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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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28411: Kindleberger Cycles: Method in the madness of crowds? Downloads
Randall Morck
28410: Political Violence, Risk Aversion, and Non-Localized Disease Spread: Evidence from the U.S. Capitol Riot Downloads
Dhaval Dave, Drew McNichols and Joseph J. Sabia
28409: Wage Posting or Wage Bargaining? A Test Using Dual Jobholders Downloads
Marta Lachowska, Alexandre Mas, Raffaele Saggio and Stephen Woodbury
28408: Model Complexity, Expectations, and Asset Prices Downloads
Pooya Molavi, Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi and Andrea Vedolin
28407: Workforce Aging, Pension Reforms, and Firm Outcomes Downloads
Francesca Carta, Francesco D'Amuri and Till von Wachter
28406: Scope Challenges to Social Impact Downloads
Monica P. Bhatt, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig and Anuj K. Shah
28405: Bad Men, Good Roads, Jim Crow, and the Economics of Southern Chain Gangs Downloads
Howard Bodenhorn
28404: Exchange Rates and Prices: Evidence from the 2015 Swiss Franc Appreciation Downloads
Raphael Auer, Ariel Burstein and Sarah Lein
28403: A Theory of Power Structure and Institutional Compatibility: China vs. Europe Revisited Downloads
Ruixue Jia, Gérard Roland and Yang Xie
28402: The Worker-Job Surplus Downloads
Ilse Lindenlaub and Fabien Postel-Vinay
28401: The Productivity Consequences of Pollution-Induced Migration in China Downloads
Gaurav Khanna, Wenquan Liang, Ahmed Mobarak and Ran Song
28400: Marriage Dynamics, Earnings Dynamics, and Lifetime Family Income Downloads
Joseph Altonji, Daniel Giraldo Páez, Disa M. Hynsjo and Ivan Vidangos
28399: Seeing Beyond the Trees: Using Machine Learning to Estimate the Impact of Minimum Wages on Labor Market Outcomes Downloads
Doruk Cengiz, Arindrajit Dube, Attila S. Lindner and David Zentler-Munro
28398: Tax Filing and Take-Up: Experimental Evidence on Tax Preparation Outreach and EITC Participation Downloads
Jacob Goldin, Tatiana Homonoff, Rizwan Javaid and Brenda Schafer
28397: Gender and Bureaucratic Corruption: Evidence from Two Countries Downloads
Francesco Decarolis, Raymond Fisman, Paolo Pinotti, Silvia Vannutelli and Yongxiang Wang
28396: Is Automatic Enrollment Consistent with a Life Cycle Model? Downloads
Jason Scott, John B. Shoven, Sita Slavov and John G. Watson
28395: The Economic Case for Global Vaccinations: An Epidemiological Model with International Production Networks Downloads
Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Sevcan Yesiltas and Muhammed A. Yıldırım
28394: Housing Precarity & the COVID-19 Pandemic: Impacts of Utility Disconnection and Eviction Moratoria on Infections and Deaths Across US Counties Downloads
Kay Jowers, Christopher Timmins, Nrupen Bhavsar, Qihui Hu and Julia Marshall
28393: A Call for Structured Ethics Appendices in Social Science Papers Downloads
Edward Asiedu, Dean Karlan, Monica Lambon-Quayefio and Christopher Udry
28392: COVID-19 and Global Income Inequality Downloads
Angus Deaton
28391: Trade and Domestic Distortions: the Case of Informality Downloads
Rafael Dix-Carneiro, Pinelopi Goldberg, Costas Meghir and Gabriel Ulyssea
28390: Quality and Price Setting of High-Tech Goods Downloads
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Oleksandr Talavera and Nam Vu
28389: Where is Pollution Moving? Environmental Markets and Environmental Justice Downloads
Joseph S. Shapiro and Reed Walker
28388: Myth or Measurement: What Does the New Minimum Wage Research Say about Minimum Wages and Job Loss in the United States? Downloads
David Neumark and Peter Shirley
28387: Public Economics and Inequality: Uncovering Our Social Nature Downloads
Emmanuel Saez
28386: Hungry for Success? SNAP Timing, High-Stakes Exam Performance, and College Attendance Downloads
Timothy Bond, Jillian Carr, Analisa Packham and Jonathan Smith
28385: Trends in U.S. Spatial Inequality: Concentrating Affluence and a Democratization of Poverty Downloads
Cecile Gaubert, Patrick Kline, Damián Vergara and Danny Yagan
28384: Constrained-Efficient Capital Reallocation Downloads
Andrea Lanteri and Adriano Rampini
28383: Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1962 to 2019: Median Wealth Rebounds... But Not Enough Downloads
Edward N. Wolff
28382: Gender Differences in (some) Formative Inputs to Child Development Downloads
Michael Baker
28381: The Impact of Regulation on Innovation Downloads
Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud and John van Reenen
28380: A Second-best Argument for Low Optimal Tariffs Downloads
Lorenzo Caliendo, Robert Feenstra, John Romalis and Alan Taylor
28379: The Organization of Innovation: Incomplete Contracts and the Outsourcing Decision Downloads
