NBER Working Papers

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22611: Emotional Judges and Unlucky Juveniles

Ozkan Eren and Naci Mocan

22610: Substance Abuse Treatment Centers and Local Crime

Samuel R. Bondurant, Jason Lindo and Isaac D. Swensen

22609: The Welfare Cost of Retirement Uncertainty

Frank Caliendo, Maria Casanova, Aspen Gorry and Sita Slavov

22608: Informal Labor and the Efficiency Cost of Social Programs: Evidence from the Brazilian Unemployment Insurance Program

Francois Gerard and Gustavo Gonzaga

22607: Women Working Longer: Facts and Some Explanations

Claudia Goldin and Lawrence Katz

22606: Older Women’s Labor Market Attachment, Retirement Planning, and Household Debt

Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia Mitchell

22605: Can Myopic Loss Aversion Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle? Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment with Professional Traders

Francis Larson, John List and Robert Metcalfe

22604: How You Pay Affects How You Do: Financial Aid Type and Student Performance in College

Peter Cappelli and Shinjae Won

22603: Labour Market Regulations and Capital Intensity

Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez and Jacques Mairesse

22602: Certified Random: A New Order for Co-Authorship

Debraj Ray and Arthur Robson

22601: Migration as a Test of the Happiness Set Point Hypothesis: Evidence from Immigration to Canada

John Helliwell, Aneta Bonikowska and Hugh Shiplett

22600: Hospital Network Competition and Adverse Selection: Evidence from the Massachusetts Health Insurance Exchange

Mark Shepard

22599: Optimal Monetary Policy in a Collateralized Economy

Gary Gorton and Ping He

22598: Strategic Patient Discharge: The Case of Long-Term Care Hospitals

Paul Eliason, Paul L. E. Grieco, Ryan McDevitt and James W. Roberts

22597: Executive Lawyers: Gatekeepers or Strategic Officers?

Adair Morse, Wei Wang and Serena Wu

22596: Seeding the S-Curve? The Role of Early Adopters in Diffusion

Christian Catalini and Catherine Tucker

22595: Understanding and Misunderstanding Randomized Controlled Trials

Angus Deaton and Nancy Cartwright

22594: Financial Safety Nets

Julien Bengui, Javier Bianchi and Louphou Coulibaly

22593: Misreporting Trade: Tariff Evasion, Corruption, and Auditing Standards

Derek Kellenberg and Arik Levinson

22592: Sovereign Debt Portfolios, Bond Risks, and the Credibility of Monetary Policy

Wenxin Du, Carolin Pflueger and Jesse Schreger

22591: Migration Responses to Conflict: Evidence from the Border of the American Civil War

Shari Eli, Laura Salisbury and Allison Shertzer

22590: The U.S. Economy in WWII as a Model for Coping with Climate Change

Hugh Rockoff

22589: The Efficiency of Race-Neutral Alternatives to Race-Based Affirmative Action: Evidence from Chicago's Exam Schools

Glenn Ellison and Parag Pathak

22588: Voter Response to Peak and End Transfers: Evidence from a Conditional Cash Transfer Experiment

Sebastian Galiani, Nadya Hajj, Patrick McEwan, Pablo Ibarraran and Nandita Krishnaswamy

22587: How Do Venture Capitalists Make Decisions?

Paul Gompers, William Gornall, Steven Kaplan and Ilya Strebulaev

22586: Love, Money, and Parental Goods: Does Parental Matchmaking Matter?

Fali Huang, Ginger Zhe Jin and Lixin Xu

22585: Social Experiments in the Labor Market

Jesse Rothstein and Till von Wachter

22584: Buying Reputation as a Signal of Quality: Evidence from an Online Marketplace

Lingfang Li, Steven Tadelis and Xiaolan Zhou

22583: Estimating the Value of Public Insurance Using Complementary Private Insurance

Marika Cabral and Mark R. Cullen

22582: Direct-to-Consumer Advertising and Online Search

Matthew Chesnes and Ginger Zhe Jin

22581: A Lesson from the Great Depression that the Fed Might have Learned: A Comparison of the 1932 Open Market Purchases with Quantitative Easing

Michael Bordo and Arunima Sinha

22580: The Lifecycle of the 47%

Don Fullerton and Nirupama Rao

22579: The Derivation of Discount Rates with an Augmented Measure of Income

Nicholas Muller

22578: Do Minimum Wage Increases Influence Worker Health?

