NBER Working Papers

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23976: Payroll Taxes, Firm Behavior, and Rent Sharing: Evidence from a Young Workers' Tax Cut in Sweden

Emmanuel Saez, Benjamin Schoefer and David Seim

23975: The Center and the Periphery: Two Hundred Years of International Borrowing Cycles

Graciela Kaminsky

23974: Informing SPR Policy Through Oil Futures and Inventory Dynamics

Richard Newell and Brian Prest

23973: The Unconventional Oil Supply Boom: Aggregate Price Response from Microdata

Richard Newell and Brian Prest

23972: The Effects of Marriage-Related Taxes and Social Security Benefits

Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi and Fang Yang

23971: Does Parents’ Access to Family Planning Increase Children’s Opportunities? Evidence from the War on Poverty and the Early Years of Title X

Martha Bailey, Olga Malkova and Zoë McLaren

23970: Production Flexibility, Misallocation and Total Factor Productivity

Burak Uras and Ping Wang

23969: A Tale of Two Cities: Cross-Border Casino Competition Between Detroit and Windsor

Juin-jen Chang, Ching-chong Lai and Ping Wang

23968: Identification in Macroeconomics

Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

23967: The Economics of PIPEs

Jongha Lim, Michael Schwert and Michael Weisbach

23966: Technology and the Effectiveness of Regulatory Programs Over Time: Vehicle Emissions and Smog Checks with a Changing Fleet

Nicholas Sanders and Ryan Sandler

23965: Implications of Medicaid Financing Reform for State Government Budgets

Jeffrey Clemens and Benedic Ippolito

23964: Diagnosing the Italian Disease

Bruno Pellegrino and Luigi Zingales

23963: The Lifetime Costs of Bad Health

Mariacristina De Nardi, Svetlana Pashchenko and Ponpoje Porapakkarm

23962: Marketing Agencies and Collusive Bidding in Online Ad Auctions

Francesco Decarolis, Maris Goldmanis and Antonio Penta

23961: Sticky Prices Versus Sticky Information: Does it Matter for Policy Paradoxes?

Gauti Eggertsson and Vaishali Garga

23960: Market Reforms at the Zero Lower Bound

Matteo Cacciatore, Romain Duval, Giuseppe Fiori and Fabio Ghironi

23959: Social Capital and Labor Market Networks

Brian Asquith, Judith Hellerstein, Mark Kutzbach and David Neumark

23958: Information Aversion

Marianne Andries and Valentin Haddad

23957: Experimentation at Scale

Karthik Muralidharan and Paul Niehaus

23956: A Dose of Managed Care: Controlling Drug Spending in Medicaid

David Dranove, Christopher Ody and Amanda Starc

23955: Storm Crowds: Evidence from Zooniverse on Crowd Contribution Design

Sandra Barbosu and Joshua Gans

23954: Willingness to Pay and Willingness to Accept are Probably Less Correlated Than You Think

Jonathan Chapman, Mark Dean, Pietro Ortoleva, Erik Snowberg and Colin Camerer

23953: Gender Representation in Economics Across Topics and Time: Evidence from the NBER Summer Institute

Anusha Chari and Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

23952: Using Spatial Factor Analysis to Measure Human Development

Qihua Qiu, Jaesang Sung, Will Davis and Rusty Tchernis

23951: Signing Statements and Presidentializing Legislative History

John M. de Figueiredo and Edward H. Stiglitz

23950: Vocational Education, Manufacturing, and Income Distribution: International Evidence and Case Studies

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Nam Ngo and Ilan Noy

23949: Vertical Integration, Supplier Behavior, and Quality Upgrading among Exporters

Christopher Hansman, Jonas Hjort, Gianmarco León-Ciliotta and Matthieu Teachout

23948: Were Nineteenth-Century Industrial Workers Permanent Income Savers?

