NBER Working Papers

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32611: Firms' Perceived Cost of Capital

Niels Gormsen and Kilian Huber

32610: Classical Right, New Right, and Voting Behavior: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Carlos Sanz

32609: The Effects of the 2021 Child Tax Credit on Child Developmental Outcomes

Anna Aizer, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Katherine Michelmore

32608: Stakes and Signals: An Empirical Investigation of Muddled Information in Standardized Testing

Germán Reyes, Evan Riehl and Ruqing Xu

32607: The Value of De Minimis Imports

Pablo D. Fajgelbaum and Amit Khandelwal

32606: Policy Options for the Drug Pricing Conundrum

Kate Ho and Ariel Pakes

32605: Voting on Public Goods: Citizens vs. Shareholders

Robin Döttling, Doron Y. Levit, Nadya Malenko and Magdalena A. Rola-Janicka

32604: Third Places and Neighborhood Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Starbucks Cafés

Jinkyong Choi, Jorge Guzman and Mario L. Small

32603: Williamson and Coase: Transaction Costs or Rent-Seeking in the Formation of Institutions

Gary Libecap

32602: The Macroeconomics of Narratives

Joel P. Flynn and Karthik Sastry

32601: Destabilizing Digital "Bank Walks"

Naz Koont, Tano Santos and Luigi Zingales

32600: The Social Costs of Sovereign Default

Juan Farah-Yacoub, Clemens Graf von Luckner and Carmen Reinhart

32599: Sovereign Haircuts: 200 Years of Creditor Losses

Clemens Graf von Luckner, Josefin Meyer, Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

32598: Dynamic Identification in VARs

Paul Beaudry, Fabrice Collard, Patrick Fève, Alain Guay and Franck Portier

32597: Diffuse Bunching with Frictions: Theory and Estimation

Santosh Anagol, Allan Davids, Benjamin Lockwood and Tarun Ramadorai

32596: Exchange Rate Disconnect Revisited

Ryan Chahrour, Vito Cormun, Pierre De Leo, Pablo Guerron and Rosen Valchev

32595: Disaster Management

Agnes Norris Keiller and John van Reenen

32594: Inflation Targets: Practice Ahead of Theory

Mervyn A. King

32593: The Price of Housing in the United States, 1890-2006

Ronan Lyons, Allison Shertzer, Rowena Gray and David N. Agorastos

32592: Charity: Have the Rates of US Households Contributing Money or Time Declined?

V. Smith

32591: Is Software Eating the World?

Sangmin Aum and Yongseok Shin

32590: The Power of Inclusive Labor Force Participation for Mitigating Population Aging: Closing Gaps at the Intersection Between Race/Ethnicity and Gender in the United States

René Böheim, Gerard Horvath, Thomas Leoni and Martin Spielauer

32589: Emotions and Subjective Crash Beliefs

William Goetzmann, Dasol Kim and Robert Shiller

32588: Paying Your Fair Share: Perceived Fairness and Tax Compliance

Brad C. Nathan, Ricardo Perez-Truglia and Alejandro Zentner

32587: Judging the Judges: Indexing of Complex Information Reduces Injustice

Andrew Caplin, Andrei Gomberg and Joyce Sadka

32586: Market Design in Regulated Health Insurance Markets: Risk Adjustment vs. Subsidies

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein and Pietro Tebaldi

32585: Book-Value Wealth Taxation, Capital Income Taxation, and Innovation

Fatih Guvenen, Gueorgui Kambourov, Burhanettin Kuruscu and Sergio Ocampo

32584: Extraordinary Labor Market Developments and the 2022-23 Disinflation

Steven Davis

32583: Does the EITC Reduce Caregiving for Parents?

Katherine Michelmore, Anna Wiersma Strauss and Emily E. Wiemers

32582: Rent Guarantee Insurance

Boaz Abramson and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

32581: Automating Short-Term Payroll Savings: Evidence from Two Large U.K. Experiments

Sarah Holmes Berk, James Choi, Jay Garg, John Beshears and David Laibson

32580: The Impact of Price Transparency in Outpatient Provider Markets

Kayleigh Barnes, Sherry A. Glied, Benjamin R. Handel and Grace Kim

32579: Property Insurance and Disaster Risk: New Evidence from Mortgage Escrow Data

Benjamin Keys and Philip Mulder

32578: Fertility Beliefs and Outcomes: The Role of Relationship Status and Attractiveness

Yifan Gong, Tyler Skura, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner

32577: The Chronic Disease Index: Analyzing Health Inequalities Over the Lifecycle

Kaveh Danesh, Jonathan Kolstad, William D. Parker and Johannes Spinnewijn

32576: Traumatic Financial Experiences and Persistent Changes in Financial Behavior: Evidence from the Freedman's Savings Bank

