NBER Working Papers

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22762: Do Recessions Accelerate Routine-Biased Technological Change? Evidence from Vacancy Postings

Brad Hershbein and Lisa Kahn

22761: Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank’s Payment on Reserves

Robert Hall and Ricardo Reis

22760: Local Government and Old-Age Support in the New Deal

Daniel Fetter

22759: The Effects of Income Mobility and Tax Persistence on Income Redistribution and Inequality

Marina Agranov and Thomas Palfrey

22758: International Financial Adjustment in a Canonical Open Economy Growth Model

Richard Clarida and Ildikó Magyari

22757: The Determinants of Quality Specialization

Jonathan Dingel

22756: Endogenous Network Formation in Congress

Nathan Canen and Francesco Trebbi

22755: A New Financial Order in Asia: Will a RMB bloc emerge?

Takatoshi Ito

22754: Can Online Delivery Increase Access to Education?

Joshua Goodman, Julia Melkers and Amanda Pallais

22753: The Effect of Air Pollution on Investor Behavior: Evidence from the S&P 500

Anthony Heyes, Matthew Neidell and Soodeh Saberian

22752: Notes on the Economics of Energy Storage

Geoffrey Heal

22751: A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

22750: Evidence for the Effects of Mergers on Market Power and Efficiency

Bruce Blonigen and Justin Pierce

22749: The Competitive Effects of Online Education

David Deming, Michael Lovenheim and Richard Patterson

22748: Upward Mobility and Discrimination: The Case of Asian Americans

Nathaniel Hilger

22747: Silver Points, Silver Flows, and the Measure of Chinese Financial Integration

David Jacks, Se Yan and Liuyan Zhao

22746: Mainstreaming an Effective Intervention: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations of “Teaching at the Right Level” in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukherji, Marc Shotland and Michael Walton

22745: When Discounts Raise Costs: The Effect of Copay Coupons on Generic Utilization

Leemore Dafny, Christopher Ody and Matt Schmitt

22744: Ideological Segregation among Online Collaborators: Evidence from Wikipedians

Shane Greenstein, Yuan Gu and Feng Zhu

22743: Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

22742: Minimum Payments and Debt Paydown in Consumer Credit Cards

Benjamin Keys and Jialan Wang

22741: Current Account Deficits During Heightened Risk: Menacing or Mitigating?

Kristin Forbes, Ida Hjortsoe and Tsvetelina Nenova

22740: An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty

Steven Davis

22739: Influencing Connected Legislators

Marco Battaglini and Eleonora Patacchini

22738: Changes in Marriage and Divorce as Drivers of Employment and Retirement of Older Women

Claudia Olivetti and Dana E. Rotz

22737: Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers: The East Asian Crisis Plus 20

Joshua Aizenman, Menzie Chinn and Hiro Ito

22736: Market Potential and Global Growth over the Long Twentieth Century

David Jacks and Dennis Novy

22735: Necessity as the Mother of Invention: Monetary Policy after the Crisis

Alan Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Jakob de Haan and David-Jan Jansen

22734: Money or Grit? Determinants of MisMatch

Russell Cooper

22733: A Distribution-Neutral Perspective On Tax Expenditure Limitations

Louis Kaplow

22732: Estimating the Heterogeneous Welfare Effects of Choice Architecture: An Application to the Medicare Prescription Drug Insurance Market

Jonathan Ketcham, Nicolai Kuminoff and Christopher A. Powers

22731: Will the Paris Accord Accelerate Climate Change?