Thomas Jungbauer, Sean Nicholson, June Pan, Michael Waldman and Lucy Xiaolu Wang
28378: Contracting in Peer Networks Downloads
Peter DeMarzo and Ron Kaniel
28377: Liquidity, Pledgeability, and the Nature of Lending Downloads
Douglas Diamond, Yunzhi Hu and Raghuram Rajan
28376: Information Avoidance and Image Concerns Downloads
Christine L. Exley and Judd B. Kessler
28375: Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages: The Role of Spillover Effects Downloads
Nicole Fortin, Thomas Lemieux and Neil Lloyd
28374: The Impact of the Non-essential Business Closure Policy on Covid-19 Infection Rates Downloads
Hummy Song, Ryan M. McKenna, Angela T. Chen, Guy David and Aaron Smith-McLallen
28373: The Effects of Youth Employment on Crime: Evidence from New York City Lotteries Downloads
Judd B. Kessler, Sarah Tahamont, Alexander M. Gelber and Adam Isen
28372: Globalization and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Evidence from the United States Downloads
Claire Brunel and Arik Levinson
28371: Efficiency and Equity Impacts of Energy Subsidies Downloads
Robert W. Hahn and Robert Metcalfe
28370: Poverty in China since 1950: A Counterfactual Perspective Downloads
Martin Ravallion
28369: Competition for Attention in the ETF Space Downloads
Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni, Byungwook Kim and Rabih Moussawi
28368: Price Limits in a Tradable Performance Standard Downloads
Banban Wang, William Pizer and Clayton Munnings
28367: Robust Financial Contracting and Investment Downloads
Aifan Ling, Jianjun Miao and Neng Wang
28366: Fiscal Multipliers: A Heterogenous-Agent Perspective Downloads
Tobias Broer, Per Krusell and Erik Öberg
28365: Changes in Social Network Structure in Response to Exposure to Formal Credit Markets Downloads
Abhijit Banerjee, Emily Breza, Arun Chandrasekhar, Esther Duflo, Matthew Jackson and Cynthia Kinnan
28364: Double-Robust Identification for Causal Panel Data Models Downloads
Dmitry Arkhangelsky and Guido Imbens
28363: Smart(Phone) Investing? A within Investor-time Analysis of New Technologies and Trading Behavior Downloads
Ankit Kalda, Benjamin Loos, Alessandro Previtero and Andreas Hackethal
28362: Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform Downloads
Natasha Sarin, Lawrence H. Summers, Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick
28361: Longevity Perceptions and Saving Decisions during the COVID-19 Outbreak: An Experimental Investigation Downloads
Abigail Hurwitz, Olivia Mitchell and Orly Sade
28360: COVID-19 Disruptions Disproportionately Affect Female Academics Downloads
Tatyana Deryugina, Olga Shurchkov and Jenna E. Stearns
28359: Populism, Protectionism, and Political Instability Downloads
Tyler Daun, Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens
28358: Living and Dying in America: An Essay on Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism Downloads
Christopher Ruhm
28357: Government and Private Household Debt Relief during COVID-19 Downloads
Susan F. Cherry, Erica Xuewei Jiang, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski and Amit Seru
28356: Do Global Pandemics Matter for Stock Prices? Lessons from the 1918 Spanish Flu Downloads
Marco Del Angel, Caroline Fohlin and Marc Weidenmier
28355: Private and Social Returns to R&D: Drug Development and Demographics Downloads
Efraim Benmelech, Janice Eberly, Joshua L. Krieger and Dimitris Papanikolaou
28354: Hit Harder, Recover Slower? Unequal Employment Effects of the Covid-19 Shock Downloads
Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Minsung Park and Yongseok Shin
28353: Examining Income Expectations in the College and Early Post-college Periods: New Distributional Tests of Rational Expectations Downloads
Thomas Crossley, Yifan Gong, Todd R. Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner
28352: Urban Specialisation; from Sectoral to Functional Downloads
Antoine Gervais, James Markusen and Anthony Venables
28351: Zoning and Segregation in Urban Economic History Downloads
Allison Shertzer, Tate Twinam and Randall Walsh
28350: Common Ownership and Competition in the Ready-to-Eat Cereal Industry Downloads
Matthew Backus, Christopher Conlon and Michael Sinkinson
28349: Private and Public Investments in Biomedical Research Downloads
Maya M. Durvasula, Lisa Ouellette and Heidi Williams
28348: The Asset Pricing Implications of Plausible Deniability Downloads
Kerry Back, Bruce I. Carlin and Seyed Mohammad Kazempour
28347: Chaos and Unpredictability in Dynamic Social Problems Downloads
Marco Battaglini
28346: Keynesian Production Networks and the Covid-19 Crisis: A Simple Benchmark Downloads
David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi
28345: The Supply-Side Effects of Monetary Policy Downloads
