NBER Working Papers

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33180: The Forward Guidance Puzzle is not a Puzzle

Gauti Eggertsson and Finn D. Schüle

33179: Overcoming Racial Gaps in School Preferences: The Effect of Peer Diversity on School Choice

Clemence M. Idoux and Viola Corradini

33178: The Rise of E-Wallet Super-Apps and Buy-Now-Pay-Later

Wenlong Bian, Lin Cong and Yang Ji

33177: Flexible Pay and Labor Supply: Evidence from Uber’s Instant Pay

M. Keith Chen, Katherine Feinerman and Kareem Haggag

33176: Couch-Locked with the Munchies: Effects of Recreational Marijuana Laws on Exercise and Nutrition

Thomas Wilk, Monica Deza, Timothy Hodge and Shooshan Danagoulian

33175: A New Measure of Surviving Children that Sheds Light on Long-term Trends in Fertility

Anup Malani and Ari Jacob

33174: Federal Reserve Independence and Congressional Intent: A Reappraisal of Marriner Eccles’ Role in the Reformulation of the Fed in 1935

Gary Richardson and David Wilcox

33173: FinTech Platforms and Asymmetric Network Effects: Theory and Evidence from Marketplace Lending

Lin Cong, Ke Tang, Danxia Xie and Weiyi Zhao

33172: From Labor to Intermediates: Firm Growth, Input Substitution, and Monopsony

Matthias Mertens and Benjamin Schoefer

33171: Investing in Customer Capital

Bianca He, Lauren I. Mostrom and Amir Sufi

33170: Greens are Right to be Suspicious of Carbon Offsets

Geoffrey Heal

33169: The Signaling Value of Government Action: The Effect of Istanbul Convention on Female Murders

Gunes Asik and Naci Mocan

33168: Textual Factors: A Scalable, Interpretable, and Data-driven Approach to Analyzing Unstructured Information

Lin Cong, Tengyuan Liang, Xiao Zhang and Wu Zhu

33167: Minimum Wages and Race Disparities

David Neumark and Jyotsana Kala

33166: Immobility As Memory: Some New Approaches to Characterizing Intergenerational Persistence via Markov Chains

Lawrence Blume, Neil A. Cholli, Steven Durlauf and Aleksandra Lukina

33165: The Value of Statistical Life for Seniors

Jonathan D. Ketcham, Nicolai Kuminoff and Nirman Saha

33164: The G.I. Bill, Standardized Testing, and Socioeconomic Origins of the U.S. Educational Elite Over a Century

Ran Abramitzky, Jennifer K. Kowalski, Santiago Perez and Joseph Price

33163: The Misery of Diversity

Resul Cesur and Sadullah Yıldırım

33162: The Politics of Global Public Goods

Bard Harstad

33161: On International Cooperation

Bard Harstad

33160: A Simple Model of Average Inflation Targeting

Laurence Ball and Junnan Zhang

33159: Beyond the Fundamentals: How Media-Driven Narratives Influence Cross-Border Capital Flows

Isha Agarwal, Wentong Chen and Eswar Prasad

33158: Economic Surveillance using Corporate Text

Tarek Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Aakash Kalyani, Laurence van Lent, Markus Schwedeler and Ahmed Tahoun

33157: The Distributional Implications of Itemized Medical Deductions

Gopi Goda, Ithai Lurie, Priyanka S. Parikh and Chelsea Swete

33156: Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time

Christiane Baumeister, Florian Huber, Thomas K. Lee and Francesco Ravazzolo

33155: Nonpayment and Eviction in the Rental Housing Market

John Humphries, Scott T. Nelson, Dam Linh Nguyen, Winnie van Dijk and Daniel C. Waldinger

33154: Unwarranted Racial Disparity in U.S. Foster Care Placement

E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Natalia Emanuel and Peter Hull

33153: The Evolution of Gender in the Labor Market

Claudia Olivetti, Jessica Pan and Barbara Petrongolo

33152: The Economics of “Buy Now, Pay Later”: A Merchant’s Perspective

Tobias Berg, Valentin Burg, Jan Keil and Manju Puri

33151: Estimating Aggregate Human Capital Externalities

Junjie Guo, Nicolas Roys and Ananth Seshadri

33150: The Color of Ideas: Racial Dynamics and Citations in Economics

Marlène Koffi, Roland Pongou and Leonard Wantchekon

33149: Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships

Michael Elsby, Axel Gottfries, Pawel Krolikowski and Gary Solon

33148: The Economics of Net Zero Banking

Adair Morse and Parinitha R. Sastry

33147: Therapy to Reduce Violence and Improve Institutional Safety During Incarceration