Laurence Kotlikoff, Andrey Polbin and Andrey Zubarev

22730: Accounting for Price Endogeneity in Airline Itinerary Choice Models: An Application to Continental U.S. Markets

Virginie Lurkin, Laurie A. Garrow, Matthew Higgins, Jeffrey P. Newman and Michael Schyns

22729: Measuring Liquidity Mismatch in the Banking Sector

Arvind Krishnamurthy, Jennie Bai and Charles-Henri Weymuller

22728: What Makes a Price Fair? An Experimental Analysis of Transaction Experience and Endogenous Fairness Views

Holger Herz and Dmitry Taubinsky

22727: Global Firms

Andrew Bernard, J. Jensen, Stephen Redding and Peter Schott

22726: The Long-Term-Care Insurance Puzzle: Modeling and Measurement

John Ameriks, Joseph Briggs, Andrew Caplin, Matthew Shapiro and Christopher Tonetti

22725: Learning and Earning: An Approximation to College Value Added in Two Dimensions

Evan Riehl, Juan E. Saavedra and Miguel Urquiola

22724: Why Not Taxation and Representation? A Note on the American Revolution

Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens

22723: Do Rare Events Explain CDX Tranche Spreads?

Sang Byung Seo and Jessica Wachter

22722: Choosing Between an Estate Tax and a Basis Carryover Regime: Evidence from 2010

Robert Gordon, David Joulfaian and James Poterba

22721: Childhood Housing and Adult Earnings: A Between-Siblings Analysis of Housing Vouchers and Public Housing

Fredrik Andersson, John Haltiwanger, Mark Kutzbach, Giordano Palloni, Henry O. Pollakowski and Daniel Weinberg

22720: A Ricardian-Demand Explanation for Changing Pharmaceutical R&D Productivity

Mark Pauly and Kyle Myers

22719: Education Quality and Teaching Practices

Marina Bassi, Costas Meghir and Ana Reynoso

22718: Behavioral Welfare Economics and FDA Tobacco Regulations

Philip DeCicca, Donald Kenkel, Feng Liu and Hua Wang

22717: Putting the Pension Back in 401(k) Plans: Optimal versus Default Longevity Income Annuities

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer and Olivia Mitchell

22716: Bidding Dynamics in Auctions

Hugo Hopenhayn and Maryam Saeedi

22715: Global Talent Flows

Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr, Caglar Ozden and Christopher Parsons

22714: Poverty Traps and the Social Protection Paradox

Munenobu Ikegami, Michael Carter, Christopher Barrett and Sarah Janzen

22713: Performance Standards in Need-Based Student Aid

Judith Scott-Clayton and Lauren Schudde

22712: Tort Reform and Innovation

Alberto Galasso and Hong Luo

22711: Bad Credit, No Problem? Credit and Labor Market Consequences of Bad Credit Reports

Will Dobbie, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Neale Mahoney and Jae Song

22710: Incomplete Disclosure: Evidence of Signaling and Countersignaling

Benjamin B. Bederson, Ginger Zhe Jin, Phillip Leslie, Alexander J. Quinn and Ben Zou

22709: Why Don’t Commercial Health Plans Use Prospective Payment?

Laurence Baker, M. Kate Bundorf, Aileen Devlin and Daniel P. Kessler

22708: Valuing Alternative Work Arrangements

Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais

22707: Standing on the Shoulders of Giants: The Effect of Passive Investors on Activism

Ian R. Appel, Todd A. Gormley and Donald Keim

22706: Quantitative Trade Models: Developments and Challenges

Timothy Kehoe, Pau Pujolas and Jack Rossbach

22705: The Politics of FDI Expropriation

Marina Azzimonti

22704: Deconstructing Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1983 - 2013

Edward N. Wolff

22703: Reputation Cycles

Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat

22702: Subsidy Policies and Insurance Demand

Jing Cai, Alain de Janvry and Elisabeth Sadoulet

22701: Securing Property Rights

Arnold Behrer, Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Andrei Shleifer

22700: What is the Added Value of Preschool for Poor Children? Long-Term and Intergenerational Impacts and Interactions with an Infant Health Intervention

Maya Rossin-Slater and Miriam Wüst

22699: House Valuations and Economic Growth: Some International Evidence

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak and Huanhuan Zheng

22698: Teaching, Teachers Pensions and Retirement across Recent Cohorts of College Graduate Women

Maria Fitzpatrick

22697: Impediments to Financial Trade: Theory and Applications

Nicolae Gârleanu, Stavros Panageas and Jianfeng Yu

22696: Loan Product Steering in Mortgage Markets

Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Itzhak Ben-David and Douglas Evanoff