David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi and Kunal Sangani
28344: Africa's Manufacturing Puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian Firms Downloads
Xinshen Diao, Mia Ellis, Margaret McMillan and Dani Rodrik
28343: Students' Heterogeneous Preferences and the Uneven Spatial Distribution of Colleges Downloads
Chao Fu, Junjie Guo, Adam J. Smith and Alan T. Sorensen
28342: The Globalization of Postsecondary Education: The Role of International Students in the US Higher Education System Downloads
John Bound, Breno Braga, Gaurav Khanna and Sarah Turner
28341: No-fault Default, Chapter 11 Bankruptcy, and Financial Institutions Downloads
Robert Merton and Richard Thakor
28340: Recipes and Economic Growth: A Combinatorial March Down an Exponential Tail Downloads
Charles Jones
28339: Globalization and Global Crises: Rest of the World vs. Israel Downloads
Assaf Razin
28338: Do Financial Concerns Make Workers Less Productive? Downloads
Supreet Kaur, Sendhil Mullainathan, Suanna Oh and Frank Schilbach
28337: Place-Based Redistribution Downloads
Cecile Gaubert, Patrick Kline, Damián Vergara and Danny Yagan
28336: Personnel Management and School Productivity: Evidence from India Downloads
Renata Lemos, Karthik Muralidharan and Daniela Scur
28335: The Economics of Crisis Innovation Policy: A Historical Perspective Downloads
Daniel Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat
28334: Family Spillover Effects of Marginal Diagnoses: The Case of ADHD Downloads
Petra Persson, Xinyao Qiu and Maya Rossin-Slater
28333: Price Indices and the Value of Innovation with Heterogenous Patients Downloads
Claudio Lucarelli, Sean Nicholson and Nicholas Tilipman
28332: The Globalization of Refugee Flows Downloads
Xavier Devictor, Quy-Toan Do and Andrei Levchenko
28331: The Behavioral Foundations of Default Effects: Theory and Evidence from Medicare Part D Downloads
Zarek Brot-Goldberg, Timothy Layton, Boris Vabson and Adelina Yanyue Wang
28330: How do Physicians Respond to Malpractice Allegations? Evidence from Florida Emergency Departments Downloads
Caitlin Carroll, David Cutler and Anupam Jena
28329: Wealth Trajectories Across Key Milestones: Longitudinal Evidence from Life-Course Transitions Downloads
Gopi Goda and Jialu Liu Streeter
28328: Machine Learning and Perceived Age Stereotypes in Job Ads: Evidence from an Experiment Downloads
Ian Burn, Daniel Firoozi, Daniel Ladd and David Neumark
28327: Informational Content of Factor Structures in Simultaneous Binary Response Models Downloads
Shakeeb Khan, Arnaud Maurel and Yichong Zhang
28326: The Family Origin of the Math Gender Gap is a White Affluent Phenomenon Downloads
Gaia Dossi, David Figlio, Paola Giuliano and Paola Sapienza
28325: Promoting Platform Takeoff and Self-Fulfilling Expectations: Field Experimental Evidence Downloads
Kevin Boudreau
28324: What Matters for Electrification? Evidence from 70 Years of U.S. Home Heating Choices Downloads
Lucas Davis
28323: Estimating Production Functions in Differentiated-Product Industries with Quantity Information and External Instruments Downloads
Nicolás de Roux, Marcela Eslava, Santiago Franco and Eric Verhoogen
28322: Robots and Labor in the Service Sector: Evidence from Nursing Homes Downloads
Karen Eggleston, Yong Suk Lee and Toshiaki Iizuka
28321: Did the $660 Billion Paycheck Protection Program and $220 Billion Economic Injury Disaster Loan Program Get Disbursed to Minority Communities in the Early Stages of COVID-19? Downloads
Robert Fairlie and Frank Fossen
28320: Stock Prices and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus Downloads
Steven Davis, Dingqian Liu and Xuguang Simon Sheng
28319: Adaptive Correspondence Experiments Downloads
Hadar Avivi, Patrick Kline, Evan Rose and Christopher Walters
28318: Another brick on the Wall: On the Effects of Non-Contributory Pensions on Material and Subjective Well Being Downloads
Rosangela Bando, Sebastian Galiani and Paul Gertler
28317: Moms’ Time—Married or Not Downloads
Daniel S. Hamermesh
28316: Health Knowledge and Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa Downloads
Anne Fitzpatrick, Sabrin Beg, Laura Derksen, Anne Karing, Jason Kerwin, Adrienne Lucas, Natalia Ordaz Reynoso and Munir Squires
28315: Globalization, Trade Imbalances and Labor Market Adjustment Downloads
Rafael Dix-Carneiro, João Paulo Pessoa, Ricardo Reyes-Heroles and Sharon Traiberman
28314: The Impact of COVID-19 on US Firms Downloads
Nicholas Bloom, Robert Fletcher and Ethan Yeh
28313: Who Will Fill China's Shoes? The Global Evolution of Labor-Intensive Manufacturing Downloads
Gordon Hanson
28312: A Grant to Every Citizen: Survey Evidence of the Impact of a Direct Government Payment in Israel Downloads
Naomi Feldman and Ori Heffetz
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