Brady Horn, Johanna Maclean and Michael Strain

22577: Relative Tax Rates, Proximity and Cigarette Tax Noncompliance: Evidence from a National Sample of Littered Cigarette Packs

Shu Wang, David Merriman and Frank Chaloupka

22576: The Complexity of Liquidity: The Extraordinary Case of Sovereign Bonds

Jacob Boudoukh, Jordan Brooks, Matthew Richardson and Zhikai Xu

22575: Identifying and Estimating Neighborhood Effects

Bryan Graham

22574: Financial Aid, Debt Management, and Socioeconomic Outcomes: Post-College Effects of Merit-Based Aid

Judith Scott-Clayton and Basit Zafar

22573: From Science to Technology: The Value of Knowledge From Different Energy Research Institutions

David Popp

22572: Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation

Francesco Bianchi, Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson

22571: A Time to Make Laws and a Time to Fundraise? On the Relation between Salaries and Time Use for State Politicians

Mitchell Hoffman and Elizabeth Lyons

22570: The Political Economy of Debt and Entitlements

Laurent Bouton, Alessandro Lizzeri and Nicola Persico

22569: Imputation in U.S. Manufacturing Data and Its Implications for Productivity Dispersion

T. Kirk White, Jerome P. Reiter and Amil Petrin

22568: Legal Access to Alcohol and Criminality

Benjamin Hansen and Glen Waddell

22567: Israel and the 1990-2015 Global Developments: Riding with the Global Flows and Weathering the Storms

Assaf Razin and Steven Rosefielde

22566: Predicting Experimental Results: Who Knows What?

Stefano DellaVigna and Devin Pope

22565: Exclusion Bias in the Estimation of Peer Effects

Bet Caeyers and Marcel Fafchamps

22564: The Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefits: New Evidence and Interpretation

Johannes Schmieder and Till von Wachter

22563: The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure

Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang and Michael Weber

22562: Healthy-Time Measures of Health Outcomes and Healthcare Quality

Marguerite Burns and John Mullahy

22561: The Effects of the Early Retirement Age on Retirement Decisions

Dayanand Manoli and Andrea Weber

22560: Africa’s Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend

David Bloom, Michael Kuhn and Klaus Prettner

22559: Match or Mismatch? Automatic Admissions and College Preferences of Low- and High-Income Students

Jane Arnold Lincove and Kalena E. Cortes

22558: Do Low Levels of Blood Lead Reduce Children's Future Test Scores?

Anna Aizer, Janet Currie, Peter Simon and Patrick Vivier

22557: The Economic Consequences of the 1953 London Debt Agreement

Gregori Galofré-Vilà, Martin McKee, Christopher Meissner and David Stuckler

22556: Social Capital, Trust and Well-being in the Evaluation of Wealth

Kirk Hamilton, John Helliwell and Michael Woolcock

22555: The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth

Canyon Bosler, Mary Daly, John Fernald and Bart Hobijn

22554: Smoke Gets in Your Eyes: Medical Marijuana Laws and Tobacco Use

Anna Choi, Dhaval Dave and Joseph J. Sabia

22553: Who Should Own and Control Urban Water Systems? Historical Evidence from England and Wales

Brian Beach, Werner Troesken and Nicola Tynan

22552: What Goes on Under the Hood? How Engineers Innovate in the Automotive Supply Chain

Susan Helper and Jennifer Kuan

22551: How Rigged Are Stock Markets?: Evidence From Microsecond Timestamps

Robert P. Bartlett, III and Justin McCrary

22550: Technology and Production Fragmentation: Domestic versus Foreign Sourcing

Teresa Fort

22549: Born with a Silver Spoon? Danish Evidence on Wealth Inequality in Childhood

Simon Boserup, Wojciech Kopczuk and Claus Kreiner

22548: Does Organizational Form Drive Competition? Evidence from Coffee Retailing

Brian Adams, Joshua Gans, Richard Hayes and Ryan Lampe

22547: Measuring Institutional Investors’ Skill from Their Investments in Private Equity

Daniel R. Cavagnaro, Berk A. Sensoy, Yingdi Wang and Michael Weisbach

22546: Heterogeneous Frictional Costs Across Industries in Cross-border Mergers and Acquisitions

Bruce Blonigen and Donghyun Lee

22545: Attention Variation and Welfare: Theory and Evidence from a Tax Salience Experiment

Dmitry Taubinsky and Alex Rees-Jones

22544: Geographic Diversification and Banks’ Funding Costs

Ross Levine, Chen Lin and Wensi Xie

22543: Human Capital Investments and Expectations about Career and Family

Matthew Wiswall and Basit Zafar

22542: Are Publicly Insured Children Less Likely to be Admitted to Hospital than the Privately Insured (and Does it Matter)?

