NBER Working Papers

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24911: Educator Incentives and Educational Triage in Rural Primary Schools

Daniel Gilligan, Naureen Karachiwalla, Ibrahim Kasirye, Adrienne Lucas and Derek Neal

24910: Dynamics of the Gender Gap in High Math Achievement

Glenn Ellison and Ashley Swanson

24909: The Human Side of Austerity: Health Spending and Outcomes During the Greek Crisis

Roberto Perotti

24908: Keep It Simple: A Field Experiment on Information Sharing in Social Networks

Catia Batista, Marcel Fafchamps and Pedro Vicente

24907: Is There a Male Breadwinner Norm? The Hazards of Inferring Preferences from Marriage Market Outcomes

Ariel Binder and David Lam

24906: Fairness and Frictions: The Impact of Unequal Raises on Quit Behavior

Arindrajit Dube, Laura Giuliano and Jonathan Leonard

24905: The Lure of Incredible Certitude

Charles Manski

24904: The Effects of Sexism on American Women: The Role of Norms vs. Discrimination

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Jonathan Guryan and Jessica Pan

24903: Quasi-Experimental Methods in Environmental Economics: Opportunities and Challenges

Olivier Deschenes and Kyle Meng

24902: Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation

Gauti Eggertsson, Manuel Lancastre and Lawrence H. Summers

24901: Choosing between Growth and Glory

Sharon Belenzon, Aaron Chatterji and Brendan Daley

24900: Inequality Aversion, Populism, and the Backlash Against Globalization

Lubos Pastor and Pietro Veronesi

24899: The Effect of Disenrollment from Medicaid on Employment, Insurance Coverage, Health and Health Care Utilization

Thomas DeLeire

24898: Do the Rich Get Richer in the Stock Market? Evidence from India

John Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai and Benjamin Ranish

24897: Economic and Non-Economic Factors in Violence: Evidence from Organized Crime, Suicides and Climate in Mexico

Ceren Baysan, Marshall Burke, Felipe González, Solomon Hsiang and Edward Miguel

24896: Measuring Bilateral Exports of Value Added: A Unified Framework

Bart Los and Marcel Timmer

24895: Seasonal Adjustment of NIPA data

Jonathan Wright

24894: The Impacts of Export Taxes on Agricultural Trade

Jayson Beckman, Carmen Estrades, Manuel Flores and Angel Aguiar Román

24893: Climate Shocks, Cyclones, and Economic Growth: Bridging the Micro-Macro Gap

Laura Bakkensen and Lint Barrage

24892: Changes in Household Diet: Determinants and Predictability

Stefan Hut and Emily Oster

24891: Friedman and Phelps on the Phillips Curve Viewed from a Half Century's Perspective

Robert Gordon

24890: A Walrasian Theory of Sovereign Debt Auctions with Asymmetric Information

Harold Cole, Daniel Neuhann and Guillermo Ordonez

24889: The Impact of Information Disclosure on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment of Calorie Labels on Restaurant Menus

John Cawley, Alex Susskind and Barton Willage

24888: Priors rule: When do Malfeasance Revelations Help or Hurt Incumbent Parties?

Eric Arias, Horacio Larreguy, John Marshall and Pablo Querubin

24887: The Persistent Effect of Initial Success: Evidence from Venture Capital

Ramana Nanda, Sampsa Samila and Olav Sorenson

24886: Re-examining the Effects of Trading with China on Local Labor Markets: A Supply Chain Perspective

Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, Xinding Yu and Kunfu Zhu

24885: Effects of Prenatal Care on Birth Outcomes: Reconciling a Messy Literature

Hope Corman, Dhaval Dave and Nancy Reichman

24884: Global Value Chains and Inequality with Endogenous Labor Supply

Eunhee Lee and Kei-Mu Yi

24883: The Determinants of Teachers' Occupational Choice

Kevin Lang and Maria Dolores Palacios

24882: Does Television Kill Your Sex Life? Microeconometric Evidence from 80 Countries

Adrienne Lucas and Nicholas Wilson

24881: Sticking to Your Plan: The Role of Present Bias for Credit Card Paydown

Theresa Kuchler and Michaela Pagel

24880: Probing for Informal Work Activity

Katharine Abraham and Ashley Amaya

24879: Government Decentralization Under Changing State Capacity: Experimental Evidence From Paraguay

