NBER Working Papers

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33905: Racial Disparities in Mortality by Sex, Age, and Cause of Death

Robert Kaestner, Anuj Gangopadhyaya and Cuiping Schiman

33904: Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic

Carolina Arteaga and Victoria Barone

33903: Pushing the Envelope: The Effects of Salary Negotiations

Zoë B. Cullen, Bobak Pakzad-Hurson and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

33902: The French Touch: Product Quality and France’s Great Trade Liberalization, 1850-1874

Stéphane Becuwe, Bertrand Blancheton and Christopher Meissner

33901: Measuring Markets for Network Goods

Leonardo Bursztyn, Matthew Gentzkow, Rafael Jiménez-Durán, Aaron Leonard, Filip Milojević and Christopher Roth

33900: Financial Firepower: School Shootings and the Strategic Contributions of Pro-Gun PACs

Eric A. Baldwin, Takuma Iwasaki and John Donohue

33899: Public and Private Transit: Evidence from Lagos

Daniel Björkegren, Alice Duhaut, Geetika Nagpal and Nick Tsivanidis

33898: A Dynamic Theory of Optimal Tariffs

Eduardo Davila, Andres Rodriguez-Clare, Andreas Schaab and Stacy Tan

33897: Public Debt Bubbles, Liquidity, and Risk: Policy Assessments Based on the Zero-Beta Interest Rate

Narayana Kocherlakota

33896: On the Measurement of Social Heterogeneity

Klaus Desmet, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín and Romain Wacziarg

33894: From Tank to Odometer: Winners and Losers from a Gas-to-VMT Tax Shift

Christopher Knittel, Gilbert E. Metcalf and Shereein Saraf

33893: Capability Inversion: The Turing Test Meets Information Design

Joshua Gans

33891: Basic Income and the Dynamics of Employment and Human Capital in a Non-Urban Disadvantaged Setting

Jorge Luis Garcia, Patrick Warren and L. Reed Watson

33890: Do Vaping Taxes Tip the Scale? The Effect of E-Cigarette Taxation on Obesity

Charles Courtemanche, Tessie Krishna, Yang Liang, Joseph J. Sabia and Anthony Chuo

33889: Medicare Drug Price Negotiations May Not Reduce Patient Cost Sharing for Most Users of Targeted Drugs

Debra Lederman, Alexander L. Olssen and Mark Pauly

33888: Inflation Dynamics with a Generalized Lucas Phillips Curve

John Cochrane

33887: Trade within Multinational Boundaries

Laura Alfaro, Paola Conconi, Fariha Kamal and Zachary Kroff

33886: Competition and Management Upgrading: Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia

Girum Abebe, Stefano Caria, Pascaline Dupas, Marcel Fafchamps and Tigabu Getahun

33885: Post-Pandemic Global Inflation, Disinflation, and Central Bank Policy Responses: A Review of the Facts, Empirical Findings, and their Implications for Monetary Policy Framework Assessments

Richard Clarida

33884: Firm Premia and Match Effects in Pay vs. Amenities

Anders Humlum, Mette Rasmussen and Evan K. Rose

33883: The Culture and Institutions of Confucianism

Ruixue Jia and James Kai-sing Kung

33882: Stablecoin Runs and the Centralization of Arbitrage

Yiming Ma, Yao Zeng and Anthony Lee Zhang

33881: Using Discrepancies to Correct for False Matches in Historical Linked Data

Yuya Sasaki and Ariell Zimran

33880: The Private Value of Innovating for the Government

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon, Larisa C. Cioaca and Elia Ferracuti

33879: Information Spillovers within Couples: Evidence from a Sequential Survey of Spouses

Adeline Delavande, Gizem Kosar and Basit Zafar

33878: Assessing Maximum Employment: A Flow-Based Approach

Stefano Eusepi and Aysegul Sahin

33877: Trade and Industrial Policy in Supply Chains: Directed Technological Change in Rare Earths

Laura Alfaro, Harald Fadinger, Jan Schymik and Gede Virananda

33876: America's Housing Supply Problem: The Closing of the Suburban Frontier?

Edward Glaeser and Joseph Gyourko

33875: Collateral and Secured Debt

Adriano Rampini and S Viswanathan

33874: Why Do Households Save and Work?

Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, Fang Yang and Johanna P. Torres Chain

33873: Social and Health Outcomes around Divorce: Evidence from New Zealand

Kabir Dasgupta, Andrew Johnston, Linda Kirkpatrick, Maxim N. Massenkoff and Alexander Plum

33872: How Longevity and Health Information Shapes Retirement Advice

Abigail Hurwitz and Olivia Mitchell

33871: Local Projections or VARs? A Primer for Macroeconomists

José Luis Montiel Olea, Mikkel Plagborg-Moller, Eric Qian and Christian Wolf

33870: The Effect of Non-Wage Competition on Corporate Profits

Ioannis Branikas, Briana Chang, Harrison Hong and Nan Li

33869: What Explains Growing Gender and Racial Education Gaps?

