NBER Working Papers

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26862: Fiscal Federalism and the Budget Impacts of the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid Expansion

Jonathan Gruber and Benjamin D. Sommers

26861: Reasonable Doubt: Experimental Detection of Job-Level Employment Discrimination

Patrick Kline and Christopher Walters

26860: Immigration and Worker-Firm Matching

Gianluca Orefice and Giovanni Peri

26859: Contagion of Fear

Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson

26858: Wandering Astray: Teenagers' Choices of Schooling and Crime

Chao Fu, Nicolas Grau and Jorge Rivera

26857: Popular Economic Narratives Advancing the Longest U.S. Economic Expansion 2009-2019

Robert Shiller

26856: Measuring the Cost of Regulation: A Text-Based Approach

Charles Calomiris, Harry Mamaysky and Ruoke Yang

26855: Redrawing the Map of Global Capital Flows: The Role of Cross-Border Financing and Tax Havens

Antonio Coppola, Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman and Jesse Schreger

26854: Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization

Andrew Bernard, Teresa Fort, Valerie Smeets and Frédéric Warzynski

26853: Do Consumers Distinguish Fixed Cost from Variable Cost? “Schmeduling" in Two-Part Tariffs in Energy

Koichiro Ito and Shuang Zhang

26852: The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack

Jason Faberman, Andreas Mueller, Aysegul Sahin and Giorgio Topa

26851: Capital Flow Waves—or Ripples? Extreme Capital Flow Movements Since the Crisis

Kristin Forbes and Francis E. Warnock

26850: Unpacking Household Engel Curves

Philippe De Vreyer, Sylvie Lambert and Martin Ravallion

26849: A Method to Estimate Discrete Choice Models that is Robust to Consumer Search

Jason Abaluck and Giovanni Compiani

26848: The Weak State Trap

Leopoldo Fergusson, Carlos A. Molina and James Robinson

26847: The Risk of Caution: Evidence from an R&D Experiment

Richard Carson, Joshua Graff Zivin, Jordan Louviere, Sally Sadoff and Jeffrey Shrader

26846: Rebates in the Pharmaceutical Industry: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies in the U.S

Pragya Kakani, Michael Chernew and Amitabh Chandra

26845: The Environmental Bias of Trade Policy

Joseph Shapiro

26844: Searching for STARs: Work Experience as a Job Market Signal for Workers without Bachelor's Degrees

Peter Q. Blair, Tomas G. Castagnino, Erica Groshen, Papia Debroy, Byron Auguste, Shad Ahmed, Fernando Garcia Diaz and Cristian Bonavida

26843: The International Market for Corporate Control

Anusha Chari

26842: How Developmental Neuroscience Can Help Address the Problem of Child Poverty

Seth Pollak and Barbara Wolfe

26841: Administrative Discretion in Scientific Funding: Evidence from a Prestigious Postdoctoral Training Program

Donna Ginther and Misty Heggeness

26840: Happiness and the Quality of Government

John Helliwell, Haifang Huang and Shun Wang

26839: Urbanization and its Discontents

Edward Glaeser

26838: Rising Bank Concentration

P. Dean Corbae and Pablo D'Erasmo

26837: Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap

Francesco D’Acunto, Ulrike Malmendier and Michael Weber

26836: Education and Health Over the Life Cycle

Robert Kaestner, Cuiping Schiman and Jason M. Ward

26835: The Effect of Open-Air Waste Burning on Infant Health: Evidence from Government Failure in Lebanon

Pierre Mouganie, Ruba Ajeeb and Mark Hoekstra

26834: Language Training and Refugees' Integration

Jacob Arendt, Iben Bolvig, Mette Foged, Linea Hasager and Giovanni Peri

26833: Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Housing

Klaus Adam and Michael Woodford

26832: Mandated Sick Pay: Coverage, Utilization, and Crowding-In

Johanna Maclean, Stefan Pichler and Nicolas Ziebarth

26831: When a Master Dies: Speculation and Asset Float

Julien Penasse, Luc Renneboog and Jose Scheinkman

26830: A Quantitative Analysis of Distortions in Managerial Forecasts

Yueran Ma, Tiziano Ropele, David Sraer and David Thesmar

26829: Convex Supply Curves

Christoph Boehm and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

26828: Market Fragmentation

Daniel Chen and Darrell Duffie

26827: The Structure of Multinational Firms' International Activities

Ronald Davies and James Markusen

26826: Online Estimation of DSGE Models

Michael D. Cai, Marco Del Negro, Edward Herbst, Ethan Matlin, Reca Sarfati and Frank Schorfheide

