NBER Working Papers

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14361: Forecasting the Cost of U.S. Health Care in 2040

Robert Fogel

14360: Media versus Special Interests

Isaac Dyck, David Moss and Luigi Zingales

14359: Policymaking for Posterity

Lawrence Summers and Richard Zeckhauser

14358: The Panic of 2007

Gary Gorton

14357: Design Limits and Dynamic Policy Analysis

William Brock, Steven Durlauf and Giacomo Rondina

14356: Field Experiments in Economics: The Past, The Present, and The Future

Steven Levitt and John List

14355: Trades of the Living Dead: Style Differences, Style Persistence and Performance of Currency Fund Managers

Momtchil Pojarliev and Richard M. Levich

14354: Peer Effects and Human Capital Accumulation: the Externalities of ADD

Anna Aizer

14353: Measuring intertemporal preferences using response times

Christopher F. Chabris, David Laibson, Carrie L. Morris, Jonathon P. Schuldt and Dmitry Taubinsky

14352: Fetal Exposure to Toxic Releases and Infant Health

Janet Currie and Johannes Schmieder

14351: Costly Financial Intermediation in Neoclassical Growth Theory

Rajnish Mehra, Facundo Piguillem and Edward Prescott

14350: Demanding Customers: Consumerist Patients and Quality of Care

Hai Fang, Nolan H. Miller, John Rizzo and Richard Zeckhauser

14349: Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions

S. Boragan Aruoba, Francis Diebold and Chiara Scotti

14348: The Economics of Labor Market Intermediation: An Analytic Framework

David Autor

14347: Landed Interests and Financial Underdevelopment in the United States

Raghuram Rajan and Rodney Ramcharan

14346: Divorce Law and Women's Labor Supply

Betsey Stevenson

14345: Economic Factors Underlying the Unbundling of Advertising Agency Services

Mohammad Arzaghi, Ernst R. Berndt, James Davis and Alvin J. Silk

14344: The Internationalization of Venture Capital and Private Equity

Joshua Aizenman and Jake Kendall

14343: The Intergenerational Transfer of Public Pension Promises

Robert Novy-Marx and Joshua Rauh

14342: Costly External Finance: Implications for Capital Markets Anomalies

Dongmei Li and Lu Zhang

14341: Secrets of the Academy: The Drivers of University Endowment Success

Josh Lerner, Antoinette Schoar and Jialan Wang

14340: Asset Management, Human Capital, and the Market for Risky Assets

Isaac Ehrlich, William A. Hamlen and Yong Yin

14339: Leadership, Coordination and Mission-Driven Management

Patrick Bolton, Markus Brunnermeier and Laura Veldkamp

14338: Gender Differences in Market Competitiveness in a Real Workplace: Evidence from Performance-based Pay Tournaments among Teachers

Victor Lavy

14337: Imitative Obesity and Relative Utility

David Blanchflower, Andrew Oswald and Bert Van Landeghem

14336: International Financial Remoteness and Macroeconomic Volatility

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

14335: The Efficacy of Parochial Politics: Caste, Commitment, and Competence in Indian Local Governments

Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig

14334: Commodity Exports, Invisible Exports and Terms of Trade for the Middle Colonies, 1720 to 1775

Peter Mancall, Joshua Rosenbloom and Thomas Weiss

14333: Socioeconomic Status and Health: Dimensions and Mechanisms

David Cutler, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Tom Vogl

14332: Managing Contribution and Capital Market Risk in a Funded Public Defined Benefit Plan: Impact of CVaR Cost Constraints

Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell and Ralph Rogalla

14331: Managerial Incentives and Value Creation: Evidence from Private Equity

Phillip Leslie and Paul Oyer

14330: Simple Humans, Complex Insurance, Subtle Subsidies

Jeffrey Liebman and Richard Zeckhauser

14329: Wage Formation between Newly Hired Workers and Employers: Survey Evidence

Robert Hall and Alan Krueger

14328: Long-Term Care of the Disabled Elderly: Do Children Increase Caregiving by Spouses?