22695: Credit Expansion and Neglected Crash Risk

Matthew Baron and Wei Xiong

22694: Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis

Luigi Bocola and Alessandro Dovis

22693: The Evolution of U.S. Monetary Policy: 2000 - 2007

Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland

22692: Stealing Deposits: Deposit Insurance, Risk-Taking and the Removal of Market Discipline in Early 20th Century Banks

Charles Calomiris and Matthew Jaremski

22691: The Formation of Consumer Brand Preferences

Bart J. Bronnenberg and Jean-Pierre H. Dubé

22690: Economic Conditions and Mortality: Evidence from 200 Years of Data

David Cutler, Wei Huang and Adriana Lleras-Muney

22689: The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking

Antonio Falato and David Scharfstein

22688: The effect of medical marijuana laws on the health and labor supply of older adults: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study

Lauren Nicholas and Johanna Maclean

22687: The Impact of Intergenerational Transfers on Household Wealth Inequality in Japan and the United States

Yoko Niimi and Charles Horioka

22686: Borrowing Requirements, Credit Access, and Adverse Selection: Evidence from Kenya

William Jack, Michael Kremer, Joost de Laat and Tavneet Suri

22685: Intellectual Property Rights Protection, Ownership, and Innovation: Evidence from China

Lily Fang, Josh Lerner and Chaopeng Wu

22684: Do Savings Increase in Response to Salient Information about Retirement and Expected Pensions?

Mathias Dolls, Philipp Doerrenberg, Andreas Peichl and Holger Stichnoth

22683: Occupational Choice in Early Industrializing Societies: Experimental Evidence on the Income and Health Effects of Industrial and Entrepreneurial Work

Christopher Blattman and Stefan Dercon

22682: Child Poverty, the Great Recession, and the Social Safety Net in the United States

Marianne Bitler, Hilary Hoynes and Elira Kuka

22681: Measuring Effects of SNAP on Obesity at the Intensive Margin

Lorenzo N. Almada and Rusty Tchernis

22680: Understanding why black women are not working longer

Joanna Lahey

22679: Parental Resources and College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery Wins

George Bulman, Robert Fairlie, Sarena Goodman and Adam Isen

22678: Why Do Estimates of the EMU Effect On Trade Vary so Much?

Andrew Rose

22677: Aggregate Recruiting Intensity

Alessandro Gavazza, Simon Mongey and Giovanni Violante

22676: Globalization, Inequality and Welfare

Pol Antras, Alonso de Gortari and Oleg Itskhoki

22675: Quality Predictability and the Welfare Benefits from New Products: Evidence from the Digitization of Recorded Music

Luis Aguiar and Joel Waldfogel

22674: Taking Stock of the Evidence on Micro-Financial Interventions

Francisco Buera, Joseph Kaboski and Yongseok Shin

22673: Incentives and Ethics in the Economics of Body Parts

Nicola Lacetera

22672: Mismatch Unemployment and the Geography of Job Search

Ioana Marinescu and Roland Rathelot

22671: Applying Behavioral Economics to Public Policy in Canada

Robert French and Philip Oreopoulos

22670: Can Cash Transfers Help Households Escape an Inter-Generational Poverty Trap?

M. Caridad Araujo, Mariano Bosch and Norbert Schady

22669: Is American Pet Health Care (Also) Uniquely Inefficient?

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein and Atul Gupta

22668: Public School Quality Valuation Over the Business Cycle

Stuart Gabriel, Owen Hearey, Matthew Kahn and Ryan Vaughn

22667: The Rise and Nature of Alternative Work Arrangements in the United States, 1995-2015

Lawrence Katz and Alan Krueger

22666: A Doctor Will See You Now: Physician-Patient Relationships and Clinical Decisions

Erin Johnson, M. Rehavi, David C. Chan, Jr and Daniela Carusi

22665: The Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data

Katharine Abraham, John Haltiwanger, Kristin Sandusky and James Spletzer

22664: A Simpler Theory of Optimal Capital Taxation

Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva

22663: Accounting for Business Cycles

Pedro Brinca, Varadarajan Chari, Patrick Kehoe and Ellen McGrattan