NBER Working Papers

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21161: The Supply and Demand of S&P 500 Put Options

George Constantinides and Lei Lian

21160: Do Individuals Make Sensible Health Insurance Decisions? Evidence from a Menu with Dominated Options

Saurabh Bhargava, George Loewenstein and Justin Sydnor

21159: Uncovered Interest Parity and Monetary Policy Near and Far from the Zero Lower Bound

Menzie Chinn and Yi Zhang

21158: Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: Can Monetary Policy Really Help?

Philippe Bacchetta, Elena Perazzi and Eric van Wincoop

21157: Temperature and Human Capital in the Short- and Long-Run

Joshua Graff Zivin, Solomon M. Hsiang and Matthew Neidell

21156: The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment

Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren and Lawrence Katz

21155: A Tractable Framework for Analyzing a Class of Nonstationary Markov Models

Lilia Maliar, Serguei Maliar, John Taylor and Inna Tsener

21154: Housing Constraints and Spatial Misallocation

Chang-Tai Hsieh and Enrico Moretti

21153: Voluntary Associations, Corporate Rights, and the State: Legal Constraints on the Development of American Civil Society, 1750-1900

Ruth H. Bloch and Naomi R. Lamoreaux

21152: Colonial New Jersey's Provincial Fiscal Structure, 1709-1775: Spending Obligations, Revenue Sources, and Tax Burdens in War and in Peace

Farley Grubb

21151: A Structural Model of Electoral Accountability

S. Boragan Aruoba, Allan Drazen and Razvan Vlaicu

21150: Bank sovereign bond holdings, sovereign shock spillovers, and moral hazard during the European crisis

Andrea Beltratti and René Stulz

21149: The Impact of Trade on Labor Market Dynamics

Lorenzo Caliendo, Maximiliano Dvorkin and Fernando Parro

21148: When Should Governments Subsidize Health? The Case of Mass Deworming

Amrita Ahuja, Sarah Baird, Joan Hamory Hicks, Michael Kremer, Edward Miguel and Shawn Powers

21147: Giving College Credit Where it is Due: Advanced Placement Exam Scores and College Outcomes

Jonathan Smith, Michael Hurwitz and Christopher Avery

21146: The Career Effects of Scandal: Evidence from Scientific Retractions

Pierre Azoulay, Alessandro Bonatti and Joshua L. Krieger

21145: Politics in the Courtroom: Political Ideology and Jury Decision Making

Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer and Randi Hjalmarsson

21144: The Impact of Disability Benefits on Labor Supply: Evidence from the VA's Disability Compensation Program

David Autor, Mark Duggan, Kyle Greenberg and David S. Lyle

21143: Above a Swamp: A Theory of High-Quality Scientific Production

Bralind Kiri, Nicola Lacetera and Lorenzo Zirulia

21142: The Facts of Economic Growth

Charles Jones

21141: It's Good to be First: Order Bias in Reading and Citing NBER Working Papers

Daniel Feenberg, Ina Ganguli, Patrick Gaulé and Jonathan Gruber

21140: Lost in the Clouds: The Impact of Changing Property Rights on Investment in Cloud Computing Ventures

Josh Lerner and Greg Rafert

21139: Cofinancing in Environment and Development: Evidence from the Global Environment Facility

Matthew Kotchen and Neeraj Kumar Negi

21138: Preference for Boys, Family Size and Educational Attainment in India

Adriana Kugler and Santosh Kumar

21137: Career Technical Education and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from California Community Colleges

Ann Stevens, Michal Kurlaender and Michel Grosz

21136: How Modern Dictators Survive: An Informational Theory of the New Authoritarianism

Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman

21135: The Impact of Tuition Increases on Undocumented College Students' Attainment

Dylan Conger and Lesley Turner

21134: Slack Time and Innovation

Ajay Agrawal, Christian Catalini and Avi Goldfarb

21133: What Do Private Equity Firms Say They Do?