Liliana E. Pezzin, Robert Pollak and Barbara Schone

14327: Can Policy Interact with Culture? Minimum Wage and the Quality of Labor Relations

Philippe Aghion, Yann Algan and Pierre Cahuc

14326: Medicare Part D's Effects on Elderly Drug Costs and Utilization

Jonathan Ketcham and Kosali Simon

14325: Valuing a Homeland Security Policy: Countermeasures for the Threats from Shoulder Mounted Missiles

V. Smith, Carol Mansfield and Laurel Clayton

14324: The Litigation of Financial Innovations

Josh Lerner

14323: Strategic Interaction Among Heterogeneous Price-Setters In An Estimated DSGE Model

Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

14322: Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts

James Stock and Mark Watson

14321: Capital Flow Bonanzas: An Encompassing View of the Past and Present

Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart

14320: Optimal Minimum Wage Policy in Competitive Labor Markets

David Lee and Emmanuel Saez

14319: Is a Donor in Hand Better than Two in the Bush? Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

Craig Landry, Andreas Lange, John List, Michael Price and Nicholas Rupp

14318: International evidence on well-being

David Blanchflower

14317: The Age Discrimination in Employment Act and the Challenge of Population Aging

David Neumark

14316: Segregation and the Quality of Government in a Cross-Section of Countries

Alberto Alesina and Ekaterina Zhuravskaya

14315: Demand Estimation Under Incomplete Product Availability

Christopher Conlon and Julie Mortimer

14314: Teacher Preparation and Student Achievement

Donald Boyd, Pamela Grossman, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb and James Wyckoff

14313: New Keynesian Models: Not Yet Useful for Policy Analysis

Varadarajan Chari, Patrick Kehoe and Ellen McGrattan

14312: How Much Does Immigration Boost Innovation?

Jennifer Hunt and Marjolaine Gauthier-Loiselle

14311: Pitfalls of Participatory Programs: Evidence From a Randomized Evaluation in Education in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, Esther Duflo, Rachel Glennerster and Stuti Khemani

14310: Housing Busts and Household Mobility

Fernando Ferreira, Joseph Gyourko and Joseph Tracy

14309: The Effect of Medicare Coverage for the Disabled on the Market for Private Insurance

John F. Cogan, Robert Hubbard and Daniel P. Kessler

14308: The Prevalence and Effects of Occupational Licensing

Morris M. Kleiner and Alan Krueger

14307: Redistribution and Tax Expenditures: The Earned Income Tax Credit

Nada Eissa and Hilary Hoynes

14306: Inside the War on Poverty: The Impact of Food Stamps on Birth Outcomes

Douglas Almond, Hilary Hoynes and Diane Schanzenbach

14305: Quality competition versus price competition goods: An empirical classification

Richard Baldwin and Tadashi Ito

14304: Reconsidering the Economics of Demand Analysis with Kinked Budget Constraints

Aaron Strong and V. Smith

14303: Does Church Attendance Cause People to Vote? Using Blue Laws' Repeal to Estimate the Effect of Religiosity on Voter Turnout

Alan Gerber, Jonathan Gruber and Daniel Hungerman

14302: Attitude-Dependent Altruism, Turnout and Voting

Julio Rotemberg

14301: Transfer Program Complexity and the Take Up of Social Benefits

Henrik Jacobsen Kleven and Wojciech Kopczuk

14300: Business Volatility, Job Destruction, and Unemployment

Steven Davis, Jason Faberman, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin and Javier Miranda

14299: Power Laws in Economics and Finance

Xavier Gabaix

14298: The Cost of Property Rights: Establishing Institutions on the Philippine Frontier Under American Rule, 1898-1918

Noel Maurer and Lakshmi Iyer

14297: School Nutrition Programs and the Incidence of Childhood Obesity

Daniel Millimet, Rusty Tchernis and Muna Husain

14296: The Welfare Impact of Reducing Choice in Medicare Part D: A Comparison of Two Regulation Strategies

Claudio Lucarelli, Jeffrey Prince and Kosali Simon

14295: Current Account Sustainability and Relative Reliability

Stephanie E. Curcuru, Charles Thomas and Francis Warnock

14294: The Foreclosure-House Price Nexus: Lessons from the 2007-2008 Housing Turmoil

Charles Calomiris, Stanley D. Longhofer and William Miles

14293: Effects of Low-Skilled Immigration on U.S. Natives: Evidence from Hurricane Mitch

Adriana Kugler and Mutlu Yuksel

14292: Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?

Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok and Eswar Prasad

14291: Post-Merger Restructuring and the Boundaries of the Firm

Vojislav Maksimovic, Gordon Phillips and N. R. Prabhala

14290: Real and Financial Industry Booms and Busts

Gerard Hoberg and Gordon Phillips

14289: Product Market Synergies and Competition in Mergers and Acquisitions: A Text-Based Analysis

Gerard Hoberg and Gordon Phillips

14288: Federal Budget Rules: The US Experience

Alan Auerbach

14287: Public or Private Production of Food Safety: What Do U.S. Consumers Want?

V. Smith, Carol Mansfield and Aaron Strong

14286: Trade, Technology, and the Environment: Why Have Poor Countries Regulated Sooner?

Mary Lovely and David Popp

14285: Offshoring and the Role of Trade Agreements

Pol Antras and Robert Staiger

14284: Bayesian Averaging, Prediction and Nonnested Model Selection

Han Hong and Bruce Preston

14283: Criminal Sentencing in Nineteenth Century Pennsylvania

Howard Bodenhorn

14282: Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers

14281: Preserving Slave Families for Profit: Traders' Incentives and Pricing in the New Orleans Slave Market

Charles Calomiris and Jonathan Pritchett

14280: Understanding Bank Runs: The Importance of Depositor-Bank Relationships and Networks

Rajkamal Iyer and Manju Puri

14279: "Might Not Be a Tomorrow": A Multi-Methods Approach to Anticipated Early Death and Youth Crime

Timothy Brezina, Erdal Tekin and Volkan Topalli

14278: Long Term Persistence

Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza and Luigi Zingales

14277: Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Peer Effects in Early Education

Matthew Neidell and Jane Waldfogel

14276: Affirmative Action in Law School Admissions: What Do Racial Preferences Do?

Jesse Rothstein and Albert H. Yoon

14275: Mismatch in Law School

Jesse Rothstein and Albert Yoon

14274: Like Father, Like Son? A Note on the Intergenerational Transmission of IQ Scores

Sandra Black, Paul Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes

14273: Racial Discrimination and Competition

Ross Levine, Alexey Levkov and Yona Rubinstein

14272: Complementarity of Shared Compensation and Decision-Making Systems: Evidence from the American Labor Market

Arindrajit Dube and Richard Freeman

14271: Days of Haze: Environmental Information Disclosure and Intertemporal Avoidance Behavior

Joshua Graff Zivin and Matthew Neidell

14270: Individual Laboratory-Measured Discount Rates Predict Field Behavior

Christopher F. Chabris, David Laibson, Carrie L. Morris, Jonathon P. Schuldt and Dmitry Taubinsky

14269: Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility, Worldwide

Francis Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz

14268: Culture, Context, and the Taste for Redistribution

Erzo Luttmer and Monica Singhal

14267: The Distribution of Congressional Spending During the American Revolution, 1775-1780: The Problem of Geographic Balance

Farley Grubb

14266: Fertility Theories: Can They Explain the Negative Fertility-Income Relationship?

Larry Jones, Alice Schoonbroodt and Michele Tertilt

14265: Selection Bias in College Admissions Test Scores

Melissa Clark, Jesse Rothstein and Diane Schanzenbach

14264: Is the Washington Consensus Dead? Growth, Openness, and the Great Liberalization, 1970s-2000s

Antoni Estevadeordal and Alan Taylor

14263: Tax Expenditure Estimation and Reporting: A Critical Review

Rosanne Altshuler and Robert Dietz

14262: Organizations and Trade

Pol Antras and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg