NBER Working Papers

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33927: Bequests

Charles Yuji Horioka

33926: Welfare Programs and Crime Spillovers

David Jinkins, Elira Kuka and Claudio Labanca

33925: Does Matching Contribution Incentivize Informal Workers to Participate in Retirement Saving Plans? A Randomized Evaluation Interacted with a Natural Experiment

Noelia Bernal, Sebastian Galiani and Oswaldo Molina

33924: Using AI to Generate Option C Scaling Ideas: A Case Study in Early Education

Faith Fatchen, John A. List and Francesca Pagnotta

33923: Like Great-Grandparent, Like Great-Grandchild? Multigenerational Mobility in American History

Zachary Ward, Kasey Buckles and Joseph Price

33922: The Neoclassical Theory of Firm Investment and Taxes: A Reassessment

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich

33921: Increasing Degree Attainment Among Low-Income Students: The Role of Intensive Advising and College Quality

Andrew C. Barr and Benjamin L. Castleman

33920: The Social Desirability Atlas

Leonardo Bursztyn, Ingar K. Haaland, Nicolas Röver and Christopher Roth

33919: Scalable Targeting of Social Protection: When Do Algorithms Out-Perform Surveys and Community Knowledge?

Emily Aiken, Anik Ashraf, Joshua Blumenstock, Raymond Guiteras and Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak

33918: Who Benefits from Paid Family Leave? The Impact on Informal and Formal Care for Middle-Aged and Older Adults with Disabilities

Yuting Qian and Xi Chen

33917: Nicotine Vaping and Youth Mental Health: New Evidence from E-Cigarette Regulations

Chad D. Cotti, Tessie Krishna, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Erik T. Nesson and Joseph J. Sabia

33916: Abortion Restrictions and Intimate Partner Violence in the Dobbs Era

Dhaval M. Dave, Christine Durrance, Bilge Erten, Yang Wang and Barbara L. Wolfe

33915: Defaulting 401(k) Assets into Payout Annuities for “Pretty Good” Lifetime Incomes

Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer and Olivia S. Mitchell

33914: Firm Investment and the User Cost of Capital: New U.S. Corporate Tax Reform Evidence

Jonathan S. Hartley, Kevin A. Hassett and Joshua D. Rauh

33913: Childless or Child-fewer? Childlessness and Parity Progression where Fertility is Below Replacement

Michael Geruso and Dean Spears

33912: Wildfire, Smoke and Mental Health in Canada

Janet Currie and Soodeh Saberian

33911: ‘Sorting’ Out Gender Discrimination and Disadvantage: Evidence from Student Evaluations of Teaching

Sara Ayllón, Lars J. Lefgren, Richard W. Patterson, Olga B. Stoddard and Nicolás Urdaneta Andrade

33910: Efficiency in Job-Ladder Models

Masao Fukui and Toshihiko Mukoyama

33909: How Does Privacy Regulation Affect Transatlantic Venture Investment? Evidence from GDPR

Jian Jia, Ginger Zhe Jin, Mario Leccese and Liad Wagman

33908: Labor Markets in Developing Countries

Emily Breza and Supreet Kaur

33907: Growth in AI Knowledge

Joshua S. Gans

33906: Long-term Vertical Contracts, Geography, and the Persistence of Brand Shares

Robert Clark, Jean-François Houde and Xinrong Zhu

33905: Racial Disparities in Mortality by Sex, Age, and Cause of Death

Robert Kaestner, Anuj Gangopadhyaya and Cuiping Schiman

33904: Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic

Carolina Arteaga and Victoria Barone

33903: Pushing the Envelope: The Effects of Salary Negotiations

Zoë B. Cullen, Bobak Pakzad-Hurson and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

33902: The French Touch: Product Quality and France’s Great Trade Liberalization, 1850-1874

Stéphane Becuwe, Bertrand Blancheton and Christopher Meissner

33901: Measuring Markets for Network Goods

Leonardo Bursztyn, Matthew Gentzkow, Rafael Jiménez-Durán, Aaron Leonard, Filip Milojević and Christopher Roth

33900: Financial Firepower: School Shootings and the Strategic Contributions of Pro-Gun PACs

Eric A. Baldwin, Takuma Iwasaki and John Donohue

33899: Public and Private Transit: Evidence from Lagos

Daniel Björkegren, Alice Duhaut, Geetika Nagpal and Nick Tsivanidis

33898: A Dynamic Theory of Optimal Tariffs

Eduardo Davila, Andres Rodriguez-Clare, Andreas Schaab and Stacy Tan

33897: Public Debt Bubbles, Liquidity, and Risk: Policy Assessments Based on the Zero-Beta Interest Rate

Narayana Kocherlakota

33896: On the Measurement of Social Heterogeneity

Klaus Desmet, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín and Romain Wacziarg