Paul Gompers, Steven Kaplan and Vladimir Mukharlyamov

21132: Networks and Manufacturing Firms in Africa: Results from a Randomized Field Experiment

Marcel Fafchamps and Simon Quinn

21131: Executive Compensation: A Modern Primer

Alex Edmans and Xavier Gabaix

21130: Does Exposure to Economics Bring New Majors to the Field? Evidence from a natural Experiment

Hans Fricke, Jeffrey Grogger and Andreas Steinmayr

21129: Productivity, Safety, and Regulation in Underground Coal Mining: Evidence from Disasters and Fatalities

Gautam Gowrisankaran, Charles He, Eric A. Lutz and Jefferey L. Burgess

21128: Monetary Policy Spillovers and the Trilemma in the New Normal: Periphery Country Sensitivity to Core Country Conditions

Joshua Aizenman, Menzie Chinn and Hiro Ito

21127: Redistribution and Group Participation: Comparative Experimental Evidence from Africa and the UK

Marcel Fafchamps and Ruth Hill

21126: Is the Focus on Food Deserts Fruitless? Retail Access and Food Purchases Across the Socioeconomic Spectrum

Jessie Handbury, Ilya Rahkovsky and Molly Schnell

21125: Identification and Efficient Semiparametric Estimation of a Dynamic Discrete Game

Patrick Bajari, Victor Chernozhukov, Han Hong and Denis Nekipelov

21124: Improving Policy Functions in High-Dimensional Dynamic Games

Carlos A. Manzanares, Ying Jiang and Patrick Bajari

21123: Are Immigrants a Shot in the Arm for the Local Economy?

Gihoon Hong and John McLaren

21122: High-frequency, Algorithmic Spillovers Between NASDAQ and Forex

Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada

21121: Monnet's Error?

Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza and Luigi Zingales

21120: The Effect of State Taxes on the Geographical Location of Top Earners: Evidence from Star Scientists

Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson

21119: Goldilocks Economies? Temperature Stress and the Direct Impacts of Climate Change

Geoffrey Heal and Jisung Park

21118: Liquidity as Social Expertise

Pablo Kurlat

21117: Culture, Institutions and Democratization

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Gérard Roland

21116: Green Skills

Francesco Vona, Giovanni Marin, Davide Consoli and David Popp

21115: Welfare and Distributional Implications of Shale Gas

Catherine Hausman and Ryan Kellogg

21114: The Weaker Sex? Vulnerable Men, Resilient Women, and Variations in Sex Differences in Mortality since 1900

Mark R. Cullen, Michael Baiocchi, Karen Eggleston, Pooja Loftus and Victor Fuchs

21113: The U.S. Electricity Industry After 20 Years of Restructuring

Severin Borenstein and James Bushnell

21112: Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom

Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, Wei Xiong and Li-An Zhou

21111: Benefit Incidence with Incentive Effects, Measurement Errors and Latent Heterogeneity: A Case Study for China

Martin Ravallion and Shaohua Chen

21110: Cash burns: An inventory model with a cash-credit choice

Fernando Alvarez and Francesco Lippi

21109: Government Policy and Labor Supply with Myopic or Targeted Savings Decisions

Louis Kaplow

21108: AIG in Hindsight

Robert L. McDonald and Anna Paulson

21107: Entrepreneurship and Financial Frictions: A Macro-Development Perspective

Francisco Buera, Joseph Kaboski and Yongseok Shin

21106: Quantitative Models of Wealth Inequality: A Survey

Mariacristina De Nardi

21105: Forbidden Fruits: The Political Economy of Science, Religion, and Growth

Roland Benabou, Davide Ticchi and Andrea Vindigni

21104: Salience, Myopia, and Complex Dynamic Incentives: Evidence from Medicare Part D

Christina Dalton, Gautam Gowrisankaran and Robert Town

21103: Assets with "Warts": How Reliable is the Market for Technology?

Vincenzo Palermo, Matthew Higgins and Marco Ceccagnoli

21102: Borrowing from the Future: 401(k) Plan Loans and Loan Defaults

Timothy (Jun) Lu, Olivia Mitchell, Stephen P. Utkus and Jean A. Young

21101: Child Cash Benefits and Family Expenditures: Evidence from the National Child Benefit

Lauren Jones, Kevin Milligan and Mark Stabile

21100: Effects of Fiscal Shocks in a Globalized World

Alan Auerbach and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

21099: Is No News (Perceived as) Bad News? An Experimental Investigation of Information Disclosure

Ginger Zhe Jin, Michael Luca and Daniel Martin

21098: The Half-Life of Happiness: Hedonic Adaptation in the Subjective Well-Being of Poor Slum Dwellers to a Large Improvement in Housing

Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Raimundo Undurraga

21097: The Use and Misuse of Models for Climate Policy

Robert Pindyck

21096: Ethnic Complementarities after the Opening of China: How Chinese Graduate Students Affected the Productivity of Their Advisors

George Borjas, Kirk Doran and Ying Shen

21095: Delay Functions as the Foundation of Time Preference: Testing for Separable Discounted Utility

Keith Ericson and Jawwad Noor

21094: Labor Market Slack and Monetary Policy

David Blanchflower and Andrew Levin

21093: Friendship at Work: Can Peer Effects Catalyze Female Entrepreneurship?

