NBER Working Papers

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29562: The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations

Pablo Fajgelbaum, Pinelopi Goldberg, Patrick J. Kennedy, Amit Khandelwal and Daria Taglioni

29561: Customers and Retail Growth

Liran Einav, Peter J. Klenow, Jonathan Levin and Raviv Murciano-Goroff

29560: Let the Worst One Fail: A Credible Solution to the Too-Big-To-Fail Conundrum

Thomas Philippon and Olivier Wang

29559: Simple Allocation Rules and Optimal Portfolio Choice Over the Lifecycle

Victor Duarte, Julia Fonseca, Aaron S. Goodman and Jonathan Parker

29558: The Missing Intercept: A Demand Equivalence Approach

Christian Wolf

29557: Individual and Collective Information Acquisition: An Experimental Study

Pëllumb Reshidi, Alessandro Lizzeri, Leeat Yariv, Jimmy H. Chan and Wing Suen

29556: Dominant Currency Paradigm: A Review

Gita Gopinath and Oleg Itskhoki

29555: Making Teaching Last: Long-Run Value-Added

Michael Gilraine and Nolan Pope

29554: Empirical Option Pricing Models

David S. Bates

29553: Health Shocks of the Father and Longevity of the Children's Children

Dora Costa

29552: Technology, Vintage-Specific Human Capital, and Labor Displacement: Evidence from Linking Patents with Occupations

Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence Schmidt and Bryan Seegmiller

29551: Has Global Agricultural Trade Been Resilient Under Covid-19? Findings from an Econometric Assessment of 2020

Shawn Arita, Jason Grant, Sharon S. Sydow and Jayson Beckman

29550: Researchers' Degrees-of-Flexibility and the Credibility of Difference-in-Differences Estimates: Evidence From the Pandemic Policy Evaluations

Joakim A. Weill, Matthieu Stigler, Olivier Deschenes and Michael R. Springborn

29549: Selection in Surveys: Using Randomized Incentives to Detect and Account for Nonresponse Bias

Deniz Dutz, Ingrid Huitfeldt, Santiago Lacouture, Magne Mogstad, Alexander Torgovitsky and Winnie van Dijk

29548: Productivity and Pay in the US and Canada

Jacob Greenspon, Anna Stansbury and Lawrence Summers

29547: The Incidence of the Corporate Income Tax is Irrelevant for its (Benefit-Based) Justification

Simon Naitram and Matthew Weinzierl

29546: Gifted & Talented Programs and Racial Segregation

Owen Thompson

29545: Did the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program Reduce Readmissions? An Assessment of Prior Evidence and New Estimates

Engy Ziedan and Robert Kaestner

29544: Capital Return Jumps and Wealth Distribution

Jess Benhabib, Wei Cui and Jianjun Miao

29543: Social Interactions and Lottery Stock Mania

Turan G. Bali, David Hirshleifer, Lin Peng, Yi Tang and Qiguang Wang

29542: Unlocking the Benefits of Credit through Saving

Sanghamitra W. Mukherjee, Lauren F. Bergquist, Marshall Burke and Edward Miguel

29541: Gender Differences in Medical Evaluations: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Doctors

Marika Cabral and Marcus Dillender

29540: Macroeconomic Dynamics with Rigid Wage Contracts

Tobias Broer, Karl Harmenberg, Per Krusell and Erik Öberg

29539: Race and Economic Well-Being in the United States

Jean-Felix Brouillette, Charles Jones and Peter J. Klenow

29538: The Effects of Fiscal Decentralization on Publicly Provided Services and Labor Markets

Nicola Bianchi, Michela Giorcelli and Enrica Martino

29537: Reconstruction Aid, Public Infrastructure, and Economic Development: The Case of the Marshall Plan in Italy

Michela Giorcelli and Nicola Bianchi

29536: The Effects of Becoming a Physician on Prescription Drug Use and Mental Health Treatment

D. Mark Anderson, Ron Diris, Raymond Montizaan and Daniel Rees

29535: Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic

Frank Schorfheide and Dongho Song

29534: The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies – Projections for the United States and Germany from a Dynamic Microsimulation

René Böheim, Gerard Horvath, Thomas Leoni and Martin Spielauer

29533: Where is Standard of Living the Highest? Local Prices and the Geography of Consumption

Rebecca Diamond and Enrico Moretti

29532: Private or Public Equity? The Evolving Entrepreneurial Finance Landscape

Michael Ewens and Joan Farre-Mensa

29531: Fiscal Multipliers in the COVID19 Recession

Alan Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Peter McCrory and Daniel Murphy

29530: Demand Estimation with Infrequent Purchases and Small Market Sizes

Ali Hortacsu, Olivia R. Natan, Hayden Parsley, Timothy Schwieg and Kevin Williams