Vellore Arthi, Gary Richardson and Mark Van Orden

32575: Historical Differences in Female-Owned Manufacturing Establishments: The United States, 1850-1880

Ruveyda Gozen, Richard Hornbeck, Anders Humlum and Martin Rotemberg

32574: Political Connections, Allocation of Stimulus Spending, and the Jobs Multiplier

Joonkyu Choi, Veronika Penciakova and Felipe Saffie

32573: Printing Away the Mortgages: Fiscal Inflation and the Post-Covid Boom

William Diamond, Tim Landvoigt and Germán Sánchez Sánchez

32572: U.S. Liquid Government Liabilities and Emerging Market Capital Flows

Annie Soyean Lee and Charles Engel

32571: Effects of the Expansion of the Earned Income Tax Credit for Childless Young Adults on Material Wellbeing

Jiwan Lee, Katherine Michelmore, Natasha Pilkauskas and Christopher Wimer

32570: Preschool Lottery Admissions and Its Effects on Long-Run Earnings and Outcomes

Randall Akee and Leah Clark

32569: In Their Shoes

Marianne Andries, Leonardo Bursztyn, Thomas Chaney and Milena Djourelova

32568: Creative Destruction, Stock Return Volatility, and the Number of Listed Firms

Söhnke Bartram, Gregory W. Brown and René M. Stulz

32567: Sufficient Statistics for Measuring Forward-Looking Welfare

David Baqaee, Ariel Burstein and Yasutaka Koike-Mori

32566: International Policy Coordination in a Multisectoral Model of Trade and Health Policy

Viral Acharya, Zhengyang Jiang, Robert Richmond and Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

32565: Dynamic Models, New Gains from Trade?

Christoph Boehm, Andrei Levchenko, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar and Hiroshi Toma

32564: Turbocharging Profits? Contract Gaming and Revenue Allocation in Healthcare

Atul Gupta, Ambar La Forgia and Adam Sacarny

32563: Fighting Abuse with Prescription Tracking: Mandatory Drug Monitoring and Intimate Partner Violence

Dhaval Dave, Bilge Erten, David W. Hummel, Pinar Keskin and Shuo Zhang

32562: Statistical Discrimination and the Distribution of Wages

Prashant Bharadwaj, Rahul Deb and Ludovic Renou

32561: Dynamic Targeting: Experimental Evidence from Energy Rebate Programs

Takanori Ida, Takunori Ishihara, Koichiro Ito, Daido Kido, Toru Kitagawa, Shosei Sakaguchi and Shusaku Sasaki

32560: Financial Incentives for Adoption and Kin Guardianship Improve Achievement for Foster Children

David Simon, Aaron Sojourner, Jon Pedersen and Heidi Ombisa Skallet

32559: Custom Proxy Voting Advice

Edwin Hu, Nadya Malenko and Jonathon Zytnick

32558: Optimal Age-based Policies for Pandemics: An Economic Analysis of Covid-19 and Beyond

Luiz Brotherhood, Philipp Kircher, Cezar Santos and Michele Tertilt

32557: Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations: Insights from TANK Models

Davide Debortoli and Jordi Galí

32556: Bankruptcy Resolution and Credit Cycles

Martin Kornejew, Chen Lian, Yueran Ma, Pablo Ottonello and Diego J. Perez

32555: Place-Based Economic Development and Long-Run Firm Employment and Sales: Evidence from American Indian Reservations

Joseph A. Aguilar, Randall Akee and Elton Mykerezi

32554: On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression

Richard Baillie, Francis Diebold, George Kapetanios, Kun Ho Kim and Aaron Mora

32553: Attention Cycles

Joel P. Flynn and Karthik Sastry

32552: Employment and Labor Supply Responses to the Child Tax Credit Expansion: Theory and Evidence

Diane Schanzenbach and Michael Strain

32551: The Rise of the Religious Right: Evidence from the Moral Majority and the Jimmy Carter Presidency

Giulia Buccione and Brian Knight

32550: Sleep: Educational Impact and Habit Formation

Osea Giuntella, Silvia Saccardo and Sally Sadoff

32549: Spatial Competition, Strategic Entry Responses, and the North Dakota Railroad War of 1905

Chad Syverson

32548: The Social Value of Hurricane Forecasts

Renato Molina and Ivan Rudik

32547: Do Stronger IPR Incentivize Female Participation in Innovation? Evidence from Chinese AI Patents

Shubhangi Agrawal, Sawan Rathi, Chirantan Chatterjee and Matthew Higgins

32546: Voluntary Minimum Wages

Ellora Derenoncourt and David Weil

32545: Tasks and Black-white Inequality over the Long Twentieth Century

Rowena Gray, Siobhan M. O'Keefe, Sarah Quincy and Zachary Ward

32544: Synthesis of Evidence Yields High Social Cost of Carbon Due to Structural Model Variation and Uncertainties

Frances C. Moore, Moritz Drupp, James Rising, Simon Dietz, Ivan Rudik and Gernot Wagner

32543: Commercial Rivalry as Seller Incidence Shifting: Non-parametric Accounting of the China Shock

James Anderson

32542: Organizing a Kingdom

Charles Angelucci, Simone Meraglia and Nico Voigtländer

32541: What Can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality?