33895: Measuring Industrial Policy: A Text-Based Approach

Réka Juhász, Nathan J. Lane, Emily Oehlsen and Veronica C. Perez

33894: From Tank to Odometer: Winners and Losers from a Gas-to-VMT Tax Shift

Christopher Knittel, Gilbert E. Metcalf and Shereein Saraf

33893: Capability Inversion: The Turing Test Meets Information Design

Joshua Gans

33892: AI and Social Media: A Political Economy Perspective

Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar and James Siderius

33891: Basic Income and the Dynamics of Employment and Human Capital in a Non-Urban Disadvantaged Setting

Jorge Luis Garcia, Patrick Warren and L. Reed Watson

33890: Do Vaping Taxes Tip the Scale? The Effect of E-Cigarette Taxation on Obesity

Charles Courtemanche, Tessie Krishna, Yang Liang, Joseph J. Sabia and Anthony Chuo

33889: Medicare Drug Price Negotiations May Not Reduce Patient Cost Sharing for Most Users of Targeted Drugs

Debra Lederman, Alexander L. Olssen and Mark Pauly

33888: Inflation Dynamics with a Generalized Lucas Phillips Curve

John Cochrane

33887: Trade within Multinational Boundaries

Laura Alfaro, Paola Conconi, Fariha Kamal and Zachary Kroff

33886: Competition and Management Upgrading: Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia

Girum Abebe, Stefano Caria, Pascaline Dupas, Marcel Fafchamps and Tigabu Getahun

33885: Post-Pandemic Global Inflation, Disinflation, and Central Bank Policy Responses: A Review of the Facts, Empirical Findings, and their Implications for Monetary Policy Framework Assessments

Richard Clarida

33884: Firm Premia and Match Effects in Pay vs. Amenities

Anders Humlum, Mette Rasmussen and Evan K. Rose

33883: The Culture and Institutions of Confucianism

Ruixue Jia and James Kai-sing Kung

33882: Stablecoin Runs and the Centralization of Arbitrage

Yiming Ma, Yao Zeng and Anthony Lee Zhang

33881: Using Discrepancies to Correct for False Matches in Historical Linked Data

Yuya Sasaki and Ariell Zimran

33880: The Private Value of Innovating for the Government

Ashish Arora, Sharon Belenzon, Larisa C. Cioaca and Elia Ferracuti

33879: Information Spillovers within Couples: Evidence from a Sequential Survey of Spouses

Adeline Delavande, Gizem Kosar and Basit Zafar

33878: Assessing Maximum Employment: A Flow-Based Approach

Stefano Eusepi and Aysegul Sahin

33877: Trade and Industrial Policy in Supply Chains: Directed Technological Change in Rare Earths

Laura Alfaro, Harald Fadinger, Jan Schymik and Gede Virananda

33876: America's Housing Supply Problem: The Closing of the Suburban Frontier?

Edward Glaeser and Joseph Gyourko

33875: Collateral and Secured Debt

Adriano Rampini and S Viswanathan

33874: Why Do Households Save and Work?

Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, Fang Yang and Johanna P. Torres Chain

33873: Social and Health Outcomes around Divorce: Evidence from New Zealand

Kabir Dasgupta, Andrew Johnston, Linda Kirkpatrick, Maxim N. Massenkoff and Alexander Plum

33872: How Longevity and Health Information Shapes Retirement Advice

Abigail Hurwitz and Olivia Mitchell

33871: Local Projections or VARs? A Primer for Macroeconomists

José Luis Montiel Olea, Mikkel Plagborg-Moller, Eric Qian and Christian Wolf

33870: The Effect of Non-Wage Competition on Corporate Profits

Ioannis Branikas, Briana Chang, Harrison Hong and Nan Li

33869: What Explains Growing Gender and Racial Education Gaps?

Zvi Eckstein, Michael Keane and Osnat Lifshitz

33868: A Quantitative Theory of Heterogeneous Returns to Wealth

Guido Menzio and Saverio Spinella

33867: Artificial Intelligence and Technological Unemployment

Ping Wang and Russell Wong

33866: Collusion through Common Leadership

Alejandro Herrera-Caicedo, Jessica Jeffers and Elena Prager

33865: Job Sorting and the Labor Market Effects of a Criminal Record

Randi Hjalmarsson, Matthew Lindquist, Louis-Pierre Lepage and Conrad Miller

33864: Climbing the Energy Ladder: How Energy Resources Hinder, Facilitate, and Fuel Economic Growth

Derek Lemoine

33863: Administrative Fragmentation in Health Care

Riley League and Maggie Shi

33862: City Size, Monopsony, and the Employment Effects of Minimum Wages

Priyaranjan Jha, Jyotsana Kala, David Neumark and Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez

33861: The Effects of Switching Electronic Health Record Developer on Specialty Referrals

Bingjin Xue and Chad Meyerhoefer

33860: The Geography of Opportunity after the Civil War: Black and White Americans' Intra- and Intergenerational Mobility into Property Ownership

William Collins and Nicholas C. Holtkamp

33859: Decoupling Taste-Based versus Statistical Discrimination in Elections

Amanda de Albuquerque, Frederico Finan, Anubhav Jha, Laura Karpuska and Francesco Trebbi

33858: Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?

Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

33857: Recovering from COVID

James Stock and Mark Watson

33856: Real-world Effectiveness of the Influenza Vaccine in Young Children

Michael Anderson, Carlos Dobkin, Devon Gorry and Hung-Fu Tseng

33855: The Structural Transformation of Innovation

Diego Comin, Danial Lashkari and Martí Mestieri

33854: Internal Migration and the Spatial Reorganization of Agriculture

Raahil Madhok, Frederik Noack, Ahmed Mobarak and Olivier Deschenes

33853: Local Monetary Policy

Vyacheslav Fos, Tommaso Tamburelli and Nancy R. Xu

33852: How Damaging is Shouting "Fire" in a Crowded Theatre?

Joshua Gans

33851: Remote Work, Employee Mix, and Performance

Cevat Giray Aksoy, Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis, Victoria Marino and Cem Ozguzel

33850: The Old Keynesian Model

Robert Barro

33849: Spillovers from Public Health Policies in Schools: Evidence from COVID Mask Mandates

Matthew A. Guzman, Scott Imberman, Neil R. Filosa, Tara Kilbride and Nat Malkus

33848: Bidding for Talent: A Test of Conduct in a High-Wage Labor Market

Nina Roussille and Benjamin Scuderi

33847: Measuring Self-Reported Well-Being

Ori Heffetz and Yehonatan Caspi

33846: What Do People Want?

Daniel Benjamin, Kristen B. Cooper, Ori Heffetz, Miles Kimball and Tushar Kundu

33845: Monetary Stabilization of Sectoral Tariffs

Paul Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti

33844: The Effect of a Monthly Unconditional Cash Transfer on Children’s Development at Four Years of Age: A Randomized Controlled Trial in the U.S

Kimberly Noble, Katherine Magnuson, Greg Duncan, Lisa A. Gennetian, Hirokazu Yoshikawa, Nathan A. Fox, Sarah Halpern-Meekin, Sonya Troller-Renfree, Sangdo Han, Shannon Egan-Dailey, Timothy D. Nelson, Jennifer Mize Nelson, Sarah Black, Michael Georgieff and Debra Karhson

33843: Meaning At Work

Nava Ashraf, Oriana Bandiera, Virginia Minni and Luigi Zingales

33842: Martyrs, Morale, and Militarism: The Political Impact of Devastation and Slaughter

Shizuka Inoue, David Weinstein and Atsushi Yamagishi

33841: Conditioning Out the Poor? Consumption Inequality and the Design of Cash Transfer Programs

Santosh Anagol, Thomas Fujiwara and Martin Navarrete

33840: Global Price Shocks and International Monetary Coordination

Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni and Iván Werning

33839: The Optimal Macro Tariff

Oleg Itskhoki and Dmitry Mukhin

33838: The Persistence of Female Political Power in Africa

Siwan Anderson, Sophia du Plessis, Sahar Parsa and James Robinson

33837: News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations

Ryan Chahrour, Adam Shapiro and Daniel Wilson

33836: Take the Load Off: Time and Technology as Determinants of Electricity Demand Response

Megan R. Bailey, David Brown, Blake Shaffer and Frank A. Wolak

33835: The Effect of Childcare Access on Women's Careers and Firm Performance

Elena Simintzi, Sheng-Jun Xu and Ting Xu

33834: Policies to Reduce Federal Budget Deficits by Increasing Economic Growth

Douglas Elmendorf, Robert Hubbard and Zachary Liscow

33833: Equilibrium Price Responses to Targeted Student Financial Aid

Nano Barahona, Caue Dobbin and Sebastián Otero

33832: A Double Dose of Reform: Insurance and Centralized Negotiation in Drug Markets

Panle Barwick, Ashley T. Swanson and Tianli Xia

33831: Consumer Sentiment Towards Asians in the Early Days of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Jonathan Guryan and Kyung H. Park

33830: No Country for Dying Firms: Evidence from India

Shoumitro Chatterjee, Kala Krishna, Kalyani Padmakumar and Yingyan Zhao

33829: Valuing Wildfire Smoke Related Mortality Benefits from Climate Mitigation

Minghao Qiu, Christopher W. Callahan, Iván Higuera-Mendieta, Lisa Rennels, Bryan Parthum, Noah S. Diffenbaugh and Marshall Burke

33828: What are the Costs of Weakening Shareholder Primacy? Evidence from a U.S. Quasi-Natural Experiment

Benjamin Bennett, René M. Stulz and Zexi Wang