NBER Working Papers

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32527: Unemployment Insurance Fraud in the Debit Card Market

Umang Khetan, Jetson Leder-Luis, Jialan Wang and Yunrong Zhou

32526: Measuring and Predicting “New Work” in the United States: The Role of Local Factors and Global Shocks

Gueyon Kim, Cassandra Merritt and Giovanni Peri

32525: How Far Can Inclusion Go? The Long-term Impacts of Preferential College Admissions

Michela Carlana, Enrico Miglino and Michela M. Tincani

32524: Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails

Christiane Baumeister, Florian Huber and Massimiliano Marcellino

32523: Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume

Daniel Lewis, Davide Melcangi and Laura Pilossoph

32522: The Exchange Rate as an Industrial Policy

Pablo Ottonello, Diego J. Perez and William Witheridge

32521: Is the Decline in the Number of Community Banks Detrimental to Community Economic Development?

Bernadette Minton, Alvaro G. Taboada and Rohan Williamson

32520: The Effects of Tobacco 21 Laws on Smoking and Vaping: Evidence from Panel Data and Biomarkers

Chad Cotti, Philip DeCicca and Erik Nesson

32519: The Law of Small Numbers in Financial Markets: Theory and Evidence

Lawrence Jin and Cameron Peng

32518: Reviving Micro Real Rigidities: The Importance of Demand Shocks

S. Boragan Aruoba, Eugene Oue, Felipe Saffie and Jonathan Willis

32517: Broadband Internet Access, Economic Growth, and Wellbeing

Kathryn R. Johnson and Claudia Persico

32516: School Closures and Parental Mental Health

Sumedha Gupta, Dario Salcedo and Kosali Simon

32515: Understanding Expert Choices Using Decision Time

David Card, Stefano DellaVigna, Chenxi Jiang and Dmitry Taubinsky

32514: Medical Cannabis Availability and Mental Health: Evidence From New York’s Medical Cannabis Program

Coleman Drake, Dylan Nagy, Matthew D. Eisenberg and David Slusky

32513: Trust, Intangible Assets, and Productivity

Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, Jacques Mairesse and Giuseppe Nicoletti

32512: What is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence

Luis Armona, Matthew Gentzkow, Emir Kamenica and Jesse Shapiro

32511: Monetary Policy Along the Yield Curve: Why Can Central Banks Affect Long-Term Real Rates?

Paul Beaudry, Paolo Cavallino and Tim Willems

32510: Can Technology Facilitate Scale? Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation of High Dosage Tutoring

Monica P. Bhatt, Jonathan Guryan, Salman A. Khan, Michael LaForest-Tucker and Bhavya Mishra

32509: Procyclical Stocks Earn Higher Returns

William Goetzmann, Akiko Watanabe and Masahiro Watanabe

32508: Gender-Specific Transportation Costs and Female Time Use: Evidence from India’s Pink Slip Program

Yutong Chen, A. Kerem Coşar, Devaki Ghose, Shirish Mahendru and Sheetal Sekhri

32507: The Political Economy of Industrial Policy

Réka Juhász and Nathaniel Lane

32506: Economic Budgeting for Endowment-Dependent Universities

John Campbell, Jeremy Stein and Alex A. Wu

32505: How Successful Public Health Interventions Fail: Regulating Prostitution in Nineteenth-Century Britain

Grant Goehring and W Hanlon

32504: SAFE to Update Inflation Expectations? New Survey Evidence on Euro Area Firms

Ursel Baumann, Annalisa Ferrando, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Timo Reinelt

32503: Investment in Infrastructure and Trade: The Case of Ports

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Theodore Papageorgiou

32502: The Impact of Affirmative Action Litigation on Police Killings of Civilians

Robynn J.A. Cox, Jamein P. Cunningham and Alberto Ortega

32501: Business, Liquidity, and Information Cycles

Gorkem Bostanci and Guillermo Ordonez

32500: Further Evidence on the Global Decline in the Mental Health of the Young

David Blanchflower, Alex Bryson, Anthony Lepinteur and Alan Piper

32499: Discount Factors and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Dual-Listed Stocks

Quentin Vandeweyer, Minghao Yang and Constantine Yannelis

32498: A Quantile Model of Firm Investment

Heitor Almeida, Murillo Campello, Luciano de Castro and Antonio Galvao

32497: People's Understanding of Inflation

Alberto Binetti, Francesco Nuzzi and Stefanie Stantcheva

32496: School Equalization in the Shadow of Jim Crow: Causes and Consequences of Resource Disparity in Mississippi circa 1940

