Robust Identification of Investor Beliefs

Xiaohong Chen, Lars P. Hansen and Peter G. Hansen

27256: Banks as Lenders of First Resort: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis

Lei Li, Philip E. Strahan and Song Zhang

27255: Retaliatory Use of Public Standards in Trade

Kjersti Nes and K Aleks Schaefer

27254: Transportation Infrastructure in the US

Gilles Duranton, Geetika Nagpal and Matthew Turner

27253: Competition Laws and Corporate Innovation

Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Lai Wei and Wensi Xie

27252: Are Trade Agreements Good For You?

Giovanni Maggi and Ralph Ossa

27251: Cost Saving and the Freezing of Corporate Pension Plans

Joshua D. Rauh, Irina Stefanescu and Stephen Zeldes

27250: Research Registries: Facts, Myths, and Possible Improvements

Eliot Abrams, Jonathan Libgober and John List

27249: COVID-19 and Implications for Automation

Alex Chernoff and Casey Warman

27248: Panel Forecasts of Country-Level Covid-19 Infections

Laura Liu, Hyungsik Roger Moon and Frank Schorfheide

27247: A Unifying Approach to Measuring Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation

Antonio Bento, Noah S. Miller, Mehreen Mookerjee and Edson Severnini

27246: The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment: First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata

Robert Fairlie, Kenneth Couch and Huanan Xu

27245: Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Jesper Akesson, Sam Ashworth-Hayes, Robert Hahn, Robert Metcalfe and Itzhak Rasooly

27244: Reopening Scenarios

David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina and James H. Stock

27243: The Adverse Effect of the COVID-19 Labor Market Shock on Immigrant Employment

George Borjas and Hugh Cassidy

27242: Sufficient Statistics Revisited

Henrik Kleven

27241: Human Capital Investment in the Presence of Child Labor

Natalie Bau, Martin Rotemberg, Manisha Shah and Bryce Steinberg

27240: Persistent Effects of Violent Media Content

Jason Lindo, Isaac D. Swensen and Glen Waddell

27239: DEglobalizaion and Social Safety Nets in Post-Covid-19 Era: Textbook Macroeconomic Analysis

Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka and Alexander Horst Schwemmer

27238: The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States

Paola Giuliano and Marco Tabellini

27237: The Persuasive Effect of Fox News: Non-Compliance with Social Distancing During the Covid-19 Pandemic

Andrey Simonov, Szymon K. Sacher, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé and Shirsho Biswas

27236: Mobility Zones

Ferdinando Monte

27235: Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility

Thuy D. Nguyen, Sumedha Gupta, Martin Andersen, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon and Coady Wing

27234: Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years?

Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

27233: Three Myths about Federal Regulation

Patrick A. McLaughlin and Casey Mulligan

27232: The Hammer and the Scalpel: On the Economics of Indiscriminate versus Targeted Isolation Policies during Pandemics

Varadarajan Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani and Christopher Phelan

27231: The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations

Patrick Augustin, Mikhail Chernov, Lukas Schmid and Dongho Song

27230: Spatial Misallocation in Chinese Housing and Land Markets

Yongheng Deng, Yang Tang, Ping Wang and Jing Wu

27229: Were Urban Cowboys Enough to Control COVID-19? Local Shelter-in-Place Orders and Coronavirus Case Growth

Dhaval Dave, Andrew Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia and Samuel Safford

27228: The Macroeconomics of a Pandemic: A Minimalist Model

Luis Cespedes, Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco

27227: Necessary Evidence For A Risk Factor’s Relevance

Alexander M. Chinco, Samuel M. Hartzmark and Abigail B. Sussman

27226: Bounding the Predictive Values of COVID-19 Antibody Tests

Charles Manski

27225: Deputization

Bruce I. Carlin, Tarik Umar and Hanyi Yi

27224: Global Supply Chains in the Pandemic

Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Andrei Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

27223: Voluntary Regulation: Evidence from Medicare Payment Reform

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Yunan Ji and Neale Mahoney

27222: Tokenomics: Dynamic Adoption and Valuation

Lin Cong, Ye Li and Neng Wang

27221: When is Debt Odious? A Theory of Repression and Growth Traps

Viral Acharya, Raghuram Rajan and Jack Shim

27220: The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effects of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases

David Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Munseob Lee

27219: Global Comparatives Statics in General Equilibrium: Model Building from Theoretical Foundations

James Markusen

27218: Implications of Stochastic Transmission Rates for Managing Pandemic Risks

Harrison Hong, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

27217: The Long-Term Cognitive and Schooling Effects of Childhood Vaccinations in China

Hamid R. Oskorouchi, Alfonso Sousa-Poza and David Bloom

27216: US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic

Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel and Joseph Vavra

27215: The Economics of Urban Density

Gilles Duranton and Diego Puga

27214: Cyclical Lending Standards: A Structural Analysis

Kaiji Chen, Patrick C. Higgins and Tao Zha

27213: In Search of Distress Risk in Emerging Markets

Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari and Adam Haas

27212: Financing Vaccines for Global Health Security

Jonathan T. Vu, Benjamin K. Kaplan, Shomesh Chaudhuri, Monique K. Mansoura and Andrew Lo