Erica Field, Seema Jayachandran, Rohini Pande and Natalia Rigol

21092: How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Saten Kumar

21091: Robots: Curse or Blessing? A Basic Framework

Jeffrey D. Sachs, Seth Benzell and Guillermo LaGarda

21090: An Empirical Examination of Patent Hold-up

Alexander Galetovic, Stephen Haber and Ross Levine

21089: Chinese Outwards Mercantilism – the Art and Practice of Bundling

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak and Huanhuan Zheng

21088: Are PILOTs Property Taxes for Nonprofits?

Fan Fei, James Hines and Jill R. Horwitz

21087: The Geography of Development: Evaluating Migration Restrictions and Coastal Flooding

Klaus Desmet, David Nagy and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

21086: Financial Accelerator at Work: Evidence from Corn Fields

Nittai K. Bergman, Rajkamal Iyer and Richard Thakor

21085: Bankruptcy Rates among NFL Players with Short-Lived Income Spikes

Kyle Carlson, Joshua Kim, Annamaria Lusardi and Colin Camerer

21084: Aspire

Marcel Fafchamps and Simon Quinn

21083: Good Rankings Are Bad: Why Reliable Rankings Can Hurt Consumers

Laurent Bouton and Georg Kirchsteiger

21082: Production Networks, Geography and Firm Performance

Andrew Bernard, Andreas Moxnes and Yukiko Saito

21081: China's “Great Leap Forward” in Science and Engineering

Richard Freeman and Wei Huang

21080: The Effect of Mandated Child Care on Female Wages in Chile

Maria Prada, Graciana Rucci and Sergio Urzua

21079: Diversity and Conflict

Cemal Eren Arbatli, Quamrul Ashraf, Oded Galor and Marc Klemp

21078: The Growing Segmentation of the Charter School Sector in North Carolina

Helen Ladd, Charles Clotfelter and John B. Holbein

21077: Loss Aversion in Politics

Alberto Alesina and Francesco Passarelli

21076: Firm Leverage and Unemployment during the Great Recession

Xavier Giroud and Holger M. Mueller

21075: Social Trust and Differential Reactions of Local and Foreign Investors to Public News

Chunxin Jia, Yaping Wang and Wei Xiong

21074: How Fast are Semiconductor Prices Falling?

David Byrne, Stephen Oliner and Daniel Sichel

21073: Death and the Media: Asymmetries in Infectious Disease Reporting During the Health Transition

Dora Costa and Matthew Kahn

21072: How Increasing Medical Access to Opioids Contributes to the Opioid Epidemic: Evidence from Medicare Part D

David Powell, Rosalie Pacula and Erin Taylor

21071: Low-Income Housing Policy

Robert Collinson, Ingrid Gould Ellen and Jens Ludwig

21070: Demand for Value Added and Value-Added Exchange Rates

Rudolfs Bems and Robert Johnson

21069: Creative Destruction and Subjective Wellbeing

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Angus Deaton and Alexandra Roulet

21068: The Impact of Financial Education for Youth in Ghana

James Berry, Dean Karlan and Menno Pradhan

21067: Dynastic Entrepreneurship, Entry, and Non-Compete Enforcement

James Rauch

21066: Donor Governance and Financial Management in Prominent U.S. Art Museums

David Yermack

21065: Spatial Variation in Higher Education Financing and the Supply of College Graduates

John Kennan

21064: Investment and The Cross-Section of Equity Returns

Gian Luca Clementi and Berardino Palazzo

21063: Decentralizing Education Resources: School Grants in Senegal

Pedro Carneiro, Oswald Koussihouèdé, Nathalie Lahire, Costas Meghir and Corina Mommaerts

21062: Backlash in Policy Attitudes After the Election of Extreme Political Parties

Magnus Carlsson, Gordon Dahl and Dan-Olof Rooth