NBER Working Papers

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15210: A Simple Nonparametric Estimator for the Distribution of Random Coefficients

Patrick Bajari, Jeremy Fox, Kyoo il Kim and Stephen Ryan

15209: Electoral Fraud, the Rise of Peron and Demise of Checks and Balances in Argentina

Lee Alston and Andres Gallo

15208: A New Data Set on Monetary Policy: The Economic Forecasts of Individual Members of the FOMC

David Romer

15207: The Composition Matters: Capital Inflows and Liquidity Crunch during a Global Economic Crisis

Hui Tong and Shang-Jin Wei

15206: Do Some Enterprise Zones Create Jobs?

Jed Kolko and David Neumark

15205: Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs

Nicolae B. Garleanu and Lasse Pedersen

15204: Capital Market Integration and Wages

Anusha Chari, Peter Henry and Diego Sasson

15203: The Effect of OEF/OIF Deployment Intensity on the Rate of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Among Active Duty Population

Yu-Chu Shen, Jeremy Arkes, Boon Wah Kwan, Lai Yee Tan and Thomas V. Williams

15202: Teaching Students and Teaching Each Other: The Importance of Peer Learning for Teachers

C. Kirabo Jackson and Elias Bruegmann

15201: Anger and Regulation

Rafael Di Tella and Juan Dubra

15200: Estimating Treatment Effects from Contaminated Multi-Period Education Experiments: The Dynamic Impacts of Class Size Reductions

Weili Ding and Steven Lehrer

15199: Measuring Economic Growth from Outer Space

J. Vernon Henderson, Adam Storeygard and David Weil

15198: Markups and firm-level export status

Jan De Loecker and Frédéric Warzynski

15197: Illiquidity and Interest Rate Policy

Douglas Diamond and Raghuram Rajan

15196: International Welfare and Employment Linkages Arising from Minimum Wages

Hartmut Egger, Peter Egger and James Markusen

15195: Why did Countries Adopt the Gold Standard? Lessons from Japan

Kris James Mitchener, Masato Shizume and Marc Weidenmier

15194: Growth in the Shadow of Expropriation

Mark Aguiar and Manuel Amador

15193: Firm Dynamics and Financial Development

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Jing Zhang

15192: A Theory of Firm Decline

Gian Luca Clementi, Thomas Cooley and Sonia Di Giannatale

15191: Dynamic Cost-offsets of Prescription Drug Expenditures: Panel Data Analysis Using a Copula-based Hurdle Model

Partha Deb, Pravin Trivedi and David Zimmer

15190: FORTY YEARS OF LATIN AMERICA'S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: From the Alliance for Progress to the Washington Consensus

Sebastian Edwards

15189: Market Selection

Leonid Kogan, Stephen Ross, Jiang Wang and Mark Westerfield

15188: A Factor Analysis of Bond Risk Premia

Sydney Ludvigson and Serena Ng

15187: Estimation of DSGE Models When the Data are Persistent

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Serena Ng

15186: Social Ties and the Job Search of Recent Immigrants

Deepti Goel and Kevin Lang

15185: Income Misattribution under Formula Apportionment

James Hines

15184: Capital Budgeting vs. Market Timing: An Evaluation Using Demographics

Stefano DellaVigna and Joshua M. Pollet

15183: Product Recalls, Imperfect Information, and Spillover Effects: Lessons from the Consumer Response to the 2007 Toy Recalls

Seth Freedman, Melissa Kearney and Mara Lederman

15182: Empirics on the Origins of Preferences: The Case of College Major and Religiosity

Miles Kimball, Colter M. Mitchell, Arland D. Thornton and Linda C. Young-Demarco

15181: The Under-Reporting of Transfers in Household Surveys: Its Nature and Consequences

Bruce Meyer, Wallace K C Mok and James Sullivan

15180: Why Did Some Banks Perform Better During the Credit Crisis? A Cross-Country Study of the Impact of Governance and Regulation

Andrea Beltratti and René Stulz

15179: A Note on Adapting Propensity Score Matching and Selection Models to Choice Based Samples

James Heckman and Petra Todd

15178: The Long and Short (of) Quality Ladders

Amit Khandelwal

15177: The Effects of the Length of the Tax-Loss Carryback Period on Tax Receipts and Corporate Marginal Tax Rates

