NBER Working Papers

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13979: Reforming Social Security with Progressive Personal Accounts

John Geanakoplos and Stephen Zeldes

13978: Will Subprime be a Twin Crisis for the United States?

Michael Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau and Peter Garber

13977: The American Invasion of Europe: The Long Term Rise in Overseas Travel, 1820-2000

Brandon Dupont, Alka Gandhi and Thomas Weiss

13976: How are Preferences Revealed?

John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte Madrian

13975: Panel Data Estimates Of The Production Function And Product And Labor Market Imperfections

Sabien Dobbelaere and Jacques Mairesse

13974: Creating Maryland's Paper Money Economy, 1720-1739: The Role of Power, Print, and Markets

Farley Grubb

13973: Sell Side School Ties

Lauren Cohen, Andrea Frazzini and Christopher Malloy

13972: Minority Self-Employment in the United States and the Impact of Affirmative Action Programs

David Blanchflower

13971: Hepatitis B Does Not Explain Male-Biased Sex Ratios in China

Emily Oster and Gang Chen

13970: Does Stabilizing Inflation Contribute To Stabilizing Economic Activity?

Frederic Mishkin

13969: Too Young to Leave the Nest: The Effects of School Starting Age

Sandra Black, Paul Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes

13968: National Cultures and Soccer Violence

Edward Miguel, Sebastián M. Saiegh and Shanker Satyanath

13967: Moral Hazard vs. Liquidity and Optimal Unemployment Insurance

Raj Chetty

13966: Optimal Life-Cycle Investing with Flexible Labor Supply: A Welfare Analysis of Life-Cycle Funds

Francisco Gomes, Laurence Kotlikoff and Luis Viceira

13965: Pass-Through in Retail and Wholesale

Emi Nakamura

13964: Conflict and Deterrence under Strategic Risk

Sylvain Chassang and Gerard Padro i Miquel

13963: China's Local Comparative Advantage

James Harrigan and Haiyan Deng

13962: Derivatives Markets for Home Prices

Robert Shiller

13961: Institutions and Contract Enforcement

Armin Falk, David Huffman and W. Bentley Macleod

13960: Contracting in the Shadow of the Law

Surajeet Chakravarty and W. Bentley Macleod

13959: Productivity Growth, Knowledge Flows, and Spillovers

Gustavo Crespi, Chiara Criscuolo, Jonathan Haskel and Matthew Slaughter

13958: Agricultural Trade Reform and Rural Prosperity: Lessons from China

Jikun Huang, Yu Liu, Will Martin and Scott Rozelle

13957: The Inside Scoop: Acceptance and Rejection at the Journal of International Economics

Ivan Cherkashin, Svetlana Demidova, Susumu Imai and Kala Krishna

13956: The Struggle for Palestinian Hearts and Minds: Violence and Public Opinion in the Second Intifada

David Jaeger, Esteban Klor, Sami Miaari and M. Daniele Paserman

13955: Competing Liquidities: Corporate Securities, Real Bonds and Bubbles

Emmanuel Farhi and Jean Tirole

13954: On the Potential of Neuroeconomics: A Critical (but Hopeful) Appraisal

B. Douglas Bernheim

13953: Did Wages Reflect Growth in Productivity?

Martin Feldstein

13952: Resolving the Global Imbalance: The Dollar and the U.S. Saving Rate

Martin Feldstein

13951: Beyond Signaling and Human Capital: Education and the Revelation of Ability

Peter Arcidiacono, Patrick Bayer and Aurel Hizmo

13950: Trevor Swan And The Neoclassical Growth Model

Robert Dimand and Barbara Spencer

13949: Nonparametric Identification and Estimation in a Generalized Roy Model

Patrick Bayer, Shakeeb Khan and Christopher Timmins

13948: Globalization, Macroeconomic Performance, and Monetary Policy

Frederic Mishkin

13947: Life Expectancy and Human Capital Investments: Evidence From Maternal Mortality Declines

Seema Jayachandran and Adriana Lleras-Muney

13946: The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

13945: Bribery or Just Desserts? Evidence on the Influence of Congressional Voting Patterns on PAC Contributions from Exogenous Variation in the Sex Mix of Legislator Offspring

Dalton Conley and Brian J. McCabe

13944: Do Funds-of-Funds Deserve Their Fees-on-Fees?

Andrew Ang, Matthew Rhodes-Kropf and Rui Zhao

13943: A Black Swan in the Money Market

John Taylor and John Williams

13942: Exporting Deflation? Chinese Exports and Japanese Prices

David Weinstein and Christian Broda

13941: Consistent Cell Means for Topcoded Incomes in the Public Use March CPS (1976-2007)

Jeff Larrimore, Richard Burkhauser, Shuaizhang Feng and Laura Zayatz

13940: Macroeconomic Crises since 1870

Robert Barro and José F. Ursúa

13939: Portraits of the Artist: Personal Visual Art in the Twentieth Century

David Galenson

13938: The Dynamics of the Transfer and Renewal of Patents

Carlos Serrano

13937: The Impact of Athletic Performance on Alumni Giving: An Analysis of Micro Data

Jonathan Meer and Harvey Rosen

13936: The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the 2007 Mortgage Default Crisis

Atif Mian and Amir Sufi

13935: Effect of Employer Access to Criminal History Data on the Labor Market Outcomes of Ex-Offenders and Non-Offenders

Keith Finlay

13934: Econometric Causality

James Heckman

13933: Endogenous Variety and the Gains from Trade

Costas Arkolakis, Svetlana Demidova, Pete Klenow and Andres Rodriguez-Clare

13932: Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence

Alan Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Marcel Fratzscher, Jakob de Haan and David-Jan Jansen

