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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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1257: Can The Production Smoothing Model of Inventory Behavior be Saved? Downloads
Alan Blinder
1256: Occupation, Race, Unemployment and Crime In a Dynamic System Downloads
Michael Massourakis, Farahmand Rezvani and Tadashi Yamada
1255: Real Exchange Rate Effects of Fiscal Policy Downloads
Jeffrey Sachs and Charles Wyplosz
1254: Imported Materials Prices, Wage Policy, and Macroeconomic Stabilization Downloads
Richard C. Marston and Stephen J Turnovsky
1253: Tariff Liberalization Policy and Financial Restrictions Downloads
Joshua Aizenman
1252: Costs and Benefits of an Anti-Inflationary Policy: Questions and Issues Downloads
Willem Buiter and Marcus Miller
1251: Life-Cycle Labor Force Participation of Married Women: Historical Evidence and Implications Downloads
Claudia Goldin
1250: Annuity Markets, Savings, and the Capital Stock Downloads
Laurence Kotlikoff, John B. Shoven and Avia Spivak
1249: Trade Unions and Productivity: Some New Evidence on an Old Issue Downloads
Richard Freeman and James Medoff
1248: Earnings and Dividend Announcements is there a Corroboration Effect? Downloads
Alex Kane, Young Ki Lee and Alan Marcus
1247: The Economics of Saving Downloads
Mervyn A. King
1246: The Effects of Interest Rates on Mortgage Prepayments Downloads
Jerry Green and John B. Shoven
1245: The Welfare Effects of Trade and Capital Market Liberalization: Consequences of Different Sequencing Scenarios Downloads
Sebastian Edwards and Sweder van Wijnbergen
1244: Activist Monetary Policy, Imperfect Capital Mobility, and the Overshooting Hypothesis Downloads
David Papell
1243: The Forecasting Ability of Money Market Fund Managers and its Economic Value Downloads
Alex Kane and Young Ki Lee
1242: International Capital Mobility and the Coordination of Monetary Rules Downloads
Nicholas Carlozzi and John Taylor
1241: Taxation and the Location of U.S. Investment Abroad Downloads
Daniel J. Frisch and David G. Hartman
1240: Anti-Discrimination or Reverse Discrimination: The Impact of Changing Demographics, Title VII and Affirmative Action on Productivity Downloads
Jonathan Leonard
1239: Uncertainty, Welfare Cost, and the 'Adaptability' of U.S. Corporate Taxes Downloads
Don Fullerton, Andrew Lyon and Richard Rosen
1238: Does Knowledge Intensity Matter? A Dynamic Analysis of Research and Development, Capital Utilization and Labor Requirements Downloads
Jeffrey Bernstein and M. Ishaq Nadiri
1237: A Structural Retirement Model Downloads
Alan Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier
1236: Optimal Trade and Industrial Policy Under Oligopoly Downloads
Jonathan Eaton and Gene Grossman
1235: Inflation and Growth Downloads
Stanley Fischer
1234: Public Opinion and the Balanced Budget Downloads
Alan Blinder and Douglas Holtz-Eakin
1233: Openness, Relative Prices and Macro Policies Downloads
Joshua Aizenman
1232: The Theory of Optimum Deficits and Debt Downloads
Willem Buiter
1231: Food Stamps as Money and Income Downloads
Daniel Hamermesh and James M. Johannes
1230: Exchange-Rate Dynamics Downloads
Maurice Obstfeld and Alan Stockman
1229: The Social Cost of Labor, and Project Evaluation: A General Approach Downloads
Joseph Stiglitz and Raaj Sah
1228: U.S. International Trade Policies in a World of Industrial Change Downloads
J. David Richardson
1227: Patents and R&D: Searching for a Lag Structure Downloads
Bronwyn Hall, Zvi Griliches and Jerry Hausman
1226: Unions, Pensions, and Union Pension Funds Downloads
Richard Freeman