Ernesto Dal Bó, Frederico Finan, Nicholas Y. Li and Laura Schechter

24878: Incarceration Spillovers in Criminal and Family Networks

Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon Dahl, Katrine Løken and Magne Mogstad

24877: Risks and Returns of Cryptocurrency

Yukun Liu and Aleh Tsyvinski

24876: Inputs, Incentives, and Complementarities in Education: Experimental Evidence from Tanzania

Isaac Mbiti, Karthik Muralidharan, Mauricio Romero, Youdi Schipper, Constantine Manda and Rakesh Rajani

24875: Business Cycle Anatomy

George-Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard and Harris Dellas

24874: The Labor Force Participation of Older Men in Canada

Kevin Milligan and Tammy Schirle

24873: What Causes Labor Turnover To Vary?

Edward Lazear and Kristin McCue

24872: Distributing the Green (Cards): Permanent Residency and Personal Income Taxes after the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986

Elizabeth Cascio and Ethan Lewis

24871: Is Automation Labor-Displacing? Productivity Growth, Employment, and the Labor Share

David Autor and Anna Salomons

24870: Heat, Humidity, and Infant Mortality in the Developing World

Michael Geruso and Dean Spears

24869: Are Health Care Services Shoppable? Evidence from the Consumption of Lower-Limb MRI Scans

Michael Chernew, Zack Cooper, Eugene Larsen-Hallock and Fiona Scott Morton

24868: The Role of Industry, Occupation, and Location-Specific Knowledge in the Survival of New Firms

C. Jara Figueroa, Bogang Jun, Edward Glaeser and César Hidalgo

24867: Location as an Asset

Adrien Bilal and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

24866: The Run on Repo and the Fed's Response

Gary Gorton, Toomas Laarits and Andrew Metrick

24865: Health and Economic Activity Over the Lifecycle: Literature Review

Daniel Prinz, Michael Chernew, David Cutler and Austin Frakt

24864: No Free Lunch? Welfare Analysis of Firms Selling Through Expert Intermediaries

Matthew Grennan, Kyle Myers, Ashley Swanson and Aaron Chatterji

24863: Parental Support, Savings and Student Loan Repayment

Lance Lochner, Todd Stinebrickner and Utku Suleymanoglu

24862: Preferred Pharmacy Networks and Drug Costs

Amanda Starc and Ashley Swanson

24861: Wilderness Conservation and the Reach of the State: Evidence from National Borders in the Amazon

Robin Burgess, Francisco Costa and Benjamin Olken

24860: Does the NIH Fund Edge Science?

Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya

24859: Meaningful Information for Domestic Economies in the Light of Globalization – Will Additional Macroeconomic Indicators and Different Presentations Shed Light?

Silke Stapel-Weber, Paul Konijn, John Verrinder and Henk Nijmeijer

24858: Factors that Fit the Time Series and Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Martin Lettau and Markus Pelger

24857: The Promise and Pitfalls of Differences-in-Differences: Reflections on ‘16 and Pregnant’ and Other Applications

Ariella Kahn-Lang and Kevin Lang

24856: A Cautionary Tale of Evaluating Identifying Assumptions: Did Reality TV Really Cause a Decline in Teenage Childbearing?

David Jaeger, Ted Joyce and Robert Kaestner

24855: Emptying the Tank: Getting the most out of Limited Data

M. Scott Taylor

24854: Behavioral Household Finance

John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

24853: The Sad Truth About Happiness Scales: Empirical Results

Timothy Bond and Kevin Lang

24852: Any Press is Good Press? The Unanticipated Effects of Title IX Investigations on University Outcomes

Jason Lindo, Dave Marcotte, Jane E. Palmer and Isaac D. Swensen

24851: The Welfare Implications of Health Insurance

Anup Malani and Sonia Jaffe

24850: Unintended Consequences of Eliminating Tax Havens

Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

24849: Contract Terms, Employment Shocks, and Default in Credit Cards

Sara Castellanos, Diego Jiménez Hernández, Aprajit Mahajan, Eduardo Alcaraz Prous and Enrique Seira

24848: Helping Children Catch Up: Early Life Shocks and the PROGRESA Experiment

Achyuta Adhvaryu, Anant Nyshadham, Teresa Molina and Jorge Tamayo

24847: When It Rains It Pours: The Long-run Economic Impacts of Salt Iodization in the United States

Achyuta Adhvaryu, Steven Bednar, Anant Nyshadham, Teresa Molina and Quynh Nguyen

24846: Defensive Medicine: Evidence from Military Immunity

Michael D. Frakes and Jonathan Gruber

24845: The State of New Keynesian Economics: A Partial Assessment

Jordi Galí

24844: Eyes Wide Shut? The Moral Hazard of Mortgage Insurers during the Housing Boom

Neil Bhutta and Benjamin Keys

24843: Should There Be Lower Taxes on Patent Income?