13931: Training Disadvantaged Youth in Latin America: Evidence from a Randomized Trial

Orazio Attanasio, Adriana Kugler and Costas Meghir

13930: Brand Names Before the Industrial Revolution

Gary Richardson

13929: The Retirement Consumption Puzzle: Actual Spending Change in Panel Data

Michael Hurd and Susann Rohwedder

13928: Is Marriage Always Good for Children? Evidence from Families Affected by Incarceration

Keith Finlay and David Neumark

13927: Climate Economics: A Meta-Review and Some Suggestions

Geoffrey Heal

13926: Affirmative Action in Education: Evidence From Engineering College Admissions in India

Marianne Bertrand, Rema Hanna and Sendhil Mullainathan

13925: Interest Rates and the Exchange Rate: A Non-Monotonic Tale

Viktoria Hnatkovska, Amartya Lahiri and Carlos Vegh

13924: Inflation and Unemployment in the Long Run

Aleksander Berentsen, Guido Menzio and Randall Wright

13923: How Costly is Diversity? Affirmative Action in Light of Gender Differences in Competitiveness

Muriel Niederle, Carmit Segal and Lise Vesterlund

13922: Gender Differences in Seeking Challenges: The Role of Institutions

Muriel Niederle and Alexandra H. Yestrumskas

13921: Current Account Patterns and National Real Estate Markets

Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak

13920: Assessing Job Flows Across Countries: The Role of Industry, Firm Size and Regulations

John Haltiwanger, Stefano Scarpetta and Helena Schweiger

13919: Women's Liberation: What's in It for Men?

Matthias Doepke and Michele Tertilt

13918: The "Thin Film Of Gold": Monetary Rules and Policy Credibility In Developing Countries

Niall Ferguson and Moritz Schularick

13917: The Effect of Medicare Part D on Pharmaceutical Prices and Utilization

Mark Duggan and Fiona Scott Morton

13916: Nearly Optimal Pricing for Multiproduct Firms

Chenghuan Sean Chu, Phillip Leslie and Alan Sorensen

13915: A Theory of Military Dictatorships

Daron Acemoglu, Davide Ticchi and Andrea Vindigni

13914: Innocents Abroad: The Hazards of International Joint Ventures with Pyramidal Group Firms

Susan Perkins, Randall Morck and Bernard Yeung

13913: Institutions, Technology, and Trade

Wolfgang Keller and Carol Shiue

13912: The Nature of Credit Constraints and Human Capital

Lance Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo

13911: Policy Uncertainty and Precautionary Savings

Francesco Giavazzi and Michael McMahon

13910: The Dynamic Behavior of the Real Exchange Rate in Sticky Price Models

Jon Steinsson

13909: The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency

Menzie Chinn and Jeffrey Frankel

13908: Why do Foreigners Invest in the United States?

Kristin Forbes

13907: Ideology

Roland Benabou

13906: Current Account Dynamics and Monetary Policy

Andrea Ferrero, Mark Gertler and Lars Svensson

13905: Is There Dowry Inflation in South Asia?

Raj Arunachalam and Trevon Logan

13904: Information Acquisition and Under-Diversification

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Laura Veldkamp

13903: Can Weak Substitution be Rehabilitated?

V. Smith, Mary Evans, Spencer Banzhaf and Christine Poulos

13902: Sterilization, Monetary Policy, and Global Financial Integration

Joshua Aizenman and Reuven Glick

13901: Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?

Yu-chin Chen, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi

13900: A Quantile-based Test of Protection for Sale Model

Susumu Imai, Hajime Katayama and Kala Krishna

13899: Is Protection Really for Sale? A Survey and Directions for Future Research

Susumu Imai, Hajime Katayama and Kala Krishna

13898: The Transition to Post-industrial BMI Values Among US Children

John Komlos, Ariane Breitfelder and Marco Sunder

13897: Labor Markets and Monetary Policy: A New-Keynesian Model with Unemployment

Olivier Blanchard and Jordi Galí

13896: The Wealth-Consumption Ratio

Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Adrien Verdelhan

13895: Regulation and Supervision: An Ethical Perspective

Edward Kane

13894: Persistent Private Information

Noah Williams

13893: Deconstructing Lifecycle Expenditure

Mark Aguiar and Erik Hurst

13892: Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in DSGE Models: A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach

Lars Svensson and Noah Williams

13891: The Life Cycle of Scholars and Papers in Economics -- the "Citation Death Tax"

Joshua Aizenman and Kenneth Kletzer

13890: Conditional Cash Transfers in Education Design Features, Peer and Sibling Effects Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Colombia

Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Marianne Bertrand, Leigh Linden and Francisco Perez-Calle

13889: Exchange Rate Pass-Through And Monetary Policy

Frederic Mishkin

13888: Do Markets Respond to Quality Information? The Case of Fertility Clinics

M. Kate Bundorf, Natalie Chun, Gopi Goda and Daniel P. Kessler

13887: Imperfect Substitution between Immigrants and Natives: A Reappraisal

George Borjas, Jeffrey Grogger and Gordon Hanson

13886: The Internet and Job Search

Betsey Stevenson

13885: Universal Public Health Insurance and Private Coverage: Externalities in Health Care Consumption

Sherry A. Glied

13884: Taxes and Mutual Fund Inflows Around Distribution Dates

Woodrow Johnson and James Poterba

13883: Changes in the Characteristics of American Youth: Implications for Adult Outcomes

Joseph Altonji, Prashant Bharadwaj and Fabian Lange

13882: This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

13881: Health Care Financing, Efficiency, and Equity

Sherry A. Glied

13880: Capital Account Liberalization, Real Wages, and Productivity

Peter Henry and Diego Sasson