David Card, Leah Clark, Ciprian Domnisoru and Lowell Taylor

32495: Double Robustness of Local Projections and Some Unpleasant VARithmetic

José Luis Montiel Olea, Mikkel Plagborg-Moller, Eric Qian and Christian Wolf

32494: Nominal Devaluations, Inflation and Inequality

Andrés Blanco, Andrés Drenik and Emilio Zaratiegui

32493: An Empirical Framework For Matching With Imperfect Competition

Mons Chan, Kory Kroft, Elena Mattana and Ismael Mourifié

32492: The Effect of Inequality on Redistribution: An Econometric Analysis

Michael J. Boskin, Kareem Elnahal and Adam Zhang

32491: Keeping Up Appearances: An Experimental Investigation of Relative Rank Signaling

Pascaline Dupas, Marcel Fafchamps and Laura Hernandez-Nunez

32490: Returns Heterogeneity and Consumption Inequality Over the Life Cycle

Claudio Daminato and Luigi Pistaferri

32489: Explaining Adverse Cholesterol Levels and Distinct Gender Patterns in an Indonesian Population Compared with the U.S

Ralph I. Lawton, Elizabeth Frankenberg, Teresa Seeman, Arun S. Karlamangla, Cecep Sumantri and Duncan Thomas

32488: Household Inflation Expectations: An Overview of Recent Insights for Monetary Policy

Francesco D’Acunto, Evangelos Charalambakis, Dimitris Georgarakos, Geoff Kenny, Justus Meyer and Michael Weber

32487: The Simple Macroeconomics of AI

Daron Acemoglu

32486: Does Occupational Licensing Reduce Job Loss During Recessions?

Peter Q. Blair and Bobby (Wing Yin) Chung

32485: Algorithmic Bias and Historical Injustice: Race and Digital Profiling

Abigail Matthew, Amalia Miller and Catherine Tucker

32484: Why Doesn’t the United States Have National Health Insurance? The Role of the American Medical Association

Marcella Alsan and Yousra Neberai

32483: (Pro-) Social Learning and Strategic Disclosure

Roland Benabou and Nikhil Vellodi

32482: Inflation's Impact on American Households

David Altig, Alan Auerbach, Erin F. Eidschun, Laurence Kotlikoff and Victor Yifan Ye

32481: There is No Excess Volatility Puzzle

Andrew Atkeson, Jonathan Heathcote and Fabrizio Perri

32480: Dynamic Efficiency and Pricing of Innovations with Insurance: The Case for Gene Therapies

Anirban Basu

32479: Credit, Land Speculation, and Long-Run Economic Growth

Tomohiro Hirano and Joseph Stiglitz

32478: Fiscal Consequences of Central Bank Losses

Stephen Cecchetti and Jens Hilscher

32477: Racial Protests and Credit Access

Raffi E. Garcia and Alberto Ortega

32476: What Drives Investors' Portfolio Choices? Separating Risk Preferences from Frictions

Taha Choukhmane and Tim de Silva

32475: Gendered Change: 150 Years of Transformation in US Hours

L. Rachel Ngai, Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo

32474: Old Moats for New Models: Openness, Control, and Competition in Generative AI

Pierre Azoulay, Joshua L. Krieger and Abhishek Nagaraj

32473: Dynamic Collective Action and the Power of Large Numbers

Marco Battaglini and Thomas Palfrey

32472: Shrinking the Term Structure

Damir Filipović, Markus Pelger and Ye Ye

32471: Unions, wages and hours

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

32470: Inflation and Trading

Philip Schnorpfeil, Michael Weber and Andreas Hackethal

32469: What Went Wrong with Federal Student Loans?

W. Looney and Constantine Yannelis

32468: Paper Tiger? Chinese Science and Home Bias in Citations

Shumin Qiu, Claudia Steinwender and Pierre Azoulay

32467: Shaping Inequality and Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty: Free College or Better Schools

Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig and Irina Popova

32466: When Protectionism Kills Talent

Mehmet I. Canayaz, Isil Erel, Umit Gurun and Yufeng Wu

32465: Sustained Debt Reduction: The Jamaica Exception

Serkan Arslanalp, Barry Eichengreen and Peter Henry

32464: Wage Insurance for Displaced Workers

Benjamin Hyman, Brian Kovak and Adam Leive

32463: The Effects of Emergency Rental Assistance During the Pandemic: Evidence from Four Cities

Robert Collinson, Anthony DeFusco, John Humphries, Benjamin Keys, David Phillips, Vincent Reina, Patrick Turner and Winnie van Dijk

32462: Global Indeterminacy in HANK Economies

Sushant Acharya and Jess Benhabib

32461: Estimating the Effects of Political Pressure on the Fed: A Narrative Approach with New Data

Thomas Drechsel

32460: A Flexible Model of Food Security: Estimation and Implications for Prediction

Will Davis, Jose O. Xilau, Rusty Tchernis and Christian Gregory

32459: Voluntary Emission Restraints in Developing Economies: The Role of Trade Policy

Lorenzo Caliendo, Marcelo Dolabella, Mauricio Moreira, Matthew Murillo and Fernando Parro