Diane Alexander and Janet Currie

22541: Long-Term Orientation and Educational Performance

David Figlio, Paola Giuliano, Umut Özek and Paola Sapienza

22540: Employment Effects of the ACA Medicaid Expansions

Pauline Leung and Alexandre Mas

22539: Estimating Currency Misalignment Using the Penn Effect: It’s Not as Simple As It Looks

Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn and Xin Nong

22538: The More We Die, The More We Sell? A Simple Test of the Home-Market Effect

Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, Margaret Kyle and Heidi Williams

22537: The Impact of Removing Tax Preferences for U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Production: Measuring Tax Subsidies by an Equivalent Price Impact Approach

Gilbert Metcalf

22536: Estimating Path Dependence in Energy Transitions

Kyle Meng

22535: From Chronic Inflation to Chronic Deflation: Focusing on Expectations and Liquidity Disarray Since WWII

Guillermo Calvo

22534: The Persistent Power of Behavioral Change: Long-Run Impacts of Temporary Savings Subsidies for the Poor

Simone Schaner

22533: The I Theory of Money

Markus Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov

22532: Trophy Hunting vs. Manufacturing Energy: The Price-Responsiveness of Shale Gas

Richard Newell, Brian Prest and Ashley Vissing

22531: Early Effects of the 2010 Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Federal Disability Program Participation

Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li

22530: The Pros and Cons of Sick Pay Schemes: Testing for Contagious Presenteeism and Noncontagious Absenteeism Behavior

Stefan Pichler and Nicolas Ziebarth

22529: Price of Long-Run Temperature Shifts in Capital Markets

Ravi Bansal, Dana Kiku and Juan Ochoa

22528: Unintended Consequences of Rewards for Student Attendance: Results from a Field Experiment in Indian Classrooms

Sujata Visaria, Rajeev Dehejia, Melody M. Chao and Anirban Mukhopadhyay

22527: Risk Preferences and The Macro Announcement Premium

Hengjie Ai and Ravi Bansal

22526: How Do Voters Matter? Evidence from US Congressional Redistricting

Daniel Jones and Randall Walsh

22525: What Would it Take to Reduce US Greenhouse Gas Emissions 80% by 2050?

Geoffrey Heal

22524: Collective Intertemporal Choice: the Possibility of Time Consistency

Antony Millner and Geoffrey Heal

22523: Immunization and Moral Hazard: The HPV Vaccine and Uptake of Cancer Screening

Ali Moghtaderi and Avi Dor

22522: Can Natural Gas Save Lives? Evidence from the Deployment of a Fuel Delivery System in a Developing Country

Resul Cesur, Erdal Tekin and Aydogan Ulker

22521: The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Care - A Selected Literature Review

Bjorn Lindgren

22520: Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns

Michael Weber

22519: Marketplace Plan Payment Options for Dealing with High-Cost Enrollees

Timothy Layton and Thomas G. McGuire

22518: The Marginal Propensity to Consume Over the Business Cycle

Tal Gross, Matthew Notowidigdo and Jialan Wang

22517: Family Descent as a Signal of Managerial Quality: Evidence from Mutual Funds

Oleg Chuprinin and Denis Sosyura

22516: Assessing Point Forecast Accuracy by Stochastic Error Distance

Francis Diebold and Minchul Shin

22515: Do Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities Provide Better Post-Acute Care Quality?

Momotazur Rahman, Edward Norton and David C. Grabowski

22514: The Opportunity Costs of Entrepreneurs in International Trade

Timothy Kehoe, Pau Pujolas and Kim Ruhl

22513: Life-Cycle Consumption Patterns at Older Ages in the US and the UK: Can Medical Expenditures Explain the Difference?

James Banks, Richard Blundell, Peter Levell and James Smith

22512: Augmenting the Human Capital Earnings Equation with Measures of Where People Work

Erling Barth, James Davis and Richard Freeman