Howard Bodenhorn

23947: The Labor Market Effects of Offshoring by U.S. Multinational Firms

Brian Kovak, Lindsay Oldenski and Nicholas Sly

23946: Voter Mobilization and Trust in Electoral Institutions: Evidence from Kenya

Benjamin Marx, Vincent Pons and Tavneet Suri

23945: The Ostrich in Us: Selective Attention to Financial Accounts, Income, Spending, and Liquidity

Arna Olafsson and Michaela Pagel

23944: Democracy by mistake

Daniel Treisman

23943: Global Evidence on Economic Preferences

Armin Falk, Anke Becker, Thomas Dohmen, Benjamin Enke, David Huffman and Uwe Sunde

23942: Fiscal Rules, Bailouts, and Reputation in Federal Governments

Alessandro Dovis and Rishabh Kirpalani

23941: Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime

Christopher Blattman, Donald Green, Daniel Ortega and Santiago Tobon

23940: Advertising Spending and Media Bias: Evidence from News Coverage of Car Safety Recalls

Graham Beattie, Ruben Durante, Brian Knight and Ananya Sen

23939: Educational Choice, Rural-urban Migration and Economic Development

Pei-Ju Liao, Ping Wang, Yin-Chi Wang and Chong Yip

23938: Ranking Firms Using Revealed Preference

Isaac Sorkin

23937: Dynamic Trade, Endogenous Institutions and the Colonization of Hong Kong: A Staged Development Framework

T. Terry Cheung, Theodore Palivos, Ping Wang, Yin-Chi Wang and Chong Yip

23936: Emigration during the French Revolution: Consequences in the Short and Longue Durée

Raphael Franck and Stelios Michalopoulos

23935: Computerization and Immigration: Theory and Evidence from the United States

Gaetano Basso, Giovanni Peri and Ahmed Rahman

23934: Religious Competition and Reallocation: The Political Economy of Secularization in the Protestant Reformation

Davide Cantoni, Jeremiah Dittmar and Noam Yuchtman

23933: Sparse Signals in the Cross-Section of Returns

Alexander M. Chinco, Adam D. Clark-Joseph and Mao Ye

23932: Populists at the Polls: Economic Factors in the 1896 Presidential Election

Barry Eichengreen, Michael Haines, Matthew Jaremski and David Leblang

23931: Why Some Times Are Different: Macroeconomic Policy and the Aftermath of Financial Crises

Christina Romer and David Romer

23930: Shadow Banking and the Four Pillars of Traditional Financial Intermediation

Emmanuel Farhi and Jean Tirole

23929: Effects of Emigration on Rural Labor Markets

Agha Akram, Shyamal Chowdhury and Ahmed Mobarak

23928: Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth

Philippe Aghion, Benjamin Jones and Charles Jones

23927: Biased Beliefs About Random Samples: Evidence from Two Integrated Experiments

Daniel Benjamin, Don A. Moore and Matthew Rabin

23926: Effects of Episode-Based Payment on Health Care Spending and Utilization: Evidence from Perinatal Care in Arkansas

Caitlin Carroll, Michael Chernew, A. Mark Fendrick, Joe Thompson and Sherri Rose

23925: The Economics of Scale-Up

Jonathan Davis, Jonathan Guryan, Kelly Hallberg and Jens Ludwig

23924: Food vs. Fuel? Impacts of Petroleum Shipments on Agricultural Prices

James Bushnell, Jonathan Hughes and Aaron Smith

23923: The Effects of Perceived Disease Risk and Access Costs on Infant Immunization

Jessamyn Schaller, Lisa Schulkind and Teny Shapiro

23922: School District Reform in Newark: Within- and Between-School Changes in Achievement Growth

Mark J. Chin, Thomas J. Kane, Whitney Kozakowski, Beth E. Schueler and Doug Staiger

23921: Does Capital Scarcity Matter?

Anusha Chari, Peter Henry and Racha Moussa

23920: Reported Effects vs. Revealed-Preference Estimates: Evidence from the propensity to spend tax rebates

Jonathan Parker and Nicholas Souleles

23919: Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Self-Enforcement

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

23918: Long-Term Care Insurance: Knowledge Barriers, Risk Perception and Adverse Selection

M. Martin Boyer, Philippe De Donder, Claude Fluet, Marie-Louise Leroux and Pierre-Carl Michaud

23917: Directed Attention and Nonparametric Learning

Ian Dew-Becker and Charles G. Nathanson

23916: In Search of a Spatial Equilibrium in the Developing World

Douglas Gollin, Martina Kirchberger and David Lagakos

23915: Improving Clinical Guidelines and Decisions under Uncertainty

Charles Manski

23914: Gentrification and the Amenity Value of Crime Reductions: Evidence from Rent Deregulation

David Autor, Christopher J. Palmer and Parag Pathak

23913: Patent Examiner Specialization

Cesare Righi and Timothy Simcoe

23912: Do Parents Value School Effectiveness?

Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Parag Pathak, Jonathan Schellenberg and Christopher Walters

23911: The Children of the Missed Pill

Tomás Rau, Miguel Sarzosa and Sergio Urzua

23910: Does the Investment Model Explain Value and Momentum Simultaneously?

Andrei S. Gonçalves, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

23909: Are There Too Many Farms in the World? Labor-Market Transaction Costs, Machine Capacities and Optimal Farm Size

Andrew Foster and Mark Rosenzweig

23908: Machine Learning from Schools about Energy Efficiency

Fiona Burlig, Christopher Knittel, David Rapson, Mar Reguant and Catherine Wolfram

23907: Do Americans Want to Tax Capital? Evidence from Online Surveys

Raymond Fisman, Keith Gladstone, Ilyana Kuziemko and Suresh Naidu

23906: Labor Supply and the Value of Non-Work Time: Experimental Estimates from the Field

Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais

23905: All Together Now: Leveraging Firms to Increase Worker Productivity Growth

Nathaniel Hilger

23904: No Kin In The Game: Moral Hazard and War in the U.S. Congress

Eoin McGuirk, Nathaniel Hilger and Nicholas Miller

23903: How Taxing Is Tax Filing? Using Revealed Preferences to Estimate Compliance Costs

Youssef Benzarti

23902: The Effect of the H-1B Quota on Employment and Selection of Foreign-Born Labor

Anna Maria Mayda, Francesc Ortega, Giovanni Peri, Kevin Shih and Chad Sparber

23901: How Do Peers Influence BMI? Evidence from Randomly Assigned Classrooms in South Korea

Jaegeum Lim and Jonathan Meer

23900: Measuring the Potential Health Impact of Personalized Medicine: Evidence from MS Treatments

Kristopher Hult

23899: Sentiments and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States

Jess Benhabib and Mark Spiegel

23898: Group-based Voting in Multicandidate Elections

Laurent Bouton and Benjamin G. Ogden

23897: The Social Implications of Sugar: Living Costs, Real Incomes and Inequality in Jamaica c1774

Trevor Burnard, Laura Panza and Jeffrey Williamson

23896: The Non-Market Benefits of Education and Ability

James Heckman, John Humphries and Gregory Veramendi

23895: Squaring Venture Capital Valuations with Reality

William Gornall and Ilya Strebulaev

23894: "Nash-in-Nash" Tariff Bargaining with and without MFN

Kyle Bagwell, Robert Staiger and Ali Yurukoglu

23893: Sizing up Market Failures in Export Pioneering Activities

Shang-Jin Wei, Ziru Wei and Jianhuan Xu

23892: Pareto Efficient Taxation and Expenditures: Pre- and Re-distribution

Joseph Stiglitz

23891: Uber vs. Taxi: A Driver’s Eye View

Joshua Angrist, Sydnee Caldwell and Jonathan V. Hall

23890: Paralyzed by Panic: Measuring the Effect of School Closures during the 1916 Polio Pandemic on Educational Attainment

Keith Meyers and Melissa Thomasson

23889: Busy Directors: Strategic Interaction and Monitoring Synergies

Alexander Ljungqvist and Konrad Raff

23888: The End of Free College in England: Implications for Quality, Enrolments, and Equity

Richard Murphy, Judith Scott-Clayton and Gillian Wyness

23887: Optimal Regulation with Exemptions

Louis Kaplow

23886: Predicting Relative Returns

Valentin Haddad, Serhiy Kozak and Shrihari Santosh

23885: The Employment Effects of Mexican Repatriations: Evidence from the 1930's

Jongkwan Lee, Giovanni Peri and Vasil Yasenov

23884: Directed Search: A Guided Tour

Randall Wright, Philipp Kircher, Benoit Julien and Veronica Guerrieri

23883: A Tough Act to Follow: Contrast Effects In Financial Markets

Samuel M. Hartzmark and Kelly Shue

23882: The Distribution of Environmental Damages

Solomon Hsiang, Paulina Oliva and Reed Walker

23881: Demystifying the Destination-Based Cash-Flow Tax

Alan Auerbach

23880: Healthy Business? Managerial Education and Management in Healthcare

Nicholas Bloom, Renata Lemos, Raffaella Sadun and John van Reenen

23879: The Loan Covenant Channel: How Bank Health Transmits to the Real Economy

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Antonio Falato

23878: The Impact of Trade on Inequality in Developing Countries

Nina Pavcnik

23877: Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills and the Selection and Sorting of Migrants

Aline Bütikofer and Giovanni Peri