NBER Working Papers

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26111: Are Syringe Exchange Programs Helpful or Harmful? New Evidence in the Wake of the Opioid Epidemic

Analisa Packham

26110: Credit Building or Credit Crumbling? A Credit Builder Loan’s Effects on Consumer Behavior, Credit Scores and Their Predictive Power

Jeremy Burke, Julian Jamison, Dean Karlan, Kata Mihaly and Jonathan Zinman

26109: Using Models to Persuade

Joshua Schwartzstein and Adi Sunderam

26108: Networks, Barriers, and Trade

David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi

26107: Air Pollution and Infant Mortality: Evidence from Saharan Dust

Sam Heft-Neal, Jennifer Burney, Eran Bendavid, Kara Voss and Marshall Burke

26106: How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Maarten van Rooij

26105: Simpler Better Market Betas

Ivo Welch

26104: Potential Outcome and Directed Acyclic Graph Approaches to Causality: Relevance for Empirical Practice in Economics

Guido Imbens

26103: The Demand for Insurance and Rationale for a Mandate: Evidence from Workers’ Compensation Insurance

Marika Cabral, Can Cui and Michael Dworsky

26102: The Short Rate Disconnect in a Monetary Economy

Moritz Lenel, Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider

26101: Minimum Wage Employment Effects and Labor Market Concentration

Jose Azar, Emiliano Huet-Vaughn, Ioana Marinescu, Bledi Taska and Till von Wachter

26100: The Effects of Primary Care Chronic-Disease Management in Rural China

Yiwei Chen, Hui Ding, Min Yu, Jieming Zhong, Ruying Hu, Xiangyu Chen, Chunmei Wang, Kaixu Xie and Karen Eggleston

26099: The Impact of State-Level R&D Tax Credits on the Quantity and Quality of Entrepreneurship

Catherine Fazio, Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern

26098: Federal Reserve Structure, Economic Ideas, and Monetary and Financial Policy

Michael Bordo and Edward S. Prescott

26097: Are Marriage-Related Taxes and Social Security Benefits Holding Back Female Labor Supply?

Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi and Fang Yang

26096: The Entertaining Way to Behavioral Change: Fighting HIV with MTV

Abhijit Banerjee, Eliana La Ferrara and Victor Orozco-Olvera

26095: The Impacts of Physician Payments on Patient Access, Use, and Health

Diane Alexander and Molly Schnell

26094: Do Local Governments Represent Voter Preferences? Evidence from Hospital Financing under the Affordable Care Act

Victoria Perez, Justin Ross and Kosali I. Simon

26093: Jobs and Environmental Regulation

Marc A. C. Hafstead and Roberton Williams

26092: Does Vocational Education Work? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Mongolia

Erica M. Field, Leigh Linden, Ofer Malamud, Daniel Rubenson and Shing-Yi Wang

26091: Formative Experiences and the Price of Gasoline

Christopher Severen and Arthur van Benthem

26090: The Value of Government Debt

John Cochrane

26089: The Effects of Schooling on Costless Health Maintenance: Overweight Adolescents and Children in Rural China

Mark Rosenzweig and Junsen Zhang

26088: Does the Healthcare Educational Market Respond to Short-Run Local Demand?

Marcus Dillender, Andrew Friedson, Cong T. Gian and Kosali I. Simon

26087: SeaTE: Subjective ex ante Treatment Effect of Health on Retirement

Pamela Giustinelli and Matthew D. Shapiro

26086: Coase, Hotelling and Pigou: The Incidence of a Carbon Tax and CO₂ Emissions

Geoffrey Heal and Wolfram Schlenker

26085: Change of Monetary Regime, Contracts, and Prices: Lessons from the Great Depression, 1932-1935

Sebastian Edwards

26084: The Cost of a Carbon-Free Electricity System in the U.S

Geoffrey Heal

26083: Deterrence and the Adjustment of Sentences During Imprisonment

A. Mitchell Polinsky and Steven Shavell

26082: Migration and Informal Insurance: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial and a Structural Model

Costas Meghir, Ahmed Mobarak, Corina D. Mommaerts and Melanie Morten

26081: Medicaid and Mortality: New Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data

Sarah Miller, Norman Johnson and Laura Wherry

26080: Testing the Validity of the Single Interrupted Time Series Design

Katherine Baicker and Theodore Svoronos

26079: Do Health Insurance Mandates Spillover to Education? Evidence from Michigan's Autism Insurance Mandate

Riley Acton, Scott Imberman and Michael Lovenheim

26078: Who is a Passive Saver Under Opt-In and Auto-Enrollment?