Zvi Eckstein, Michael Keane and Osnat Lifshitz

33868: A Quantitative Theory of Heterogeneous Returns to Wealth

Guido Menzio and Saverio Spinella

33867: Artificial Intelligence and Technological Unemployment

Ping Wang and Russell Wong

33866: Collusion through Common Leadership

Alejandro Herrera-Caicedo, Jessica Jeffers and Elena Prager

33865: Job Sorting and the Labor Market Effects of a Criminal Record

Randi Hjalmarsson, Matthew Lindquist, Louis-Pierre Lepage and Conrad Miller

33864: Climbing the Energy Ladder: How Energy Resources Hinder, Facilitate, and Fuel Economic Growth

Derek Lemoine

33863: Administrative Fragmentation in Health Care

Riley League and Maggie Shi

33862: City Size, Monopsony, and the Employment Effects of Minimum Wages

Priyaranjan Jha, Jyotsana Kala, David Neumark and Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez

33861: The Effects of Switching Electronic Health Record Developer on Specialty Referrals

Bingjin Xue and Chad Meyerhoefer

33860: The Geography of Opportunity after the Civil War: Black and White Americans' Intra- and Intergenerational Mobility into Property Ownership

William Collins and Nicholas C. Holtkamp

33859: Decoupling Taste-Based versus Statistical Discrimination in Elections

Amanda de Albuquerque, Frederico Finan, Anubhav Jha, Laura Karpuska and Francesco Trebbi

33858: Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?

Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

33857: Recovering from COVID

James Stock and Mark Watson

33856: Real-world Effectiveness of the Influenza Vaccine in Young Children

Michael Anderson, Carlos Dobkin, Devon Gorry and Hung-Fu Tseng

33855: The Structural Transformation of Innovation

Diego Comin, Danial Lashkari and Martí Mestieri

33854: Internal Migration and the Spatial Reorganization of Agriculture

Raahil Madhok, Frederik Noack, Ahmed Mobarak and Olivier Deschenes

33853: Local Monetary Policy

Vyacheslav Fos, Tommaso Tamburelli and Nancy R. Xu

33852: How Damaging is Shouting "Fire" in a Crowded Theatre?

Joshua Gans

33851: Remote Work, Employee Mix, and Performance

Cevat Giray Aksoy, Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis, Victoria Marino and Cem Ozguzel

33850: The Old Keynesian Model

Robert Barro

33849: Spillovers from Public Health Policies in Schools: Evidence from COVID Mask Mandates

Matthew A. Guzman, Scott Imberman, Neil R. Filosa, Tara Kilbride and Nat Malkus

33848: Bidding for Talent: A Test of Conduct in a High-Wage Labor Market

Nina Roussille and Benjamin Scuderi

33847: Measuring Self-Reported Well-Being

Ori Heffetz and Yehonatan Caspi

33846: What Do People Want?

Daniel Benjamin, Kristen B. Cooper, Ori Heffetz, Miles Kimball and Tushar Kundu

33845: Monetary Stabilization of Sectoral Tariffs

Paul Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti

33844: The Effect of a Monthly Unconditional Cash Transfer on Children’s Development at Four Years of Age: A Randomized Controlled Trial in the U.S

Kimberly Noble, Katherine Magnuson, Greg Duncan, Lisa A. Gennetian, Hirokazu Yoshikawa, Nathan A. Fox, Sarah Halpern-Meekin, Sonya Troller-Renfree, Sangdo Han, Shannon Egan-Dailey, Timothy D. Nelson, Jennifer Mize Nelson, Sarah Black, Michael Georgieff and Debra Karhson

33843: Meaning At Work

Nava Ashraf, Oriana Bandiera, Virginia Minni and Luigi Zingales

33842: Martyrs, Morale, and Militarism: The Political Impact of Devastation and Slaughter

Shizuka Inoue, David Weinstein and Atsushi Yamagishi

33841: Conditioning Out the Poor? Consumption Inequality and the Design of Cash Transfer Programs

Santosh Anagol, Thomas Fujiwara and Martin Navarrete

33840: Global Price Shocks and International Monetary Coordination

Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni and Iván Werning

33839: The Optimal Macro Tariff

Oleg Itskhoki and Dmitry Mukhin

33838: The Persistence of Female Political Power in Africa

Siwan Anderson, Sophia du Plessis, Sahar Parsa and James Robinson

33837: News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations

Ryan Chahrour, Adam Shapiro and Daniel Wilson

33836: Take the Load Off: Time and Technology as Determinants of Electricity Demand Response

Megan R. Bailey, David Brown, Blake Shaffer and Frank A. Wolak

33835: The Effect of Childcare Access on Women's Careers and Firm Performance

Elena Simintzi, Sheng-Jun Xu and Ting Xu

33834: Policies to Reduce Federal Budget Deficits by Increasing Economic Growth

Douglas Elmendorf, Robert Hubbard and Zachary Liscow

33833: Equilibrium Price Responses to Targeted Student Financial Aid

Nano Barahona, Caue Dobbin and Sebastián Otero

33832: A Double Dose of Reform: Insurance and Centralized Negotiation in Drug Markets