Mary Kate Batistich, William Evans, Tyler Giles and Rebecca Margolit-Chan

33146: The Power of Daughters: How Physicians' Family Influences Female Patients' Health

Mette Gørtz, Ida L. Kristiansen and Tianyi Wang

33145: Capital Flow Stability and Policy Challenges in Southeast Asia: Historical Perspectives from the 19th to the 21st Century

Christopher Meissner and Kensuke Molnar-Tanaka

33144: Nonlinear Pricing and Misallocation

Gideon Bornstein and Alessandra Peter

33143: Trade, Trees, and Lives

Xinming Du, Lei Li and Eric Zou

33142: Liquidity Shocks and Firm Exports: Evidence from Cash Shortages During India’s Demonetization

Ritam Chaurey, Ryan Kim and Pravin Krishna

33141: Information Span and Credit Market Competition

Zhiguo He, Jing Huang and Cecilia Parlatore

33140: Evaluating Minimum Taxation

James Hines

33139: Concentrating Intelligence: Scaling and Market Structure in Artificial Intelligence

Anton Korinek and Jai Vipra

33138: Industrial Policies and Innovation: Evidence from the Global Automobile Industry

Panle Barwick, Hyuk-Soo Kwon, Shanjun Li, Yucheng Wang and Nahim Bin Zahur

33137: Income Inequality and Job Creation

Sebastian Doerr, Thomas Drechsel and Donggyu Lee

33136: Central Bank Information or Neo-Fisher Effect?

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

33135: Education and Preferences for Desired Traits in Children

Naci Mocan and Nur Orak

33134: Randomized Entry

Francis Annan

33133: Resolving Puzzles of Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets

Jongrim Ha, Dohan Kim, Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad

33132: Tax Policy, Investment and Profit Shifting

Katarzyna Bilicka, Michael Devereux and İrem Güçeri

33131: Forced Displacement, the Perpetuation of Autocratic Leaders, and Development in Origin Countries

Nicolas Cabra-Ruiz, Sandra Rozo and Maria Micaela Sviatschi

33130: Quantitative Urban Economics

Stephen Redding

33129: Macro-Level Institutions and Micro-Level Economic Behavior: A Meta-Meta Analysis of 1,126 Studies

Jason A. Aimone, Sheryl Ball, Esha Dwibedi, Jeremy Jackson and James West

33128: Input Price Dispersion Across Buyers and Misallocation

Ariel Burstein, Javier Cravino and Marco Rojas

33127: Trade Policy as an Exogenous Shock: Focusing on the Specifics

Andrew Greenland and John Lopresti

33126: How the US-China Trade War Accelerated Urban Economic Growth and Environmental Progress in Northern Vietnam

Matthew Kahn, Wen-Chi Liao and Siqi Zheng

33125: Spatial Economics

Stephen Redding

33124: On the Limits of Chronological Age

Rainer Kotschy, David Bloom and Andrew Scott

33123: Monetary-Fiscal Coordination with International Hegemon

Xuning Ding and Zhengyang Jiang

33122: Earnings, Marriage, and the Variance of Family Income by Age, Gender, and Cohort

Joseph Altonji, Daniel Giraldo Páez, Disa Hynsjo and Ivan Vidangos

33121: Elite Strategies for Big Shocks: The Case of the Fall of the Ming

Carol H. Shiue and Wolfgang Keller

33120: Small Changes, Big Impact: Nudging Employees Toward Sustainable Behaviors

Laura Cappellucci, Lan Ha, Jeremy Honig, Christopher Knittel, Amy Vetter and Richard Wilner

33119: Expecting Climate Change: A Nationwide Field Experiment in the Housing Market

Daryl Fairweather, Matthew Kahn, Robert Metcalfe and Sebastian Sandoval Olascoaga

33118: Using Information to Curb Racial Discrimination

Christopher Knittel, Donald MacKenzie, Michiko Namazu, Bora Ozaltun, Dan Svirsky and Stephen Zoepf

33117: Taming the Curse of Dimensionality: Quantitative Economics with Deep Learning

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Galo Nuño Barrau and Jesse Perla

33116: Robots and Labor in Nursing Homes

Yong Suk Lee, Toshiaki Iizuka and Karen Eggleston

33115: Two Wrongs Can Sometimes Make a Right: The Environmental Benefits of Market Power in Oil

John Asker, Allan Collard-Wexler, Charlotte De Canniere, Jan De Loecker and Christopher Knittel

33114: Industry and Identity: The Migration Linkage Between Economic and Cultural Change in 19th Century Britain

