NBER Working Papers

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20961: Analyzing the Labor Market Outcomes of Occupational Licensing

Maury Gittleman, Mark A. Klee and Morris M. Kleiner

20960: The Great Recession, Retirement and Related Outcomes

Alan Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier and Nahid Tabatabai

20959: Economic Behavior, Market Signals, and Urban Ecology

Joshua K. Abbott, Henry Klaiber and V. Smith

20958: Outside Options, Coercion, and Wages: Removing the Sugar Coating

Christian Dippel, Avner Greif and Daniel Trefler

20957: The Real Value of China's Stock Market

Jennifer Carpenter, Fangzhou Lu and Robert F. Whitelaw

20956: Unshrouding Effects on Demand for a Costly Add-on: Evidence from Bank Overdrafts in Turkey

Sule Alan, Mehmet Cemalcılar, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

20955: Demand Estimation with Machine Learning and Model Combination

Patrick Bajari, Denis Nekipelov, Stephen Ryan and Miaoyu Yang

20954: Nowcasting and Placecasting Entrepreneurial Quality and Performance

Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern

20953: Who Is Coming to the Artefactual Field Experiment? Participation Bias among Chinese Rural Migrants

Paul Frijters, Tao Sherry Kong and Elaine Liu

20952: International Coordination of Central Bank Policy

Charles Engel

20951: Macroprudential Policy in a World of High Capital Mobility: Policy Implications from an Academic Perspective

Charles Engel

20950: Lifecycle Effects of a Recession on Health Behaviors: Boom, Bust, and Recovery in Iceland

Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir, Hope Corman, Kelly Noonan and Nancy Reichman

20949: Decision-Making Approaches and the Propensity to Default: Evidence and Implications

Jeffrey Brown, Anne M. Farrell and Scott Weisbenner

20948: Money Earlier or Later? Simple Heuristics Explain Intertemporal Choices Better than Delay Discounting

Keith Ericson, John Myles White, David Laibson and Jonathan D. Cohen

20947: Fraudulent Income Overstatement on Mortgage Applications during the Credit Expansion of 2002 to 2005

Atif Mian and Amir Sufi

20946: Facilitating Savings for Agriculture: Field Experimental Evidence from Malawi

Lasse Brune, Xavier Gine, Jessica Goldberg and Dean Yang

20945: ‘To Have and Have Not’: Are Rich Litigious Plaintiffs Favored in Court?

B. Zorina Khan

20944: The Impact of War on Resource Allocation: 'Creative Destruction' and the American Civil War

B. Zorina Khan

20943: The Internationalization of the RMB, Capital Market Openness, and Financial Reforms in China

Joshua Aizenman

20942: Is Sniping A Problem For Online Auction Markets?

Matthew Backus, Thomas Blake, Dimitriy V. Masterov and Steven Tadelis

20941: Robots Are Us: Some Economics of Human Replacement

Seth Benzell, Laurence Kotlikoff, Guillermo LaGarda and Jeffrey D. Sachs

20940: The Impact of Intergroup Contact on Racial Attitudes and Revealed Preferences

Scott Carrell, Mark Hoekstra and James West

20939: Measuring Job-Finding Rates and Matching Efficiency with Heterogeneous Jobseekers

Robert Hall and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

20938: Age, Cohort and Co-Authorship

Daniel Hamermesh

20937: Racial Disparities in Savings Behavior for a Continuously Employed Cohort

Kai Yuan Kuan, Mark R. Cullen and Sepideh Modrek

20936: Collective Action: Experimental Evidence

María Victoria Anauati, Brian Feld, Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens

20935: Premature Deindustrialization

Dani Rodrik

20934: The National Rise in Residential Segregation

Trevon Logan and John Parman

20933: The International Transmission of Credit Bubbles: Theory and Policy

Jaume Ventura and Alberto Martin

20932: Veterans’ Labor Force Participation: What Role Does the VA’s Disability Compensation Program Play?