John R. Graham and Hyunseob Kim

15176: Insulation Impossible: Fiscal Spillovers in a Monetary Union

Russell Cooper, Hubert Kempf and Dan Peled

15175: Local Dividend Clienteles

Bo Becker, Zoran Ivković and Scott Weisbenner

15174: A Quality-Adjusted Price Index for Colorectal Cancer Drugs

Claudio Lucarelli and Sean Nicholson

15173: Policy Responses to Exchange-Rate Movements

Laurence Ball

15172: WHEN CONSENSUS CHOICE DOMINATES INDIVIDUALISM: Jensen's Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty

Charles Manski

15171: Latin America's Decline: A Long Historical View

Sebastian Edwards

15170: Market Valuation of Accrued Social Security Benefits

John Geanakoplos and Stephen Zeldes

15169: Rebalancing Growth in Asia

Eswar Prasad

15168: Changing Research Perspectives on the Global Health Workforce

Till Bärnighausen and David Bloom

15167: Subgame Perfect Implementation with Almost Perfect Information and the Hold-Up Problem

Philippe Aghion, Drew Fudenberg and Richard Holden

15166: Heterogeneity and Cyclical Unemployment

Mark Bils, Yongsung Chang and Sun-Bin Kim

15165: Some Unpleasant General Equilibrium Implications of Executive Incentive Compensation Contracts

John B. Donaldson, Natalia Gershun and Marc Giannoni

15164: Selection Stories: Understanding Movement Across Health Plans

David Cutler, Bryan Lincoln and Richard Zeckhauser

15163: Does Health Insurance Make You Fat?

Jay Bhattacharya, Kate Bundorf, Noemi Pace and Neeraj Sood

15162: Automobiles on Steroids: Product Attribute Trade-Offs and Technological Progress in the Automobile Sector

Christopher Knittel

15161: Changing the Price of Marriage: Evidence from Blood Test Requirements

Kasey Buckles, Melanie Guldi and Joseph Price

15160: Dynamics of Fiscal Financing in the United States

Eric Leeper, Michael Plante and Nora Traum

15159: Why Don't Lenders Renegotiate More Home Mortgages? Redefaults, Self-Cures and Securitization

Manuel Adelino, Kristopher Gerardi and Paul Willen

15158: The 2007 Subprime Market Crisis Through the Lens of European Central Bank Auctions for Short-Term Funds

Nuno Cassola, Ali Hortacsu and Jakub Kastl

15157: The Potato's Contribution to Population and Urbanization: Evidence from an Historical Experiment

Nathan Nunn and Nancy Qian

15156: Valuing Public Goods Using Happiness Data: The Case of Air Quality

Arik Levinson

15155: Productivity Differences Between and Within Countries

Daron Acemoglu and Melissa Dell

15154: Hedging Price Volatility Using Fast Transport

David Hummels and Georg Schaur

15153: Government Investment and Fiscal Stimulus in the Short and Long Runs

Eric Leeper, Todd Walker and Shu-Chun Yang

15152: Creative Accounting or Creative Destruction? Firm-level Productivity Growth in Chinese Manufacturing

Loren Brandt, Johannes Van Biesebroeck and Yifan Zhang

15151: Seam Bias, Multiple-State, Multiple-Spell Duration Models and the Employment Dynamics of Disadvantaged Women

John Ham, Xianghong Li and Lara Shore-Sheppard

15150: The Growth of Low Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the U.S. Labor Market

David Autor and David Dorn

15149: Why do the Elderly Save? The Role of Medical Expenses

Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French and John Jones

15148: Using Genetic Lotteries within Families to Examine the Causal Impact of Poor Health on Academic Achievement

Jason Fletcher and Steven Lehrer

15147: Identifying Heterogeneity in Economic Choice Models

Jeremy Fox and Amit Gandhi

15146: Federal Life Sciences Funding and University R&D

Margaret Blume-Kohout, Krishna Kumar and Neeraj Sood

15145: Moral and Social Constraints to Strategic Default on Mortgages

Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza and Luigi Zingales

15144: Revenue or Reciprocity? Founding Feuds over Early U.S. Trade Policy

Douglas Irwin

15143: The Role of Advisory Services in Proxy Voting

Cindy R. Alexander, Mark A. Chen, Duane J. Seppi and Chester S. Spatt

15142: The Slide to Protectionism in the Great Depression: Who Succumbed and Why?

