Does Labor Supply Matter During a Recession? Evidence from the Seasonal Cycle

Casey Mulligan

No 16357, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Every year has large demand and supply shifts associated with the seasons, regardless of the phase of the business cycle. Based on measures dating back to the 1940s, the seasonal shifts reject the hypotheses that demand shifts affect employment outcomes significantly more in recession years than in non-recession years, and that supply shifts matter significantly less (if at all) in the recession years. My results are consistent with the hypothesis that recessions are characterized by labor market distortions that are neither alleviated by additional labor demand nor exacerbated by additional labor supply.

JEL-codes: C32 E12 E24 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-09
Note: EFG LS
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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