Courtney Coile, Mark Duggan and Audrey Guo

20931: Networks, Shocks, and Systemic Risk

Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

20930: State Capitalism vs. Private Enterprise

Alexander Ljungqvist, Donghua Chen, Dequan Jiang, Haitian Lu and Mingming Zhou

20929: Childhood Medicaid Coverage and Later Life Health Care Utilization

Laura Wherry, Sarah Miller, Robert Kaestner and Bruce Meyer

20928: Behavioral Economics and Public Policy: A Pragmatic Perspective

Raj Chetty

20927: Patient Responses to Incentives in Consumer-directed Health Plans: Evidence from Pharmaceuticals

Peter J. Huckfeldt, Amelia Haviland, Ateev Mehrotra, Zachary Wagner and Neeraj Sood

20926: Disaster Risk and its Implications for Asset Pricing

Jerry Tsai and Jessica Wachter

20925: Voting on Prices vs. Voting on Quantities in a World Climate Assembly

Martin Weitzman

20924: The China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone: Background, Developments and Preliminary Assessment of Initial Impacts

Daqing Yao and John Whalley

20923: The Power of Transparency: Information, Identification Cards and Food Subsidy Programs in Indonesia

Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Jordan C. Kyle, Benjamin Olken and Sudarno Sumarto

20922: New Ideas in Invention

Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya

20921: Cities and Ideas

Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya

20920: Age and the Trying Out of New Ideas

Mikko Packalen and Jay Bhattacharya

20919: Capital and Wealth in the 21st Century

David Weil

20918: Motivation and Incentives in Education: Evidence from a Summer Reading Experiment

Jonathan Guryan, James S. Kim and Kyung Park

20917: Financial Development and Output Growth in Developing Asia and Latin America: A Comparative Sectoral Analysis

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak and Donghyun Park

20916: Disability Insurance Incentives and the Retirement Decision: Evidence from the U.S

Courtney Coile

20915: Latin American Inequality: Colonial Origins, Commodity Booms, or a Missed 20th Century Leveling?

Jeffrey Williamson

20914: Environmental Engel Curves

Arik Levinson and James O'Brien

20913: What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Risk?

Fatih Guvenen, Fatih Karahan, Serdar Ozkan and Jae Song

20912: Trade Liberalization and the Skill Premium: A Local Labor Markets Approach

Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian Kovak

20911: Does Competition Eliminate Discrimination? Evidence from the Commercial Sex Market in Singapore

Huailu Li, Kevin Lang and Kaiwen Leong

20910: The Persistence of Moral Suasion and Economic Incentives: Field Experimental Evidence from Energy Demand

Koichiro Ito, Takanori Ida and Makoto Tanaka

20909: On The Origins of Gender Human Capital Gaps: Short and Long Term Consequences of Teachers’ Stereotypical Biases

Victor Lavy and Edith Sand

20908: Trade Reform and Regional Dynamics: Evidence From 25 Years of Brazilian Matched Employer-Employee Data

Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian Kovak

20907: The Impact of Market Size and Composition on Health Insurance Premiums: Evidence from the First Year of the ACA

Michael J. Dickstein, Mark Duggan, Joseph Orsini and Pietro Tebaldi

20906: Synthesizing Econometric Evidence: The Case of Demand Elasticity Estimates

Philip DeCicca and Donald Kenkel

20905: An Assessment of the Energy-Efficiency Gap and its Implications for Climate-Change Policy

Todd Gerarden, Richard Newell, Robert Stavins and Robert C. Stowe

20904: Assessing the Energy-Efficiency Gap

Todd Gerarden, Richard Newell and Robert Stavins

20903: Competition and R&D Financing Decisions: Theory and Evidence from the Biopharmaceutical Industry

Richard Thakor and Andrew Lo

20902: Killing the Golden Goose? The Decline of Science in Corporate R&D

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon and Andrea Patacconi

20901: An Evaluation of the Impact of the China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone (SPFTZ)

Daqing Yao and John Whalley

20900: Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?

Mark C. Freeman, Gernot Wagner and Richard Zeckhauser

20899: Peer-to-Peer Crowdfunding: Information and the Potential for Disruption in Consumer Lending

Adair Morse

20898: Nominal GDP Targeting for Developing Countries

Pranjul Bhandari and Jeffrey Frankel

20897: On the Origins of Dishonesty: From Parents to Children

Daniel Houser, John List, Marco Piovesan, Anya Samek and Joachim Winter

20896: The Maturity and Payment Schedule of Sovereign Debt

Yan Bai, Seon Tae Kim and Gabriel Mihalache

20895: Understanding Heterogeneity in the Effects of Birth Weight on Adult Cognition and Wages

Justin Cook and Jason Fletcher

20894: Does Finance Benefit Society?