Gopi Goda, Matthew R. Levy, Colleen Flaherty Manchester, Aaron Sojourner and Joshua Tasoff

26077: US Water Pollution Regulation over the Last Half Century: Burning Waters to Crystal Springs?

David A. Keiser and Joseph S. Shapiro

26076: Partial Default

Cristina Arellano, Xavier Mateos-Planas and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

26075: China’s Industrial Policy: an Empirical Evaluation

Panle Barwick, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Nahim Bin Zahur

26074: The Information View of Financial Crises

Tri Vi Dang, Gary Gorton and Bengt R. Holmstrom

26073: Passive Versus Active Growth: Evidence from Founder Choices and Venture Capital Investment

Christian Catalini, Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern

26072: Should Electric Vehicle Drivers Pay a Mileage Tax?

Lucas Davis and James M. Sallee

26071: Regional Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

Christopher L. House, Christian Proebsting and Linda Tesar

26070: Monopsony Power in Higher Education: A Tale of Two Tracks

Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson

26069: Long-term Effects from Early Exposure to Research: Evidence from the NIH "Yellow Berets''

Pierre Azoulay, Wesley H. Greenblatt and Misty L. Heggeness

26068: Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives

Ian Martin and Robert Pindyck

26067: The Four Equation New Keynesian Model

Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu

26066: Measurement Error Mechanisms Matter: Agricultural Intensification with Farmer Misperceptions and Misreporting

Kibrom Abay, Leah Bevis and Christopher Barrett

26065: From Learning to Doing: Diffusion of Agricultural Innovations in Guinea-Bissau

Rute Martins Caeiro

26064: Is Employment Polarization Informative About Wage Inequality and Is Employment Really Polarizing?

Jennifer Hunt and Ryan Nunn

26063: What Do Survey Data Tell Us about US Businesses?

Anmol Bhandari, Serdar Birinci, Ellen McGrattan and Kurt See

26062: Are Analyst Trade Ideas Valuable?

Justin Birru, Sinan Gokkaya, Xi Liu and René M. Stulz

26061: Commanding Nature by Obeying Her: A Review Essay on Joel Mokyr’s A Culture of Growth

Enrico Spolaore

26060: Security Analysis: An Investment Perspective

Kewei Hou, Haitao Mo, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang

26059: The Remarkable Unresponsiveness of College Students to Nudging And What We Can Learn from It

Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic

26058: Evaluation of Medical Technologies with Uncertain Benefits

Darius Lakdawalla and Charles E. Phelps

26057: Are Price-Cost Markups Rising in the United States? A Discussion of the Evidence

Susanto Basu

26056: A Classical View of the Business Cycle

Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland

26055: Youth Drain, Entrepreneurship and Innovation

Massimo Anelli, Gaetano Basso, Giuseppe Ippedico and Giovanni Peri

26054: Can Smallholder Extension Transform African Agriculture?

Joshua Deutschmann, Maya Duru, Kim Siegal and Emilia Tjernström

26053: Forward Guidance: Is It Useful Away from the Lower Bound?

Lilia Maliar and John Taylor

26052: The Effects of Decentralized and Video-based Extension on the Adoption of Integrated Soil Fertility Management – Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia

Denise Hörner, Adrien Bouguen, Markus Frölich and Meike Wollni

26051: The Minimum Legal Drinking Age and Crime Victimization

Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen and Rachel Ryley

26050: China’s Overseas Lending

Sebastian Horn, Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

26049: The Transmission of Shocks in Endogenous Financial Networks: A Structural Approach

Jonas Heipertz, Amine Ouazad and Romain Ranciere

26048: Does Knowing Your FICO Score Change Financial Behavior? Evidence from a Field Experiment with Student Loan Borrowers

Tatiana Homonoff, Rourke O'Brien and Abigail B. Sussman

26047: Fertility Decline in the Civil Rights Era

Owen Thompson

26046: Exchange Rate Reconnect

Andrew Lilley, Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman and Jesse Schreger

26045: Cheap Talk and Coordination in the Lab and in the Field: Collective Commercialization in Senegal

