NBER Working Papers

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26227: Combining Family History and Machine Learning to Link Historical Records

Joseph Price, Kasey Buckles, Jacob Van Leeuwen and Isaac Riley

26226: A Requiem for “Blame It on Beijing”: Interpreting Rotating Global Current Account Surpluses

Menzie Chinn and Hiro Ito

26225: Are Foreign Stem PhDs More Entrepreneurial? Entrepreneurial Characteristics, Preferences and Employment Outcomes of Native and Foreign Science & Engineering PhD Students

Michael Roach, Henry Sauermann and John Skrentny

26224: The Efficient Deployment of Police Resources: Theory and New Evidence from a Randomized Drunk Driving Crackdown in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Daniel Keniston and Nina Singh

26223: Dynamic Social Interactions and Health Risk Behavior

Tiziano Arduini, Alberto Bisin, Onur Ozgur and Eleonora Patacchini

26222: Toward an Understanding of Corporate Social Responsibility: Theory and Field Experimental Evidence

Daniel Hedblom, Brent R. Hickman and John List

26221: Optimal Ratings and Market Outcomes

Hugo Hopenhayn and Maryam Saeedi

26220: On the Redesign of Accident Liability for the World of Autonomous Vehicles

Steven Shavell

26219: How Do Private Digital Currencies Affect Government Policy?

Max Raskin, Fahad Saleh and David Yermack

26218: The Impact of Brexit on UK Firms

Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Paul Mizen, Pawel Smietanka and Gregory Thwaites

26217: State-Dependent Demand Estimation with Initial Conditions Correction

Andrey Simonov, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Günter J. Hitsch and Peter Rossi

26216: How Do Foreclosures Exacerbate Housing Downturns?

Adam Guren and Timothy J. McQuade

26215: Power and Publications in Chinese Academia

Ruixue Jia, Huihua Nie and Wei Xiao

26214: Cryptocurrencies, Currency Competition, and the Impossible Trinity

Pierpaolo Benigno, Linda Schilling and Harald Uhlig

26213: Putting Global Governance in its Place

Dani Rodrik

26212: Entry, Trade, and Exporting over the Cycle

George Alessandria and Horag Choi

26211: On Measuring Global Poverty

Martin Ravallion

26210: Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

26209: Housing Prices, Inter-generational Co-residence, and “Excess” Savings by the Young: Evidence using Chinese Data

Mark Rosenzweig and Junsen Zhang

26208: Subsidies and the African Green Revolution: Direct Effects and Social Network Spillovers of Randomized Input Subsidies in Mozambique

Michael Carter, Rachid Laajaj and Dean Yang

26207: Taxation and the Superrich

Florian Scheuer and Joel Slemrod

26206: Strict Voter Identification Laws, Turnout, and Election Outcomes

Mark Hoekstra and Vijetha Koppa

26205: The Unintended Impacts of Agricultural Fires: Human Capital in China

Joshua Graff Zivin, Tong Liu, Yingquan Song, Qu Tang and Peng Zhang

26204: The Challenges of Universal Health Insurance in Developing Countries: Evidence from a Large-scale Randomized Experiment in Indonesia

Abhijit Banerjee, Amy Finkelstein, Rema Hanna, Benjamin Olken, Arianna Ornaghi and Sudarno Sumarto

26203: Formal Employment and Organized Crime: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Colombia

Gaurav Khanna, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham and Jorge A. Tamayo

26202: When Technological Advance Meets Physician Learning in Drug Prescribing

Domenico Depalo, Jay Bhattacharya, Vincenzo Atella and Federico Belotti

26201: Welfare State vs. Market Forces in a Globalization Era

Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka and Alexander Schwemmer

26200: A Retrieved-Context Theory Of Financial Decisions

Jessica Wachter and Michael Jacob Kahana

26199: Fooled by the Cycle: Permanent versus Cyclical Improvements in Social Indicators

José Andrée Camarena, Luciana Galeano, Luis Morano, Jorge Puig, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Vegh, Lucila Venturi and Guillermo Vuletin

26198: On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World

Lukasz Rachel and Lawrence Summers

26197: The Impact of Socioeconomic and Cultural Differences on Online Trade

Daniel W. Elfenbein, Raymond Fisman and Brian McManus

26196: Synergizing Ventures

Ufuk Akcigit, Emin Dinlersoz, Jeremy Greenwood and Veronika Penciakova

26195: Do Value-Added Taxes Affect International Trade Flows? Evidence from 30 Years of Tax Reforms

Youssef Benzarti and Alisa Tazhitdinova

26194: Four Facts Concerning Competition in U.S. Generic Prescription Drug Markets

Rena Conti and Ernst R. Berndt

26193: The Textbook Case for Industrial Policy: Theory Meets Data

Dominick Bartelme, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson and Andres Rodriguez-Clare