Luigi Zingales

20893: Monetary Policy Independence under Flexible Exchange Rates: An Illusion?

Sebastian Edwards

20892: Can Changing Economic Factors Explain the Rise in Obesity?

Charles Courtemanche, Joshua Pinkston, Christopher Ruhm and George Wehby

20891: Informal Employment in a Growing and Globalizing Low-income Country

Brian McCaig and Nina Pavcnik

20890: Can Online Learning Bend the Higher Education Cost Curve?

David Deming, Claudia Goldin, Lawrence Katz and Noam Yuchtman

20889: Public R&D Investments and Private-sector Patenting: Evidence from NIH Funding Rules

Pierre Azoulay, Joshua Graff Zivin, Danielle Li and Bhaven Sampat

20888: The Effect of Regulatory Harmonization on Cross-border Labor Migration: Evidence from the Accounting Profession

Matthew J. Bloomfield, Ulf Brüggemann, Hans B. Christensen and Christian Leuz

20887: What Do Longitudinal Data on Millions of Hospital Visits Tell us About The Value of Public Health Insurance as a Safety Net for the Young and Privately Insured?

Amanda Kowalski

20886: Insurance Decision-Making For Rare Events: The Role Of Emotions

Howard Kunreuther and Mark Pauly

20885: Understanding Ethnic Identity in Africa: Evidence from the Implicit Association Test (IAT)

Sara Lowes, Nathan Nunn, James Robinson and Jonathan Weigel

20884: The Impact of Unemployment Benefit Extensions on Employment: The 2014 Employment Miracle?

Marcus Hagedorn, Iourii Manovskii and Kurt Mitman

20883: Pareto Efficiency and Identity

Christopher Phelan and Aldo Rustichini

20882: The Power of Forward Guidance Revisited

Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

20881: Equilibrium Technology Diffusion, Trade, and Growth

Jesse Perla, Christopher Tonetti and Michael Waugh

20880: Are Firms in "Boring" Industries Worth Less?

Jia Chen, Kewei Hou and René Stulz

20879: Why is Pollution from U.S. Manufacturing Declining? The Roles of Environmental Regulation, Productivity, and Trade

Joseph Shapiro and Reed Walker

20878: The Local Influence of Pioneer Investigators on Technology Adoption: Evidence from New Cancer Drugs

Leila Agha and David Molitor

20877: Do Natural Field Experiments Afford Researchers More or Less Control than Laboratory Experiments? A Simple Model

Omar Al-Ubaydli and John List

20876: Wage Inequality and Firm Growth

Holger M. Mueller, Paige P. Ouimet and Elena Simintzi

20875: Neglected Risks: The Psychology of Financial Crises

Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny

20874: Credit Supply and the Housing Boom

Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

20873: Impact of China's Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance on Health Care Expenditure and Health Outcomes

Feng Huang and Li Gan

20872: Macroeconomic Volatility and External Imbalances

Alessandra Fogli and Fabrizio Perri

20871: Capital Taxation in the 21st Century

Alan Auerbach and Kevin Hassett

20870: Using Field Experiments to Address Environmental Externalities and Resource Scarcity: Major Lessons Learned and New Directions for Future Research

Michael Price

20869: The Effect of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment Insurance Receipt: New Evidence from a Regression Kink Design in Missouri, 2003-2013

David Card, Andrew Johnston, Pauline Leung, Alexandre Mas and Zhuan Pei

20868: Mark-up and Cost Dispersion across Firms: Direct Evidence from Producer Surveys in Pakistan

David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, Amit Khandelwal and Eric Verhoogen

20867: Pricing in the Market for Anticancer Drugs

David H. Howard, Peter B. Bach, Ernst R. Berndt and Rena Conti

20866: Sacred Values? The Effect of Information on Attitudes toward Payments for Human Organs

Julio Elias, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis

20865: Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks

Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

20864: Municipal Housekeeping: The Impact of Women's Suffrage on Public Education

Celeste Carruthers and Marianne Wanamaker

20863: Spare Tire? Stock Markets, Banking Crises, and Economic Recoveries

Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Wensi Xie

20862: Ending the Euro Crisis?

Martin Feldstein