NBER Working Papers

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21579: Neophilia Ranking of Scientific Journals

Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya

21578: As the Wind Blows: The Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution on Mortality

Michael Anderson

21577: Public Universities, Equal Opportunity, and the Legacy of Jim Crow: Evidence from North Carolina

Charles Clotfelter, Helen Ladd and Jacob Vigdor

21576: Monetary Policy, Bond Risk Premia, and the Economy

Peter Ireland

21575: Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor Market Volatility

Mete Kilic and Jessica Wachter

21574: What is a Sustainable Public Debt?

Pablo D'Erasmo, Enrique Mendoza and Jing Zhang

21573: Dumping and Antidumping Duties

Bruce Blonigen and Thomas Prusa

21572: Banks, Politics, and Political Parties: From Partisan Banking to Open Access in Early Massachusetts

Qian Lu and John Joseph Wallis

21571: Non-Cognitive Deficits and Young Adult Outcomes: The Long-Run Impacts of a Universal Child Care Program

Michael Baker, Jonathan Gruber and Kevin Milligan

21570: Improving Risk Equalization with Constrained Regression

Richard van Kleef, Thomas McGuire, Rene van Vliet and Wynand van de Ven

21569: Gradualism in Monetary Policy: A Time-Consistency Problem?

Jeremy Stein and Adi Sunderam

21568: TAs Like Me: Racial Interactions between Graduate Teaching Assistants and Undergraduates

Lester Lusher, Douglas Campbell and Scott Carrell

21567: Do Banks Pass Through Credit Expansions to Consumers Who Want to Borrow?

Sumit Agarwal, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Neale Mahoney and Johannes Stroebel

21566: Model Uncertainty and the Effect of Shall-Issue Right-to-Carry Laws on Crime

Steven Durlauf, Salvador Navarro and David Rivers

21565: The Price of Responsibility: The Impact of Health Reform on Non-Poor Uninsureds

Mark Pauly, Adam Leive and Scott Harrington

21564: Low-Frequency Econometrics

Ulrich K. Müller and Mark Watson

21563: Efficiently Inefficient Markets for Assets and Asset Management

Nicolae B. Gârleanu and Lasse Pedersen

21562: How Does Household Income Affect Child Personality Traits and Behaviors?

Randall Akee, Emilia Simeonova, E. Jane Costello and William Copeland

21561: Country-Specific Preferences and Employment Rates in Europe

Simone Moriconi and Giovanni Peri

21560: The Disability Employment Puzzle: A Field Experiment on Employer Hiring Behavior

Mason Ameri, Lisa Schur, Meera Adya, Scott Bentley, Patrick McKay and Douglas Kruse

21559: Towards a History of the Junk Bond Market, 1910-1955

Peter F. Basile, Sung Won Kang, John Landon-Lane and Hugh Rockoff

21558: How to Construct Nationally Representative Firm Level Data from the Orbis Global Database: New Facts and Aggregate Implications

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen, Carolina Villegas-Sanchez, Vadym Volosovych and Sevcan Yesiltas

21557: Dividend Dynamics, Learning, and Expected Stock Index Returns

Ravi Jagannathan and Binying Liu

21556: The Global Productivity Slump: Common and Country-Specific Factors

Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin

21555: Demographics and Aggregate Household Saving in Japan, China, and India

Chadwick Curtis, Steven Lugauer and Nelson Mark

21554: The Effects of the Tax Deduction for Postsecondary Tuition: Implications for Structuring Tax-Based Aid

Caroline Hoxby and George Bulman

21553: Banker Preferences, Interbank Connections, and the Enduring Structure of the Federal Reserve System

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

21552: Tax Evasion across Industries: Soft Credit Evidence from Greece

Nikolaos Artavanis, Adair Morse and Margarita Tsoutsoura

21551: Superstitions, Street Traffic, and Subjective Well-Being

Michael Anderson, Fangwen Lu, Yiran Zhang, Jun Yang and Ping Qin

21550: Crowding Out in Ricardian Economies

Andrew Abel

21549: The Analytics of Investment, q, and Cash Flow

Andrew Abel

21548: Optimal Debt and Profitability in the Tradeoff Theory

Andrew Abel

21547: Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth

William Nordhaus

21546: Dark Costs, Missing Data: Shedding Some Light on Services Trade

James Anderson, Ingo Borchert, Aaditya Mattoo and Yoto Yotov

21545: Fetal Malnutrition And Academic Success: Evidence From Muslim Immigrants In Denmark