29529: Charter School Practices and Student Selection: An Equilibrium Analysis

Dennis Epple, Francisco Martínez-Mora and Richard Romano

29528: Causes and Consequences of Illicit Drug Epidemics

Timothy Moore and Rosalie Pacula

29527: The Cost of Consumer Collateral: Evidence from Bunching

Benjamin Collier, Cameron Ellis and Benjamin Keys

29526: Sources and Transmission of Country Risk

Tarek Hassan, Jesse Schreger, Markus Schwedeler and Ahmed Tahoun

29525: Local Economic and Political Effects of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFTA

Jiwon Choi, Ilyana Kuziemko, Ebonya L. Washington and Gavin Wright

29524: Germs in the Family: The Short- and Long-Term Consequences of Intra-Household Disease Spread

N. Meltem Daysal, Hui Ding, Maya Rossin-Slater and Hannes Schwandt

29523: “Golden Ages”: A Tale of the Labor Markets in China and the United States

Hanming Fang and Xincheng Qiu

29522: Monopsony in the Labor Market: New Empirical Results and New Public Policies

Orley Ashenfelter, David Card, Henry S. Farber and Michael Ransom

29521: Cross-Product and Cross-Market Adjustments Within Multiproduct Firms: Evidence from Antidumping Actions

Xiaohua Bao, Bruce Blonigen and Zhi Yu

29520: Immigrant Labor and the Institutionalization of the U.S.-born Elderly

Kristin Butcher, Kelsey Moran and Tara Watson

29519: Finite- and Large-Sample Inference for Ranks using Multinomial Data with an Application to Ranking Political Parties

Sergei Bazylik, Magne Mogstad, Joseph P. Romano, Azeem Shaikh and Daniel Wilhelm

29518: Harvesting the Rain: The Adoption of Environmental Technologies in the Sahel

Jenny C. Aker and B. Kelsey Jack

29517: Mistakes in Future Consumption, High MPCs Now

Chen Lian

29516: Racial Discrimination and Housing Outcomes in the United States Rental Market

Peter Christensen, Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri and Christopher Timmins

29515: An Economic Model of Consensus on Distributed Ledgers

Hanna Halaburda, Zhiguo He and Jiasun Li

29514: Government Performance and Democracy: Survey Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries during Covid-19

Michael Becher, Nicolas Longuet Marx, Vincent Pons, Sylvain Brouard, Martial Foucault, Vincenzo Galasso, Eric Kerrouche, Sandra León Alfonso and Daniel Stegmueller

29513: Is Human-Interaction-based Information Substitutable? Evidence from Lockdown

Jennie Bai and Massimo Massa

29512: Learning versus Unlearning: An Experiment on Retractions

Duarte Gonçalves, Jonathan Libgober and Jack Willis

29511: Empirical Perspectives on Auctions

Ali Hortacsu and Isabelle Perrigne

29510: Electricity Price Distributions in Future Renewables-Dominant Power Grids and Policy Implications

Dharik S. Mallapragada, Cristian Junge, Cathy Xun Wang, Johannes Pfeifenberger, Paul Joskow and Richard Schmalensee

29509: Headstrong Girls and Dependent Boys: Gender Differences in the Labor Market Returns to Child Behavior

Robert Kaestner and Ofer Malamud

29508: Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline

Ali Hortacsu, Olivia R. Natan, Hayden Parsley, Timothy Schwieg and Kevin Williams

29507: A Primer on Trade and Inequality

Dani Rodrik

29506: The Other Great Migration: Southern Whites and the New Right

Samuel Bazzi, Andreas Ferrara, Martin Fiszbein, Thomas P. Pearson and Patrick Testa

29505: Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization

Rohan Kekre

29504: Technological Obsolescence

Song Ma

29503: Excess Deaths in the United States During the First Year of COVID-19

Christopher Ruhm

29502: Buyouts: A Primer

Tim Jenkinson, Hyeik Kim and Michael Weisbach

29501: Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk

Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Yue and Egon Zakrajšek

29500: Globalization and the Ladder of Development: Pushed to the Top or Held at the Bottom?

David Atkin, Arnaud Costinot and Masao Fukui

29499: Skewness and Time-Varying Second Moments in a Nonlinear Production Network: Theory and Evidence

Ian Dew-Becker, Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi and Andrea Vedolin

29498: International Evidence on Vaccines and the Mortality to Infections Ratio in the Pre-Omicron Era

Joshua Aizenman, Alex Cukierman, Yothin Jinjarak and Weining Xin

29497: Pandemic Schooling Mode and Student Test Scores: Evidence from US States

Clare Halloran, Rebecca Jack, James C. Okun and Emily Oster

29496: Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitriy Sergeyev

29495: Learning About the Long Run

Leland Farmer, Emi Nakamura and Jon Steinsson

29494: Collateral Damage: The Impact of Shale Gas on Mortgage Lending

Yanyou Chen, James W. Roberts, Christopher D. Timmins and Ashley Vissing

29493: A Second Chance at Success: Can Grade Forgiveness Promote Academic Risk-Taking in College?

Xuan Jiang, Kelly Chen, Zeynep K. Hansen and Scott Lowe

29492: The Responsiveness of Medicaid Spending to the Federal Subsidy

M. Kate Bundorf and Daniel P. Kessler

29491: Ambulance Taxis: The Impact of Regulation and Litigation on Health Care Fraud

Paul Eliason, Riley J. League, Jetson Leder-Luis, Ryan McDevitt and James W. Roberts

29490: Empirical Investigation of a Sufficient Statistic for Monetary Shocks

Fernando E. Alvarez, Andrea Ferrara, Erwan Gautier, Hervé Le Bihan and Francesco Lippi

29489: Central Bank Digital Currencies and The Emerging Markets: The Currency Substitution Challenge

Sebastian Edwards

29488: Imported or Home Grown? The 1992-3 EMS Crisis

Barry Eichengreen and Alain Naef

29487: Environmental Justice and Coasian Bargaining: The Role of Race and Income in Lease Negotiations for Shale Gas

Christopher Timmins and Ashley Vissing

29486: Support for Paid Family Leave among Small Employers Increases during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Ann P. Bartel, Maya Rossin-Slater, Christopher Ruhm, Meredith Slopen and Jane Waldfogel

29485: Capital Investment and Labor Demand

E Curtis, Daniel Garrett, Eric C. Ohrn, Kevin A. Roberts and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

29484: Converging to Convergence

Michael Kremer, Jack Willis and Yang You

29483: Deindustrialization and Industry Polarization

Michael Sposi, Kei-Mu Yi and Jing Zhang

29482: Racial Discrimination and the Social Contract: Evidence from U.S. Army Enlistment during WWII

Nancy Qian and Marco Tabellini

29481: “If you compete with us, we shan't marry you” The (Mary Paley and) Alfred Marshall Lecture

Rohini Pande and Helena Roy

29480: Demographic Transitions Across Time and Space

Matthew Delventhal, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Nezih Guner

29479: Labor Market Dynamics When Ideas are Harder to Find

Adrien Bilal, Niklas Engbom, Simon Mongey and Giovanni Violante

29478: Pollution Trends and US Environmental Policy: Lessons from the Last Half Century

Joseph Shapiro

29477: Who Benefits from Online Gig Economy Platforms?

Christopher T. Stanton and Catherine Thomas

29476: The Prudential Use of Capital Controls and Foreign Currency Reserves

Javier Bianchi and Guido Lorenzoni

29475: Modeling to Inform Economy-Wide Pandemic Policy: Bringing Epidemiologists and Economists Together

Michael Darden, David Dowdy, Lauren Gardner, Barton Hamilton, Karen Kopecky, Melissa Marx, Nicholas Papageorge, Daniel Polsky, Kimberly Powers, Elizabeth Stuart and Matthew Zahn

29474: Economic Interests, Worldviews, and Identities: Theory and Evidence on Ideational Politics

Elliott Ash, Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik

29473: Optimal Bank Reserve Remuneration and Capital Control Policy

Chun-Che Chi, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

29472: "When Anything Can Happen”: Anticipated Adversity and Postsecondary Decision-Making

Stefanie DeLuca, Nicholas Papageorge, Joseph L. Boselovic, Seth Gershenson, Andrew Gray, Kiara M. Nerenberg, Jasmine Sausedo and Allison Young

29471: The Impact of Provider Payments on Health Care Utilization of Low-Income Individuals: Evidence from Medicare and Medicaid

Marika Cabral, Colleen Carey and Sarah Miller

29470: Were Federal COVID Relief Funds for Schools Enough?

Nora Gordon and Sarah J. Reber

29469: Cooperation in the Commons: Community-based Rangeland Management in Namibia

D. Layne Coppock, Lucas Crowley, Susan L. Durham, Dylan Groves, Julian C. Jamison, Dean Karlan, Brien E. Norton and R. Douglas Ramsey

29468: The Hot Hand in the NBA 3-Point Contest: The Importance of Location, Location, Location

Robert M. Lantis and Erik Nesson

29467: Intermediation and Voluntary Exposure to Counterparty Risk

Maryam Farboodi

29466: AI-tocracy

Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman

29465: Office-Based Mental Healthcare and Juvenile Arrests

Monica Deza, Thanh Lu and Johanna Maclean

29464: Trade Competition and the Decline in Union Organizing: Evidence from Certification Elections

Kerwin Kofi Charles, Matthew S. Johnson and Nagisa Tadjfar

29463: A Simple Model of Social Distancing and Vaccination

Christopher Avery