Fabian Gaessler, Bronwyn H. Hall and Dietmar Harhoff

24842: A Model of Addiction and Social Interactions

Julian Reif

24841: How Much Does Your Boss Make? The Effects of Salary Comparisons

Zoë Cullen and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

24840: The Well-being of the Overemployed and the Underemployed and the Rise in Depression in the UK

David N.F. Bell and David Blanchflower

24839: Artificial Intelligence, Economics, and Industrial Organization

Hal Varian

24838: Will the U.S. Keep the Best and the Brightest (as Post-docs)? Career and Location Preferences of Foreign STEM PhDs

Ina Ganguli and Patrick Gaulé

24837: A Mechanism Design Approach to Identification and Estimation

Bradley Larsen and Anthony Lee Zhang

24836: Testing

Annika B. Bergbauer, Eric A. Hanushek and Ludger Woessmann

24835: Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010–2030

David Bloom, Mathew McKenna and Klaus Prettner

24834: How to Examine External Validity Within an Experiment

Amanda Kowalski

24833: A Causal Bootstrap

Guido Imbens and Konrad Menzel

24832: U.S. Safety Net Programs and Early Life Skills Formation: Results from a Prospective Longitudinal Cohort Study

Corneliu Bolbocean, Frances A. Tylavsky and James West

24831: Theory and Evidence on Employer Collusion in the Franchise Sector

Alan Krueger and Orley Ashenfelter

24830: Financial Incentives and Earnings of Disability Insurance Recipients: Evidence from a Notch Design

Philippe Ruh and Stefan Staubli

24829: Bigger Than You Thought: China's Contribution to Scientific Publications

Qingnan Xie and Richard Freeman

24828: Behavioral Public Economics

B. Douglas Bernheim and Dmitry Taubinsky

24827: Too little or too much? Actionable Advice in an Early-Childhood Text Messaging Experiment

Kalena E. Cortes, Hans Fricke, Susanna Loeb and David S. Song

24826: Sorting or Steering: The Effects of Housing Discrimination on Neighborhood Choice

Peter Christensen and Christopher Timmins

24825: Of Mice and Merchants: Trade and Growth in the Iron Age

Jan David Bakker, Stephan Maurer, Jorn-Steffen Pischke and Ferdinand Rauch

24824: High-Skill Immigration, Innovation, and Creative Destruction

Gaurav Khanna and Munseob Lee

24823: Credit Supply and Housing Speculation

Atif Mian and Amir Sufi

24822: Does When You Die Depend on Where You Live? Evidence from Hurricane Katrina

Tatyana Deryugina and David Molitor

24821: Temperature and High-Stakes Cognitive Performance: Evidence from the National College Entrance Examination in China

Joshua Graff Zivin, Yingquan Song, Qu Tang and Peng Zhang

24820: Positively Aware? Conflicting Expert Reviews and Demand for Medical Treatment

Jorge Balat, Nicholas Papageorge and Shaiza Qayyum

24819: Guns and Violence: The Enduring Impact of Crack Cocaine Markets on Young Black Males

William Evans, Craig Garthwaite and Timothy Moore

24818: School Spirit: Legislator School Ties and State Funding for Higher Education

Aaron K. Chatterji, Joowon Kim and Ryan McDevitt

24817: Currency Wars? Unconventional Monetary Policy Does Not Stimulate Exports

Andrew Rose

24816: Empirical Properties of Diversion Ratios

Christopher Conlon and Julie Mortimer

24815: Sample-Selection Bias and Height Trends in the Nineteenth-Century United States

Ariell Zimran

24814: The Role of the Propensity Score in Fixed Effect Models

Dmitry Arkhangelsky and Guido Imbens

24813: The Labor Market for Teachers Under Different Pay Schemes

Barbara Biasi

24812: Peer Effects in Water Conservation: Evidence from Consumer Migration

Bryan Bollinger, Jesse Burkhardt and Kenneth Gillingham