Jane Greve, Marie Louise Schultz-Nielsen and Erdal Tekin

21544: The Financial Feasibility of Delaying Social Security: Evidence from Administrative Tax Data

Gopi Goda, Shanthi Ramnath, John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov

21543: Workfare and Human Capital Investment: Evidence from India

Manisha Shah and Bryce Steinberg

21542: Shale Public Finance: Local Government Revenues and Costs Associated with Oil and Gas Development

Richard Newell and Daniel Raimi

21541: Regulation of Insurance with Adverse Selection and Switching Costs: Evidence from Medicare Part D

Maria Polyakova

21540: The Political Economy of Liberal Democracy

Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik

21539: Trading Down and the Business Cycle

Nir Jaimovich, Sergio Rebelo and Arlene Wong

21538: On the Optimal Provision of Social Insurance: Progressive Taxation versus Education Subsidies in General Equilibrium

Dirk Krueger and Alexander Ludwig

21537: Like Me, Buy Me: The Effect of Soft Power on Exports

Andrew Rose

21536: The East Indian Monopoly and the Transition from Limited Access in England, 1600-1813

Dan Bogart

21535: Currency Unions and Trade: A Post-EMU Mea Culpa

Reuven Glick and Andrew Rose

21534: State Taxation and the Reallocation of Business Activity: Evidence from Establishment-Level Data

Xavier Giroud and Joshua Rauh

21533: Mispricing Factors

Robert Stambaugh and Yu Yuan

21532: The Impact of Foreclosure Delay on U.S. Employment

Kyle Herkenhoff and Lee Ohanian

21531: Assessing Incentives for Adverse Selection in Health Plan Payment Systems

Timothy Layton, Randall Ellis and Thomas G. McGuire

21530: Public Audit Oversight and Reporting Credibility: Evidence from the PCAOB Inspection Regime

Brandon Gipper, Christian Leuz and Mark Maffett

21529: Support for Redistribution in an Age of Rising Inequality: New Stylized Facts and Some Tentative Explanations

Vivekinan Ashok, Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington

21528: Monetary Exchange in Over-the-Counter Markets: A Theory of Speculative Bubbles, the Fed Model, and Self-fulfilling Liquidity Crises

Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang

21527: Identification of Counterfactuals in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

Myrto Kalouptsidi, Paul Scott and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues

21526: Banks’ Internal Capital Markets and Deposit Rates

Itzhak Ben-David, Ajay Palvia and Chester Spatt

21525: The Distributional Consequences of Public School Choice

Christopher Avery and Parag Pathak

21524: Optimal Taxation with Behavioral Agents

Emmanuel Farhi and Xavier Gabaix

21523: School Vouchers: A Survey of the Economics Literature

Dennis Epple, Richard Romano and Miguel Urquiola

21522: Dead Poet's Property - How Does Copyright Influence Price?

Xing Li, Megan MacGarvie and Petra Moser

21521: Toilets Can Work: Short and Medium Run Health Impacts of Addressing Complementarities and Externalities in Water and Sanitation

Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Raymond Guiteras and Thomas Clasen

21520: A Coasian Model of International Production Chains

Thibault Fally and Russell Hillberry

21519: Can Universal Screening Increase the Representation of Low Income and Minority Students in Gifted Education?

David Card and Laura Giuliano

21518: Was the Forex Fixing Fixed?

Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada

21517: Experimenting with Measurement Error: Techniques with Applications to the Caltech Cohort Study

Ben Gillen, Erik Snowberg and Leeat Yariv

21516: The Response of Deferred Executive Compensation to Changes in Tax Rates

Aspen Gorry, Kevin Hassett, Robert Hubbard and Aparna Mathur

21515: Investing in Schools: Capital Spending, Facility Conditions, and Student Achievement

Paco Martorell, Kevin Stange and Isaac McFarlin

21514: Does Foreign Entry Spur Innovation?