Panle Barwick, Ashley T. Swanson and Tianli Xia

33831: Consumer Sentiment Towards Asians in the Early Days of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Jonathan Guryan and Kyung H. Park

33830: No Country for Dying Firms: Evidence from India

Shoumitro Chatterjee, Kala Krishna, Kalyani Padmakumar and Yingyan Zhao

33829: Valuing Wildfire Smoke Related Mortality Benefits from Climate Mitigation

Minghao Qiu, Christopher W. Callahan, Iván Higuera-Mendieta, Lisa Rennels, Bryan Parthum, Noah S. Diffenbaugh and Marshall Burke

33828: What are the Costs of Weakening Shareholder Primacy? Evidence from a U.S. Quasi-Natural Experiment

Benjamin Bennett, René M. Stulz and Zexi Wang

33827: Government Intervention in the Financial Market

Jiang Wang

33826: Invoicing of Japanese Exports and Imports: Analysis of Granular Data by Industry and by Country

Junko Shimizu, Uraku Yoshimoto, Takatoshi Ito, Kiyotaka Sato, Yushi Yoshida and Taiyo Yoshimi

33825: Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level

Kristin Forbes, Jongrim Ha and Ayhan Kose

33824: The Return of Adaptation to Extreme Weather

Harrison Hong, Serena Ng and Jiangmin Xu

33823: Income and Wealth Inequality in the United States: An Update Including the 2022 Wave

Moritz Kuhn and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

33822: Tax Credits and Child Outcomes: Lessons from the U.S., U.K., and Canada

Katherine Michelmore

33821: Natural Language Processing and Innovation Research

Antonin Bergeaud, Adam Jaffe and Dimitris Papanikolaou

33820: Entry and Profits in an Aging Economy: The Role of Consumer Inertia

Gideon Bornstein

33819: Advising Job Seekers in Occupations with Poor Prospects: A Field Experiment

Michèle Belot, Bart K. de Koning, Didier Fouarge, Philipp Kircher, Paul Muller and Sandra Phlippen

33818: The Effects of Political Advertising on Facebook and Instagram before the 2020 US Election

Hunt Allcott, Matthew Gentzkow, Ro’ee Levy, Adriana Crespo-Tenorio, Natasha Dumas, Winter Mason, Devra Moehler, Pablo Barbera, Taylor W. Brown, Juan Cisneros, Drew Dimmery, Deen Freelon, Sandra González-Bailón, Andrew M. Guess, Young Mie Kim, David Lazer, Neil Malhotra, Sameer Nair-Desai, Brendan Nyhan, Ana Carolina Paixao de Queiroz, Jennifer Pan, Jaime Settle, Emily Thorson, Rebekah Tromble, Carlos Velasco Rivera, Benjamin Wittenbrink, Magdalena Wojcieszak, Shiqi Yang, Saam Zahedian, Annie Franco, Chad Kiewiet de Jonge, Natalie Jomini Stroud and Joshua A. Tucker

33817: The Experimental Selection Correction Estimator: Using Experiments to Remove Biases in Observational Estimates

Susan Athey, Raj Chetty and Guido Imbens

33816: Original Sin Redux: Role of Duration Risk

Carol Bertaut, Valentina Bruno and Hyun Song Shin

33815: A Simplified Quest for Knowledge

Joshua Gans

33814: Decoding China's Industrial Policies

Hanming Fang, Ming Li and Guangli Lu

33813: The Evolution of Age-friendly Jobs in a Rapidly Ageing Economy

Hyeongsuk Kim, Chulhee Lee and Karen Eggleston

33812: Effort, Identity, and Employee Mental Health

Rachel Kranton and Duncan Thomas

33811: The Spill-back and Spillover Effects of US Monetary Policy: Evidence on an International Cost Channel

Yao Li, Lingfei Lu, Shang-Jin Wei and Jingbo Yao

33810: Partisan Corporate Speech

William M. Cassidy and Elisabeth Kempf

33809: Tax Preferences and Housing Affordability: Explorations using a Life-Cycle Model

Michael Keane and Xiangling Liu

33808: Expectations Formation with Fat-Tailed Processes: Evidence and Theory

Tim de Silva, Eugene Larsen-Hallock, Adam Rej and David Thesmar

33807: What Works for the Unemployed? Evidence From Quasi-Random Caseworker Assignments

Anders Humlum, Jakob Munch and Mette Rasmussen

33806: The Rise and Retreat of US Inflation: An Update

Laurence Ball, Daniel Leigh and Prachi Mishra

33805: Tax Avoidance as an R&D Subsidy: The Use of Cost Sharing Agreements by US Multinationals

Lysle Boller, Clare M. Doyle and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

33804: Native-Immigrant Entrepreneurial Synergies

Zhao Jin, Amir Kermani and Timothy McQuade