Vasiliki Fouka and Theo Serlin

33113: Is Free Trade Good for Renewable Resources: Brander & Taylor Redux

M. Scott Taylor

33112: Short-Time Work Extensions

Christina Brinkmann, Simon Jäger, Moritz Kuhn, Farzad Saidi and Stefanie Wolter

33111: The Mental Health of the Young in Latin America

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

33110: Carbon Burden

Lubos Pastor, Robert Stambaugh and Lucian A. Taylor

33109: The Complexity of Economic Decisions

Xavier Gabaix and Thomas Graeber

33108: Gambling Away Stability: Sports Betting’s Impact on Vulnerable Households

Scott Baker, Justin Balthrop, Mark J. Johnson, Jason Kotter and Kevin Pisciotta

33107: Information Discovery for Industrial Policy

Michael Sockin and Wei Xiong

33106: Current Account Dynamics and the Saving-Investment Nexus In a Changing and Uncertain World

Menzie Chinn and Hiro Ito

33105: Using Policy and Innovation to Improve Life-Saving Access to Naloxone

Evan D. Peet, David Powell and Rosalie Pacula

33104: Unwarranted Disparity in High-Stakes Decisions: Race Measurement and Policy Responses

E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Natalia Emanuel, Peter Hull and Joseph P. Ryan

33103: The ECB’s Climate Activities and Public Trust

Sandra Eickmeier and Luba Petersen

33102: Deficits and Inflation: HANK meets FTPL

George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian and Christian Wolf

33101: Unbalanced Trade: Is Growing Dispersion from Financial or Trade Reforms?

George Alessandria, Yan Bai and Soo Kyung Woo

33100: Did Tariffs Make American Manufacturing Great? New Evidence from the Gilded Age

Alexander Klein and Christopher Meissner

33099: The GDPR and SDK Usage In Android Mobile Apps

Ginger Zhe Jin, Ziqiao Liu and Liad Wagman

33098: The China Shock Revisited: Job Reallocation and Industry Switching in U.S. Labor Markets

Nicholas Bloom, Kyle Handley, André Kurmann and Philip Luck

33097: Everyone Steps Back? The Widespread Retraction of Crowd-Funding Support for Minority Creators when Migration Fear is High

John (Jianqiu) Bai, William Kerr, Chi Wan and Alptug Y. Yorulmaz

33096: Willingness-To-Pay vs Administrative Hurdles: Understanding Barriers to Social Insurance Enrollment in Thailand

Benjamin Olken, Rema Hanna, Phitawat Poonpolkul and Nada Wasi

33095: Revisiting the Phillips and Beveridge Curves: Insights from the 2020s Inflation Surge

Pierpaolo Benigno and Gauti Eggertsson

33094: Marine Microplastics and Infant Health

Xinming Du, Shan Zhang and Eric Zou

33093: Comrades and Cause: Peer Influence on West Point Cadets' Civil War Allegiances

Yuchen Guo, Matthew Jackson and Ruixue Jia

33092: How Big is the “Biggest Climate Spending Bill Ever?” Key Factors Influencing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean Energy Impacts

Joseph Aldy

33091: Empirical Bayes Methods in Labor Economics

Christopher R. Walters

33090: Physician Practice Preferences and Healthcare Expenditures: Evidence from Commercial Payers

Jeffrey Clemens, Pierre Leger, Yashna Nandan and Robert Town

33089: Welfare Effects of a Permanent Unconditional Cash Transfer Program: Evidence from Maricá, Brazil

Sidhya Balakrishnan, Roberta Costa, Johannes Haushofer and Fábio Waltenberg

33088: Preferences, Selection, and the Structure of Teacher Pay

Andrew Johnston

33087: Service Quality on Online Platforms: Empirical Evidence about Driving Quality at Uber

Susan Athey, Juan Castillo and Bharat Chandar

33086: The Effects of a Statewide Ban on School Suspensions

Jane Arnold Lincove, Catherine Mata and Kalena Cortes

33085: Distance to Opportunity: Higher Education Deserts and College Enrollment Choices

Riley Acton, Kalena Cortes and Camila Morales

33084: Firm Wage Effects

Patrick Kline

33083: The Long-Run Impacts of Regulated Price Cuts: Evidence from Medicare

Yunan Ji and Parker Rogers

33082: Firm-to-Firm Referrals

Jing Cai, Wei Lin and Adam Szeidl

33081: Firm Climate Investment: A Glass Half-Full

Prachi Srivastava, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen, Gregory Thwaites and Ivan Yotzov