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jan Svejnar and Katherine Terrell

21513: Does Health Plan Generosity Enhance Hospital Market Power?

Laurence C. Baker, M. Kate Bundorf and Daniel P. Kessler

21512: Mortgage Refinancing, Consumer Spending, and Competition: Evidence from the Home Affordable Refinancing Program

Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Tim Landvoigt, Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru and Vincent Yao

21511: Missing Unmarried Women

Siwan Anderson and Debraj Ray

21510: The Value of Socialized Medicine: The Impact of Universal Primary Healthcare Provision on Mortality Rates in Turkey

Resul Cesur, Pinar Gunes, Erdal Tekin and Aydogan Ulker

21509: The Effects of Test-based Retention on Student Outcomes over Time: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Florida

Guido Schwerdt, Martin R. West and Marcus A. Winters

21508: Intra Firm Bargaining and Shapley Values

Björn Brügemann, Pieter Gautier and Guido Menzio

21507: Implementing Structural Reforms in Abenomics: How to Reduce the Cost of Doing Business in Japan

Jamal Haidar and Takeo Hoshi

21506: Islam, Inequality and Pre-Industrial Comparative Development

Stelios Michalopoulos, Alireza Naghavi and Giovanni Prarolo

21505: Business Practices in Small Firms in Developing Countries

David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff

21504: The Gains from Input Trade in Firm-Based Models of Importing

Joaquin Blaum, Claire Lelarge and Michael Peters

21503: The Dawn of an ‘Age of Deposits’ in the United States

Matthew Jaremski and Peter Rousseau

21502: Tri-Party Repo Pricing

Grace Xing Hu, Jun Pan and Jiang Wang

21501: Health Care Spending: Historical Trends and New Directions

Alice Chen and Dana Goldman

21500: Identification in Differentiated Products Markets

Steven Berry and Philip Haile

21499: Is the FDA Too Conservative or Too Aggressive?: A Bayesian Decision Analysis of Clinical Trial Design

Vahid Montazerhodjat and Andrew Lo

21498: Diversification through Trade

Francesco Caselli, Miklós Koren, Milan Lisicky and Silvana Tenreyro

21497: The Effect of Hospital/Physician Integration on Hospital Choice

Laurence C. Baker, M. Kate Bundorf and Daniel P. Kessler

21496: Peer-to-Peer Markets

Liran Einav, Chiara Farronato and Jonathan Levin

21495: Efficiency and Information Transmission in Bilateral Trading

Robert Shimer and Iván Werning

21494: Double Liability at Early American Banks

Howard Bodenhorn

21493: Equilibrium Price Dispersion Across and Within Stores

Guido Menzio and Nicholas Trachter

21492: Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

21491: The Pricing of Short-Term market Risk: Evidence from Weekly Options

Torben Andersen, Nicola Fusari and Viktor Todorov

21490: Scraped Data and Sticky Prices

Alberto Cavallo

21489: Conflicts of Interest and the Realtor Commission Puzzle

Panle Barwick, Parag Pathak and Maisy Wong

21488: Multilateral Trade Bargaining: A First Look at the GATT Bargaining Records

Kyle Bagwell, Robert Staiger and Ali Yurukoglu

21487: Labor-Force Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: the Importance of Skilled Labor

Frederico Belo, Xiaoji Lin, Jun Li and Xiaofei Zhao

21486: Leveraged Bubbles

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

21485: Panel Data Hedonics: Rosen's First Stage as a "Sufficient Statistic"

Spencer Banzhaf

21484: The Impact of Social Security Income on Cognitive Function at Older Ages

Padmaja Ayyagari and David Frisvold

21483: Family Spillovers of Long-Term Care Insurance

Norma Coe, Gopi Goda and Courtney Van Houtven

21482: The Role of Time Preferences and Exponential-Growth Bias in Retirement Savings

Gopi Goda, Matthew R. Levy, Colleen Flaherty Manchester, Aaron Sojourner and Joshua Tasoff

21481: When Incentives Backfire: Spillover Effects in Food Choice

Manuela Angelucci, Silvia Prina, Heather Royer and Anya Samek

21480: Correlated Beliefs, Returns, and Stock Market Volatility

Joel David and Ina Simonovska