1225: Optimal Stabilization Rules in a Stochastic Model of Investment with Gestation Lags Downloads
John Taylor
1224: Rational Expectations Models in Macroeconomics Downloads
John Taylor
1223: Modeling Individuals' Behavior: Evaluation of a Policymaker's Tool Downloads
Alan Gustman
1222: Economic and Statistical Analysis of Discrimination in Hiring Downloads
Ronald Ehrenberg and Robert S. Smith
1221: The Conduct of Domestic Monetary Policy Downloads
Robert Gordon
1220: A Model of the Socially Optimal Use of Liability and Regulation Downloads
Steven Shavell
1219: Uncertainty Over Causation and the Determination of Civil Liability Downloads
Steven Shavell
1218: Liability for Harm Versus Regulation of Safety Downloads
Steven Shavell
1217: Corporate Pension Policy and the Value of PBGC Insurance Downloads
Alan Marcus
1216: Sticky Prices, Money and Business Fluctuations Downloads
Robert King and Joseph Haubrich
1215: Taxes, Default Risk, and Yield Spreads Downloads
Jess B. Yawitz, Kevin J. Maloney and Louis H. Ederington
1214: Average Marginal Tax Rates from Social Security and the Individual Income Tax Downloads
Robert Barro and Chaipat Sahasakul
1213: Capital Allocation in Mult-Division Firms: Hurdle Rates vs. Budgets Downloads
Robert A. Taggart, Jr.
1212: Social Security Reform and Labor Supply Downloads
Alan Gustman and Thomas L. Steinmeier
1211: Automobile Prices and Quality: Did the Gasoline Price Increase Change Consumer Tastes in the U.S.? Downloads
Makoto Ohta
1210: Using Monetary Control to Dampen the Business Cycle: A New Set of First Principles Downloads
Robert Gordon
1209: Managing the U.S. Government Deficit in the 1980s Downloads
Benjamin M. Friedman
1208: Recent Perspectives in and on Macroeconomics Downloads
Benjamin M. Friedman
1207: Longitudinal Analyses of the Effects of Trade Unions Downloads
Richard Freeman
1206: Economic Development, Infant Mortality, and Their Dynamics in Latin America Downloads
Tadashi Yamada
1205: A Test of Portfolio Crowding-Out and Related Issues in Finance Downloads
Jeffrey Frankel
1204: Rewards to Continued Work: The Economic Incentives For Postponing Retirement Downloads
Olivia Mitchell and Gary Fields
1203: A Simple Account of the Behavior of Long-Term Interest Rates Downloads
John Campbell and Robert Shiller
1202: Forecasting and Conditional Projection Using Realistic Prior Distributions Downloads
Tom Doan, Robert Litterman and Christopher Sims
1201: Average Marginal Tax Rates U.S. Household Interest and Dividend Income 1954-80 Downloads
Arturo Estrella and Jeffrey Fuhrer
1200: Accumulation of Property by Southern Blacks Before World War I: Commentand Further Evidence Downloads
Robert Margo
1199: Slipping into and out of Poverty: The Dynamics of Spells Downloads
Mary Jo Bane and David T. Ellwood
1198: A Technique for Indicating Comparative and Perdicting Changes in Trade Ratios Downloads
Robert Baldwin and R. Spence Hilton
1197: The Profitability of Currency Speculation Downloads
John Bilson and David A. Hsieh
1196: Optimal and Time Consistent Exchange Rate Management in an Overlapping Generations Economy Downloads
Jonathan Eaton
1195: Activist Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Overshooting: The Deutsche Mark/Dollar Rate Downloads
David Papell
1194: A 'Reciprocal Dumping' Model of International Trade Downloads
James Brander and Paul Krugman
1193: Trade Warfare: Tariffs and Cartels Downloads
James Brander and Barbara Spencer
1192: International R&D Rivalry and Industrial Strategy Downloads
Barbara Spencer and James Brander
1191: Years of Service and Probability of Promotion Downloads
Katharine Abraham and James Medoff
1190: The Economy of Israel Downloads
Stanley Fischer