Hassan Afrouzi, Joel P. Flynn and Choongryul Yang

32540: Algorithmic Pricing: Implications for Consumers, Managers, and Regulators

Martin Spann, Marco Bertini, Oded Koenigsberg, Robert Zeithammer, Diego Aparicio, Yuxin Chen, Fabrizio Fantini, Ginger Zhe Jin, Vicki Morwitz, Peter Popkowski Leszczyc, Maria Ana Vitorino, Gizem Yalcin Williams and Hyesung Yoo

32539: Food Policy in a Warming World

Allan Hsiao, Jacob Moscona and Karthik Sastry

32538: Pricing Under Distress

S. Boragan Aruoba, Andrés Fernández Martin, Daniel Guzman Giron, Ernesto Pasten and Felipe Saffie

32537: The Effects of Short-Term Rental Regulation: Insights from Chicago

Ginger Zhe Jin, Liad Wagman and Mengyi Zhong

32536: Automation and Rent Dissipation: Implications for Wages, Inequality, and Productivity

Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo

32535: The Effect of E-Cigarette Flavor Bans on Tobacco Use

Chad Cotti, Charles Courtemanche, Yang Liang, Johanna Maclean, Erik Nesson and Joseph J. Sabia

32534: Comprehensive E-cigarette Flavor Bans and Tobacco Use among Youth and Adults

Henry Saffer, Selen Ozdogan, Michael Grossman, Daniel Dench and Dhaval Dave

32533: Post-Neoliberal Globalization: International Trade Rules for Global Prosperity

Martin M. Guzman and Joseph Stiglitz

32532: An Analysis of Pandemic-Era Inflation in 11 Economies

Olivier Blanchard and Ben Bernanke

32531: The Inflation Accelerator

Andrés Blanco, Corina Boar, Callum Jones and Virgiliu Midrigan

32530: A Shared Interest: Do Bonds Strengthen Equity Monitoring?

Todd A. Gormley and Manish Jha

32529: Her Property Transactions: White Women and the Frequency of Female Ownership in the Antebellum Era

Benton Wishart and Trevon Logan

32528: The Concave Phillips Curve

Narayana Kocherlakota

32527: Unemployment Insurance Fraud in the Debit Card Market

Umang Khetan, Jetson Leder-Luis, Jialan Wang and Yunrong Zhou

32526: Measuring and Predicting “New Work” in the United States: The Role of Local Factors and Global Shocks

Gueyon Kim, Cassandra Merritt and Giovanni Peri

32525: How Far Can Inclusion Go? The Long-term Impacts of Preferential College Admissions

Michela Carlana, Enrico Miglino and Michela M. Tincani

32524: Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails

Christiane Baumeister, Florian Huber and Massimiliano Marcellino

32523: Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume

Daniel Lewis, Davide Melcangi and Laura Pilossoph

32522: The Exchange Rate as an Industrial Policy

Pablo Ottonello, Diego J. Perez and William Witheridge

32521: Is the Decline in the Number of Community Banks Detrimental to Community Economic Development?

Bernadette Minton, Alvaro G. Taboada and Rohan Williamson

32520: The Effects of Tobacco 21 Laws on Smoking and Vaping: Evidence from Panel Data and Biomarkers

Chad Cotti, Philip DeCicca and Erik Nesson

32519: The Law of Small Numbers in Financial Markets: Theory and Evidence

Lawrence Jin and Cameron Peng

32518: Reviving Micro Real Rigidities: The Importance of Demand Shocks

S. Boragan Aruoba, Eugene Oue, Felipe Saffie and Jonathan Willis

32517: Broadband Internet Access, Economic Growth, and Wellbeing

Kathryn R. Johnson and Claudia Persico

32516: School Closures and Parental Mental Health

Sumedha Gupta, Dario Salcedo and Kosali Simon

32515: Understanding Expert Choices Using Decision Time

David Card, Stefano DellaVigna, Chenxi Jiang and Dmitry Taubinsky

32514: Medical Cannabis Availability and Mental Health: Evidence From New York’s Medical Cannabis Program

Coleman Drake, Dylan Nagy, Matthew D. Eisenberg and David Slusky

32513: Trust, Intangible Assets, and Productivity

Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, Jacques Mairesse and Giuseppe Nicoletti

32512: What is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence

Luis Armona, Matthew Gentzkow, Emir Kamenica and Jesse Shapiro