32458: Designing Dynamic Reassignment Mechanisms: Evidence from GP Allocation

Ingrid Huitfeldt, Victoria Marone and Daniel C. Waldinger

32457: Impact of Retail CBDC on Digital Payments, and Bank Deposits: Evidence from India

Marco Di Maggio, Pulak Ghosh, Soumya Kanti Ghosh and Andrew Wu

32456: A Sharp Test for the Judge Leniency Design

Mohamed Coulibaly, Yu-Chin Hsu, Ismael Mourifié and Yuanyuan Wan

32455: Can Gun Violence be Deterred at Low Cost? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in New York City

Oludamilare Aboaba, Aaron Chalfin, Michael LaForest Tucker, Lucie Parker and Patrick Sharkey

32454: Exorbitant Privilege: A Safe-Asset View

Zhengyang Jiang

32453: Dollar Asset Holdings and Hedging Around the Globe

Wenxin Du and Amy W. Huber

32452: Demand-side and Supply-side Constraints in the Market for Financial Advice

Jonathan Reuter and Antoinette Schoar

32451: Trade Wars and the Optimal Design of Monetary Rules

Stéphane Auray, Michael Devereux and Aurélien Eyquem

32450: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change: Global vs. Local Temperature

Adrien Bilal and Diego Känzig

32449: Monetary Transmission Through Bank Securities Portfolios

Daniel Greenwald, John Krainer and Pascal Paul

32448: Melitz Meets Lewis: The Impacts of Roads on Structural Transformation and Businesses

Joseph Kaboski, Jianyu Lu, Wei Qian and Lixia Ren

32447: Optimal Mortgage Refinancing with Inattention

David Berger, Konstantin Milbradt, Fabrice Tourre and Joseph Vavra

32446: Career Expectations and Outcomes: Evidence (on Gender Gaps) from the Economics Job Market

Brooke Helppie McFall, Eric D. Parolin and Basit Zafar

32445: The Economics of Infertility: Evidence from Reproductive Medicine

Sarah Bögl, Jasmin Moshfegh, Petra Persson and Maria Polyakova

32444: Do E-Cigarette Retail Licensure Laws Reduce Tobacco Use?

Charles Courtemanche, Yang Liang, Johanna Maclean, Caterina Muratori and Joseph J. Sabia

32443: Employer 401(k) Matches for Student Debt Repayment: Killing Two Birds with One Stone?

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer and Olivia Mitchell

32442: Half Empty and Half Full? Women in Economics and the Rise in Gender-Related Research

Francisca Antman, Kirk Doran, Xuechao Qian and Bruce Weinberg

32441: The Disenrollment and Labor Supply Effects of SNAP Work Requirements

Jason Cook and Chloe East

32440: Losing to Gain: Revenue Shortfalls and Fiscal Capacity in Brazil

Claudio Ferraz, Dirk Foremny and Juan Francisco Santini

32439: Pricing Innovation in Surgical Care Markets

Alice Chen, Seth Freedman, Elizabeth Munnich and Michael R. Richards

32438: To Find Relative Earnings Gains After the China Shock, Look Outside Manufacturing and Upstream

Justin Pierce, Peter Schott and Cristina Tello-Trillo

32437: Demographic Diversity and Economic Research: Fields of Specialization and Research on Race, Ethnicity, and Inequality

Francisca Antman, Kirk Doran, Xuechao Qian and Bruce Weinberg

32436: What do Financial Markets say about the Exchange Rate?

Mikhail Chernov, Valentin Haddad and Oleg Itskhoki

32435: Demand For E-Cigarettes Based On Nicotine Strength: Evidence From Retail Sales

Megan C. Diaz, Adrian Bertrand, Tatum McKay, Barbara A. Schillo, Bushraa S. Khatib and John Tauras

32434: Causal Effects in Matching Mechanisms with Strategically Reported Preferences

Marinho Bertanha, Margaux Luflade and Ismael Mourifié

32433: The Moral Values of "Rugged Individualism"

Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein and Maximiliano Garcia

32432: Predicting Police Misconduct

Greg Stoddard, Dylan J. Fitzpatrick and Jens Ludwig

32431: The Dynamic Effects of Cash Transfers to Agricultural Households

Shilpa Aggarwal, Jenny C. Aker, Dahyeon Jeong, Naresh Kumar, David Sungho Park, Jonathan Robinson and Alan Spearot

32430: Artificial Intelligence and the Skill Premium

David Bloom, Klaus Prettner, Jamel Saadaoui and Mario Veruete

32429: Integrating Minorities in the Classroom: The Role of Students, Parents, and Teachers

Alexandra de Gendre, Krzysztof Karbownik, Nicolas Salamanca and Yves Zenou

32428: Early Predictors of Racial Disparities in Criminal Justice Involvement

Andrew Jordan, Ezra Karger and Derek Neal