26825: Terrorist Attacks, Cultural Incidents and the Vote for Radical Parties: Analyzing Text from Twitter

Francesco Giavazzi, Felix Iglhaut, Giacomo Lemoli and Gaia Rubera

26824: A Model of Scientific Communication

Isaiah Andrews and Jesse Shapiro

26823: Risks to Human Capital

Mehran Ebrahimian and Jessica Wachter

26822: The Effects of Professor Gender on the Post-Graduation Outcomes of Female Students

Hani Mansour, Daniel Rees, Bryson M. Rintala and Nathan Wozny

26821: Winners and Losers? The Effect of Gaining and Losing Access to Selective Colleges on Education and Labor Market Outcomes

Sandra Black, Jeffrey Denning and Jesse Rothstein

26820: Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles: Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms

Peter Bednarek, Daniel te Kaat, Chang Ma and Alessandro Rebucci

26819: Black-Friendly Businesses in Cities During the Civil Rights Era

Maggie Jones, Trevon Logan, David Rosé and Lisa Cook

26818: The Long-lasting Effects of Living under Communism on Attitudes towards Financial Markets

Christine Laudenbach, Ulrike Malmendier and Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi

26817: Perceived Precautionary Savings Motives: Evidence from FinTech

Francesco D’Acunto, Thomas Rauter, Christoph K. Scheuch and Michael Weber

26816: A Model of Cryptocurrencies

Michael Sockin and Wei Xiong

26815: Issuance Overpricing of China’s Corporate Debt Securities

Yi Ding, Wei Xiong and Jinfan Zhang

26814: Contingent Linear Financial Networks

Bomin Jiang, Roberto Rigobon and Munther A. Dahleh

26813: Early Childhood Care and Cognitive Development

Juan Chaparro, Aaron Sojourner and Matthew Wiswall

26812: Prices and Federal Policies in Opioid Markets

Casey Mulligan

26811: Intended and Unintended Effects of Banning Menthol Cigarettes

Christopher Carpenter and Hai V. Nguyen

26810: Human Capital as Engine of Growth – The Role of Knowledge Transfers in Promoting Balanced Growth Within and Across Countries

Isaac Ehrlich and Yun Pei

26809: Trust and Saving in Financial Institutions by the Poor

Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Camila Navajas-Ahumada

26808: What Determines Consumer Financial Distress? Place- and Person-Based Factors

Benjamin Keys, Neale Mahoney and Hanbin Yang

26807: Does Information About Climate Risk Affect Property Values?

Miyuki Hino and Marshall Burke

26806: Network-Based Hiring: Local Benefits; Global Costs

Arun Chandrasekhar, Melanie Morten and Alessandra Peter

26805: Housing Discrimination and the Toxics Exposure Gap in the United States: Evidence from the Rental Market

Peter Christensen, Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri and Christopher Timmins

26804: The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles

Stephen Holland, Erin Mansur and Andrew Yates

26803: Utilization-Adjusted TFP Across Countries: Measurement and Implications for International Comovement

Zhen Huo, Andrei Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

26802: Dynamic Banking and the Value of Deposits

Patrick Bolton, Ye Li, Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang

26801: A New Mechanism to Alleviate the Crises of Confidence in Science-With An Application to the Public Goods Game

Luigi Butera, Philip Grossman, Daniel Houser, John List and Marie Claire Villeval

26800: Markups, Labor Market Inequality and the Nature of Work

Greg Kaplan and Piotr Żoch

26799: The Secured Credit Premium and the Issuance of Secured Debt

Efraim Benmelech, Nitish Kumar and Raghuram Rajan

26798: Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok and Eswar Prasad

26797: Uncovered Interest Parity, Forward Guidance, and the Exchange Rate

Jordi Galí

26796: Monetary Policy and Bubbles in a New Keynesian Model with Overlapping Generations

Jordi Galí

26795: Random-Coefficients Logit Demand Estimation with Zero-Valued Market Shares

Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Ali Hortacsu and Joonhwi Joo

26794: Intertemporal Price Discrimination in Sequential Quantity-Price Games

James Dana and Kevin Williams

26793: The Financial Center Leverage Cycle: Does it Spread Around the World?

Graciela Kaminsky, Leandro Medina and Shiyi Wang

26792: The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China

Hanming Fang, Yongqin Wang and Xian Wu

26791: 21st Century Macro

Narayana Kocherlakota

26790: How do U.S. Visa Policies Affect Unauthorized Immigration?

Brian Kovak and Rebecca Lessem

26789: Take the Q Train: Value Capture of Public Infrastructure Projects

Arpit Gupta, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Constantine Kontokosta

26788: Across-Country Wage Compression in Multinationals

Jonas Hjort, Xuan Li and Heather Sarsons

26787: Does Student Loan Forgiveness Drive Disability Application?

Philip Armour and Melanie A. Zaber

26786: Between Firm Changes in Earnings Inequality: The Dominant Role of Industry Effects

John Haltiwanger and James Spletzer

26785: The Role of Heterogeneous Risk Preferences, Discount Rates, and Earnings Expectations in College Major Choice

Arpita Patnaik, Joanna Venator, Matthew Wiswall and Basit Zafar

26784: Can Low Retirement Savings Be Rationalized?

Jason S. Scott, John B. Shoven, Sita Slavov and John G. Watson

26783: The Cost of Convenience: Ridehailing and Traffic Fatalities

John Barrios, Yael Hochberg and Hanyi Yi

26782: Media Competition and News Diets

Charles Angelucci, Julia Cagé and Michael Sinkinson

26781: Votes For Women: An Economic Perspective on Women’s Enfranchisement

Carolyn Moehling and Melissa Thomasson

26780: Cigarette Taxes and Teen Marijuana Use

D. Mark Anderson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa and Joseph J. Sabia

26779: Drinking and Driving

Frank Sloan

26778: Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

26777: Anti-Bullying Laws and Suicidal Behaviors among Teenagers

Daniel Rees, Joseph J. Sabia and Gokhan Kumpas

26776: Digitization and Pre-Purchase Information: The Causal and Welfare Impacts of Reviews and Crowd Ratings

Imke Reimers and Joel Waldfogel

26775: Advance Market Commitments: Insights from Theory and Experience

Michael Kremer, Jonathan Levin and Christopher Snyder

26774: Does Race Matter for Police Use of Force? Evidence from 911 Calls

Mark Hoekstra and CarlyWill Sloan

26773: Beyond Basis Basics: Liquidity Demand and Deviations from the Law of One Price

Todd M. Hazelkorn, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Kaushik Vasudevan

26772: Confirmatory Bias in Health Decisions: Evidence from the MMR-Autism Controversy

Mengcen Qian, Shin-Yi Chou and Ernest K. Lai

26771: Information Acquisition, Efficiency, and Non-Fundamental Volatility

Benjamin Hebert and Jennifer La'O

26770: A Method to Construct Geographical Crosswalks with an Application to US Counties since 1790

Fabian Eckert, Andrés Gvirtz, Jack Liang and Michael Peters

26769: Medicaid Physician Fees and Access to Care among Children with Special Health Care Needs

Pinka Chatterji, Sandra Decker and Jason Huh

26768: Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Pablo Guerron

26767: Immigration Lottery Design: Engineered and Coincidental Consequences of H-1B Reforms

Parag Pathak, Alex Rees-Jones and Tayfun Sönmez

26766: When and How to Use Public-Private Partnerships in Infrastructure: Lessons From the International Experience

Eduardo Engel, Ronald Fischer and Alexander Galetovic

26765: Estimating Dynamic Games of Oligopolistic Competition: An Experimental Investigation

Tobias Salz and Emanuel Vespa

26764: Long-run Trends in the U.S. SES-Achievement Gap

Eric Hanushek, Jacob D. Light, Paul E. Peterson, Laura M. Talpey and Ludger Woessmann

26763: Were Jews in Interwar Poland More Educated?

Ran Abramitzky and Hanna Halaburda