1189: Theoretical Issues in International Borrowing Downloads
Jeffrey Sachs
1188: The Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis: Are There Teenage Jobs Missing in the Ghetto? Downloads
David T. Ellwood
1187: Capital Controls and Covered Interest Parity Downloads
Takatoshi Ito
1186: Risk, Inflation, and the Stock Market Downloads
Robert Pindyck
1185: Stagflation and Productivity Decline in Canada, 1974-1982 Downloads
John Helliwell
1184: Optimal Bond Trading with Personal Taxes: Implications for Bond Prices and Estimated Tax Brackets and Yield Curves Downloads
George Constantinides and Jonathan E. Ingersoll
1183: Arbitrator Decision Making: When Are Final Offers Important? Downloads
Max H. Bazerman and Henry S. Farber
1182: Macroeconomic Planning and Disequilibrium: Estimates for Poland, 1955-1980 Downloads
Richard Portes, Richard E. Quandt, David Winter and Stephen Yeo
1181: Monetary Policy Regimes, Expected Inflation, and the Response of Interest Rates to Money Announcements Downloads
V. Vance Roley and Carl Walsh
1180: An Investigation of Risk and Return in Forward Foreign Exchange Downloads
Robert Hodrick and Sanjay Srivastava
1179: Public Sector Labor Markets Downloads
Ronald Ehrenberg and Joshua L. Schwarz
1178: A Model of Exchange-Rate Determination with Policy Reaction: Evidence From Monthly Data
William Branson
1177: A Theory of Current Account and Exchange Rate Determinations Downloads
Joshua Aizenman
1176: Optimal Stock Trading with Personal Taxes: Implications for Prices and the Abnormal January Returns Downloads
George Constantinides
1175: The Implications of an Endogenous Money Supply for Monetary Neutrality Downloads
Robert King and Bharat Trehan
1174: International Trade, Foreign Investment, and the Formation of the Entrepreneurial Class Downloads
Gene Grossman
1173: Exchange Rate Dynamics With Sluggish Prices Under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules Downloads
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
1172: LDC's Foreign Borrowing and Default Risk: An Empirical Investigation Downloads
Sebastian Edwards
1171: Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction Downloads
Victor Zarnowitz and Louis A. Lambros
1170: Wage Indexation and Exchange Market Intervention in a Small Open Economy Downloads
Stephen J Turnovsky
1169: Changes in the Balance Sheet of the U.S. Manufacturing Sector, 1926-1977 Downloads
John H. Ciccolo, Jr. and Christopher Baum
1168: Housing Tenure, Uncertainty, and Taxation Downloads
Harvey Rosen, Kenneth T. Rosen and Douglas Holtz-Eakin
1167: The Level and Volatility of Interest Rates in the United States: The Roles of Expected Inflation, Real Rates, and Taxes Downloads
John Makin and Vito Tanzi
1166: International Policy Coordination in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model Downloads
Jeffrey Sachs
1165: The Equilibrium Approach to Labor Markets Downloads
Sherwin Rosen
1164: Unionism, Price-Cost Margins, and the Return to Capital Downloads
Richard Freeman
1163: Variable Earnings and Nonlinear Taxation Downloads
Michael Rothschild and Robert Moffitt
1162: On Low-Frequency Estimates of "Long-Run" Relationships in Macro- economics Downloads
Bennett McCallum
1161: Housing Subsidies: Effects on Housing Decisions, Efficiency, and Equity Downloads
Harvey Rosen
1160: A Linearized Version of Lucas's Neutrality Model Downloads
Bennett McCallum
1159: Case Mix, Costs, and Outcomes: Differences Between Faculty and Community Services in a University Hospital Downloads
Alan M. Garber, Victor Fuchs and James F. Silverman
1158: Raids and Imitation Downloads
Edward Lazear
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