NBER Working Papers

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28980: Financial Innovation in the 21st Century: Evidence from U.S. Patents

Josh Lerner, Amit Seru, Nick Short and Yuan Sun

28979: Long-term effects of the Inca Road

Ana Paula Franco, Sebastian Galiani and Pablo Lavado

28978: The Impact of Increased Access to Telemedicine

Dan Zeltzer, Liran Einav, Joseph Rashba and Ran D. Balicer

28977: Infrastructure Investment and Labor Monopsony Power

Wyatt Brooks, Joseph Kaboski, Illenin Kondo, Yao Li and Wei Qian

28976: Teaching and Incentives: Substitutes or Complements?

James Allen, Arlete Mahumane, James Riddell Iv, Tanya Rosenblat, Dean Yang and Hang Yu

28975: What Drives Demand for State-Run Lotteries? Evidence and Welfare Implications

Benjamin Lockwood, Hunt Allcott, Dmitry Taubinsky and Afras Y. Sial

28974: Risk Perceptions, Board Networks, and Directors’ Monitoring

Wenzhi Ding, Chen Lin, Thomas Schmid and Michael Weisbach

28973: Does It Matter How Central Banks Accumulate Reserves? Evidence from Sovereign Spreads

Cesar Sosa-Padilla and Federico Sturzenegger

28972: Women Left Behind: Gender Disparities in Utilization of Government Health Insurance in India

Pascaline Dupas and Radhika Jain

28971: Delayed Creative Destruction: How Uncertainty Shapes Corporate Assets

Murillo Campello, Gaurav Kankanhalli and Hyunseob Kim

28970: Leverage and Cash Dynamics

Harry DeAngelo, Andrei S. Gonçalves and René M. Stulz

28969: Size, Trade, Technology and the Division of Labor

Nuno Limão and Yang Xu

28968: Evaluating the Role of Insurance in Managing Risk of Future Pandemics

Howard Kunreuther and Jason Schupp

28967: In Search of the Origins of Financial Fluctuations: The Inelastic Markets Hypothesis

Xavier Gabaix and Ralph Koijen

28966: Who Paid Los Angeles' Minimum Wage? A Side-by-Side Minimum Wage Experiment in Los Angeles County

Christopher Esposito, Edward Leamer and Jerry Nickelsburg

28965: Racial Diversity and Racial Policy Preferences: The Great Migration and Civil Rights

Alvaro Calderon, Vasiliki Fouka and Marco Tabellini

28964: Paying off the Competition: Contracting, Market Power, and Innovation Incentives

Xuelin Li, Andrew Lo and Richard Thakor

28963: Noise in Expectations: Evidence from Analyst Forecasts

Tim de Silva and David Thesmar

28962: Impacts of the Clean Air Act on the Power Sector from 1938-1994: Anticipation and Adaptation

Karen Clay, Akshaya Jha, Joshua Lewis and Edson Severnini

28961: Dynamic Preference “Reversals” and Time Inconsistency

Philipp Strack and Dmitry Taubinsky

28960: The Effect of Beverage Taxes on Youth Consumption and BMI: Evidence from Mauritius

John Cawley, Michael R. Daly and Rebecca Thornton

28959: The Demand for Executive Skills

Stephen Hansen, Tejas Ramdas, Raffaella Sadun and Joe Fuller

28958: The Great Unequalizer: Initial Health Effects of COVID-19 in the United States

Marcella Alsan, Amitabh Chandra and Kosali Simon

28957: The Distributional Effects of Trade: Theory and Evidence from the United States

Kirill Borusyak and Xavier Jaravel

28956: Does Saving Cause Borrowing?

Paolina C. Medina and Michaela Pagel

28955: Who Will Pay for Legacy Utility Costs?

Lucas Davis and Catherine Hausman

28954: Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs

Michael Bauer and Mikhail Chernov

28953: Neighborhoods Matter: Assessing the Evidence for Place Effects

Eric Chyn and Lawrence Katz

28952: Deficit Follies

Johannes Brumm, Xiangyu Feng, Laurence Kotlikoff and Felix Kubler

28951: When Interest Rates Go Low, Should Public Debt Go High?