26192: The Impact of the ACA Medicaid Expansion on Disability Program Applications

Lucie Schmidt, Lara Shore-Sheppard and Tara Watson

26191: Preschool Quality and Child Development

Alison Andrew, Orazio Attanasio, Raquel Bernal, Lina Cardona-Sosa, Sonya Krutikova and Marta Rubio-Codina

26190: The Short Term Impact of a Productive Asset Transfer in Families with Child Labor: Experimental Evidence from the Philippines

Eric Edmonds and Caroline Theoharides

26189: External Societal Costs of Antimicrobial Resistance in Humans Attributable to Antimicrobial Use in Livestock

Gabriel K. Innes, Pranay R. Randad, Anton Korinek, Meghan F. Davis, Lance B. Price, Anthony D. So and Christopher D. Heaney

26188: Misallocation Under Trade Liberalization

Yan Bai, Keyu Jin and Dan Lu

26187: The Impact of Mass Shootings on Gun Policy

Michael Luca, Deepak Malhotra and Christopher Poliquin

26186: Predicting Returns With Text Data

Zheng Tracy Ke, Bryan T. Kelly and Dacheng Xiu

26185: The Labor Supply Consequences of Having a Boy in China

Shing-Yi Wang

26184: The Natural Level of Capital Flows

John Burger, Francis E. Warnock and Veronica Cacdac Warnock

26183: The Effects of Competition in Consumer Credit Market

Stefan Gissler, Rodney Ramcharan and Edison Yu

26182: Impact of Rural and Urban Hospital Closures on Inpatient Mortality

Kritee Gujral and Anirban Basu

26181: Business Cycle during Structural Change: Arthur Lewis' Theory from a Neoclassical Perspective

Kjetil Storesletten, Bo Zhao and Fabrizio Zilibotti

26180: Rules of Thumb and Attention Elasticities: Evidence from Under- and Overreaction to Taxes

William Morrison and Dmitry Taubinsky

26179: How Costly is Turnover? Evidence from Retail

Peter Kuhn and Lizi Yu

26178: Machine Learning for Solar Accessibility: Implications for Low-Income Solar Expansion and Profitability

Sruthi Davuluri, René García Franceschini, Christopher Knittel, Chikara Onda and Kelly Roache

26177: Persistent Government Debt and Aggregate Risk Distribution

Mariano Croce, Thien T. Nguyen and Steve Raymond

26176: Using Vignettes to Improve Understanding of Social Security and Annuities

Anya Samek, Arie Kapteyn and Andre Gray

26175: Lumpy Durable Consumption Demand and the Limited Ammunition of Monetary Policy

Alisdair McKay and Johannes Wieland

26174: Selection into Identification in Fixed Effects Models, with Application to Head Start

Douglas Miller, Na'ama Shenhav and Michel Grosz

26173: The Behavioralist Goes Door-To-Door: Understanding Household Technological Diffusion Using a Theory-Driven Natural Field Experiment

Matilde Giaccherini, David H. Herberich, David Jimenez-Gomez, John List, Giovanni Ponti and Michael Price

26172: Output and Attribute-Based Carbon Regulation Under Uncertainty

Ryan Kellogg

26171: Dancing With Activists

Lucian Bebchuk, Alon Brav, Wei Jiang and Thomas Keusch

26170: Does Condominium Development Lead to Gentrification?

Leah Boustan, Robert Margo, Matthew M. Miller, James M. Reeves and Justin P. Steil

26169: Mandatory CSR and Sustainability Reporting: Economic Analysis and Literature Review

Hans B. Christensen, Luzi Hail and Christian Leuz

26168: Diagnosing Physician Error: A Machine Learning Approach to Low-Value Health Care

Sendhil Mullainathan and Ziad Obermeyer

26167: Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis

Matthew Kahn, Kamiar Mohaddes, Ryan N.C. Ng, Mohammad Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi and Jui-Chung Yang

26166: Towards an Unstable Hook: The Evolution of Stock Market Integration Since 1913

Cécile Bastidon, Michael Bordo, Antoine Parent and Marc Weidenmier

26165: Predicting Consumer Default: A Deep Learning Approach

Stefania Albanesi and Domonkos F. Vamossy

26164: Creating Moves to Opportunity: Experimental Evidence on Barriers to Neighborhood Choice

Peter Bergman, Raj Chetty, Stefanie DeLuca, Nathaniel Hendren, Lawrence Katz and Christopher Palmer

26163: Deposit Market Power, Funding Stability and Long-Term Credit

Lei Li, Elena Loutskina and Philip E. Strahan

26162: Screening and Selection: The Case of Mammograms

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Tamar Oostrom, Abigail Ostriker and Heidi Williams