Fo Kodjo Dzinyefa Aflagah, Tanguy Bernard and Angelino Viceisza

26044: Effect of an Abrupt Change in Sexual and Reproductive Health Policy on Adolescent Birth Rates in Ecuador, 2008–2017

Omar Galarraga and Jeffrey E. Harris

26043: How Can Inclusive Agricultural Health Policy Intervention Promote Shared Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria? Evidence from Randomized Control Trial

Toyin Samuel Olowogbon, Raphael Babatunde and Edward Asiedu

26042: Private vs. Public Provision of Social Insurance: Evidence from Medicaid

Timothy Layton, Nicole Maestas, Daniel Prinz and Boris Vabson

26041: Strategic Sorting: The Role of Ordeals in Health Care

Richard Zeckhauser

26040: Evaluating Central Banks' Tool Kit: Past, Present, and Future

Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu

26039: Global Dimensions of U.S. Monetary Policy

Maurice Obstfeld

26038: Is Great Information Good Enough? Evidence from Physicians as Patients

Michael D. Frakes, Jonathan Gruber and Anupam Jena

26037: Home and School in the Development of Children

Francesco Agostinelli, Morteza Saharkhiz and Matthew Wiswall

26036: Complexity and Sophistication

Leandro Carvalho and Dan Silverman

26035: Learning Management Through Matching: A Field Experiment Using Mechanism Design

Girum Abebe, Marcel Fafchamps, Michael Koelle and Simon Quinn

26034: The Founding of the Federal Reserve, the Great Depression and the Evolution of the U.S. Interbank Network

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

26033: Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data

Tomaz Cajner, Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas and Christopher Kurz

26032: Imperfect Risk-Sharing and the Business Cycle

David Berger, Luigi Bocola and Alessandro Dovis

26031: On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks

Ricardo Caballero and Gunes Kamber

26030: The Impact of Medicaid on Medical Utilization in a Vulnerable Population: Evidence from COFA Migrants

Timothy Halliday, Randall Akee, Tetine Sentell, Megan Inada and Jill Miyamura

26029: Social Connectedness in Urban Areas

Michael Bailey, Patrick Farrell, Theresa Kuchler and Johannes Stroebel

26028: The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare: Evidence from Administrative Barriers to Participation

Robert Moffitt and Matthew V. Zahn

26027: Skill and Profit in Active Management

Robert F. Stambaugh

26026: Does a Currency Union Need a Capital Market Union? Risk Sharing via Banks and Markets

Joseba Martinez, Thomas Philippon and Markus Sihvonen

26025: Food Stamps and America’s Poorest

Dean Jolliffe, Juan Margitic and Martin Ravallion

26024: The Impact of Abortion on Crime and Crime-Related Behavior

Randi Hjalmarsson, Andreea Mitrut and Cristian Pop-Eleches

26023: Targeting High School Scholarships to the Poor: The Impact of a Program in Mexico

Rafael De Hoyos, Orazio Attanasio and Costas Meghir

26022: Publication, Compensation, and the Public Affairs Discount: Does Gender Play a Role?

Lori Taylor, Kalena E. Cortes and Travis C. Hearn

26021: Persistency in Teachers’ Grading Bias and Effects on Longer-Term Outcomes: University Admissions Exams and Choice of Field of Study

Victor Lavy and Rigissa Megalokonomou

26020: Dining Out as Cultural Trade

Joel Waldfogel

26019: Declining Worker Turnover: the Role of Short Duration Employment Spells

Michael Pries and Richard Rogerson

26018: GVCs and Trade Elasticities with Multistage Production

Robert Johnson and Andreas Moxnes

26017: The Effects of Traditional Cigarette and E-Cigarette Taxes on Adult Tobacco Product Use

Michael Pesko, Charles Courtemanche and Johanna Maclean

26016: On Testing Continuity and the Detection of Failures

Matthew Backus and Sida Peng

26015: Waiting for Affordable Housing in New York City

Holger Sieg and Chamna Yoon

26014: Whitelashing: Black Politicians, Taxes, and Violence

Trevon Logan

26013: From Theory to Practice: Field Experimental Evidence on Early Exposure of Engineering Majors to Professional Work

Kevin Boudreau and Matt Marx

26012: US Monetary Policy and International Bond Markets

Simon Gilchrist, Vivian Yue and Egon Zakrajšek