Barry Eichengreen and Douglas Irwin

15141: The Impact of Credit Protection on Stock Prices in the Presence of Credit Crunches

Galina Hale, Assaf Razin and Hui Tong

15140: Medical Licensing Board Characteristics and Physician Discipline: An Empirical Analysis

Marc Law and Zeynep K. Hansen

15139: When Does Libertarian Paternalism Work?

Bruce Ian Carlin, Simon Gervais and Gustavo Manso

15138: Collective Moral Hazard, Maturity Mismatch and Systemic Bailouts

Emmanuel Farhi and Jean Tirole

15137: Disease and Development Revisited

David Bloom, David Canning and Günther Fink

15136: Investment Tournaments: When Should a Rational Agent Put All Eggs in One Basket?

Michael Schwarz and Sergei Severinov

15135: Splendid Associations of Favored Individuals: Federal and State Commercial Banking Policy in the Federalist Era

Howard Bodenhorn

15134: A Bargain at Twice the Price? California Hospital Prices in the New Millennium

Yaa Akosa Antwi, Martin Gaynor and William Vogt

15133: Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus

Troy Davig and Eric Leeper

15132: World Markets for Mergers and Acquisitions

Isil Erel, Rose C. Liao and Michael Weisbach

15131: Nudging Farmers to Use Fertilizer: Theory and Experimental Evidence from Kenya

Esther Duflo, Michael Kremer and Jonathan Robinson

15130: Tobacco Use, Taxation and Self Control in Adolescence

Jason Fletcher, Partha Deb and Jody L. Sindelar

15129: The organization of firms across countries

Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun and John van Reenen

15128: The End of Gatekeeping: Underwriters and the Quality of Sovereign Bond Markets, 1815-2007

Marc Flandreau, Juan Flores Zendejas, Norbert Gaillard and Sebastián Nieto-Parra

15127: He Who Counts Elects: Determinants of Fraud in the 1922 Colombian Presidential Election

Isaías N. Chaves, Leopoldo Fergusson and James Robinson

15126: Conditional Cash Penalties in Education: Evidence from the Learnfare Experiment

Thomas Dee

15125: Cost Containment in Climate Change Policy: Alternative Approaches to Mitigating Price Volatility

Gilbert Metcalf

15124: Sin Taxes: Do Heterogeneous Responses Undercut Their Value?

Padmaja Ayyagari, Partha Deb, Jason Fletcher, William T. Gallo and Jody L. Sindelar

15123: Globally Correlated Nominal Fluctuations

Espen Henriksen, Finn Kydland and Roman Sustek

15122: Job Loss: Eat, drink and try to be merry?

Partha Deb, William T. Gallo, Padmaja Ayyagari, Jason Fletcher and Jody L. Sindelar

15121: Cumulative Effects of Job Characteristics on Health

Jason Fletcher, Jody L. Sindelar and Shintaro Yamaguchi

15120: Transmission of the U.S. Subprime Crisis to Emerging Markets: Evidence on the Decoupling-Recoupling Hypothesis

Michael Dooley and Michael Hutchison

15119: Credit Constraints, Cyclical Fiscal Policy and Industry Growth

Philippe Aghion, David Hemous and Enisse Kharroubi

15118: Negative Nominal Interest Rates: Three ways to overcome the zero lower bound

Willem Buiter

15117: Stepping Off the Wage Escalator: The Effects of Wage Growth on Equilibrium Employment

Michael Elsby and Matthew Shapiro

15116: Putting Tasks to the Test: Human Capital, Job Tasks and Wages

David Autor and Michael Handel

15115: Capital Income Taxes with Heterogeneous Discount Rates

Peter Diamond and Johannes Spinnewijn

15114: Public Policy, Health Insurance and the Transition to Adulthood

Phillip Levine, Robin McKnight and Samantha Heep

15113: Global Savings and Global Investment: The Transmission of Identified Fiscal Shocks

James Feyrer and Jay Shambaugh

15112: Anti-Lemons: School Reputation and Educational Quality

W. Bentley Macleod and Miguel Urquiola

15111: Risk Sharing, Inequality and Fertility

Roozbeh Hosseini, Larry Jones and Ali Shourideh