26161: Who Chooses Commitment? Evidence and Welfare Implications

Mariana Carrera, Heather Royer, Mark Stehr, Justin Sydnor and Dmitry Taubinsky

26160: An Experiment in Candidate Selection

Katherine Casey, Abou Bakarr Kamara and Niccoló Meriggi

26159: How Well Do Doctors Know Their Patients? Evidence from a Mandatory Access Prescription Drug Monitoring Program

Thomas Buchmueller, Colleen M. Carey and Giacomo Meille

26158: Nudging at Scale: Experimental Evidence from FAFSA Completion Campaigns

Kelli A. Bird, Ben Castleman, Jeffrey Denning, Joshua Goodman, Cait Lamberton and Kelly Ochs Rosinger

26157: The Impact of the ACA on Insurance Coverage Disparities After Four Years

Charles Courtemanche, Ishtiaque Fazlul, James Marton, Benjamin Ukert, Aaron Yelowitz and Daniela Zapata

26156: Who Becomes a Member of Congress? Evidence From De-Anonymized Census Data

Daniel M. Thompson, James Feigenbaum, Andrew B. Hall and Jesse Yoder

26155: Deadlock on the Board

Jason Roderick Donaldson, Nadya Malenko and Giorgia Piacentino

26154: What is the Optimal Immigration Policy? Migration, Jobs and Welfare

Joao Guerreiro, Sergio Rebelo and Pedro Teles

26153: The Role of Behavioral Frictions in Health Insurance Marketplace Enrollment and Risk: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Richard Domurat, Isaac Menashe and Wesley Yin

26152: Inspecting the Mechanism of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area

Ralph Koijen, Francois Koulischer, Benoît Nguyen and Motohiro Yogo

26151: Reducing Frictions in College Admissions: Evidence from the Common Application

Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff

26150: Tax Administration vs. Tax Rates: Evidence from Corporate Taxation in Indonesia

Muhamad Basri, Mayara Felix, Rema Hanna and Benjamin Olken

26149: The Effects of Foreign Multinationals on Workers and Firms in the United States

Bradley Setzler and Felix Tintelnot

26148: Spatial Misallocation: Evaluating Place-Based Policies Using a Natural Experiment in China

Binkai Chen, Ming Lu, Christopher Timmins and Kuanhu Xiang

26147: The Value of Intermediation in the Stock Market

Marco Di Maggio, Mark L. Egan and Francesco Franzoni

26146: Can Pigou at the Polls Stop Us Melting the Poles?

Soren Anderson, Ioana Marinescu and Boris Shor

26145: Medicaid Coverage across the Income Distribution under the Affordable Care Act

Charles Courtemanche, James Marton and Aaron Yelowitz

26144: A Unified Welfare Analysis of Government Policies

Nathaniel Hendren and Ben Sprung-Keyser

26143: The End of the American Dream? Inequality and Segregation in US Cities

Alessandra Fogli and Veronica Guerrieri

26142: Income Growth and the Distributional Effects of Urban Spatial Sorting

Victor Couture, Cecile Gaubert, Jessie Handbury and Erik Hurst

26141: Sharing a Government

Jaume Ventura

26140: Effects of Direct Care Provision to the Uninsured: Evidence from Federal Breast and Cervical Cancer Programs

Marianne Bitler and Christopher Carpenter

26139: Does Eviction Cause Poverty? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Cook County, IL

John Humphries, Nicholas S. Mader, Daniel Tannenbaum and Winnie van Dijk

26138: Risk-Free Interest Rates

Jules van Binsbergen, William Diamond and Marco Grotteria

26137: Choice and Consequence: Assessing Mismatch at Chicago Exam Schools

Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak and Román Andrés Zárate

26136: Labor Shares in Some Advanced Economies

Gilbert Cette, Lorraine Koehl and Thomas Philippon

26135: Mortality and Socioeconomic Consequences of Prescription Opioids: Evidence from State Policies

Robert Kaestner and Engy Ziedan

26134: The Rise of Niche Consumption

Brent Neiman and Joseph Vavra

26133: College Remediation Goes Back to High School: Evidence from a Statewide Program in Tennessee

Thomas J. Kane, Angela Boatman, Whitney Kozakowski, Christopher Bennett, Rachel Hitch and Dana Weisenfeld

26132: The "New" Economics of Trade Agreements: From Trade Liberalization to Regulatory Convergence?

Gene Grossman, Phillip McCalman and Robert Staiger

26131: Dissecting Saving Dynamics: Measuring Wealth, Precautionary, and Credit Effects

Christopher Carroll, Jiri Slacalek and Martin Sommer

26130: Integrating Ethical Values and Economic Value to Steer Progress in Artificial Intelligence

Anton Korinek

26129: Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants

Eugenio Cerutti, Maurice Obstfeld and Haonan Zhou

26128: Tax-Sheltered Retirement Accounts: Can Financial Education Improve Decisions?

M. Martin Boyer, Philippe d'Astous and Pierre-Carl Michaud