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Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Risk in Trading Time

Torben Andersen (), Martin Thyrsgaard and Viktor Todorov

No 26329, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We study the temporal behavior of the cross-sectional distribution of assets' market exposure, or betas, using a large panel of high-frequency returns. The asymptotic setup has the sampling frequency of the returns increasing to infinity, while the time span of the data remains fixed, and the cross-sectional dimension is fixed or increasing. We derive a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for the cross-sectional beta dispersion at a point in time, enabling us to test whether this quantity varies across the trading day. We further derive a functional CLT for the dispersion statistics, allowing us to test if the beta dispersion, as a function of time-of-day, changes across days. We extend this further by developing inference techniques for the entire cross-sectional beta distribution at fixed points in time. We demonstrate, for constituents of the S&P 500 index, that the beta dispersion is elevated at the market open, gradually declines over the trading day, and is less than half the original value by the market close. The intraday beta dispersion pattern also changes over time and evolves differently on macroeconomic announcement days. Importantly, we find that the intraday variation in market betas is a source of priced risk.

JEL-codes: C51 C52 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mst
Note: AP
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