Johannes Brumm, Xiangyu Feng, Laurence Kotlikoff and Felix Kubler

28950: Mussa Puzzle Redux

Oleg Itskhoki and Dmitry Mukhin

28949: Coal-Fired Power Plant Retirements in the U.S

Rebecca J. Davis, J Holladay and Charles Sims

28948: A Seven-College Experiment Using Algorithms to Track Students: Impacts and Implications for Equity and Fairness

Peter Bergman, Elizabeth Kopko and Julio Rodríguez

28947: A World Trading System for the Twenty-First Century

Robert Staiger

28946: Smart Matching Platforms and Heterogeneous Beliefs in Centralized School Choice

Felipe Arteaga, Adam J. Kapor, Christopher Neilson and Seth Zimmerman

28945: Trade and Innovation

Marc Melitz and Stephen Redding

28944: Heterogeneity in the Impact of Privatizing Social Health Insurance: Evidence from California's Medicaid Program

Mark Duggan, Craig Garthwaite and Adelina Yanyue Wang

28943: The Role of Information in the Rosen-Roback Framework

Xuwen Gao, Ran Song and Christopher Timmins

28942: Gender Differences in Peer Recognition by Economists

David Card, Stefano DellaVigna, Patricia Funk and Nagore Iriberri

28941: Option-Implied Spreads and Option Risk Premia

Christopher L. Culp, Mihir Gandhi, Yoshio Nozawa and Pietro Veronesi

28940: Dissecting Green Returns

Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh and Lucian A. Taylor

28939: Signaling and Discrimination in Collaborative Projects

Paula Onuchic and Debraj Ray

28938: Temptation and Incentives to Wealth Accumulation

Orazio Attanasio, Agnes Kovacs and Patrick Moran

28937: The Impact of Free Secondary Education: Experimental Evidence from Ghana

Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas and Michael Kremer

28936: Digital Addiction

Hunt Allcott, Matthew Gentzkow and Lena Song

28935: Explaining the Income and Consumption Effects of COVID in India

Arpit Gupta, Anup Malani and Bartek Woda

28934: The Role of Childcare Challenges in the US Jobs Market Recovery During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Jason Furman, Melissa Kearney and Wilson Powell

28933: Future Paths of Electric Vehicle Adoption in the United States: Predictable Determinants, Obstacles and Opportunities

James Archsmith, Erich Muehlegger and David Rapson

28932: Spatial-SIR with Network Structure and Behavior: Lockdown Rules and the Lucas Critique

Alberto Bisin and Andrea Moro

28931: Macro News and Micro News: Complements or Substitutes?

David Hirshleifer and Jinfei Sheng

28930: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Responses on Excess Mortality

Virat Agrawal, Jonathan H. Cantor, Neeraj Sood and Christopher Whaley

28929: Doing More with Less: Predicting Primary Care Provider Effectiveness

Janet Currie and Jonathan Zhang

28928: Achieving Scale Collectively

Vittorio Bassi, Raffaela Muoio, Tommaso Porzio, Ritwika Sen and Esau Tugume

28927: Leadership and Organizations

Eric Alston, Lee Alston and Bernardo Mueller

28926: Are Stated Expectations Actual Beliefs? New Evidence for the Beliefs Channel of Investment Demand

Haoyang Liu and Christopher Palmer

28925: The Intergenerational Mortality Tradeoff of COVID-19 Lockdown Policies

Lin Ma, Gil Shapira, Damien de Walque, Quy-Toan Do, Jed Friedman and Andrei Levchenko

28924: The Psychosocial Value of Employment

Reshmaan N. Hussam, Erin M. Kelley, Gregory V. Lane and Fatima T. Zahra

28923: Five Facts about the UIP Premium

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Liliana Varela

28922: The Dynamics of Inattention in the (Baseball) Field

James Archsmith, Anthony Heyes, Matthew Neidell and Bhaven Sampat

28921: What Does Codetermination Do?

Simon Jäger, Shakked Noy and Benjamin Schoefer

28920: Tasks, Automation, and the Rise in US Wage Inequality

Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo

28919: The Effect of Changes in Social Security's Delayed Retirement Credit: Evidence from Administrative Data

Mark Duggan, Irena Dushi, Sookyo Jeong and Gina Li

28918: Culture and the Family

Natalie Bau and Raquel Fernandez

28917: It Ain’t Where You’re From, It’s Where You’re At: Hiring Origins, Firm Heterogeneity, and Wages

Sabrina Di Addario, Patrick Kline, Raffaele Saggio and Mikkel Sølvsten

28916: Can Competitiveness predict Education and Labor Market Outcomes? Evidence from Incentivized Choice and Survey Measures

Thomas Buser, Muriel Niederle and Hessel Oosterbeek

28915: Crisis Innovation Policy from World War II to COVID-19

Daniel Gross and Bhaven Sampat

28914: Shocks, Institutions and Secular Changes in Employment of Older Individuals

Richard Rogerson and Johanna Wallenius

28913: The Impact of a Private Supplement to Public Health Care: The Mexico Diabetes Experiment

Ari Bronsoler, Jonathan Gruber and Enrique Seira Bejarano

28912: Entrepreneurship During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from the Business Formation Statistics

John Haltiwanger

28911: Redesigning the US Army’s Branching Process: A Case Study in Minimalist Market Design

Kyle Greenberg, Parag Pathak and Tayfun Sönmez

28910: Granular Corporate Hedging Under Dominant Currency

Laura Alfaro, Mauricio Calani and Liliana Varela

28909: Illegal Immigration: The Trump Effect

Mark Hoekstra and Sandra Orozco-Aleman

28908: Competition Laws, Governance, and Firm Value

Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Wensi Xie

28907: Central Bank Policy and the Concentration of Risk: Empirical Estimates

Nuno Coimbra, Daisoon Kim and Helene Rey

28906: The Anatomy of Cyber Risk

Rustam Jamilov, Helene Rey and Ahmed Tahoun

28905: Funding Risky Research

Chiara Franzoni, Paula Stephan and Reinhilde Veugelers

28904: Trade Policy is Real News: Theory and Evidence

George Alessandria and Carter B. Mix

28903: Equilibrium Effects of Pay Transparency

Zoe B. Cullen and Bobak Pakzad-Hurson

28902: Using the Retail Distribution of Sellers to Impute Expenditures Shares

Alexis Antoniades, Robert Feenstra and Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu

28901: Personal Bankruptcy and the Accumulation of Shadow Debt

Bronson Argyle, Benjamin Iverson, Taylor D. Nadauld and Christopher Palmer

28900: The Effect of Principal Reduction on Household Distress: Evidence from Mortgage Cramdown

Jacelly C. Cespedes, Carlos R. Parra and Clemens Sialm

28899: Sustainability in a Risky World

John Campbell and Ian Martin

28898: Modeling Behavior during a Pandemic: Using HIV as an Historical Analogy

Nicholas Papageorge

28897: Delay the Pension Age or Adjust the Pension Benefit? Implications for Labor Supply and Individual Welfare in China

Yuanyuan Deng, Hanming Fang, Katja Hanewald and Shang Wu

28896: Labor Dynamics and Supply Chain Disruption in Food Manufacturing

Austin Ramsey, Barry Goodwin and Mildred Haley

28895: Learning about Housing Cost: Survey Evidence from the German House Price Boom

Fabian Kindermann, Julia Le Blanc, Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider

28894: Judging Under Public Pressure

Alma Cohen, Zvika Neeman and Florian Auferoth

28893: Politics and Gender in the Executive Suite

Alma Cohen, Moshe Hazan and David Weiss

28892: Global Banks and Systemic Debt Crises

Juan Morelli, Pablo Ottonello and Diego J. Perez

28891: On the Green Interest Rate

Nicholas Muller

28890: Missing Top Income Recipients

Martin Ravallion

28889: Regulatory Approval and Expanded Market Size

Benjamin Berger, Amitabh Chandra and Craig Garthwaite

28888: Supply, Demand, and Specialized Production

James Hamilton

28887: Information Cascades and Social Learning

Sushil Bikhchandani, David Hirshleifer, Omer Tamuz and Ivo Welch

28886: Synthetic Controls with Staggered Adoption

Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller and Jesse Rothstein

28885: The Augmented Synthetic Control Method

Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller and Jesse Rothstein

28884: A Model of Online Misinformation

Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar and James Siderius

28883: Marriage Market and Labor Market Sorting

Paula A. Calvo, Ilse Lindenlaub and Ana Reynoso

28882: Sampling Bias in Entrepreneurial Experiments

Ruiqing Cao, Rembrand M. Koning and Ramana Nanda

28881: Determinacy without the Taylor Principle

George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian